Posts Tagged ‘Thursday Night Football props’

Thursday Night NFL Picks: Broncos vs. Raiders Props/Predictions 12/6

December 1st, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Broncos vs. Raiders Props/Predictions 12/6
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Full Broncos vs. Raiders NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Peyton Manning Broncos vs. RaidersThe Oakland Raiders and Denver Broncos are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 14 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over/Under 44.5 Yards: Oh, c’mon! This is Sea Bass we’re talking about! K Sebastian Janikowski has only missed two kicks this year, and they are both of the 60+ yard variety. Just by himself, he has had five games this year in which he has booted a field goal of at least 45 yards, and in four of those games, that kick has come from at least 51 yards. There is no doubt if Oakland gets inside of the Denver 40 yard line, Head Coach Dennis Allen has no doubts about sending on his kicking unit. K Matt Prater is a slightly different story, as he has had a few games this year without a single field goal. He does have three games with field goals made of over 50 yards, and one of those games was against these very same Raiders. It really seems as though there will be at least a whack or two from long range in this one, and we have to think that, especially if it’s Janikowski, he’ll have no problems booting it through the uprights. Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115

Will the Raiders Ever Lead Against the Broncos?: They didn’t the first time these teams played… Granted, this game is at home, and we don’t expect to see the Broncos put up over 500 yards of offense once again, but it still feels like there has to be nowhere near a 50/50 chance that the Raiders don’t even find their way in front in this one. Denver hasn’t led from start to finish in a game since October 28th against the New Orleans Saints, and it is really, really tough to be that to a team on the road. At some point, Oakland has to get on the board, whether it be first or shortly thereafter, and if that turns out to be the case, we would like to think that it is going to be in front for at least a few seconds in this one, no matter how bad the end result might truly be. Oakland Raiders To Lead During The Game (-160)

Peyton Manning Over/Under 299.5 Passing Yards: Manning has been insanely efficient this year, throwing for over 3,500 yards in spite of the fact that he has fewer pass attempts than any other quarterback that has thrown for that many yards. The problem that we have with Manning is that he hasn’t reached 300 passing yards but once in the last five games, and that was a game in which he had just 301 yards. Manning has only exceeded 309 yards three times this year, and that hasn’t happened since losing to the New England Patriots back in Week 5. Granted, one of those times did come against these Raiders, but is Manning really going to complete 78.9 percent of his passes again in this one. It’s entirely possible, especially knowing that the Raiders’ defense has been a sieve over the course of the last several weeks of the season, but it really seems like a square as heck play to think that Manning is going to get to three bills more often than not in this one. Peyton Manning Under 299.5 Passing Yards (+100)

Demaryius Thomas Over/Under 95.5 Receiving Yards: Just because Manning is down though, doesn’t mean that Thomas has to be down, too. The Georgia Tech product has been out of this world over the course of this season, and he has five 100+ yard games on the campaign (to go with his 99-yard effort last week). When Manning gets locked in with Thomas, it is starting to look like the good old days of when he was getting the job done with WR Marvin Harrison. Thomas is his security blanket, especially when the going gets tough. Thomas hasn’t had a 100+ yard game since Week 10, but this is the worst secondary that he has run across since that point as well. Manning will hit him with a bomb over the course of this one, and a few of the medium range passes will put Thomas over the top by the end of the third quarter. Demaryius Thomas Over 95.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 12/6/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -110

Broncos Score First -200
Raiders Score First +160

First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 46.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 46.5 Yards -115

Longest Made Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Made Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115

Shortest Made Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Made Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards +100

Special Teams Or Defensive Touchdown Scored +160
No Special Teams Or Defensive Touchdown Scored -200

Raiders To Ever Lead The Game -160
Raiders To Never Lead The Game +130

Peyton Manning Passing Yards Over 299.5 -130
Peyton Manning Passing Yards Under 299.5 +100

Peyton Manning TD Passes Over 2.5 -115
Peyton Manning TD Passes Under 2.5 -115

Peyton Manning Throws an Interception -115
Peyton Manning Doesn’t Throw an Interception -115

Demaryius Thomas Receiving Yards Over 95.5 -115
Demaryius Thomas Receiving Yards Under 95.5 -115

Demaryius Thomas Scores a Touchdown -130
Demaryius Thomas Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +100

Thursday Night NFL Picks: Patriots vs. Jets Props & Predictions 11/22

November 22nd, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Patriots vs. Jets Props & Predictions 11/22
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Full Patriots vs. Jets NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Tom BradyThe New York Jets and New England Patriots are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 12 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Will the First Score of the Game Be a Touchdown?: Odds have it, New England is going to be the first team to score, and if that turns out to be the case, you know that this is going to be a touchdown. The Pats have been hearing about it all week. They don’t have TE Rob Gronkowski, they’re going against a defense that ranks sixth against the pass, and QB Tom Brady really struggled against the Jets when they met several weeks ago. However, in the end, this is still the Patriots offense, and it is still flat out awesome even in spite of all of those issues. Brady isn’t going to want to see the field goal team out there, knowing that K Stephen Gostkowski has really flat out stunk for a good chunk of the year as well. It’s a gut shot play for sure, but we have to think that the first points on the board are going to be worth six, not worth three. First Score of the Game a Touchdown (-180)

