Monday Night Football Props: Raiders vs. Broncos Predictions 9/23
September 15th, 2013 by | Posted in NFL Football Comments Off on Monday Night Football Props: Raiders vs. Broncos Predictions 9/23
Our Oakland Raiders vs. Denver Broncos picks are set and ready to go at Bankroll Sports, but if you’re looking for a bit of a different way to take advantage of some of the Monday Night Football prop bets, you’ve come to the right place. Today, we’re going to be breaking down some of the best NFL props on the board for Monday Night Football, all of which come courtesy of Diamond Sportsbook.
Will There Be a Score in First 6:30 of the Game? – If you really believe that the Raiders have the goods to be able to slow down this Denver offense in any respect, the answer to this prop is definitively going to be “no.” Many feel as though this game is just going to be a ridiculous shootout, and we aren’t all that sure that that is going to be the case. Monday Night Football games tend to start just a bit slowly in relation to some of the other games on the docket, and this one is going to be no exception whatsoever. Especially if Oakland gets the ball first, we feel pretty darn good about this one, knowing that RB Darren McFadden and the ground game will take at least a couple minutes off of the clock before turning it over to QB Peyton Manning and the Broncos. This could be easy pickings at +120.
Total Punts Made in the Game Over 8.5 (-120) – Denver games haven’t exactly been known for their punts over the course of the first two weeks of the season, but Oakland games have. The Raiders might not have P Shane Lechler any longer, but they do have P Marquette King, who is averaging almost 49 yards per punt this year. The stat that might really surprise you? Denver has already punted the ball 12 times this year. If the Broncos are going to punt even five times in this one, we have all the confidence in the world that the Raiders are going to boot it away another four even though they are only averaging three punts per game. Both of these teams will end up with over 70 punts when push comes to shove this season, and if that’s the case, getting to nine shouldn’t be all that difficult more often than not.
Peyton Manning Under 315.5 Passing Yards (+105) – Doesn’t Manning have to get held under 300 yards at some point in a game this year? It seems as though we are more just hoping against hope that he doesn’t do it in this one. In actuality though, we have a justification for it. Oakland has a secondary that is competent and is completely capable of shutting down some of the best passing attacks in the league. DB Charles Woodson is still one of the best in the league, even at his age, and he is showing that he has something left in the tank when he takes to the field against some of the best in the biz. Oakland is going to play ball control offense, and the end result could be a lot lower statistics than most of the Broncos are used to getting.
Demaryius Thomas Under 5 Receptions (+110)
Wes Welker Under 6.5 Receptions (+105)
Eric Decker Under 5 Receptions (-105)
Julius Thomas Under 5.5 Receptions (-115)
Odds have it, someone is going to beat us here, but if you add all of this up, you’ll see a total of 22 receptions between these four players, and that’s not including anything else that Manning might end up doing with his passes. It’s just not a great percentage play to be banking on all of these ‘overs’. One week, it was Decker that caught nine passes. The next it was Welker that caught nine. Manning is going to take whatever matchup is out there that can get the ball up the field the most efficiently, and that means there are going to be receivers that are taken out of the game each and every week, even against Oakland. Remember that the Broncos aren’t actually going to rack up 450 yards of offense every single week, and they aren’t going to really score 40+ points every single week either. These receivers give us a great opportunity to cash in on what are some really weak props in our eyes, as it would take a minimum of 30 Manning completions in this game (an absolutely insane number) to even come close to beating us completely.
The Oakland Raiders and Denver Broncos are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 14 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.
The Monday Night Football schedule graces us with a pair of great games this weekend. We are going to be taking a look at some of the NFL prop picks for the two clashes on the gridiron, so join us here at Bankroll Sports for our San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders predictions and our Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens picks.
#5. WR Roddy White (Atlanta Falcons) – Roddy White became a force for the Atlanta Falcons in his 3rd season, catching 83 receptions for 1,202 yards and 6 scores. A year later in the 2008 season those numbers improved with help from one of the best rookie quarterbacks that ever stepped on the field. White ended 2008 with 88 catches and ranked 4th in the NFL with 1,382 yards. However, following the breakout season that resulted in White’s first trip to a Pro Bowl things took an ugly turn. Entering the 2009 off-season, White was to begin the 5th year of a 5 year contract worth 2.28 million for the season. However, that was not nearly good enough for Roddy, when he announced he would not return to the team until he got the type of money he deserves for being an elite NFL target. It just happened to workout for White. After days of negotiation, White was offered a contract for 6 years worth 50 million dollars, becoming the 2nd highest paid receiver in the NFL. The proposal was good enough to get White back on the practice fields immediately and satisfied for at least a few more years. However, the deal has not appeared to be beneficial to the Falcons considering White has caught just 15 passes for 119 yards through his first 3 games in 2009. At this rate, he will be worth around $13,000 for every yard he produces for the Falcons organization.
