Posts Tagged ‘NFL Prop Bets’

NFL Prop Picks: Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Redskins Tips 1/6

January 5th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Redskins Tips 1/6
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Full Seahawks vs. Redskins NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Redskins CheerleadersThe Washington Redskins and Seattle Seahawks are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the Wild Card betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Pierre Garcon Over/Under 63.5 Receiving Yards: Garcon has averaged 5.5 receptions for 79.2 yards per game over the course of his last six, and he is back to being the favorite target for QB Robert Griffin III in the passing game when he is needed. We’re a bit wary over the fact that Garcon is going to be up against these great Seattle corners, but considering the fact that he is the leading receiver on this team and only played in 10 games this year, there is a tremendous reason to think that is the passing game is needed, Garcon will be the man that ends up with the football in his hands when push comes to shove. Pierre Garcon Over 63.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Will Robert Griffin III Throw an Interception?: We love the assumption here that RG3 is going to get picked off in this game more often than not even though he was only intercepted five times in 15 games for the whole season. Seattle, yes, was one of the best intercepting teams in the league this year, but this is still about what the former Heisman Trophy winner is going to do, not what the defense around him is going to do. RG3 doesn’t put the ball in the air a ton, and as long as the rushing game continues to get some good work in, there is no reason to think that he’ll throw it more than 25 times against two great Seattle corners. Griffin has just one pick since Week 12 against the Dallas Cowboys, and there is no reason to think that he’ll get into trouble in this game more than half the time either. Robert Griffin III To Not Throw an Interception (+120)

Steven Hauschka Over/Under 7.5 Points: It’s a tough prop to back, knowing that kickers can be wildly inconsistent, but this could be the day for Hauschka to shine. He has booted multiple field goals in three of his last four games, and he has tried at least two field goals in six of his eight road games this year. Just in the last four games, Hauschka has scored eight, six, 14, and 16 points, and he really has become a weapon, missing just three times on the whole year. The veteran knows what he is doing, and he is playing behind an offense that has the mentality that it is okay to kick field goals and leave it up to the defense to do the rest. If that remains the case on Sunday, once there is a bit of resistance for the Seattle offense, expect to see Washington force Head Coach Pete Carroll to trot Hauschka on the field at least three times in this game. Steven Hauschka Over 7.5 Points (-130)

Will Golden Tate Score a Touchdown?: We do have to admit that it has been awhile since Tate has scored a touchdown this year, as you have to go all the way back to Week 13 to find the last time that he scored. Still, there’s some great value here on Tate, who scored five of his seven touchdowns this year against teams that made it to the playoffs. We know that this man has some of the strongest hands in the league, and QB Russell Wilson definitely isn’t afraid to put it up there for him, just as we saw in the Hail Mary that ultimately beat the Green Bay Packers way back in Week 3. With seven TDs in 15 games, we have to think that this is at least a 40% proposition that we are getting a great price on. Golden Tate To Score a Touchdown (+160)

Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Redskins NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 1/6/13):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -140
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game +110

Seahawks Score First -125
Redskins Score First -105

First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -125
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards -105

Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Over 3.5 +130
Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Under 3.5 -160

Total Punts by Both Teams Over 9 -115
Total Punts by Both Teams Under 9 -115

Total Sacks by Both Teams Over 4.5 +105
Total Sacks by Both Teams Under 4.5 -135

Game Will Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points +260
Game Will Not Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points -340

Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored +150
No Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored -180

Largest Lead of the Game Over 13.5 +100
Largest Lead of the Game Under 13.5 -130

Russell Wilson Completions Over 16.5 -115
Russell Wilson Completions Under 16.5 -115

Russell Wilson Passing Yards Over 220.5 -115
Russell Wilson Passing Yards Under 220.5 -115

Russell Wilson Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -140
Russell Wilson Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +110

Russell Wilson Throws an Interception -170
Russell Wilson Doesn’t Throw an Interception +135

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Over 36.5 -115
Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Under 36.5 -115

Marshawn Lynch Rushing Yards Over 101.5 -115
Marshawn Lynch Rushing Yards Under 101.5 -115

Marshawn Lynch Rushing Yards on First Carry Over 3.5 -130
Marshawn Lynch Rushing Yards on First Carry Under 3.5 +100

Marshawn Lynch Rushing Yards on Longest Carry Over 23.5 -115
Marshawn Lynch Rushing Yards on Longest Carry Under 23.5 -115

Marshawn Lynch Scores a Touchdown -240
Marshawn Lynch Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +180

Marshawn Lynch Receiving Yards Over 14.5 -115
Marshawn Lynch Receiving Yards Under 14.5 -115

Sidney Rice Receptions Over 3.5 +100
Sidney Rice Receptions Under 3.5 -130

Sidney Rice To Score a Touchdown +170
Sidney Rice To Not Score a Touchdown -220

Golden Tate Receiving Yards Over 46.5 -115
Golden Tate Receiving Yards Under 46.5 -115

Golden Tate Scores a Touchdown +160
Golden Tate Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -200

Zach Miller Receiving Yards Over 25.5 -115
Zach Miller Receiving Yards Under 25.5 -115

