Posts Tagged ‘pro football trends’

NFL Football Picks: Thursday Night Football Props (12/2/10)

December 2nd, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Thursday Night Football Props (12/2/10)
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The Houston Texans are the team that has almost been able to finish off a number of epic wins this year… However, they have almost always fallen short and are on playoff life support again because of it. The Philadelphia Eagles are in significantly better shape at 7-4 right now, but a loss would be catastrophic. These two intra conference foes square off in the City of Brotherly Love tonight, and here at Bankroll Sports, we have your fantastic prop picks for the duel on the NFL Network.

Arian Foster Over/Under 82.5 Rushing Yards
Why the oddsmakers continue putting such little faith in Foster is beyond us. This is a man that leads the NFL in rushing and is averaging over 100 yards per game on the ground. To think that he could get to the 1,500 yard barrier without breaking a sweat is amazing. And now, against a defense that has been iffy at best at times, you think that Foster is going to stop? We certainly don’t think so. It always has and always will be the philosophy of HC Gary Kubiak that, no matter how good his passing game is, that he needs to establish the run in order to win games. The former Tennessee Volunteer is coming off of a game in which he carried the ball 30 times for 143 yards. In games in which he has at least 17 carries, Foster has gotten to this total six times against two in which he didn’t. He should get at least 20 carries on the day, and if he gets that, Foster will have no problem going Over 82.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Thursday Night Football.

Will Arian Foster Score a Touchdown?
Here we go again with Foster. Let’s just do some simple math right here, shall we? The man has 13 TDs on the campaign in 11 games. Just right there, that’s an average of over a score per game. If he recorded a TD in at least 11 games this on this season, he would be a winner for the year on a prop of this juice. Okay, so he was held out of the end zone last week. Big whoop. Over the previous five weeks, Foster had eight TDs on the ground and one through the air, and he scored at least one in all of those games. He is the undisputed back down by the goal line, and he is the second best receiving option that QB Matt Schaub has. At some point, if Houston is scoring, it is highly like that Foster will be the man doing the deed. Foster Will Score a Touchdown (-130 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

DeSean Jackson Over/Under 68.5 Receiving Yards
Glover Quin, meet DeSean Jackson. D-Jax, meet arguably the worst starting cornerback in the NFL today. It doesn’t seem to matter who Quin is guarding, opposing quarterbacks just seem to find a way to get them the ball. Vick has an absolute rocket for an arm, and odds have it, Jackson will at least get one shot in this game to catch one pass that will cover this entire total. Knowing the Kareem Jackson isn’t all that much better on the other side of the field and that their safeties are a sieve, there is just no way that the Texans are keeping one of the most explosive receivers in the league under this total. Jackson will be a triple digit receiver this week, and he’ll easily go Over 68.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) against the Texans.

Jeremy Maclin Over/Under 69.5 Receiving Yards
Do we need to introduce Glover Quin to Jeremy Maclin as well? Perhaps we should. Mr. Quin, this will be the other man that is constantly running past you all game long. Maclin should be the more consistent target of QB Michael Vick in this one, and as long as Vick doesn’t have a field day throwing all over the place to Jackson, Maclin should reach his total as well. He’ll go Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (11/29/10)

November 28th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (11/29/10)
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The Arizona Cardinals could have their 2010 NFL betting campaign put on the line on Monday Night Football, as they are taking on their divisional rivals, the San Francisco 49ers at home in a huge encounter. We here at Bankroll Sports, have all of our Monday Night Football prop picks available for you for the upcoming MNF tussle.

