Posts Tagged ‘College Football Picks’

2013-14 BCS Championship Odds & Lines, College Football Futures

December 5th, 2013 by Lou Palumbo (Head Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on 2013-14 BCS Championship Odds & Lines, College Football Futures
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Current Odds to Win The 2014 College Football National Championship For Every Contending Team Below!

Sears Trophy

The current list of week 15 BCS national championship odds can be found at the bottom of this post.  14 weeks are complete and there are 2 undefeated teams left for the BCS championship. After the conference championships this weekend, the BCS matchups will be finalized. This week, we will take a look at the teams that are legitimate contenders.

Of the BCS championship odds, the favorites are the #1 ranked Florida State Seminoles (1.4 to 1 odds @ WagerWeb) and deservedly so. The Seminoles have dominated the opposition, and won in convincing fashion this weekend against Florida. They play the upstart Duke Blue Devils, who will be looking to pull off the upset. Currently they are more than a four touchdown favorite, but can’t overlook Duke, as they are a team that capitalizes on team’s mistakes.

The Ohio State Buckeyes are currently listed at 5 to 1 (at WagerWeb) to win it. The Buckeyes have to take care of business in the Big Ten championship and will face a stingy defense in Michigan State. In my opinion, with these odds Ohio State is worth a play. Why not? Take a look at it this way. Let’s just say they take care of business this weekend and advance to the championship game. They have a great coach in Urban Meyer and will have a month to prepare. In the month leading up to the big game, all they will hear is how they are in a weak conference and don’t belong. I love a team that is counted out based on their schedule; motivation is always a huge factor. I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised to see the Buckeyes win it all, as they definitely have the offense to keep in the game.

The Auburn Tigers are currently listed at 5 to 1 (at WagerWeb) to win the BCS championship. Well, they have to play Missouri, which will be a tough test after an extremely emotional victory over Alabama. That victory might get them into the big game, depending on if Ohio State wins or how they look against Michigan State will determine if they leap over the Buckeyes. With these odds, there isn’t too much value in my opinion, as they are listed at the same odds as Ohio State, yet have a tougher team in front of them and need an Ohio State loss.

Missouri is currently listed at 11 to 1. Why not take a shot with the Tigers. In my opinion, as stated before, they will be facing an Auburn team that is coming off a big win against Alabama. Not only that, but after Auburn won, all the players and fans were saying was they deserved to be in the national championship. Well, they may deserve it, yet they still have Missouri to play. Were they overlooking Missouri? Quite possible, but this Missouri team is extremely talented, and they are very capable of beating Auburn. Should they win, and Ohio State loses, they could pass Alabama and get a spot in the championship. Voters will see that Missouri’s only loss was in double overtime with their backup quarterback.

Finally, Alabama is listed at 44 to 1. Anytime I see Alabama at these odds, I’d take it. As stated above, Missouri might pass Alabama should they win. However, this is still an Alabama team that lost on the road on one of the craziest plays in college football history. Voters still respect Alabama, and if Ohio State and Auburn lose, they could very well put the Crimson Tide in the championship game. Their only loss was on the road, while Missouri’s was at home, that’s just something voters will look at.

Current Odds to Win the BCS National Championship @ WagerWeb (as of 11/22/13):
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  • Florida State: 1.4 to 1
  • Ohio State: 5 to 1
  • Auburn: 5 to 1
  • Missouri: 11 to 1
  • Alabama: 44 to 1

Current BCS Rankings – Week 15 BCS Standings (as of 12/3)

December 3rd, 2013 by Lou Palumbo (Head Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on Current BCS Rankings – Week 15 BCS Standings (as of 12/3)
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Week 14 of the 2013 college football season was by far one of the most memorable weekends in recent memory. The Iron Bowl between Auburn and Alabama did not disappoint, and in fact exceeded expectations as it ended with one of the most memorable endings in college football history. Chris Davis from Auburn ran back an Alabama field goal attempt for a touchdown with only 1 second left on the clock. As a result, Alabama dropped to #4 in the BCS rankings, while Auburn moved up to #3. (Continued Below)