Doug Baldwin Receptions Over 2.5 +120
Doug Baldwin Receptions Under 2.5 -150

Richard Sherman Intercepts a Pass +300
Richard Sherman Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -400

Steven Hauschka Points Over 7.5 -130
Steven Hauschka Points Under 7.5 +100

Robert Griffin III Passing Yards Over 206.5 -115
Robert Griffin III Passing Yards Under 206.5 -115

Robert Griffin III Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +130
Robert Griffin III Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -160

Robert Griffin III Throws an Interception -150
Robert Griffin III Doesn’t Throw an Interception +120

Robert Griffin III Rushing Yards Over 46.5 -115
Robert Griffin III Rushing Yards Under 46.5 -115

Robert Griffin III Scores a Rushing Touchdown +260
Robert Griffin III Doesn’t Score a Rushing Touchdown -340

Alfred Morris Rushing Yards Over 90.5 -115
Alfred Morris Rushing Yards Under 90.5 -115

Alfred Morris Yards on First Rushing Attempt Over 3.5 -115
Alfred Morris Yards on First Rushing Attempt Under 3.5 -115

Alfred Morris Yards on Longest Rush From Scrimmage Over 18.5 -115
Alfred Morris Yards on Longest Rush From Scrimmage Under 18.5 -115

Alfred Morris Scores a Touchdown -200
Alfred Morris Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +160

Pierre Garcon Receptions Over 5.5 -115
Pierre Garcon Receptions Under 5.5 -115

Pierre Garcon Receiving Yards Over 63.5 -115
Pierre Garcon Receiving Yards Under 63.5 -115

Pierre Garcon Scores a Touchdown +160
Pierre Garcon Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -200

Santana Moss Receiving Yards Over 36.5 -115
Santana Moss Receiving Yards Under 36.5 -115

Santana Moss Scores a Touchdown +180
Santana Moss Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -240

London Fletcher Tackles Over 9.5 +100
London Fletcher Tackles Under 9.5 -130

DeAngelo Hall Intercepts a Pass +350
DeAngelo Hall Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -500

Kai Forbath Points Over 8 +105
Kai Forbath Points Under 8 -135

NFL Props: Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers Predictions 1/5

January 4th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Props: Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers Predictions 1/5
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Full Vikings vs. Packers NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Green Bay PackersThe Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the Wild Card betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Largest Lead of the Game Over/Under 16.5 Points: Considering the fact that the largest margin of victory in this series this year was just nine points in a game, it’s really tough to see how one of these two sides ends up pulling ahead by three scores at any point in the clash. With the way that RB Adrian Peterson runs the football, and the fact that this is one of those Black and Blue Division games that should be close from the get go, we really don’t see all that much of a way that this game ever gets too far out of hand for either team. Largest Lead of the Game Under 16.5 Points (-130)

Adrian Peterson Over/Under 126.5 Rushing Yards: It’s the squarest prop play on the board, and it’s the play that is going to garner the most attention of all of the props, probably all postseason long until the Super Bowl. Peterson rushed for 199 yards and 211 yards in two games against the Packers this year, so the common thought is that he absolutely has to have at least 127 yards on the ground in this one, right? That’s exactly what the oddsmakers are trying to get you to think. This is the playoffs. This is the second straight week that the Packers have lined up against this monster. They know what it will take to take him down. Sure, Peterson might carry the ball 40 times and get there that way, but in all likelihood, he doesn’t touch it more than 25. Even the great Adrian Peterson didn’t reach 127 rushing yards in nine out of 16 games this year, and odds have it, he isn’t going to get there in this one either. Adrian Peterson Under 126.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Aaron Rodgers Over/Under 292.5 Passing Yards: It’s going to be around 20 degrees at kickoff. It’s cold. It’s really cold. We know that Rodgers is used to playing in this weather, but he isn’t going to get to 300 passing yards more often than not in it. Don’t fall in love with last week’s game where Rodgers threw for 365 yards and four scores. He’s not doing that all that often. In fact, in outdoor games of late, Rodgers has thrown for 342, 291, 173, 286, 219, 218, 186, and 235 yards. Don’t see a lot of 293+ numbers on there, eh? The Vikes don’t have a fantastic secondary, but what they do have is a running game that controls the clock with regularity. If Minnesota does ride the back of Peterson to the tune of 150+ rushing yards for the team on the day and carries the ball 35-40 times as a team, it’s going to be really tough for Rodgers to have the ball for long enough to throw for this many yards. Aaron Rodgers Under 292.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Will Mason Crosby Miss a Field Goal?: Again, it’s cold, and the ball is going to be awfully heavy in this game. Crosby missed 12 times this season, and he missed those kicks in nine total games. There was a stretch of eight straight games between Week 7 and Week 15 where Crosby missed at least once. Granted, he hasn’t missed since that point, and he does historically have a heck of a leg, but in the end, kickers are weird. They get misses in their head and don’t get them out, and that could be what happens (and is happening) to Crosby. There has to be at least a 40% chance that he is going to miss a kick in this game, and we’re going to be right there to cash in on it when he does. Mason Crosby To Miss a Field Goal Attempt (+140)

Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 1/5/13):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -130
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game +100

Vikings Score First +145
Packers Score First -175

First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -110
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -120

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -125
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards -105

Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Over 3.5 +115
Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Under 3.5 -145

Total Punts by Both Teams Over 8.5 -115
Total Punts by Both Teams Under 8.5 -115

Total Sacks by Both Teams Over 5.5 +105
Total Sacks by Both Teams Under 5.5 -135

Game Will Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points +400
Game Will Not Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points -600

Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored +160
No Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored -200

Largest Lead of the Game Over 16.5 +100
Largest Lead of the Game Under 16.5 -130

Christian Ponder Throws Touchdown First -140
Christian Ponder Throws Interception First +110

Christian Ponder Completions Over 17.5 -115
Christian Ponder Completions Under 17.5 -115

Christian Ponder Passing Yards Over 191.5 -115
Christian Ponder Passing Yards Under 191.5 -115

Christian Ponder Throws an Interception -300
Christian Ponder Doesn’t Throw an Interception +220

Christian Ponder Rushing Attempts Over 3.5 -135
Christian Ponder Rushing Attempts Under 3.5 +105

Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards Over 126.5 -115
Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards Under 126.5 -115

Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards on First Carry Over 3.5 -130
Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards on First Carry Under 3.5 +100

Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards on Longest Carry Over 29.5 -115
Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards on Longest Carry Under 29.5 -115

Adrian Peterson Scores a First Half Touchdown +130
Adrian Peterson Doesn’t Score a First Half Touchdown -160

Adrian Peterson Scores a Touchdown -220
Adrian Peterson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +170

Michael Jenkins Receiving Yards Over 36.5 -115
Michael Jenkins Receiving Yards Under 36.5 -115

Kyle Rudolph Receiving Yards Over 37.5 -115
Kyle Rudolph Receiving Yards Under 37.5 -115

Kyle Rudolph Scores a Touchdown +160
Kyle Rudolph Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -200

Chad Greenway Tackles Over 8.5 -115
Chad Greenway Tackles Under 8.5 -115

Jared Allen Sacks Over 1.5 +120
Jared Allen Sacks Under 1.5 -150

Blair Walsh Points Over 8.5 -115
Blair Walsh Points Under 8.5 -115

Aaron Rodgers Completions Over 25.5 -130
Aaron Rodgers Completions Under 25.5 +100

Aaron Rodgers Longest Completion Over 38.5 Yards -115
Aaron Rodgers Longest Completion Under 38.5 Yards -115

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Over 292.5 -115
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Under 292.5 -115

Aaron Rodgers Touchdown Passes Over 2.5 -110
Aaron Rodgers Touchdown Passes Under 2.5 -120

Aaron Rodgers Throws an Interception -130
Aaron Rodgers Doesn’t Throw an Interception +100

Packers Score a Rushing Touchdown -150
Packers Don’t Score a Rushing Touchdown +120

Jordy Nelson Receiving Yards Over 56.5 -115
Jordy Nelson Receiving Yards Under 56.5 -115

Jordy Nelson Scores a Touchdown +140
Jordy Nelson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Greg Jennings Receptions Over 5.5 +105
Greg Jennings Receptions Under 5.5 -135

Greg Jennings Receiving Yards Over 64.5 -115
Greg Jennings Receiving Yards Under 64.5 -115

Greg Jennings Scores a Touchdown +100
Greg Jennings Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -130

Randall Cobb Receptions Over 4.5 -115
Randall Cobb Receptions Under 4.5 -115

Randall Cobb Receiving Yards Over 64.5 -115
Randall Cobb Receiving Yards Under 64.5 -115

Jermichael Finley Receptions Over 4.5 -130
Jermichael Finley Receptions Under 4.5 +100

Jermichael Finley Receiving Yards Over 54.5 -115
Jermichael Finley Receiving Yards Under 54.5 -115

Clay Matthews Records a Sack or Half Sack -240
Clay Matthews Doesn’t Record a Sack or Half Sack +180

Casey Hayward Intercepts a Pass +260
Casey Hayward Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -340

Mason Crosby Points Over 8.5 -115
Mason Crosby Points Under 8.5 -115

Mason Crosby Misses a Field Goal Attempt +140
Mason Crosby Doesn’t Miss a Field Goal Attempt -170

NFL Props: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Houston Texans Predictions 1/5

January 4th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Props: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Houston Texans Predictions 1/5
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Full Bengals @ Texans NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Texans vs. BengalsThe Houston Texans and Cincinnati Bengals are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Wild Card betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Total Sacks Over/Under 5.5: There were six sacks when these two teams played last year in the playoffs, and both teams were expert sack masters this year. The Bengals and Texans combined for 95 sacks this year, which would average out to 5.9 sacks per game. DE JJ Watt by himself could be a monster that comes up with three or four sacks. On top of that, the interior linemen for the Bengals are outstanding, and DT Geno Atkins is one of the more underrated players in all of football. QB Matt Schaub has been sacked 10 times over the course of his last three games, and if the Houston offensive line doesn’t improve, this is going to be a slam dunk of an ‘over’ bet. Over 5.5 Sacks (-120)