Tom Brady Total Completions Over/Under 24.5: Asking for 25 completions in a game is going to be awfully tough. We really listed all of the reasons above why Brady is going to be facing some adversity, and though we do think that he is going to get through it all and get plenty of points on the board, he probably isn’t going to get to 25 completions. After getting Gronk injured last week, there’s a good chance that Brady won’t be playing late in this game if matters are out of hand, and that might make a difference as well. The Jets aren’t going to keep the points off the board, but they’ll at least keep Brady from getting to this prop. Tom Brady Under 24.5 Completions (-105)

Will Stevan Ridley Score a Touchdown?: The Jets have allowed nine rushing touchdowns this year in 10 games to opposing running backs, and there’s just no reason to think that Ridley won’t find his way into the end zone this week in some regard. Ridley has scored a touchdown in three straight games and in six out of 10 this year. Yes, we have to admit that it’s a bit scary to think that Ridley is going to get shafted by the fact that Head Coach Bill Belichick clearly hates fantasy football and loves sticking various running backs in there near the goal line. Still, the opportunities are going to be there at the goal line in all likelihood, and another one of the perks of not having Gronk out there is the fact that the ground game is going to be featured more at the goal line in all likelihood. Stevan Ridley To Score a Touchdown (-130)

Mark Sanchez Over/Under 229.5 Passing Yards: Oh sure, Sanchez threw for 328 yards the first time these two teams met, but let’s be realistic about him. The USC Trojan has thrown for 138, 103, 82, 124, and 178 yards in five of his games this year, and it is clear that QB Tim Tebow is getting at least more of a look in the offense. Sanchez just isn’t going to get to 230 passing yards in this one significantly more often than not, and the way that we see it, it isn’t even going to be remotely close. Mark Sanchez Under 229.5 Passing Yards (-115)

New England Patriots vs. New York Jets NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 11/22/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -110

Patriots Score First -170
Jets Score First +140

First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 46.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 46.5 Yards -115

Longest Made Field Goal of the Game Over 43.5 Yards -130
Longest Made Field Goal of the Game Under 43.5 Yards +100

Shortest Made Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -115
Shortest Made Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards -115

Total Sacks By Both Teams Over 4 +100
Total Sacks By Both Teams Under 4 -130

Special Teams Or Defensive Touchdown Scored +150
No Special Teams Or Defensive Touchdown Scored -180

Tom Brady Pass Completions Over 24.5 -125
Tom Brady Pass Completions Under 24.5 -105

Tom Brady Touchdown Passes Over 2.5 +120
Tom Brady Touchdown Passes Under 2.5 -150

Tom Brady Throws An Interception +100
Tom Brady Doesn’t Thrown An Interception -130

Stevan Ridley Rushing Yards Over 78.5 -115
Stevan Ridley Rushing Yards Under 78.5 -115

Stevan Ridley Scores a Touchdown -130
Stevan Ridley Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +100

Mark Sanchez Passing Yards Over 229.5 -115
Mark Sanchez Passing Yards Under 229.5 -115

Thursday Night NFL Picks: Saints vs. Falcons Props & Predictions 11/29

November 21st, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Saints vs. Falcons Props & Predictions 11/29
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Full Saints vs. Falcons NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Atlanta Falcons MascotThe Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 13 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Will the First Score of the Game Be a Touchdown?: One blush would suggest that the sharp play is to bet on the first score of this game to be a touchdown and not a field goal, almost regardless of the price. That’s exactly what the oddsmakers are hoping that you do. They want you to look and see that the Saints have scored 39 TDs against just nine field goals this year and immediately figure touchdown. What you should be seeing though, are the 31 Atlanta TDs this year against 26 field goals for K Matt Bryant. What you should be seeing are the 21 field goal attempts that Bryant has had in his last six games against the 14 TDs that have been scored in that same stretch. The Atlanta defense allowed three field goals last week and four the week before, and it is starting to really seem like that the first score of this game at least has a fighting chance of being a field goal (or a safety) instead of a touchdown. First Score of the Game Not A Touchdown (+170)

Drew Brees Pass Completions Over/Under 26.5: Brees has completed at least 448 passes in each of his last two years, numbers which are out of this world. That’s an average of 28.6 completions per game. This year, that number has cut back quite a bit to just 25.1 completions per game. Brees also hasn’t completed more than 26 passes in a game in four straight weeks, and that includes a game against these Falcons. The running game is getting more and more involved as the weeks go by, and there is no reason not to think, especially for as bad as the New Orleans defense has been, that Interim Head Coach Joe Vitt won’t want to see more of that in this week’s game plan as well. Sure, if the Saints are playing catch-up, they’re going to be relying on Brees throwing the ball all over the place. However, he was playing catch-up all week last week and only went 26-of-41 in spite of the fact that the Saints dominated the possession. This just isn’t a slam dunk to see Brees get to 27 completions. Drew Brees Under 26.5 Pass Completions (-105)

