NFL Prop Picks: Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Predictions 10/22/12

Last Updated: October 21st, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Full Lions @ Bears NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Lions vs. BearsThe Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 7 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Robbie Gould Total Points Over/Under 9.5 : Are we really reading this properly? 9.5 points for a kicker in a game is absolutely insane, knowing that is going to take at least three field goals for the job to get done (unless Chicago plans on scoring four touchdowns or the kicker plans on scoring a touchdown or something absurd like that). We understand that the Bears’ kicker has had games this year of 11, 4, 11, 10, and 11 points, but let’s be realistic. First off, Gould is going to miss a kick every now and again, something that he has yet to do all season long, and if you think that Chicago is going to score four touchdowns or more in 60% of their games as they are doing this year, you’re out of your skull. This is just an insanely high number, especially knowing that this game is likely going to be played in rainy conditions and on a wet field. Robbie Gould Total Points Under 9.5 (-130)

Brian Urlacher Total Tackles Over/Under 5.5: We aren’t so sure whether we like Urlacher’s ‘under’ better or LB Lance Briggs ‘over’. Odds have it, both are going to be sound plays. Urlacher is clearly a step behind where he used to be, and he really looks like nothing more than a “pretty good” middle linebacker. He has to spend more plays on the sidelines now than he has had to do in the past, and as a result, he doesn’t have a single game this year in which he has more than five tackles. Sure, the time is going to come when Urlacher has an eight-tackle game or something of the sorts, and this very well could be that game. But we have to remember that this is all about playing the percentages, and the percentages most certainly say that Urlacher is going to be stuck at five tackles or fewer a whole heck of a lot more often than not. Brian Urlacher Total Tackles Under 5.5 (-130)

Kellen Davis Receiving Yards Over/Under 25.5: Davis might get some more publicity this week for two reasons for the Bears. For starters, he is one of the three people on the team that are expected to be active that have at least eight receptions on the season. One is WR Brandon Marshall, who is going to draw all sorts of attention, and one is RB Matt Forte. The rest of the massive receivers that QB Jay Cutler have to work with are out of the fold, namely WR Johnny Knox and WR Alshon Jeffrey, but in the end, Davis might emerge as a legitimate threat. In each of the last four games this year, Davis has had at least 20 receiving yards, though he has struggled to reach this threshold. Our argument is that there should be at least a couple more pass attempts thrown his way on Monday, and if that turns out to be the case, Davis should be able to get to at least 30 yards receiving more often than not. Kellen Davis Receiving Yards Over 25.5 (+100)

Jason Hanson Total Points Over/Under 9.5: Here we go again with these insane kicking props. We’ll keep this brief, as the explanation really is the same for Hanson as it was for Gould. Yes, Hanson has three games this year with at least four field goals made, but the time is coming that that is just going to stop. He is on a pace to boot 51 field goals this year, and that would smash the NFL record by seven field goals. Last year, Hanson only had 24 field goals and 29 field goal attempts in 16 games. He just won’t be able to keep up at this pace for the whole campaign under any circumstance. Jason Hanson Total Points Under 9.5 (-115)

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears NFL Props @ BetOnline Sportsbook (as of 10/22/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -115
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -115

Lions Score First +130
Bears Score First -160

First Score a Touchdown -175
First Score Not a Touchdown +145

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 45.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 45.5 Yards -115

Matthew Stafford Completions Over 25.5 -125
Matthew Stafford Completions Under 25.5 -105

Matthew Stafford Longest Completion Over 39.5 Yards -115
Matthew Stafford Longest Completion Under 39.5 Yards -115

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Over 280.5 -115
Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Under 280.5 -115

Matthew Stafford Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -140
Matthew Stafford Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +110

Matthew Stafford Throws an Interception -240
Matthew Stafford Doesn’t Throw an Interception +180

Mikel Leshoure Rushing Yards Over 62.5 -115
Mikel Leshoure Rushing Yards Under 62.5 -115

Mikel Leshoure Scores a Touchdown +150
Mikel Leshoure Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -190

Calvin Johnson Receptions Over 6.5 -115
Calvin Johnson Receptions Under 6.5 -115

Calvin Johnson Longest Yardage Receptions Over 33.5 -115
Calvin Johnson Longest Yardage Receptions Under 33.5 -115

Calvin Johnson Receiving Yards Over 95.5 -115
Calvin Johnson Receiving Yards Under 95.5 -115

Calvin Johnson Scores a Touchdown -115
Calvin Johnson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Nate Burleson Receptions Over 4.5 -115
Nate Burleson Receptions Under 4.5 -115

Nate Burleson Receiving Yards Over 48.5 -115
Nate Burleson Receiving Yards Under 48.5 -115

Tony Scheffler Receptions Over 2.5 -115
Tony Scheffler Receptions Under 2.5 -115

Ndamukong Suh Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 2.5 -115
Ndamukong Suh Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 2.5 -115

Jason Hanson Total Points Over 9.5 -115
Jason Hanson Total Points Under 9.5 -115

Jay Cutler Completions Over 20 -130
Jay Cutler Completions Under 20 +100

Jay Cutler Passing Yards Over 250.5 -115
Jay Cutler Passing Yards Under 250.5 -115

Jay Cutler Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -150
Jay Cutler Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +120

Jay Cutler Throws an Interception -200
Jay Cutler Doesn’t Thrown an Interception +160

Matt Forte Total Rushing + Receiving Yards Over 108.5 -115
Matt Forte Total Rushing + Receiving Yards Under 108.5 -115

Matt Forte Scores a Touchdown -140
Matt Forte Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +110

Brandon Marshall Receptions Over 6.5 -115
Brandon Marshall Receptions Under 6.5 -115

Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Over 90.5 -115
Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Under 90.5 -115

Brandon Marshall Scores a Touchdown -125
Brandon Marshall Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -105

Alshon Jeffrey Receptions Over 2.5 -115
Alshon Jeffrey Receptions Under 2.5 -115

Alshon Jeffrey Receiving Yards Over 33.5 -115
Alshon Jeffrey Receiving Yards Under 33.5 -115

Kellen Davis Receiving Yards Over 25.5 +100
Kellen Davis Receiving Yards Under 25.5 -130

Lance Briggs Total Tackles Over 5.5 +100
Lance Briggs Total Tackles Under 5.5 -130

Brian Urlacher Total Tackles Over 5.5 +100
Brian Urlacher Total Tackles Under 5.5 -130

Julius Peppers Total Tackles Over 2.5 -140
Julius Peppers Total Tackles Under 2.5 +110

Charles Tillman Intercepts a Pass +240
Charles Tillman Does Not Intercept a Pass -320

Robbie Gould Total Points Over 9.5 +100
Robbie Gould Total Points Under 9.5 -130

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Posted in NFL Football - Last Updated on Sunday, October 21st, 2012 @ 1:11 pm (EST)
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