Current BCS Rankings Top 5 as of 12/3/13
Florida St. Seminoles              .9948
Ohio St. Buckeyes                    .9503
Auburn Tigers                          .9233
Alabama Crimson Tide            .8539 
Missouri Tigers                        .8428

Florida State was the main beneficiary of Alabama’s loss, as they moved up to #1. The Seminoles took care of business defeating rival Florida 37-7. Ohio State also benefited greatly, as they moved up to #2. The Buckeyes were lucky to win, as Michigan decided to go for two on the final play of the game. The attempt failed, resulting in a 42-41 win over rival Michigan. (Continued Below)

Current BCS Rankings & BCS Standings (as of 12/3/2013)
BCS Rankings Week 15

As of now, Ohio State leads Auburn by the slimmest of margins. Some are suggesting that Ohio State needs to win impressive in the Big Ten championship. Should they struggle, Missouri or Auburn, who play in the SEC championship, could leap over Ohio State. You also have Alabama still at #4, and they have a slim possibility of getting into the championship game, but needs a lot to happen. The Crimson Tide will need both Florida State, Ohio State, and Auburn to lose. Florida State is more than a four touchdown favorite over Duke and the Seminoles should dominate, as they have all year.

One thing is for sure, the BCS will be set in stone after this weekend. Who plays in each contest still remains to be seen, as nothing is guaranteed, especially after seeing the events unfold last weekend.

Final BCS Bowl Games
BCS National Championship Game: TBD
Sugar Bowl: TBD
Rose Bowl: TBD
Fiesta Bowl: TBD
Orange Bowl: TBD

Odds to Win 2013 Heisman Trophy & Heisman Trophy Picks

November 20th, 2013 by Chad A. Dawkins | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on Odds to Win 2013 Heisman Trophy & Heisman Trophy Picks
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Complete List of Updated 2013 Heisman Trophy Odds Is Located Below

Heisman Trophy OddsThe current list of week 13 Heisman odds from Bet Online Sportsbook can be found at the bottom of this post.

There is one front runner for the Heisman Trophy. However, Florida State’s Jameis Winston at -365 (at BetOnline) really isn’t worth the risk. The guy has had an unbelievable season, but the whole sexual assault story isn’t going to win any voters. If character is called into question, one would have to ask themselves if the guy really deserves it. The Heisman trophy is awarded to whose performance best exhibits the pursuit of excellence with integrity. In Jameis Winston’s case, the stats are certainly there, the integrity might be in question.

Texas A&M’s Johnny Manziel at 3.25 to 1 odds at BetOnline) is attempting to be the first back-to back winner since Archie Griffin. Manziel has had another stellar season, and his stats are better than last year. He’s on track to pass for more yards, his completion percentage is up, and he already has more touchdowns than last year. His quarterback rating compared to last year is significantly higher. His off the field issues may cost him, however, as he is viewed by some as a spoiled rich kid from oil. Be that is it may, you can’t deny the kids talent.

What is there not to like about A.J. McCarron from Alabama at almost 5 to 1 odds (at BetOnline)? Take a look at his body of work, clean cut, good leader and teammate, first in the film room. Don’t forget, he’s got two national championships under his belt. Sure, the Heisman trophy shouldn’t be awarded on past accomplishments, but it should mean something. There is a lot to like about this guy, he doesn’t have the most eye popping stats, but he’s a winner.

Let’s take a look at a Bryce Petty from Baylor at +2000. If stats win the Heisman, this guy should be the definitely be one of the favorites. Petty leads the most potent offense in the country and his stats are staggering. He has completed 65% of his passes for 2992 yards and 28 touchdowns with only 1 interception. Petty has a passer efficiency rating of 206.2, tops in the country.

Finally we’ll take a look at Northern Illinois’ Jordan Lynch at +10000. Lynch is one of the most exciting players in the country and is a dual threat nightmare for opposing defenses. Lynch has rushed for 1273 yards and 14 touchdowns, and has passed for 2221 and 21 touchdowns for the undefeated Huskies. He may not be in the most competitive conference, but he wins ball games and comes up big in key situations. Without Lynch, Northern Illinois is just an average team.