Marques Colston Receptions Over/Under 5: Colston is one of the top receivers on this New Orleans outfit, but the likelihood that he beats us on this prop just isn’t there. Over the course of the last few weeks, it has been WR Lance Moore and WR Joe Morgan that have been getting more looks, taking away from the likelihood that Colston gets his targets. Sure, the Hofstra grad has had five, six, six, and four targets over the course of the last four weeks, but he isn’t catching everything coming his way. We could very much so see this prop ending on a push at five catches, but to see that sixth catch really doesn’t seem all that likely, especially after Colston had just three catches for 26 yards and a TD in the first meeting of these two teams this year. Marques Colston Under 5 Receptions (-130)

Jimmy Graham Receptions Over/Under 5.5: Now here’s a prop that we prefer. Graham really has been relatively quiet these last two weeks, but he stormed to seven catches, 144 yards, and two TDs when he played against these Falcons three weeks ago. There is no doubt that with TE Rob Gronkowski on the sidelines, that Graham is the most productive tight end in football, and we expect to see another great game out of the Miami product once again in this one. Brees has sort of gotten away from his big target in the middle of the field these last couple of weeks, and it has led to lesser numbers for them both. We expect to see a tremendously different story this time around when these two get on the field now against the Falcons. Jimmy Graham Over 5.5 Receptions (-115)

Matt Ryan Passing Yards Over/Under 313.5: It’s really hard to feel like Matty Ice is going to stay beneath this number, especially knowing that the emphasis has really been there on the passing game as opposed to the rushing game over the course of the last four weeks. In all four games, Ryan has eclipsed this number, and that includes when he went for over 400 yards against the Saints a few weeks back. However, Atlanta has been playing either from behind or in tight games or from way behind in those, and though we aren’t handicapping the game by any stretch of the imagination, we are still figuring that this one isn’t going to be a game in which the Falcons are going to have to fight back from down 20 to try to come back and win. It’s a tough number to try to reach for any quarterback more often than not, and we think that Ryan is going to fall short of the 300-yard threshold in this game. Matt Ryan Under 313.5 Passing Yards (-105)

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 11/29/12):
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Thursday Night NFL Picks: Colts vs. Jaguars Props & Predictions 11/8

November 8th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Colts vs. Jaguars Props & Predictions 11/8
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Full Colts vs. Jaguars NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Jags CheerleadersThe Jacksonville Jaguars and Indianapolis Colts are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 10 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Josh Scobee Over/Under 6.5 Points: There aren’t many situations where we are going to want to back Jacksonville’s kicker, but this very well could be one of those times when it really pays off to go for the gold. Scobee has a rich history of just killing the Colts, including booting a number of game winners from 50+ yards out to crush the then QB Peyton Manning led bunch. Scobee already has 30 field goals made in 16 games against Indy in his career, and that includes 15 from outside of 40 yards. There’s no doubt that, in the end, Scobee is going to get his opportunities, and as long as he manages to sneak two between the uprights, there’s no reason to think that he won’t tack on either a PAT or a third field goal when push comes to shove. Remember that when these two teams met the first time, Scobee put up 10 total points. Josh Scobee Over 6.5 Points (+100)

Dwayne Allen Over/Under 46.5 Receiving Yards: If there is a quarterback that knows how to stretch out the field by using his tight ends, it’s Andrew Luck. He did so in college with so many fantastic tight ends, and he is doing the same here at the NFL level as well. Allen was the second rookie tight end taken by Indianapolis in the NFL Draft this past year, but he has really turned out to be the better of the two when push comes to shove. Now, Luck’s roommate, TE Coby Fleener is hurt, and that really just leaves Allen to pick up the slack. Luck is throwing the ball more now that the running game for the Colts is disintegrating, and that means less blocking and more pass catching for Allen. He has 12 targets over the course of the last two weeks, and if he hauls in just three or four of them, he should be able to get to this yardage total without all that much in the way of hassle. Dwayne Allen Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Andrew Luck Passing Yards Over/Under 278.5: As much as we think that it is a square play to take Luck going ‘over’ 278.5 yards, we just have to do it, knowing that he is going to do so more often than not. Acting Head Coach Bruce Arians just loves letting Luck air it out, and he is going to connect on a few of those long ones up the field for sure. He is throwing the ball over 40 times per game now with just RB Vick Ballard left to carry the load in the backfield, and that includes a lot of the check down passes that made the Manning-to-Faulk (then James, then Addai) combination oh so good. The Jacksonville defense can’t get out of its way for the most part, and it already allowed 300+ yards to Luck once this year. There’s just no reason to think that this won’t be the second time that he pulls that feat off. Andrew Luck Over 278.5 Passing Yards (-130)