#4. CB Dunta Robinson (Houston Texans) – Dunta Robinson was a first round pick for the Texans back in 2004. He jumped out to an impressive start in his rookie season picking off 6 passes. The early success brought some big bucks to the Texans star cornerback. However, Robinson has failed to repeat the success he has had in his rookie season. Robinson has had a season high, 2 interceptions since the 2004 season, and when his contract expired at the end of last season things got interesting. Robinson wanted money that a top 5 corner in the NFL would receive (around 23 million). However, Houston administration offered him just 18 million and evidently that was an insult to the young defensive back. While 5 million is a lot of money, it’s definitely not a soft proposal due to Robinson’s production in the NFL. However, Robinson held out from signing a long term contract and settled for 1 year deal making fewer than 10 million for the 2009 season. Robinson made even more headlines this season when his cleats were inscribed with the words “Pay me Rick” on the hill of the shoe. A statement aimed at Texans general manager Rick Smith. The move by Robinson to withhold from long term contract, reportedly cost the Texans cornerback 23 million in guaranteed funds.
#3. Terrell Owens (Buffalo Bills) – Owens’ contract propaganda, like his career, may be coming to an end. But, that does not take away from the multiple contract tirades that were given over the course of his career. Owens burst on the scene 1996 with the San Francisco 49ers and did not really breakout until the 2001 season. After a few pay increases and stable years, Owens became unhappy during the 2003 season and wanted to “explore his options.” The move was to land a bigger contract and that he did in 2004, when the Philadelphia Eagles gave him a 7 year deal worth 48 million dollars. Evidently the contract was not good enough. A year later after making 7.5 million the season prior, Owens openly stated that he needed a new contract “to feed his family.” After tons of controversy during his tenure with the Eagles, Owens was given a 2nd chance by the Dallas Cowboys, when they gave him a 3 year deal worth 25 million. Owens became an effective force in Dallas in lure of an elite passing offense destined for success. After posting a 1,355 yard season in 2007, Owens received another contract renewal for 4 years equaling 34 millions and more importantly, a 12 million signing bonus. While the deal was never made a public affair, it was reported the Owens requested a salary increase following the big year for the Cowboys. However, that would be the last of the salary saga for the controversial wide receiver. Owens was cut from Dallas following 2008 after internal conflict and picked up by the Buffalo Bills, where he has yet to produce this season catching just 8 passes for 158 yards (as of week 4)
#2. QB JaMarcus Russell (Oakland Raiders) – JaMarcus Russell was selected as the number 1 overall pick in the 2007 draft, but when the contract negotiations did not add up. Russell’s career went from the highest of high to the lowest of lows. In retrospect, the holdout was simply ridiculous. Russell was offered a 6 year deal for 60 million dollar contract with a guaranteed amount of 26.5 million. However, that was not good enough for the rookie who had never stepped on the field. The lucrative part of the story was not that Russell was unsatisfied with the yearly figures, but was looking for 30 million in guaranteed money. It almost seemed like he had 28 million in credit card debt that had to be taken care of right away. The holdout lasted several weeks which was enough time for the Raiders future quarterback to miss both training camps and all of the preseason. As a result, Russell was so far behind that he played catch up for the remainder of the 2007 season, starting just 4 games. To make matters worse, Russell has yet to have any success in the NFL after demanding all the money before ever proving his worthiness. Russell currently sits ranked dead last out of all starters for 2009 with a quarterback rating of 42.4 which has included just 1 touchdown pass all year with 4 other interceptions. In 2009, Al Davis is currently paying JaMarcus around 1.6 million dollars per touchdown pass.
#1. WR Michael Crabtree (San Francisco 49ers) – Whatever happened to proving your worth in your profession? Up until week 5, where negotiations were opened up again, the Michael Crabtree holdout was beginning to look like it could have ended up being the most ridiculous and foolish holdout in NFL history. After months of non-negotiations and each passing week of regular season action, it appeared that Crabtree was not going to play at all in his rookie season. The 49ers’ tenth overall pick in the 2009 draft was expected to be the first receiver selected in the NFL draft, but went 2nd behind Maryland’s Darius Heyward-Bey. Heyward-Bey and the Raiders reached a 5 year deal worth 38 millions, with 23.5 million guaranteed. However, Crabtree assumed that because of his name, he was worth more then what Heyward-Bey was paid by the Raiders. He demanded that he get more than the 23.5 million guaranteed that Heyward-Bey received. Evidently the 49ers have no interest in paying him that kind of money and doing so would give future rookies the impression that they can re-write the “slotting system” rules of rookie contract negotiations. So, “Crabs” and the 49ers organization haven’t reached any type of agreement after four weeks of NFL action. At this point, he has missed so much time of development and may no longer be worth the 20 million (plus incentives) that the 49ers originally offered him. Crabtree now has put himself into a foolish situation where he could miss the entire 2009 season. The question a lot of people are asking is what other team would want negotiate a deal with him for 2010 after missing an entire year of football? Even if a team were to negotiate with him, it would be unwise to offer him the type of money initially offered by the 49ers. However, the saga continues to put a bad taste on the perception of greed in the NFL. Crabtree’s public perception is also being ruined by this holdout, and if he doesn’t change his ways, so could his career in the NFL.