2013 Heisman Trophy Odds @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 10/5/13):
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Jameis Winston -365 ($365 to win $100)
Johnny Manziel 3.25 to 1
A.J. McCarron 4.55 to 1
Marcus Mariota 15 to 1
Bryce Petty 20 to 1
Braxton Miller 50 to 1
Teddy Bridgewater 77 to 1
Tajh Boyd 100 to 1
Derek Carr 100 to 1
Jordan Lynch 109 to 1
Jadaveon Clowney 200 to 1

Alabama vs. Texas A&M Predictions & CFB Prop Picks 9/14/13

September 14th, 2013 by Jack Wilshire (Bankroll Sports Contributor) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on Alabama vs. Texas A&M Predictions & CFB Prop Picks 9/14/13
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There is a heck of a lot that has been made out of the game on the Week 3 college football schedule between the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Texas A&M Aggies. Today, we’re going to be breaking down some of the college football props for what should be one of the very best games of the season here in the SEC.

All Alabama vs. Texas A&M Prop Bets Are Courtesy of Bovada Sportsbook

AJ McCarron Passing Yards Over/Under 235.5 – Last season, McCarron threw the rock for 309 yards in the game against A&M, though without a 54-yard touchdown pass to WR Amari Cooper, it’s anyone’s guess as to what would have happened. A&M’s defense has been shoddy thus far this season, and though the passing yards really aren’t there, teams are averaging 6.79 yards per pass attempt. Heck, Sam Houston State averaged nearly 10 yards per attempt just last week. McCarron didn’t look good in his first game of the season, going just 10-of-23 for 110 yards with a TD and a pick, but he is probably going to have to do a lot more offensively in this game to succeed. Remember that last season, the junior threw for an average of just 209.5 pass yards per game, but there were a few examples when he really had to, that he threw for over 250 yards, including when he went off for 264 yards in the National Championship Game against Notre Dame. It’s going to be an interesting one, but we think behind a sometimes shaky looking offensive line, McCarron is going to get to this number. AJ McCarron Over 235.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Bovada BonusAJ McCarron Over/Under 2.5 Touchdowns + Interceptions: Though we do tend to think that there are going to be some yards thrown for in this game, we aren’t so sure what the oddsmakers are thinking by planning on McCarron scoring a combination of at least three TDs and INTs in this game. The senior was only picked off three times all of last season, and two of those came against the Aggies. Think that he is going to be making those mistakes again? We certainly think not. McCarron did make it past this 2.5 TDs + INTs six times last season in 14 games, but we just don’t know if this is going to be one of those examples where that happens. The oddsmakers are blowing this up. RB TJ Yeldon might get to three scores, but we aren’t so sure that McCarron will. AJ McCarron Under 2.5 Touchdowns + Interceptions (-110)

TJ Yeldon Over/Under 104.5 Rushing Yards: Again, we have some major questions that we have to ask about the Texas A&M defense. The team allowed Sam Houston State to rush for 240 yards on the ground last week, and it gave up 306 yards to Rice. And the oddsmakers think that the Tide are going to end up with less than 200 yards on the ground? Asking Yeldon to carry half the load isn’t all that unfair by any stretch of the imagination, and we think that he is going to get the job done with flying colors. In fact, with RB Eddie Lacy out of the way, we wouldn’t be all that shocked if Yeldon managed to double this rushing total in this game if the Aggies are going to struggle this badly up front along the defensive line. Alabama’s offensive line isn’t nearly as good as it was last season, but it isn’t going to have to be against a much weaker Texas A&M defensive line to boot. TJ Yeldon Over 104.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Johnny Manziel Over/Under 93.5 Rushing Yards: Wow that’s a darn big number! Manziel was great last season, accounting for 92 yards on the ground, but we can’t imagine that he is going to flirt with triple digits again this year. Remember that sacks count against his rushing total, and now the Tide know just how fast he is to the outside when he gets on the loose. Manziel simply has to play a more contained version of his game from last season, and accounting for all those rushing yards is going to be really tough against a team that isn’t going to allow 93.5 rushing yards per game on average this season, let alone to just one quarterback. Johnny Manziel Under 93.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Johnny Manziel Rushing + Passing Yards in 2013 (-27.5) vs. Johnny Manziel Rushing + Passing Yards in 2012 (+27.5): Essentially, that puts the over/under at the total number of yards that Johnny Football is going to come up with in this game at 372.5 all by himself without any progress by any of his other teammates. Wow. Alabama’s defense is going to possibly give up half of that per game this year. This unit held down an experienced QB Logan Thomas to 5-of-26 passing for 59 yards two weeks ago, and only two passes went for more than six yards. Now, we know that Manziel will do better than that, but we don’t see him just running up and down the field the whole game by any stretch of the imagination. This is a really tough one to try to get to, and Manziel isn’t going to do it against the Crimson Tide. Johnny Manziel 2012 Rushing + Passing Yards in 2012 (+27.5) vs. Rushing + Passing Yards in 2013 (-115)