Andy Dalton Passing Yards Over/Under 234.5: We continue to reference last year’s playoff game because it is our best point of reference for this one. Dalton, as a rookie, threw for 257 yards in his first ever playoff game, and though he did toss three interceptions, it’s not the picks, but the yards that we’re ultimately worried about. It seems like a bit of a joke to try to bet the ‘over’ in this game, knowing that Dalton only got there once in the last seven games that he played from start to finish (forget about Week 17). Prior to that though, the Bengals’ signal caller threw for at least 235 yards six times in his first eight games. The Texans did rank 16th in the league this year, allowing 225.6 passing yards per game, which seems like it should lead to a lower scoring passing total for Dalton, but this secondary has been downright atrocious over the course of the last several weeks. The truth of the matter is that this might be the best prop play of the bunch. Andy Dalton Over 230.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Arian Foster Over/Under 96.5 Rushing Yards: Foster continues to be the workhorse of the Houston offense this year, and with the way that QB Matt Schaub has played (1 TDs in his L/4 games), there is no reason to think that Foster won’t get force fed the ball the same way that he did last year after Schaub was knocked out of the lineup and replaced with QB Matt Leinart and then QB TJ Yates. Foster is generally an awfully smooth runner, though he averaged just 4.1 yards per carry this year. He logged at least 100 rushing yards seven times this year, and we think that this is No. 8 against a Cincinnati defense that is allowing 107.2 rushing yards per game on average. Arian Foster Over 96.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Kevin Walter Over/Under 2.5 Receptions: We really like what Walter brings to this Houston team, but the truth of the matter is that he has fallen out of favor over the course of the last few weeks. The Eastern Michigan grad has just six total receptions in his last four games, and he has only exceeded 2.5 receptions three times since Week 7. That just doesn’t cut it for us in this one. Schaub does a lot more looking to his tight ends and his H-Back than he does to his second wide receiver, and both WR Lester Jean and WR Keshawn Martin have had bigger roles in the lineup as well over the course of the last several weeks. It just doesn’t seem like Walter is going to get enough looks to get to this reception total. Kevin Walter Under 2.5 Receptions (+100)

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Houston Texans NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 1/5/13):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -110

Bengals Score First +115
Texans Score First -145

First Score a Touchdown -160
First Score Not a Touchdown +130

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 41.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 41.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -115
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards -115

Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Over 3.5 +100
Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Under 3.5 -130

Total Punts by Both Teams Over 9.5 -115
Total Punts by Both Teams Under 9.5 -115

Total Sacks by Both Teams Over 5.5 -120
Total Sacks by Both Teams Under 5.5 -110

Game Will Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points +280
Game Will Not Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points -360

Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored +150
No Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored -180

Largest Lead of the Game Over 13.5 -115
Largest Lead of the Game Under 13.5 -115

Andy Dalton Completions Over 21.5 -115
Andy Dalton Completions Under 21.5 -115

Andy Dalton Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards -115
Andy Dalton Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards -115

Andy Dalton Passing Yards Over 234.5 -115
Andy Dalton Passing Yards Under 234.5 -115

Andy Dalton Throws an Interception -320
Andy Dalton Doesn’t Throw an Interception +240

BenJarvus Green-Ellis Rushing Yards Over 64.5 -115
BenJarvus Green-Ellis Rushing Yards Under 64.5 -115

BenJarvus Green-Ellis Scores a Touchdown +180
BenJarvus Green-Ellis Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -240

AJ Green Receptions Over 6.5 +100
AJ Green Receptions Under 6.5 -130

AJ Green Longest Reception Over 25.5 Yards -130
AJ Green Longest Reception Under 25.5 Yards +100

AJ Green Scores a Touchdown -105
AJ Green Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -125

Jermaine Gresham Receiving Yards Over 42.5 -115
Jermaine Gresham Receiving Yards Under 42.5 -115

Jermaine Gresham Scores a Touchdown +220
Jermaine Gresham Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -300

Andrew Hawkins Receiving Yards Over 40.5 -115
Andrew Hawkins Receiving Yards Under 40.5 -115

Geno Atkins Records a Sack or Half Sack -200
Geno Atkins Doesn’t Record a Sack or Hal Sack +160

Vontaze Burfict Tackles Over 8.5 -115
Vontaze Burfict Tackles Under 8.5 -115

Rey Maualuga Tackles Over 7.5 -115
Rey Maualuga Tackles Under 7.5 -115

Josh Brown Points Over 8.5 -110
Josh Brown Points Under 8.5 -120

Matt Schaub Throws a Touchdown First -260
Matt Schaub Throws an Interception First +200

Matt Schaub Completions Over 21.5 +100
Matt Schaub Completions Under 21.5 -130

Matt Schaub Longest Completion Over 35.5 Yards -115
Matt Schaub Longest Completion Under 35.5 Yards -115

Matt Schaub Passing Yards Over 240.5 -115
Matt Schaub Passing Yards Under 240.5 -115

Matt Schaub Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +130
Matt Schaub Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -160

Arian Foster Rushing Yards Over 96.5 -115
Arian Foster Rushing Yards Under 96.5 -115