Totals Punts Over/Under 10.5
This is about as high of a number for punts that we remember seeing in quite some time. However, there’s no way that a reasonable number could be posted high enough to keep us satisfied here. Ben Graham, Arizona’s punter, has booted the ball away at least six times in three straight weeks, and he has already punted 57 times in ten games this year. The offense for Arizona has been absolutely putrid regardless of who has been under center, and we know that that isn’t improving against a San Fran team that, all it can do right is play some ‘D’ every now and again. Speaking of those 49ers, they punted six times last week when they were shut out by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and P Andy Lee has been called upon at least six times in five straight games. With K Joe Nedney sidelined, it is going to take a few more yards on offense to produce a field goal attempt as well. The bottom line here is that this is going to be a game contested over field position quite a bit, and if that’s the case, we expect to see at least Over 10.5 Punts (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

Troy Smith Over/Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns + Interceptions
We know that Smith hasn’t had a game yet this season in which he has thrown more than one combined TD and INT, but at some point, this really has to change. The former Ohio State Buckeye isn’t the most accurate with his passes, and this Arizona secondary is full of ball hawkers that can turn you over in a heartbeat. That being said, especially if RB Frank Gore is at least held in check, Smith is going to be forced to make some decisions that he doesn’t necessarily want to. It could be boom. It could be bust. Either way, we’re thrilled. We’ll take our chances that Smith is going to revert to the mean in this one and go Over 1.5 TDs + INTs (+140 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Will Frank Gore Score a Touchdown?
Someone has to score for the 49ers at some point, right? This is a way that we can hedge our bets a bit, as Gore is absolutely the man getting the ball on the goal line if things get tough. We know that a cash in either this prop or the one with Troy Smith will net us a profit, and we tend to think that the probability is there that we nail both of them. The Niners aren’t getting shut out in back to back weeks no matter how bad they are, and if that’s the case, we’ll bank on a man that has already touched the ball over 230 times this season. On one of these 25ish touches or so, Gore is bound to Score a TD (-135 at Hollywood Sportsbook) against the Cardinals.

Derek Anderson Over/Under 18.5 Completions
We’re confused here. Anderson has completed at least 23 passes in his last two games, and he is clearly starting to at least remotely get back into the groove as the team’s starting quarterback after coming back in to replace his replacement, QB Max Hall. Anderson knows that he doesn’t have a running game to rely on consistently, and he has to make things happen himself. Getting to 19 completions doesn’t sound like that tough of a task, even in a game that could get bogged down in a hurry. Go with Anderson to go Over 18.5 Completions (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

NFL Football Picks: Sunday Night Football Props (11/28/10)

November 28th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Sunday Night Football Props (11/28/10)
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The San Diego Chargers and Indianapolis Colts would both be out of the playoffs if they started today. However, one needs to take a major step in the right direction on Sunday Night Football, while the other is likely to be dealt a crippling defeat. Ready to sink your teeth into all of the action for prop bets on Sunday Night? Check out our best NFL picks right here at Bankroll Sports!

Will Philip Rivers throw an Interception?
Rivers has been picked off nine times this season, and including in five straight games, but we still think that the NFL odds in this one are stacked in his favor. The oddsmakers are putting far too much emphasis on these five straight games than the truth of the matter, which is that Rivers isn’t getting intercepted in two out of every three games, especially in matchups like this one against teams that have absolutely atrocious secondaries. Even more so, the Chargers know that they can run the football against these guys with either Ryan Mathews or Mike Tolbert, and if the clock keeps running, that means there’s that much less for Rivers to have to do to win the game. We’ll take our chances that Rivers Does Not Throw an Interception (+160 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Sunday Night Football.

Reggie Wayne Over/Under 6.5 Receptions
Wayne really remains the only player on this team that Manning really consistently trusts to get the job done for him, as his is the only receiver that has been in the lineup in all ten games this season. Wayne consistently averages over six receptions per game and really has done so for his entire career. This season, he has five games with at least seven snares this year, and this seems to be like one that is setting up to be No. 6. Without DB Antonio Cromartie, the Bolts just don’t have a corner to stick on that side of the field where Wayne is to just lock him down. As long as that’s the case, “The Sheriff” is going to make sure that he finds ways to get Wayne the football. There’s no way that he fails to go Over 6.5 Receptions (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Jacob Tamme Over/Under 6.5 Receptions
If it ain’t broke, why would we try to fix it? Tamme has caught at least six balls in all four of his games taking over for the injured TE Dallas Clark, and he has caught at least seven in three straight. Now, against a San Diego defense that has been great against the deep passing game this year, Manning is going to have no choice quite a bit but to check the ball down to his big tight end out of Kentucky. Tamme is the real deal in this league, and he isn’t just a product of the system of Manning throwing him the football. However, having No. 18 on his side has really helped his career, and it is going to help us to another ‘W’ this week. Go with Tamme Over 6.5 Receptions (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this battle against the Chargers.