2013 Bowl Picks: Kent State vs. Arkansas State 1/6/13

January 6th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on 2013 Bowl Picks: Kent State vs. Arkansas State 1/6/13
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Bowl Betting Bowl2013 Bowl picks are going to be entertaining to make this year, as we have two teams that are going to be going at it against each other in what could be an unpredictable game in the Arkansas State Red Wolves and the Kent State Golden Flashes. Join us for our Bowl keys to the game and our Kent State vs. Arkansas State predictions.

2013 Bowl: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Kent State Golden Flashes
2013 Bowl Location: Ladd Peebles Stadium, Mobile, AL
2013 Bowl Date/Time: Sunday, January 6th, 9:00 p.m. (ET)
2013 Bowl On TV: ESPN

Click Here For The Rest Of The 2012-13 Bowl Game Schedule And Other Bowl Game Previews

Key #1: The Red Wolves have to figure out how to run their offense without Gus Malzahn
Gus Malzahn has always been able to run a fluid offense no matter where he has gone, but his system often takes some time to install in the most efficient form. This year, the Red Wolves struggled for a few weeks, but over the course of their last seven games, they scored at least 36 points in all of those games. Of course, some of that is a matter of the fact that these games were all Sun Belt outings, and this conference really isn’t the greatest in the country. But that being said, Malzahn is now gone, and the team is going to have to run its offense without him. QB Ryan Aplin has had a heck of a lot thrown his way over the course of his career. But can he really figure out how to pass this last test without his head coach calling the shots? That might be the most important question in the Bowl. Bowl Odds at BetGuardian Sportsbook
Arkansas State Red Wolves -3.5
Kent State Golden Flashes +3.5
Over/Under 63
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Key #2: Dri Archer and Trayion Durham need to be monsters
It was a real miracle that the Golden Flashes were even able to stick around in the MAC Championship Game against the Northern Illinois Huskies. QB Spencer Keith only threw for 190 yards with a TD and two picks, but more importantly, RB Dri Archer and RB Trayion Durham only combined for 32 carries and 87 yards. Needless to say, that just isn’t going to cut it for a team that relies on running the ball to move up and down the field. These two combined for 29 TDs and 2,600 total rushing yards this year, not to mention the fact that they combined for over 3,000 total yards from scrimmage on the campaign. The Arkansas State defense can be had, but so too, could the NIU defense. Instead, the Huskies put together 524 total yards in the MAC Championship Game, which kept the ball away from the Flashes. Not only did that provide fewer opportunities for the two main rushers to do damage for Kent State, but when the rushing game failed to even average 2.0 yards per carry, the defense was put into some horrible spots. Kent State has to get back to its old ways to have a chance to win this game.


Key #3: Kent State’s secondary has to challenge Ryan Aplin
The one thing that the Malzahn offense did this year was keep control of the football. QB Ryan Aplin only threw four picks all season long. He wasn’t always tested by the Sun Belt defenses, but this is going to be a game where he gets his fill for sure. The Kent State defense was second in the nation in interceptions this year with 23 picks, led by DB Luke Wollet, who had four picks. The only team that had more INTs this year was the Oregon Ducks, and they have some NFL defenders, unlike Kent State. The Golden Flashes really did a remarkable job this year of thievery, as they led the MAC in total turnovers forced (38), total picks (23), and turnover margin (+21). The problem is that Arkansas State only turned the ball over a total of 14 times on the season and were a +8 for the year. The second for KSU has to figure out how to force some turnovers in this one, or it is going to be brutally tough to pull off the upset.