Will Either Team Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game?: We’re really a bit puzzled as to why this number is 6 ½ minutes and not at least seven or 7 ½ minutes. These two teams both have a tendency of running some slower drives when push comes to shove, and if the Jags get the ball first, we all know just how long it takes them to get going at times, especially without RB Maurice Jones-Drew in the fold. There is just a real question where the Jacksonville offense is coming from if it isn’t coming from RB Rashad Jennings, and that makes it quite believable that there won’t be a score in the first half of the first quarter. No Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game (-110)

Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 11/8/12):
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Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game -110

Colts Score First -130
Jaguars Score First +100

First Score a Touchdown -155
First Score Not a Touchdown +125

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 41.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 41.5 Yards -115

Andrew Luck Completions Over 22.5 -130
Andrew Luck Completions Under 22.5 +100

Andrew Luck Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards -115
Andrew Luck Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards -115

Andrew Luck Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -145
Andrew Luck Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +115

Andrew Luck To Throw an Interception -150
Andrew Luck To Not Throw an Interception +120

Reggie Wayne Receptions Over 6.5 -125
Reggie Wayne Receptions Under 6.5 -105

Reggie Wayne Receiving Yards Over 88.5 -115
Reggie Wayne Receiving Yards Under 88.5 -115

Reggie Wayne Scores a Touchdown +120
Reggie Wayne Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

TY Hilton Receptions Over 3.5 -105
TY Hilton Receptions Under 3.5 -125

TY Hilton Longest Reception in Yards Over 25.5 -115
TY Hilton Longest Reception in Yards Under 25.5 -115

Dwayne Allen Receptions Over 3.5 -135
Dwayne Allen Receptions Under 3.5 +105

Dwayne Allen Receiving Yards Over 46.5 -115
Dwayne Allen Receiving Yards Under 46.5 -115

Jerrell Freeman Total Tackles Over 8.5 -115
Jerrell Freeman Total Tackles Under 8.5 -115

Adam Vinatieri Total Points Over 7.5 -115
Adam Vinatieri Total Points Under 7.5 -115

Blaine Gabbert Completions Over 19.5 -130
Blaine Gabbert Completions Under 19.5 +100

Blaine Gabbert Longest Completion Over 34.5 Yards -115
Blaine Gabbert Longest Completion Under 34.5 Yards -115

Blaine Gabbert Passing Yards Over 215.5 -130
Blaine Gabbert Passing Yards Under 215.5 +100

Blaine Gabbert Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +160
Blaine Gabbert Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -200

Blaine Gabbert Throws an Interception -150
Blaine Gabbert Doesn’t Throw an Interception +120

Cecil Shorts Receptions Over 3.5 +105
Cecil Shorts Receptions Under 3.5 -135

Cecil Shorts Receiving Yards Over 58.5 -130
Cecil Shorts Receiving Yards Under 58.5 +100

Marcedes Lewis Receptions Over 3 -115
Marcedes Lewis Receptions Under 3 -115

Marcedes Lewis Receiving Yards Over 30.5 -115
Marcedes Lewis Receiving Yards Under 30.5 -115

Justin Blackmon Receptions Over 3.5 -130
Justin Blackmon Receptions Under 3.5 +100

Justin Blackmon Receiving Yards Over 40.5 -115
Justin Blackmon Receiving Yards Under 40.5 -115

Laurent Robinson Receptions Over 3 -150
Laurent Robinson Receptions Under 3 +120

Russell Allen Total Tackles Over 7.5 -105
Russell Allen Total Tackles Under 7.5 -125

Josh Scobee Total Points Over 6.5 +100
Josh Scobee Total Points Under 6.5 -130

Thursday Night NFL Picks: Buccaneers vs. Vikings Props & Picks 10/25

October 25th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Buccaneers vs. Vikings Props & Picks 10/25
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Full Buccaneers vs. Vikings NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Christian Ponder VikingsThe Minnesota Vikings and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 8 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Christian Ponder Touchdown Passes Over/Under 1.5: When you look at the Tampa Bay secondary, you immediately think that this unit is atrocious, allowing 323.0 yards per game. However, if you take out QB Eli Manning and QB Drew Brees, who threw for over 900 yards and seven scores against this unit, what is left is a group that has allowed a grand total of just one touchdown pass this year. Ponder has nine touchdowns on the season, but he is more likely to turn around and give the ball to RB Adrian Peterson on the goal line than he is to try to throw the ball. This just doesn’t feel like a great matchup for the Minnesota passing game, and the ground game probably is going to find more success. Barring WR Percy Harvin busting a short pass for a long gainer, we don’t see many other ways that Ponder is going to have a shot at getting to two touchdown passes more often than not. Christian Ponder Under 1.5 Touchdown Passes (-110)