Arian Foster Yards on First Rushing Attempt Over 3.5 -115
Arian Foster Yards on First Rushing Attempt Under 3.5 -115

Arian Foster Longest Rush Over 20.5 Yards -115
Arian Foster Longest Rush Under 20.5 Yards -115

Arian Foster Receptions Over 2.5 -120
Arian Foster Receptions Under 2.5 -110

Arian Foster Scores a First Half Touchdown +115
Arian Foster Doesn’t Score a First Half Touchdown -145

Andre Johnson Receptions Over 7.5 +105
Andre Johnson Receptions Under 75 -135

Andre Johnson Receiving Yards Over 90.5 -115
Andre Johnson Receiving Yards Under 90.5 -115

Andre Johnson Scores a Touchdown +180
Andre Johnson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -240

Kevin Walter Receptions Over 2.5 -130
Kevin Walter Receptions Under 2.5 +100

Kevin Walter Receiving Yards Over 33.5 -115
Kevin Walter Receiving Yards Under 33.5 -115

Owen Daniels Receptions Over 3.5 -145
Owen Daniels Receptions Under 3.5 +115

Owen Daniels Receiving Yards Over 42.5 -115
Owen Daniels Receiving Yards Under 42.5 -115

Owen Daniels Scores a Touchdown +170
Owen Daniels Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -220

JJ Watt Tackles Over 4.5 -135
JJ Watt Tackles Under 4.5 +105

JJ Watt Sacks Over 1.5 +130
JJ Watt Sacks Under 1.5 -160

Kareem Jackson Intercepts a Pass +300
Kareem Jackson Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -400

Shayne Graham Points Over 8.5 -115
Shayne Graham Points Under 8.5 -115

Sunday Night Football Predictions: Cowboys vs. Redskins Props 12/30

December 29th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Sunday Night Football Predictions: Cowboys vs. Redskins Props 12/30
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Full Cowboys vs. Redskins NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Tony RomoThe Washington Redskins and Dallas Cowboys are set to finish off the 2012 NFL regular season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 17 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Sunday Night Football matchup.

Team To Score First: This is an oddball happening that might just be totally random, and it might be something to really think about. The Redskins have won six games in a row both SU and ATS since their bye week. That’s quirky in itself, but what’s even quirkier is that four of those wins came in games in which the opponents scored first against them. Washington has had a lot of moxie in these games, and that could prove to be the case once again in this one. However, Dallas has had a good history of getting out of the blocks early, scoring first in two of its last three games. There’s got to be at least a 50/50 chance that the Cowboys are the team that draw first blood in this one. Dallas Cowboys To Score First (+100)

Tony Romo Over/Under 302.5 Passing Yards: Romo needs 315 passing yards to make it to 5,000 for the season, and many think that he has been playing the best ball of his career over the course of the last several weeks. The truth of the matter is that since Week 8 against the New York Giants, a game that was lost 29-24, Romo has been on fire. He has averaged 338.8 passing yards per game, has had three 400+ yard performances, seven 300+ yard performances, and he has a TD/INT ratio of 17/3. Washington’s secondary was torn apart for 441 yards when these two teams met back on Thanksgiving Day, and it still has one of the worst back fours of all of the potential playoff teams this year. Romo is going to be up against it, but we have to think that he is going to get to this number more often than he doesn’t in a spot like this one. Tony Romo Over 302.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Tony Romo Over/Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns: Did you catch that last stat about Romo and his TD passes? He has 17 TD passes in his last eight games, including 12 in his last five games. He has at least two TD passes in four of those five outings, and the opportunities to get on the board via the pass are going to be there for sure in this one whether Mother Nature behaves and gives us good weather or not in Week 17. If Dallas has any chance to get into the playoffs, Romo is going to have no choice but to throw for at least two, and maybe a heck of a lot more touchdowns. Tony Romo Over 1.5 Touchdown Passes (-160)

Will Dez Bryant Score a Touchdown?: Broken finger or not, Bryant just continues to be a force for the Cowboys. He has hooked up with Romo for at least one touchdown in seven straight games. The pessimist could say that Bryant is due for a letdown game. However, we have to look at the pure numbers, and there is just no way that we could do anything but bet ‘yes’ on this prop. The argument could be made that Bryant has been the best receiver in the league over the course of the last seven weeks, in which he has averaged 6.6 receptions, 115.4 yards, and 1.4 touchdowns per game, and we have to think that he is going to find the end zone at least once in this one more often than not. Dez Bryant To Score a Touchdown (-115)

Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Redskins NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 12/30/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -110

Cowboys Score First +100
Redskins Score First -130

First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 47.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 47.5 Yards -115

Tony Romo Passing Yards Over 302.5 -115
Tony Romo Passing Yards Under 302.5 -115

Tony Romo Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -160
Tony Romo Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +130

Dez Bryant Receiving Yards Over 85.5 -115
Dez Bryant Receiving Yards Under 85.5 -115

Dez Bryant Scores a Touchdown -115
Dez Bryant Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Robert Griffin III Completions Over 19 -115
Robert Griffin III Completions Under 19 -115