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Ole Miss vs. Pittsburgh Bowl Game Picks for BBVA Compass Bowl 1/5

January 4th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on Ole Miss vs. Pittsburgh Bowl Game Picks for BBVA Compass Bowl 1/5
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BBVA Compass Bowl 2013The X’s and O’s of the BBVA Compass Bowl predictions aren’t shared by many expert handicappers, but here at Bankroll Sports, we are giving up all of our insight and telling you all of the keys to the game for the Ole Miss Rebels vs. Pittsburgh Panthers. The BBVA Compass Bowl picks are some of the hardest to make this year of all of the bowl games, so don’t miss out on all of our Ole Miss vs. Pittsburgh predictions!

2013 BBVA Compass Bowl: Ole Miss Rebels vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
2013 BBVA Compass Bowl Location: Legion Field, Birmingham, AL
2013 BBVA Compass Bowl Date/Time: Saturday, January 5th, 1:00 p.m. (ET)
2013 BBVA Compass Bowl On TV: ESPN

Click Here For The Rest Of The 2012-13 Bowl Game Schedule And Other Bowl Game Previews

Key #1: The Panthers have to want to be here in Birmingham
The words “Anywhere but Birmingham” have come up quite a bit over the course of the last month and change for the Panthers, as they really wanted to go anywhere but here for their bowl trip in the winter. The truth of the matter is that the upperclassmen are right; they shouldn’t have to be coming to the same bowl game for the third straight year. But alas, the options are the Compass Bowl or no bowl for the Panthers, and they weren’t good enough to warrant going anywhere else on the Big East bowl ladder. The truth of the matter is that this club limped through the motions in the Compass Bowl last year, getting blown to bits by the SMU Mustangs 28-6. Of course, the way that SMU dismantled the Fresno State Bulldogs in this year’s Hawaii Bowl as big time underdogs does help out the credibility of that loss to the ‘Stangs, but it doesn’t sting any less. Will we see the Panthers team that came out with their hair on fire a month and change ago versus the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, or the one that was romped by the Youngstown State Penguins at the outset of the year? That’s the big question in this one and will be the deciding factor in this game.

BBVA Compass Bowl Odds at BetRevolution Sportsbook
Ole Miss Rebels -3.5
Pittsburgh Panthers +3.5
Over/Under 54
Click Here to Bet Your BBVA Compass Bowl Picks!

Key #2: Bo Wallace has to play like the man that he was in the final three games of the year
There had to be some clamoring through nine games to sit QB Bo Wallace down as the starting quarterback of the Rebels. The team was 5-4 at the time and still one win away from bowl eligibility, and it knew that it was probably going to be an underdog in each of the last three games of the year. As it turns out, Ole Miss was favored over the Vanderbilt Commodores in a game that was lost, but it was still a defining moment for Wallace. Prior to that game, he had averaged just 204.0 passing yards per game and had just 11 passing touchdowns. In his last three, which came against Vanderbilt, the LSU Tigers, and the Mississippi State Bulldogs, mind you, he averaged 335.7 passing yards per game and had eight TDs. The transformation has been remarkable for this young man, and the end result has been more points and more efficiency offensively in spite of the fact that the defenses that he has been facing have been outstanding. If Wallace plays like the man from November and less like the man from September and October, the Rebs could put a slew of points on the board.


Key #3: The Panthers have to find a way to run the football
It’s odd to think that a smash mouth team like Pittsburgh would have a tough time moving the ball on the ground, but that’s exactly what happened this year. The team ranked just 92nd in the nation, averaging 137.4 rushing yards per game. The big problem has been opening up holes for the often injured RB Ray Graham. Graham averaged 5.7, 6.2, and 5.8 yards per carry over the course of the first three years of his career, but he averaged just 4.7 yards per carry this year. Many figured that Graham was going to threaten being a 1,500+ yard back and could have led the nation in rushing this year, so 222 carries, 1,042 yards, and 11 TDs seems to be a bit underwhelming. To make matters worse for Graham in this game, his starting right guard, OL Arthur Doakes has been sent home for violating team rules, and he is going to be running the ball against a defense that ranks 31st in the nation at just 134.3 rushing yards per game. This could be key for the Panthers, as if they can’t run it, we just don’t trust that QB Tino Sunseri can throw this team to victory.