Minnesota Vikings Total Points Over/Under 24.5: Again, we’re back to supporting the Tampa Bay defense in this one. This unit was scorched by Brees and Manning, but no other team has scored more than 24 points against this unit on the campaign. The Minnesota offense looks like it is averaging 23.9 points per game this year, but when you take out the three defensive or special teams touchdowns, that number plummets down to just 20.9 points per game. Only three games this year have the Vikes reached 25 points, and this doesn’t figure to be another one of those games when push comes to shove. Minnesota Vikings Under 24.5 Points (-115)

Vincent Jackson Over/Under 4.5 Receptions: Jackson is getting a lot of play right now thanks to the fact that he just had seven catches for 216 yards and one touchdown (and one should have been touchdown) last week against the Saints. However, we have to remember that Tampa Bay is a run first team, not a throw first team. Jackson has had a number of games this year in which he hasn’t even gotten six targets, and with the way that QB Josh Freeman throws the football, it is like going to take at least six or seven for him to get to five receptions. Last week’s game aside, Jackson has been a relatively average receiver that is putting up WR2 numbers, not the numbers of a bona fide No. 1. Jackson Under 4.5 Receptions (+120)

Blair Walsh Over/Under 8.5 Points: The rookie out of Georgia has a huge leg, and there isn’t much in the way of a field goal attempt that he wouldn’t hit significantly more often than not. However, the Tampa Bay defense has allowed just two kickers to account for more than five points this year. We’re not saying that Walsh can’t be the exception to the rule, especially knowing that both K Dan Bailey and K Lawrence Tynes did this against Tampa Bay with the Bucs on the road, and this is only their third road game of the season. However, scoring 8.5 points is a ton, and it is going to take probably three field goals for it to happen more often than not. Blair Walsh Under 8.5 Points (-115)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 10/25/12):
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Score in the First 7 Minutes of the Game -135
No Score in the First 7 Minutes of the Game +105

Buccaneers Score First +130
Vikings Score First -160

First Score a Touchdown -160
First Score Not a Touchdown +130

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 41.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 41.5 Yards -115

Josh Freeman Completions Over 19.5 -130
Josh Freeman Completions Under 19.5 +100

Josh Freeman Longest Completion Over 39.5 Yards -115
Josh Freeman Longest Completion Under 39.5 Yards -115

Josh Freeman Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -150
Josh Freeman Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +120

Josh Freeman To Throw an Interception -220
Josh Freeman To Not Throw an Interception +170

Doug Martin Rushing Yards Over 65.5 -115
Doug Martin Rushing Yards Under 65.5 -115

Doug Martin Scores a Touchdown +130
Doug Martin Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -160

Vincent Jackson Receptions Over 4.5 -150
Vincent Jackson Receptions Under 4.5 +120

Vincent Jackson Receiving Yards Over 80.5 -115
Vincent Jackson Receiving Yards Under 80.5 -115

Vincent Jackson Scores a Touchdown +120
Vincent Jackson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

Mike Williams Receptions Over 3.5 -150
Mike Williams Receptions Under 3.5 +120

Mike Williams Receiving Yards Over 58.5 -115
Mike Williams Receiving Yards Under 58.5 -115

Dallas Clark Receptions Over 3 -115
Dallas Clark Receptions Under 3 -115

Dallas Clark Scores a Touchdown +190
Dallas Clark Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -250

Mason Foster Total Tackles Over 7.5 -115
Mason Foster Total Tackles Under 7.5 -115

Lavonte David Total Tackles Over 7.5 -140
Lavonte David Total Tackles Under 7.5 +110

Ronde Barber Intercepts a Pass +270
Ronde Barber Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -350

Connor Barth Total Points Over 7.5 +100
Connor Barth Total Points Under 7.5 -130

Christian Ponder Completions Over 20.5 -130
Christian Ponder Completions Under 20.5 +100

Christian Ponder Longest Completion Over 33.5 Yards -115
Christian Ponder Longest Completion Under 33.5 Yards -115

Christian Ponder Passing Yards Over 222.5 -115
Christian Ponder Passing Yards Under 222.5 -115

Christian Ponder Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -120
Christian Ponder Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -110

Christian Ponder Throws an Interception -200
Christian Ponder Doesn’t Throw an Interception +160

Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards Over 90.5 -115
Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards Under 90.5 -115

Adrian Peterson Receptions Over 3 -115
Adrian Peterson Receptions Under 3 -115

Adrian Peterson Scores a Touchdown -160
Adrian Peterson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +130

Percy Harvin Receptions Over 6.5 -130
Percy Harvin Receptions Under 6.5 +100

Percy Harvin Receiving Yards Over 85.5 -115
Percy Harvin Receiving Yards Under 85.5 -115

Percy Harvin Scores a Touchdown +105
Percy Harvin Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -135

Chad Greenway Total Tackles Over 8.5 -125
Chad Greenway Total Tackles Under 8.5 +105