Alfred Morris Rushing Yards Over 90.5 -115
Alfred Morris Rushing Yards Under 90.5 -115

NFL Prop Picks: New York Jets vs. Tennessee Titans Predictions 12/17

December 14th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: New York Jets vs. Tennessee Titans Predictions 12/17
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Full Jets @ Titans NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

The Tennessee Titans and New York Jets are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 15 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Shonn Greene Over/Under 68.5 Rushing Yards: We do have to remember that the Titans rank 24th in the NFL against the rush. Greene might be averaging just 3.8 yards per carry this year, but he does carry the ball a ton and has 230 carries on the campaign. RB Bilal Powell has really cut into the time that Greene spends on the field, but over the course of the last three games, in spite of Powell’s presence, Greene has still reached the 70+ yard mark. It just makes too much sense not to back Greene’s ‘over’ in this one, especially knowing that his degree of success might be the only thing that keeps the Jets in this (or any other) game. Shonn Greene Over 68.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Chris Johnson Over/Under 2.5 Receptions: It’s a tricky prop because of the price that is attached to the number, but the basic implication here is that the oddsmakers are insinuating that this over/under should be right at three. And that sounds just about right. Johnson does have seven receptions in his last two games, but he had just three receptions in total the two games prior to that. It seems as though QB Jake Locker would rather get the ball up the field, something that he is going to have the opportunity to do against a sometimes suspect Jets defense. We’re going to play the percentages and hope that CJ will be held in check, at least as a receiver on Monday night. Chris Johnson Under 2.5 Receptions (+120)

Kenny Britt Over/Under 3.5 Receptions: Remember how we said that Locker wanted to get the ball up the field more? This is the man that he is going to be looking for. Britt had eight receptions last week for 143 yards, and it is clear, now that the Titans have a new offensive coordinator, that they are going to try to get the ball in the hands of their playmaker from Rutgers more often. Creatively, Tennessee has used Britt in some shorter pass routes to go with some of the deep balls, and he is going to likely find some openings in spite of the fact that DB Antonio Cromartie will likely be following him all over the field. The Jets just aren’t disciplined enough to keep him totally quiet, especially with DB Darrelle Revis having long since been on IR. Kenny Britt Over 3.5 Receptions (-125)

Rob Bironas Over/Under 7.5 Points: All of a sudden over the course of the last few weeks, the Jets just haven’t allowed all that many field goal attempts. However, earlier in the year, this team was all about giving up points to kickers. The Jets had a stretch of seven games in which they allowed at least 11 points to kickers five times and at least seven to every kicker that they faced… And that was after a total of four missed field goals in that stretch to boot! Bironas has a huge leg, and he has at least 11 points in three of his last four games. He has attempted at least three field goals in all of those games, and he has missed twice, both of which came in games in which he had huge efforts. This could be another one of those great days for Bironas to make an impact. Rob Bironas Over 7.5 Points (-130)

New York Jets vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 12/17/12):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -110

Jets Score First -110
Titans Score First -120

First Score a Touchdown -145
First Score Not a Touchdown +115

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 40.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 40.5 Yards -115

Jets To Throw a Touchdown Pass First -140
Jets To Throw an Interception First +110

Jets Pass Completions Over 17 -120
Jets Pass Completions Under 17 -110

Shonn Greene Rushing Yards Over 68.5 -115
Shonn Greene Rushing Yards Under 68.5 -115

Shonn Greene Scores a Touchdown +120
Shonn Greene Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

Bilal Powell Rushing Attempts Over 12.5 -110
Bilal Powell Rushing Attempts Under 12.5 -120

Jeremy Kerley Receptions Over 4 +100
Jeremy Kerley Receptions Under 4 -130

Jeremy Kerley Receiving Yards Over 49.5 -115
Jeremy Kerley Receiving Yards Under 49.5 -115

Chaz Schilens Receptions Over 2 -120
Chaz Schilens Receptions Under 2 -110

David Harris Total Tackles Over 7.5 -115
David Harris Total Tackles Under 7.5 -115

Antonio Cromartie Intercepts a Pass +300
Antonio Cromartie Does Not Intercept a Pass -400

Nick Folk Points Over 6 -130
Nick Folk Points Under 6 +100

Jake Locker Pass Completions Over 20.5 -115
Jake Locker Pass Completions Under 20.5 -115

Jake Locker Passing Yards Over 232.5 -115
Jake Locker Passing Yards Under 232.5 -115

Jake Locker Throws a Touchdown First -140
Jake Locker Throws an Interception First +110

Chris Johnson Receptions Over 2.5 -150
Chris Johnson Receptions Under 2.5 +120

Chris Johnson Scores a Touchdown -105
Chris Johnson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -125

Nate Washington Scores a Touchdown +200
Nate Washington Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -260

Kenny Britt Receptions Over 3.5 -125
Kenny Britt Receptions Under 3.5 -105

Kendall Wright Receptions Over 4.5 +100
Kendall Wright Receptions Under 4.5 -130

Kendall Wright Receiving Yards Over 46.5 -115
Kendall Wright Receiving Yards Under 46.5 -115

Rob Bironas Points Over 7.5 -130
Rob Bironas Points Under 7.5 +100

Sunday Night Football Picks: 49ers vs. Patriots Props/Prop Sheet 12/16

December 14th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Sunday Night Football Picks: 49ers vs. Patriots Props/Prop Sheet 12/16
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Full 49ers vs. Patriots NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Tom Brady PatriotsThe New England Patriots and San Francisco 49ers are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 15 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Sunday Night Football matchup.

