Monday Night Football Props: Raiders vs. Broncos Predictions 9/23

Last Updated: September 15th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Demaryius Thomas BroncosOur Oakland Raiders vs. Denver Broncos picks are set and ready to go at Bankroll Sports, but if you’re looking for a bit of a different way to take advantage of some of the Monday Night Football prop bets, you’ve come to the right place. Today, we’re going to be breaking down some of the best NFL props on the board for Monday Night Football, all of which come courtesy of Diamond Sportsbook.

Will There Be a Score in First 6:30 of the Game? – If you really believe that the Raiders have the goods to be able to slow down this Denver offense in any respect, the answer to this prop is definitively going to be “no.” Many feel as though this game is just going to be a ridiculous shootout, and we aren’t all that sure that that is going to be the case. Monday Night Football games tend to start just a bit slowly in relation to some of the other games on the docket, and this one is going to be no exception whatsoever. Especially if Oakland gets the ball first, we feel pretty darn good about this one, knowing that RB Darren McFadden and the ground game will take at least a couple minutes off of the clock before turning it over to QB Peyton Manning and the Broncos. This could be easy pickings at +120.

Total Punts Made in the Game Over 8.5 (-120) – Denver games haven’t exactly been known for their punts over the course of the first two weeks of the season, but Oakland games have. The Raiders might not have P Shane Lechler any longer, but they do have P Marquette King, who is averaging almost 49 yards per punt this year. The stat that might really surprise you? Denver has already punted the ball 12 times this year. If the Broncos are going to punt even five times in this one, we have all the confidence in the world that the Raiders are going to boot it away another four even though they are only averaging three punts per game. Both of these teams will end up with over 70 punts when push comes to shove this season, and if that’s the case, getting to nine shouldn’t be all that difficult more often than not.

Peyton Manning Under 315.5 Passing Yards (+105) – Doesn’t Manning have to get held under 300 yards at some point in a game this year? It seems as though we are more just hoping against hope that he doesn’t do it in this one. In actuality though, we have a justification for it. Oakland has a secondary that is competent and is completely capable of shutting down some of the best passing attacks in the league. DB Charles Woodson is still one of the best in the league, even at his age, and he is showing that he has something left in the tank when he takes to the field against some of the best in the biz. Oakland is going to play ball control offense, and the end result could be a lot lower statistics than most of the Broncos are used to getting.

Demaryius Thomas Under 5 Receptions (+110)
Wes Welker Under 6.5 Receptions (+105)
Eric Decker Under 5 Receptions (-105)
Julius Thomas Under 5.5 Receptions (-115)

Odds have it, someone is going to beat us here, but if you add all of this up, you’ll see a total of 22 receptions between these four players, and that’s not including anything else that Manning might end up doing with his passes. It’s just not a great percentage play to be banking on all of these ‘overs’. One week, it was Decker that caught nine passes. The next it was Welker that caught nine. Manning is going to take whatever matchup is out there that can get the ball up the field the most efficiently, and that means there are going to be receivers that are taken out of the game each and every week, even against Oakland. Remember that the Broncos aren’t actually going to rack up 450 yards of offense every single week, and they aren’t going to really score 40+ points every single week either. These receivers give us a great opportunity to cash in on what are some really weak props in our eyes, as it would take a minimum of 30 Manning completions in this game (an absolutely insane number) to even come close to beating us completely.

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Posted in NFL Football - Last Updated on Sunday, September 15th, 2013 @ 10:09 am (EST)
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