Antoine Winfield Total Tackles Over 7.5 -105
Antoine Winfield Total Tackles Under 7.5 -125

Antoine Winfield Intercepts a Pass +270
Antoine Winfield Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -350

Blair Walsh Total Points Over 8.5 -115
Blair Walsh Total Points Under 8.5 -115

Thursday Night NFL Picks: Seahawks vs. 49ers Prop Predictions 10/18

October 18th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Seahawks vs. 49ers Prop Predictions 10/18
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Full Seahawks vs. 49ers NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Golden TateThe San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 7 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Zach Miller Receptions Over/Under 2.5: It’s not often that we really like to use fantasy football stats to tell us how to make our bets, but in this case, we’re going to make an exception. Miller has had eight targets over the course of the last three weeks, and he has caught all eight passes. The likelihood of that continuing really is slim to none, especially against a San Francisco defense that ranks eighth in the entire NFL at defending the tight end. Miller is really looked at in short yardage and goal to go situations, but there don’t figure to be all that many of those when push comes to shove. As a result, we have to think about going with Miller’s ‘under’ as a sharp play. Zach Miller Receptions Under 2.5 (-115)

Will Alex Smith Throw an Interception?: Smith was picked off three times last week, and Head Coach Jim Harbaugh did as much as admit the fact that some plays were called that were asking Smith to do more than what he really should have been comfortable doing. This is a team that prides itself on taking care of the ball and playing good defense, and though the sledding could be tough on the ground and Smith is going to have to throw the ball some, we don’t think that he is going to be in a position where he ends up getting picked off more often than not in this game. Remember that Smith only threw five interceptions, and three of his four picks this year came last week. It’s ridiculous that Smith is an underdog to not throw an interception. Alex Smith to Not Throw an Interception (+130)

Will Vernon Davis Score a Touchdown?: This is another one of these percentage props that we love to play, though we know that more often than not, we are going to end up losing them. When they win, they win big. Davis hasn’t had a touchdown now in three straight games, and that’s after getting four trips to the end zone in his first three games this year. However, his targets aren’t down, his receptions are only down a hair, and those are largely in games that have been over by halftime that haven’t required all that many passes coming off of the arm of QB Alex Smith. Davis is still going to be a huge threat against a defense that is aggressive, and not only do we like his chances of getting some love near the red zone, but he could break a long one as well. Vernon Davis to Score a Touchdown +130

David Akers Over/Under 7.5 Points: Akers has consistently been one of the best kickers in the NFL over the course of the last several years, though over the course of the last few weeks he has struggled, making just 4-of-8 attempts. Still, the 49ers are a team that play it close to the vest, and that means quite a few field goal attempts. We’d like to think that tonight, against a sound Seattle defense, that will be the case once again when push comes to shove. Take Akers to get to at least eight points in this one, as that means that the 49ers will get to at least 20 points. David Akers Over 7.5 Points (-130)

Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 10/18/12):
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Score in the First 7 Minutes of the Game -115
No Score in the First 7 Minutes of the Game -115

Seahawks Score First +145
49ers Score First -175

First Score a Touchdown -130
First Score Not a Touchdown +100

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 37.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 37.5 Yards -115

Russell Wilson Completions Over 17 -130
Russell Wilson Completions Under 17 +100

Russell Wilson Longest Completion Over 34.5 Yards -115
Russell Wilson Longest Completion Under 34.5 Yards -115

Russell Wilson Passing Yards Over 200.5 -115
Russell Wilson Passing Yards Under 200.5 -115

Russell Wilson Total Touchdown Passes + Interceptions Over 2.5 +160
Russell Wilson Total Touchdown Passes + Interceptions Under 2.5 -200

Russell Wilson Rushing Attempts Over 5.5 +100
Russell Wilson Rushing Attempts Under 5.5 -130

Marshawn Lynch Rushing Yards Over 75.5 -115
Marshawn Lynch Rushing Yards Under 75.5 -115

Marshawn Lynch Scores a Touchdown +130
Marshawn Lynch Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -160

Golden Tate Receptions Over 3 -115
Golden Tate Receptions Under 3 -115

Golden Tate Scores a Touchdown +170
Golden Tate Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -220

Sidney Rice Receptions Over 3.5 -115
Sidney Rice Receptions Under 3.5 -115

Sidney Rice Receiving Yards Over 51.5 -115
Sidney Rice Receiving Yards Under 51.5 -115

Doug Baldwin Receptions Over 2.5 +100
Doug Baldwin Receptions Under 2.5 -130

Doug Baldwin Receiving Yards Over 33.5 -115
Doug Baldwin Receiving Yards Under 33.5 -115

Zach Miller Receptions Over 2.5 -115
Zach Miller Receptions Under 2.5 -115

Steven Hauschka Total Points Over 6.5 -130
Steven Hauschka Total Points Under 6.5 +100