Colin Kaepernick Over/Under 47.5 Rushing Yards: This is a really tough one, but we think that the moment is going to really get to Kaepernick in this one. That means that he is probably going to throw the ball less and run it more. The former Nevada QB has rushed for at least 53 yards in three out of five games since taking over as a starter, and there is a good chance that he is going to take off at least a half dozen times, if not a heck of a lot more against a New England defense that tends to be pretty darn aggressive. This could work against us this week, but we think that it is a sound investment to play on the ‘over’. More often than not, it looks like Kaepernick has the ability to bust a big run, as he has three rushes this year of at least 30 yards, and we’ll take our chances. Colin Kaepernick Over 47.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Tom Brady Over/Under 23.5 Pass Completions: This is a pretty high number for a Brady completion total, but we expect that this is going to be a heck of a lot more of a game than some of the games that he has played in lately. Remember that over the course of the last several close games, Brady has completed 24 passes against Miami, 23 against Buffalo, 26 against New York, 36 against Seattle, and 23 against Denver. It’s really tough to run the ball against this San Francisco defense, so we expect to see a lot of these short passes to the various inside options to make up for what RB Stevan Ridley and the gang probably won’t be able to find. In the end, we think that this will be a day when the Brady Bunch comes up with at least 25 pass completions. Tom Brady Over 23.5 Pass Completions (-125)

Wes Welker Over/Under 7 Receptions: Did you read the last paragraph that we just wrote? Who do you think is going to be catching all those passes? Welker has caught 95 balls this year, and that includes five games this year with more than seven catches (and two other games with exactly seven catches). Sure, a bum ankle could be problematic for Welker, but this could be (and likely is) nothing more than a typical Patriots injury distinction, declaring an injury just for the sake of letting us in the media talk about it. The 49ers play bend but don’t break defense as well as any team in football, and though Welker might get a ton of receptions, he might not get all that many yards. We don’t care though, whether Welker gets 50 yards or 250 yards as long as he gets his eight receptions. Wes Welker Over 7 Receptions (+100)

Stephen Gostkowski Over/Under 9 Points: It’s really tough to score 10 points in a game if you’re a kicker, even if you’re the Patriots’ kicker. That means that Gostkowski is going to need to come up with either two field goals and three TDs to push (two field goals and four TDs to win) or three field goals and a TD to push (three field goals and two TDs to win). Sure, Gostkowski has had a great year and has averaged 9.85 points per game this year. However, he has also had no field goals in two of his last three games, and he still has a ton of misses this year. The 49ers aren’t going to give anyone in the opportunity to score six or seven times in a game as will probably be required for him to get there, so by default, we have to bet against Gostkowski in this one, especially at even money. Stephen Gostkowski Under 9 Points (+100)

San Francisco 49ers vs. New England Patriots NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 12/16/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -110

49ers Score First +125
Patriots Score First -155

First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115

Colin Kaepernick Passing Yards Over 230.5 -115
Colin Kaepernick Passing Yards Under 230.5 -115

Colin Kaepernick TD Passes + INTs Over 2.5 +140
Colin Kaepernick TD Passes + INTs Under 2.5 -180

Colin Kaepernick Rushing Yards Over 47.5 -115
Colin Kaepernick Rushing Yards Under 47.5 -115

Colin Kaepernick Scores a Rushing Touchdown +120
Colin Kaepernick Does Not Score a Rushing Touchdown -150

Frank Gore Rushing Yards Over 70.5 -115
Frank Gore Rushing Yards Under 70.5 -115

Frank Gore Scores a Touchdown +100
Frank Gore Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -130

Michael Crabtree Receptions Over 5.5 -105
Michael Crabtree Receptions Under 5.5 -125

Michael Crabtree Receiving Yards Over 69.5 -115
Michael Crabtree Receiving Yards Under 69.5 -115

Michael Crabtree Scores a Touchdown +140
Michael Crabtree Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Vernon Davis Receptions Over 3.5 +100
Vernon Davis Receptions Under 3.5 -130

Vernon Davis Scores a Touchdown +160
Vernon Davis Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -200

NaVorro Bowman Total Tackles Over 8.5 -115
NaVorro Bowman Total Tackles Under 8.5 -115

Patrick Willis Total Tackles Over 7.5 -130
Patrick Willis Total Tackles Under 7.5 +100

David Akers Points Over 7.5 -130
David Akers Points Under 7.5 +100

Tom Brady Completions Over 23.5 -125
Tom Brady Completions Under 23.5 -105

Tom Brady Passing Yards Over 280.5 -115
Tom Brady Passing Yards Under 280.5 -115

Tom Brady Throws an Interception -160
Tom Brady Doesn’t Throw an Interception +130