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Texas A&M vs. Oklahoma Predictions & Analysis: 2013 Cotton Bowl 1/4

January 4th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on Texas A&M vs. Oklahoma Predictions & Analysis: 2013 Cotton Bowl 1/4
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The 2013 Cotton Bowl picks are going to be difficult to make, as the Texas A&M Aggies and Oklahoma Sooners are set to do battle with one another in a Big XII vs. SEC battle. Check out our Cotton Bowl predictions and the keys to the game for Texas A&M vs. Oklahoma.

Click Here For The Rest Of The 2012-13 Bowl Game Schedule And Other Bowl Game Previews

2013 Cotton Bowl: Texas A&M Aggies vs. Oklahoma Sooners
2013 Cotton Bowl Location: Cotton Bowl Stadium, Dallas, TX
2013 Cotton Bowl Date/Time: Friday, January 4th, 8:00 p.m. (ET)
2013 Cotton Bowl Television Coverage: FOX

Key #1: Johnny Football has to play like a senior
This is a tremendously and painfully obvious statement to make in this game. QB Johnny Manziel was remarkable this year, and he had to be the Heisman Trophy winner as a result. You don’t just throw for 3,419 yards, rush for 1,181 yards, and account for 43 total touchdowns in the SEC West without winning the Heisman, especially when your team goes 10-2 and is the only team to beat the Alabama Crimson Tide this year. Remember too, that it isn’t just about what Manziel does with his arm or his legs that makes a difference. He also has to be a heady player that makes the right decisions with the ball. Head Coach Kevin Sumlin puts a lot of stock into his quarterback making plays at the line, making the right audible, making the right throw, and knowing when to keep it and when to hand it off on the option. Remember that RB Ben Malena, RB Christine Michael, and RB Trey Williams combined this year for 1,504 rushing yards and 23 TDs to add to what Manziel was able to do. But if Manziel doesn’t bring his best game to the table in this, his 13th game of his career, the Sooners are going to probably get the better of him.

Cotton Bowl Odds at Diamond Sportsbook
Texas A&M Aggies -3.5
Oklahoma Sooners +3.5
Over/Under 72
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Key #2: Oklahoma can’t let this game get up to a frantic pace
Oklahoma did win all of its shootouts this year, and the two games it lost were kept to a snail’s pace against the Kansas State Wildcats and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, but it can’t let this one get into a shootout. QB Landry Jones made too many mistakes with the football this year (10 picks) for him to have to ultimately put the ball in the air 60 or 70 times against the Aggies. Yes, Texas A&M’s defense didn’t have a single player log more than two picks for the entire season, but we just don’t trust that Jones can avoid making the big turnover to give A&M the huge advantage when push comes to shove. Remember that the Baylor Bears, West Virginia Mountaineers, and Oklahoma State Cowboys all pushed the Sooners down the stretch in big time Big XII games, and this is essentially just another game just like these, knowing that these two teams shared the Big XII together through last season.

Key #3: The Aggies have to man up in the red zone on defense
Texas A&M had a great red zone team this year, scoring on 85.5% of its trips inside the opposition’s 20 yard line. It became a heck of a lot easier to do just that with Manziel on the field. However, the Aggies are really going to have a problem in this one stopping the Sooners when they’re inside the 20. Oklahoma ranked 11th in the country, scoring on 89.1% of all of its red zone trips this year. A lot of that was thanks to the play of QB Blake Bell, who rushed for 11 TDs this year. Some of that was due to RB Damien Williams as well, and QB Landry Jones was generally lethal when he got inside the 20 and always has been over the course of his whole career. That’s why this is going to be such a tough draw for an A&M defense that hasn’t always been at its best. If this is the team that lined up toe-to-toe with Alabama and came up with the stop on the goal line that changed the course of the entire season across the whole country, the Aggies can win this game. If not though, this could be a long one for the men from College Station.

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