2010 NFL Trends: Week 11 Cheat Sheet

November 27th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Trends: Week 11 Cheat Sheet
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Week 11 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 11 NFL matchups.

Thursday, November 18th, 8:20 ET: Chicago Bears @ Miami Dolphins
NFL Trends of Note
The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their L/5 as underdogs
The Fins are 10-4 ATS over the L/14 seasons in Week 11
Miami is just 6-25 ATS in its L/31 as a home favorite

Series History
Miami has come out and dominated this series in the 2000s, going 2-0 SU and ATS and winning both the game in the Windy City and the one in South Beach by exactly 18 points. The last win for Chicago in this series happened to also be its last win in Miami, a 36-33 OT win as 8.5 point underdogs in 1997. Since 1985, the Dolphins are 4-3 SU and ATS against the Bears.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 ET: Washington Redskins @ Tennessee Titans
NFL Trends of Note
The Redskins are 7-2-4 ATS in their L/13 played on grass
Washington is 5-2-1 ATS in its L/8 road games
The Titans have covered six of the seven meetings in this series since 1985

Series History
The Titans/Oilers franchise has really been dominant in this series, as they have won four of the seven meetings against the Redskins since the mid 1980s. Tennessee has actually only lost to Washington once as the road team, that coming in the most recent meeting in ’02. Aside from that though, this has been a series of all one way traffic. Four straight clashes have exceeded the ‘total’, and all four games have featured at least 42 points.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings
NFL Trends of Note
Green Bay is 7-1-1 ATS in its L/9 against teams with losing records
The Pack are 12-5-1 ATS in their L/18 overall
Minnesota is 7-2-1 ATS in its L/10 played at Mall of America Field

Series History
If you like high scoring games that feature a ton of upsets, this is the rivalry for you. The ‘dog is 17-6 ATS in the L/23 duels in this series. The Packers had won four straight ATS and went 3-1 SU from the start of the 2007 season through the end of the ’08 campaign, but in 2009, this was a series that belonged to QB Brett Favre and the Vikes. Ironically, Favre’s team covered six in a row and this series and he went 7-1 SU from ’06 through the first meeting of this year. That’s when the Packers finally beat their old mates for the first time 28-24 at Lambeau Field.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Baltimore Ravens @ Carolina Panthers
NFL Trends of Note
The Ravens are winless ATS in their L/4 meetings against teams with losing records
Carolina has covered four straight ATS as double digit underdogs
The Panthers are only one for their L/5 ATS in games played in Week 11

Series History
Carolina had better enjoy its dominance in this series, because odds have it, that domination is over with on Sunday afternoon. The Ravens have never beaten the Panthers in franchise history, as the men in blue and black have gone 3-0 SU and ATS in as many meetings. The most recent affair was in 2006, a 23-21 win for the visiting Panthers. This is only the second time that Baltimore has traveled to Charlotte. In the only other meeting, the Ravens were beaten 10-7 in 2002.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Oakland Raiders @ Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL Trends of Note
The Steelers are 1-9-2 ATS in their L/12 seasons in Week 11
Oakland is 8-2 ATS in its L/10 played in Week 11
The Steelers are 2-5-1 ATS in their L/8 home games

Series History
Strangely enough, this is a series that has gone the way of the silver and black more often than not. Oakland came back from a double digit deficit to win 27-24 here at Heinz Field as 14.5 point underdogs, and it has now won back to back games in this series. The Raiders are just 4-5 SU but 5-4 ATS in nine games against the Steelers since 1990. This will mark the sixth time in the L/7 meetings that these teams have collided in the Steel City.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL Trends of Note
The Browns are 12-4 ATS in their L/16 against AFC opponents
Cleveland is 11-5 ATS in its L/16 overall
The road team has gone 7-2 SU in the L/9 in this series