Stevan Ridley Rushing Yards Over 70.5 -115
Stevan Ridley Rushing Yards Under 70.5 -115

Wes Welker Receptions Over 7 +100
Wes Welker Receptions Under 7-130

Wes Welker Receiving Yards Over 83.5 -115
Wes Welker Receiving Yards Under 83.5 -115

Wes Welker Scores a Touchdown +115
Wes Welker Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -145

Brandon Lloyd Receptions Over 4.5 -105
Brandon Lloyd Receptions Under 4.5 -125

Brandon Lloyd Receiving Yards Over 56.5 -115
Brandon Lloyd Receiving Yards Under 56.5 -115

Aaron Hernandez Scores a Touchdown -110
Aaron Hernandez Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -120

Jerod Mayo Total Tackles Over 8.5 -140
Jerod Mayo Total Tackles Under 8.5 +110

Stephen Gostkowski Points Over 9 -130
Stephen Gostkowski Points Under 9 +100

NFL Prop Picks: Texans vs. Patriots Prop Sheet Predictions 12/10

December 9th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Texans vs. Patriots Prop Sheet Predictions 12/10
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Full Texans @ Patriots NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Patriots CheerleadersThe New England Patriots and Houston Texans are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 14 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Will Either Team Score in the First 6:00 Of the Game?: Though the Texans are averaging right near 30 points per game this year, and though the Patriots score 30+ (heck, sometimes even 50+) at home against virtually everyone, both teams tend to come out of the blocks a little more conservative. Houston especially, loves to get the ball rolling with RB Arian Foster and work on that stretch play that they run better than anyone in the league. They tend to take their time and be methodical. The defense is going to do what it can to make sure that QB Tom Brady doesn’t get the ball up the field in a hurry, and as long as WR Wes Welker and the deep threats all stay in front of the Houston DBs, Head Coach Gary Kubiak is going to be a happy man. There’s a reason that this prop is set at 6:00 and not at the 5:30 or 5:00 that we would be expecting for a game that has a ‘total’ that is posted this high. No Score in the First 6:00 (+105)

Matt Schaub Over/Under 260.5 Passing Yards: Though we know that we are going to see plenty of Foster in this game, we are going to see Schaub put the ball up in the air as well. When the props post on WR Andre Johnson, we think that he is going to be in for a huge game when push comes to shove. Johnson has had 28 catches over the course of the last three games, and he had solid games against both the Broncos and the Ravens this year when he was called upon, including catching a 60-yard touchdown pass against Denver. Schaub has already thrown for over 3,000 yards this year, though we probably should take out that 527 yard game against the Jaguars from consideration for this. Still, that’s three out of five games getting past the 260-yard mark, and if you believe that the Texans are going to play this one from behind at any point, this is a prop that you figure should be a winner in a big time game. Matt Schaub Over 260.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Arian Foster Rushing Yards Over/Under 92.5: Just because Schaub and Johnson could have a heck of a lot of fun on Monday doesn’t mean that Foster can’t as well. Remember that he has had at least 90 yards in five out of six games, and he is going to be up against a New England defense that has historically been weak against ground games. Look at Houston’s toughest opponents this year and see what Foster did to them. He ran for 105 on Denver and 98 on Baltimore, not to mention 102 on Chicago. That’s an awfully good indication, especially off of a week in which he only carried the ball 14 total times, that Foster is going to be in for a much, much better day when push comes to shove this time around versus New England. Arian Foster Rushing Yards Over 92.5 (-115)

Tom Brady Over/Under 1.5 Touchdown Passes: One might think that this is a bit of a trick play when looking at the NFL betting lines. After all, Brady should easily be able to throw for two touchdowns, even against this stout Houston defense, right? The truth of the matter is that the Texans only rank 19th against the pass this year, and Brady had played six games in a row with at least two touchdown passes before last week’s narrow escape from the Miami Dolphins. Brady now has 25 TDs against just four picks this year, and it is clear that he is going to have his opportunities to score in this game. Houston’s defense is good, but this is Brady at home. Sure, he only had one score against the Broncos at Gillette this year, but remember that we only have to win this one five out of seven times to make it worthwhile. There’s no way that Brady is going to have three games out of seven in which he doesn’t throw at least two TD passes. Tom Brady Passing Touchdowns Over 1.5 (-250)

Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 12/10/12):
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Score in the First 6:00 Minutes of the Game -135
No Score in the First 6:00 Minutes of the Game +105

Texans Score First +105
Patriots Score First -135

First Score a Touchdown -210
First Score Not a Touchdown +165

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 50.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 50.5 Yards -115

Matt Schaub Passing Yards Over 260.5 -115
Matt Schaub Passing Yards Under 260.5 -115

Matt Schaub Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -140
Matt Schaub Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +110

Arian Foster Rushing Yards Over 92.5 (-115)
Arian Foster Rushing Yards Under 92.5 (-115)

Tom Brady Pass Completions Over 25 -115
Tom Brady Pass Completions Under 25 -115

Tom Brady Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -250
Tom Brady Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +190

Tom Brady Throws An Interception -130
Tom Brady Doesn’t Throw An Interception +100