Alex Smith Completions Over 19 -130
Alex Smith Completions Under 19 +100

Alex Smith Longest Completion Over 35.5 Yards -115
Alex Smith Longest Completion Under 35.5 Yards -115

Alex Smith Passing Yards Over 222.5 -115
Alex Smith Passing Yards Under 222.5 -115

Alex Smith Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +130
Alex Smith Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -160

Alex Smith Throws an Interception -160
Alex Smith Doesn’t Throw an Interception +1330

Frank Gore Rushing Yards Over 67.5 -115
Frank Gore Rushing Yards Under 67.5 -115

Frank Gore Scores a Touchdown +120
Frank Gore Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

Michael Crabtree Receptions Over 4.5 -115
Michael Crabtree Receptions Under 4.5 -115

Michael Crabtree Receiving Yards Over 60.5 -115
Michael Crabtree Receiving Yards Under 60.5 -115

Michael Crabtree Scores a Touchdown +140
Michael Crabtree Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Randy Moss Receptions Over 2.5 +110
Randy Moss Receptions Under 2.5 -140

Randy Moss Longest Reception Over 22.5 Yards -115
Randy Moss Longest Reception Under 22.5 Yards -115

Vernon Davis Receptions Over 4.5 -125
Vernon Davis Receptions Under 4.5 -105

Vernon Davis Receiving Yards Over 56.5 -115
Vernon Davis Receiving Yards Under 56.5 -115

Vernon Davis Scores a Touchdown +130
Vernon Davis Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -160

Mario Manningham Receptions Over 3.5 -130
Mario Manningham Receptions Under 3.5 +100

Mario Manningham Receiving Yards Over 47.5 -115
Mario Manningham Receiving Yards Under 47.5 -115

Navorro Bowman Total Tackles Over 8.5 -130
Navorro Bowman Total Tackles Under 8.5 +100

Patrick Willis Total Tackles Over 8.5 +100
Patrick Willis Total Tackles Under 8.5 -130

David Akers Total Points Over 7.5 -130
David Akers Total Points Under 7.5 +100

Thursday Night NFL Picks: Cardinals vs. Rams Props & Predictions 10/4

October 4th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Cardinals vs. Rams Props & Predictions 10/4
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Full Cardinals vs. Rams NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

St. Louis CheerleadersThe St. Louis Rams and Arizona Cardinals are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 5 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Longest Field Goal Made Over/Under 44.5 Yards: K Greg Zuerlein has been one of the best kickers in the league this year, and he has made Head Coach Jeff Fisher look like quite the smart cookie. The rookie has already nailed one from 60 yards this year, and he doesn’t have a game yet in his career in which he has failed to hit a field goal of at least 42 yards. Three of his four games have featured a kick of at least 48 yards as well. Don’t forget about K Jay Feely either, as he has three games this year with at least one field goal made of 46+ yards. These two kickers are a combined 19-for-19 on field goal tries this year, and there is just no reason to think that there won’t be at least one successful boot of at least 45 yards in what should be one of the more defensive minded clashes on the Week 5 schedule. Longest Field Goal Made Over 44.5 Yards (-130)

Total Punts by Both Teams Over/Under 11: Asking to get to 12 punts in a game is an out of this world number. Yes, the Rams have punted 18 times this year in four games, and yes, the Cardinals have punted 26 times, but in the end, that’s only an average of exactly 11 punts per game. The truth of the matter is that moving the ball hasn’t always been the problem for these two squads. Turning the ball over has been problematic, but most importantly have been the aforementioned field goals that we were just talking about. 19 field goal tries between two teams in four games is outrageous and should be far lower. More touchdown need to be scored. As a result, this is a punt number that has been skewed, to say the least. Expect there to maybe perhaps 10 boots, but 12 is just far too many. Total Punts Under 11 (-115)

Ryan Williams Rushing Attempts Over/Under 15.5: Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt likes a one-back backfield, but what might have been proven last week against the Miami Dolphins is that Williams might not be that one back that can do the damage. Arizona will run the ball and run it a lot in this one, but we aren’t all that sure that Williams is going to be the man that does it. RB LaRod Stephens-Howling is going to be back in the fold this week in all likelihood, and that could create a bigger backfield for Williams to have to contend with. Arizona running backs are averaging 21.75 carries per game thus far this year. If six carries can get pillaged by Stephens-Howling or RB William Powell, we should be in business. Ryan Williams Under 15.5 Rushing Attempts (-115)

Andre Roberts Over/Under 3 Receptions: For whatever reason, when QB Kevin Kolb was in the lineup last year, the last thing that he wanted to do was throw the ball to WR Larry Fitzgerald. The chemistry just wasn’t there, and the ball was spread around a heck of a lot more. One of the beneficiaries was WR Early Doucet, who had the year of his career. Roberts had one of the best games that he has ever had last week when he had over 110 yards on six catches with two trips to the end zone, including the game-tying score on 4th and 10 with the game on the line against the Fins. As long as Kolb stays healthy, we could see Roberts being a guy who catches 80 passes this year. That means that asking for three to push and four to win should be relatively easy. Andre Roberts Over 3 Receptions (-120)