Series History
It’s strange to think that these two teams actually shared a division until the 2002 season. They met in the last game of last season, with Cleveland claiming a 23-17 victory in the Dawg Pound in a relatively meaningless game. It was the second straight win for the Browns both SU and ATS against the Jags. Jacksonville actually hasn’t beaten the Browns at home since 2000, going 0-3 SU and ATS in that stretch since that point. Of course that last win made up for all of those losses, as the Jaguars triumphed 48-0.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Houston Texans @ New York Jets
NFL Trends of Note
The Texans are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 as road underdogs
New York has covered six of its L/8 overall
The Jets are 5-1 ATS in the games following their L/6 SU victories

Series History
The Texans and Jets have met four times in Houston’s history with two meetings coming in the Meadowlands and two coming at Reliant Stadium. Wherever the game is being played, the result has been exactly the same. New York is coming away with a comfortable victory, and the Texans aren’t scoring a heck of a lot of points. Houston has only averaged 9.8 points per game against the Jets, and it has an 0-4 record both SU and ATS to show for it. All four games have sailed ‘under’ the total.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Arizona Cardinals @ Kansas City Chiefs
NFL Trends of Note
The Cards are just 2-6 ATS in their L/8 on the road
KC is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 played on grass
Arizona has never won a game at Arrowhead Stadium

Series History
That’s right, you read that properly. The Cardinals, dating all the way back to 1986, have never won here at Arrowhead. In fairness, they have only had two tries, but they have been outscored by an aggregate score of 83-24 in those two outings as well. These two are split right now the middle since the mid 1980s, as they are both 3-3 ATS. Kansas City holds a slight 4-2 SU edge, and as we have already stated, it is 2-0 ATS at home since the ’80s as well against the Redbirds.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys
NFL Trends of Note
The Lions are 5-2 ATS in their L/7 as underdogs
Detroit is just 7-20-1 ATS in its L/28 played in the month of November
Dallas is the only team in the NFL yet to cover a game at home this season

Series History
These two teams have quite the history with one another, but ironically, the two Thanksgiving Day showcase teams haven’t met since 2007 and haven’t met on the eve of Thanksgiving week since 2005. The Lions have covered the L/2, losing 28-27 at home as 10.5 point pups in 2007 and winning 39-31 in Big D as 13 point dogs in 2006. Needless to say, both games flew past their ‘totals’. Dallas covered four straight from 2002 through 2005. The Lions even have a playoff victory to their credit against the Cowboys, a 15-10 win in 2002.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Buffalo Bills @ Cincinnati Bengals
NFL Trends of Note
The Bills are 11-4 ATS in their L/15 road games
Cincinnati is 1-7 ATS in its L/8 at home
The Bengals are 1-7 ATS in their L/8 against teams with a losing record

Series History
Things don’t look good for the Bengals based upon those NFL trends, and they don’t look all that special in this specific series history either. Cincinnati actually hasn’t beaten the Bills outright since the 1989 playoffs. Buffalo is 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS since that point. The Bengals have looked like the Bungals at home against Buffalo, losing 37-27 as 13.5 point favorites in 2005, 33-17 in 2004, and 33-20 in 1998, the only three meetings since that playoff encounter. Six of the L/8 have gone past the number as well, as Buffalo has scored at least 22 in nine straight in this series.

Sunday, November 21st, 4:05 PM ET: Seattle Seahawks @ New Orleans Saints
NFL Trends of Note
The Seahawks are just 3-11 ATS in their L/14 road games
Seattle is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 against teams with winning records
The Saints are 5-13 ATS in their L/18 games played in conference

Series History
Since 1985, these teams have only met on the gridiron eight times, and they are fairly evenly split in doing so. The Saints are 4-4 SU but only 3-5 ATS. Each team has two outright wins at home and two on the road. The ‘totals’ are split as well, with four games going ‘over’ and four going ‘under’. You have to go back to 1997 to find the last win for the Saints in this series at home, but there has only been one game here at the Superdome since that point. New Orleans marched to a 28-17 win in October 2007 in the most recent duel of these NFC squads at Qwest Field.

Sunday, November 21st, 4:05 PM ET: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ San Francisco 49ers
NFL Trends of Note
The Bucs are 7-19 ATS in their L/26 games played on grass
San Fran is 10-3-2 ATS in its L/15 against teams with a winning record
Tampa Bay actually hasn’t won a game in the Bay SU since 1980

Series History
In fairness though, the home team has won seven straight in this series both SU and ATS, and the last time a road team won, the Niners were favored by 16 point in the Big Sombrero in 1993. The Bucs came close the last two meetings in San Fran, losing 21-19 and 15-10, but the bad news for them is that the Niners were significant dogs in both games, including in ’05 as 10.5 point choices of the oddsmakers. The ’07 ‘over’ marked the first time a game in this series went past the number since 1994, ending a five game ‘under’ streak.

Sunday, November 21st, 4:05 PM ET: Atlanta Falcons @ St. Louis Rams
NFL Trends of Note
The Falcons are just 2-2 SU and ATS on the road this season
St. Louis is 4-1 SU and ATS at home on the year
The Falcons are 1-7 ATS in their L/8 played on turf

Series History
This is a very interesting clash between teams that used to share a division. The Rams have covered eight of the L/11 duels, but the home team has won six straight SU. If you’re looking for high scoring games, this is the series for you! The winning team has scored at least 28 points in the L/10 meetings dating back to 1999 and has scored at least 35 points in six of the ten. Needless to say, seven of the ten went past the number. 2008’s 31-27 win for the Falcons at the Georgia Dome marked the first time that this series ended with a game closer than a dozen points since the 1990s. That was also the last time the Falcons won a game here in the Edward Jones Dome.

Sunday, November 21st, 4:15 PM ET: Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots
NFL Trends of Note
The Colts are 9-1-2 ATS in their L/12 against teams with a winning record
Indy is 12-4-2 ATS in its L/18 games on the road
The underdog is 11-3-2 ATS in the L/16 meetings of these arch rivals

Series History
The big question around water coolers this weekend is who the better quarterback is in NFL history, Peyton Manning or Tom Brady… At least based upon recent history, the answer is Manning. His Colts have won four of the L/5 SU and have gone 4-1-1 ATS in the L/6. If you take the aggregate score in the five games of these teams from 2006 to 2009 including the ’07 playoff win that famously sent Indy to the Super Bowl for the first time since moving from Baltimore, the score is incredibly tight. All five games were separated by seven points or less, and Indy holds a slender edge of 138-127.

Sunday, November 21st, 8:20 PM ET: New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles
NFL Trends of Note
The Giants are 6-1-1 ATS in their L/8 following a double digit home loss
New York is 12-3-1 ATS in its L/16 as road underdogs of a field goal or less
The underdog is 10-1 ATS in the L/11 in this series

Series History
The one exception was the last meeting of last season, when the Eagles flew up to the Meadowlands and came away with a thrilling 45-38 ‘W’. Philly has won four straight in this series, including the only 23-11 game in NFL history in Jersey in the ’09 postseason. The Giants had won back to back games in Philly in ’07 and ’08 before getting romped here in the City of Brotherly Love 40-17 last year.