Brandon Gibson Over/Under 2.5 Receptions: What hope really is there for Gibson to have at least three catches in this game? QB Sam Bradford clearly won’t be completing 25 or 30 passes in this one, and WR Danny Amendola is going to get his first. Aside from him, there are a bunch of receivers that, more often than not, are going to account for fewer than three catches per game. Gibson hasn’t practiced all that much this week thanks to a knee tweak, and that is only going to make matters worse for a man that has exactly two catches in three straight games. This one won’t be any prettier in all likelihood. Brandon Gibson Under 2.5 Receptions (-130)

Arizona Cardinals vs. St. Louis Rams NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 10/4/12):
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Score in the First 7 Minutes of the Game -115
No Score in the First 7 Minutes of the Game -115

Cardinals Score First -120
Rams Score First -110

First Score a Touchdown -130
First Score Not a Touchdown +100

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 39.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 39.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -130
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards +100

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards +100

Total Field Goals Made Over 3.5 +125
Total Field Goals Made Under 3.5 -155

Total Punts Over 11 -115
Total Punts Under 11 -115

Total Sacks Over 5 -155
Total Sacks Under 5 +125

Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown +150
Not a Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown -180

Kevin Kolb Completions Over 19 -115
Kevin Kolb Completions Under 19 -115

Kevin Kolb Longest Completion Over 35.5 Yards -115
Kevin Kolb Longest Completion Under 35.5 Yards -115

Kevin Kolb Passing Yards Over 230.5 -115
Kevin Kolb Passing Yards Under 230.5 -115

Kevin Kolb Total Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +125
Kevin Kolb Total Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -155

Kevin Kolb Throws an Interception -200
Kevin Kolb Doesn’t Throw an Interception +160

Ryan Williams Total Rushing Attempts Over 15.5 -115
Ryan Williams Total Rushing Attempts Under 15.5 -115

Larry Fitzgerald Receptions Over 5.5 -140
Larry Fitzgerald Receptions Under 5.5 +110

Larry Fitzgerald Receiving Yards Over 75.5 -115
Larry Fitzgerald Receiving Yards Under 75.5 -115

Larry Fitzgerald Scores a Touchdown +120
Larry Fitzgerald Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

Andre Roberts Receptions Over 3 -120
Andre Roberts Receptions Under 3 -110

Andre Roberts Receiving Yards Over 46.5 -115
Andre Roberts Receiving Yards Under 46.5 -115

Early Doucet Receptions Over 2.5 +100
Early Doucet Receptions Under 2.5 -130

Early Doucet Receiving Yards Over 28.5 -115
Early Doucet Receiving Yards Under 28.5 -115

Daryl Washington Total Tackles Over 6.5 -130
Daryl Washington Total Tackles Under 6.5 -+100

Paris Lenon Total Tackles Over 6.5 -130
Paris Lenon Total Tackles Under 6.5 +100

Jay Feely Total Points Over 7.5 -115
Jay Feely Total Points Under 7.5 -115

Sam Bradford Completions Over 19 -120
Sam Bradford Completions Under 19 -110

Sam Bradford Longest Completion Over 35.5 Yards -115
Sam Bradford Longest Completion Under 35.5 Yards -115

Sam Bradford Passing Yards Over 224.5 -115
Sam Bradford Passing Yards Under 224.5 -115

Sam Bradford Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +160
Sam Bradford Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -200

Sam Bradford Throws an Interception -225
Sam Bradford Doesn’t Throw an Interception +175

Steven Jackson Rushing Yards Over 65.5 -115
Steven Jackson Rushing Yards Under 65.5 -115

Steven Jackson Scores a Touchdown +135
Steven Jackson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -170

Danny Amendola Receptions Over 5.5 -140
Danny Amendola Receptions Under 5.5 +110

Danny Amendola Receiving Yards Over 69.5 -115
Danny Amendola Receiving Yards Under 69.5 -115

Danny Amendola Scores a Touchdown +160
Danny Amendola Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -200

Brandon Gibson Receptions Over 2.5 +100
Brandon Gibson Receptions Under 2.5 -130

Brandon Gibson Receiving Yards Over 32.5 -115
Brandon Gibson Receiving Yards Under 32.5 -115

Lance Kendricks Receptions Over 2 +100
Lance Kendricks Receptions Under 2 -130

Lance Kendricks Receiving Yards Over 21.5 -115
Lance Kendricks Receiving Yards Under 21.5 -115

James Laurinaitis Total Tackles Over 9.5 +115
James Laurinaitis Total Tackles Under 9.5 -145

Greg Zuerlein Total Points Over 8.5 +110
Greg Zuerlein Total Points Under 8.5 -140