Monday, November 22nd, 8:30 PM ET: Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chargers
NFL Trends of Note
The Broncos are 7-2 ATS in their L/9 against teams following their bye week
San Diego is 5-1 ATS over the L/6 years in Week 11
The Bolts are 20-6 ATS in their L/26 games as home favorites ranging between 3.5 and 10.5 points

Series History
The Broncos are just 1-6-1 ATS in the L/7 clashes against their AFC West foes, but the one exception was last year’s duel at Qualcomm Stadium, a 34-23 win on Monday Night Football which propelled them to their 6-0 start and gave them a three game lead in the division… we all know what happened from that point forward… San Diego added salt to the wound by winning 32-3 at Mile High last year. San Diego has averaged scoring 36.5 points per game in the L/8 meetings, a number that, if it hits the board on Monday, will certainly leave the Broncos with absolutely no chance of survival.

NFL Football Picks: Thanksgiving Day Props (11/25/10)

November 24th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Thanksgiving Day Props (11/25/10)
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Thanksgiving Day always means that we have a fantastic set of games for NFL betting fans to sink their teeth into. This year is no exception, as the Detroit Lions, Dallas Cowboys, and New York Jets play host to the New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, and Cincinnati Bengals respectively. Check out some of the best NFL prop picks for one of the biggest days in the NFL schedule.

Tom Brady Over/Under 265.5 Passing Yards
Common logic suggests that the Pats should be able to roll over the Lions, and if that’s the case, you would figure that Brady would be flying past the 265 yard barrier, right? Maybe not so much. Brady has actually only reached this passing total twice this year, including some games against some teams that aren’t all that great. The Lions have a terrible secondary, but if HC Bill Belichick has it his way, he is going to be able to utilize his running game significantly more than his passing game. With this being a 50/50 proposition that we need to beat, we’ll go with Brady Under 265.5 Passing Yards (+100 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Thanksgiving Day.

Brandon Tate Yards On First Reception Over/Under 11.5 Yards
We know that Tate doesn’t catch a pass in every single game, and if he doesn’t make a reception, we are going to lose this prop, but we also know that this is the best deep threat that Brady has to work with. The Lions have an absolutely dreadful secondary as well. Tate has just 18 receptions this year, but nine of them have gone for at least a dozen yards. The former North Carolina Tar Heel should find a way to get that one reception necessary, and assuming he does, that catch should be Over 11.5 Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Drew Brees Over/Under 1.5 Touchdown Passes
The Cowboys have really struggled with their secondary all season long, but there is a point that these NFL odds get a wee ridiculous. Brees has thrown for at least two TDs in six straight games and in eight of the ten this season, but we absolutely know that that isn’t going to keep up. Dallas gave Brees fits last year, especially up front in the trenches. This is going to be a tough task to get to for Brees, and at +220 odds, we feel like we are stealing Brees to go Under 1.5 TD Passes (+220 at Hollywood Sportsbook) against the Cowboys.

Jon Kitna Over/Under 244.5 Passing Yards
The Saints have one of the best secondaries in the NFL this year, and though this isn’t really a unit that you would really think would be able to shut down a team like Dallas, you might want to think again. Kitna is a great backup quarterback, but he is really no more than that: a backup quarterback. Asking him to reach the 250 yard passing mark at least half the time is going to be difficult, especially if New Orleans is the real deal. The Cowboys’ signal caller will stay Under 244.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Will the Bengals Ever Have the Lead Against the Jets
The Bengals never really stood a chance against the Jets last year, as they were destroyed by them both in Week 17 and in the first round of the playoffs. However, for a team that has so many explosive offensive weapons against a team that tends to get bogged down at times, we tend to think that this is a sucker bet waiting to happen. The oddsmakers are begging you to take “No” at +150, but instead, we are going to be the role of the contrarians, saying that the Bengals Will Lead Against the Jets (-190 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Terrell Owens Over/Under 73.5 Receiving Yards
Good ol’ TO might be a Pro Bowler this season, but he is about to step onto Revis Island to take on DB Darrelle Revis. Owens knows that he is going to see a lot of two of the best corners in football, and though Revis and DB Antonio Cromartie have combined for just one INT since Week 1 of the season, a lot of quarterbacks are wise to not throw their way. TO said that Revis was a one year wonder in the media, which sounds like fighting words to us. Now, let’s throw in the fact that he has only exceeded this number four times in ten games this year. The choice is simple. We have to go with Owens Under 73.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Shonn Greene Over/Under 50.5 Rushing Yards
Consider this a bit of a gut shot play. Greene really isn’t the featured back in the New York offense any longer, as RB LaDainian Tomlinson has really taken over. Greene basically made an entire career out of destroying the Bengals down the stretch last year, and this is still a team that is averaging the 23rd most rushing yards in the NFL. Greene has only gotten to this number four times this year, but he will make it five on Thursday. Go with Greene Over 50.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

NFL Football Picks: Thursday Night Football Props (11/18/10)

November 17th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Thursday Night Football Props (11/18/10)
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Thursday Night Football is back once again in the NFL this week, and two teams that are fighting and clawing to stay in the playoff race in their respective conferences will do battle, as the Miami Dolphins play host to the Chicago Bears. Check out these NFL props picks for the showdown in South Beach that could be extremely exciting on the NFL Network.

Will Devin Hester Score a Touchdown?
Don’t kid yourself. Though Hester is getting fewer touches this year, if you bet this prop at this price every single game this season, you’ve done fairly well, picking up 1.8 units. Remember that you get punt return touchdowns as well as scores, as any TD is a TD. Hester is probably going to get a ton of chances to return punts in this one, as the Dolphins have plenty of offensive problems to deal with. It only takes one stroke of genius to win this prop, and though we hate betting things like this, we also realize that there are times that the oddsmakers are just off. This is one of those times. Go with Hester to Score a Touchdown (+170 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Thursday Night Football.

Total Punts Over/Under 9.5
This is a fairly standard prop at a very standard price, but this isn’t such a very standard game that we’re dealing with. These two defenses are built like rocks and are specifically designed to stop the other. Miami has a tremendous pass rush and is good enough up the middle of the defense to be able to hold down a Chicago offensive line that is just atrocious at run blocking. The Bears have the No. 2 rush defense in the game and clearly have the best unit against ground games aside from the Pittsburgh Steelers. Brad Maynard, Chicago’s punter, has booted the ball at least four times all but once this year, and he has kicked at least five punts in six of the Bears’ nine games. This is an incredibly high number of punts for a punter right now. Miami’s punter, Brandon Fields, hasn’t had nearly as much work this year, as he only has booted the pigskin away more than four times twice. However, this could be the ugliest game that either team plays all season long. With NFL odds like this, we have no choice but to go with there to be Over 9.5 punts (-130 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Anthony Fasano Over/Under 2.5 Receptions
We’re so afraid on NFL props like this one, because we never really know whether recent trends are going to hold true or not. However, we have no choice but to believe here, as Fasano has caught at least three balls in four straight games and has really become a great check down option when things are getting rough. You can bet with the Bears bringing heat off the corner with DE Julius Peppers and company, that QB Tyler Thigpen, assuming that he is the starter, is going to really want to force the ball in to Fasano’s hands at least a few times just to get the big tight end involved and to loosen up the pass rush just a tad. We have to get to at least three catches, right? We’ll take Fasano Over 2.5 Receptions (-130 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

NFL Football Picks: Odds to Be Dallas Cowboys Head Coach in 2011

November 14th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Odds to Be Dallas Cowboys Head Coach in 2011
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The Dallas Cowboys are just a few hours away from kicking off their first game in the Jason Garrett era. After the removal of HC Wade Phillips, we know that the Cowboys are going to have their work cut out for them to get back to the top in the NFC East. Garrett has the interim tag for the rest of the season, and he is the first man in the history of the Dallas franchise to have that title. We take a look at the prospects and the NFL odds for who will be the next coach of the Cowboys in the first week of the 2011 season!

Bill Cowher 4 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
We do know that Jones has spoken to some men that have shown interest in this job that have previous Super Bowl winning experience before, but we aren’t so sure that Cowher is one of them. The former Pittsburgh Steelers head coach doesn’t really seem to fit in Dallas all that well, and we’re not so sure that he has what it takes to transform this passing team into one with the vicious ground game that he desires. We’ll see him with the Carolina Panthers or back in the booth once again next year.

Bill Parcells 10 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
Been there, done that. Dallas isn’t going there again. The Big Tuna has had enough of coaching.

Brian Billick 25 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
Interesting odds here on Billick, because he definitely does fit the mold as a potential man that has won the Super Bowl. Though we aren’t so sure that Jones is really willing to sign a man that has been out of football for so long, these are definitely some intriguing NFL odds with the information that we currently have to deal with.

Jason Garrett 2.5 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
If Garrett can find a way to go 5-3 or better in the second half of the season, it’s going to be really, really hard for Jones to take the job away from him. Truth be told, the offense really hasn’t been a problem here in Dallas over the years. The defense has really been the unit that has let the team down. Garrett isn’t at fault. Truth be told, this was the man that Jones wanted to hire when he hired Phillips as his head coach, but there was speculation about whether he was really ready to guide a team to the Super Bowl. Garrett has been a lifetime Cowboy having played quarterback as Troy Aikman’s backup for years, and he clearly makes the most sense to take over next year.

Jim Harbaugh 8 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
Harbaugh has been the main man in college that has been rumored to jump to the NFL as a head coach, and it really only seems like a matter of time until that happens. This would be a very sexy pick for Jones to make, as it would come with glitz and glamour. Having “Captain Comeback” as your head coach would certainly draw a lot of attention. The only question in our minds here is whether Harbaugh, a West Coast guy, is willing to trade in his sunglasses for a pair of cowboy boots. We’re not so sure that he is going to lead “The Farm” this year, as the Stanford Cardinal really are on the verge of something special. If he does go to the pros, he might want to go to a place where his QB Andrew Luck is going as well.

John Fox 3.5 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
Of the coaches that are currently in the NFL, Fox is the only one that makes a lot of sense for the Cowboys. Though he has never won the Super Bowl, Fox did guide the Carolina Panthers to one back in 2003-04, and many think that he has just been given a raw deal on Tobacco Road with a team that just isn’t all that talented. Dallas certainly doesn’t have that problem. If you’re a believer that Jones is going after a coach with a lot of experience, this is your man.

Jon Gruden 2.5 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
You know with Gruden, you’re getting a workhorse that is going to sit there and study tape for hours on end for your team. The argument could be made that Gruden would still have his job had the Bucs beat the Oakland Raiders two years ago on the final day of the regular season. You know that he wants to get back in the coaching ring but would only take one of a handful of jobs. This is certainly one of them. Again, this is another coach that has won the Super Bowl in the past and could do it again in Big D. If Garrett flounders, this could be the man for the Cowboys.

Leslie Frazier 10 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
So let’s get this straight. You think that Jones is going to be bringing in a guy with no head coaching experience to run his club? Dream on.

Marty Schottenheimer 15 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
Though we know that Schottenheimer got a raw deal in San Diego, he could never win the big game. It’s Super Bowl or bust for the Cowboys. This isn’t the man that can win a championship for this city.

Marvin Lewis 5 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
Haha! Lewis can’t even make it with the Bengals, let alone with the Cowboys. He might get an interview after he gets fired by Cincinnati this year just as the token minority coaching candidate, but Lewis has absolutely no chance of actually landing this job.

Mike Zimmer 15 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
Zimmer is a combination of a dud with the Bengals and an assistant with no head coaching experience. No thank you.

Tony Dungy 25 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
Though we are fairly sure that Dungy is staying retired, we know that this would be the man that Jones would want grazing his sidelines as the head coach. Yes, Dungy is a past Super Bowl winning coach, and yes, he does fit the bill as a perfect man for Jones. And yes, it’s even true that Dungy would probably be No. 1 on Jones’ list. But let’s be realistic here. Dungy is retired for a reason. He is a family man that wants to continue to do good for a his children and his community. Picking up and moving to Dallas just doesn’t make any sense whatsoever, and that’s why the pro football odds are so long on him becoming the next coach of the Cowboys.