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Sportbet.com is back with some more tremendous Superbowl props, and today at Bankroll Sports, we’re dissecting another of the weaker lines that they have to offer so you can cash in with Super Bowl picks! We’ll look at the Pittsburgh Steelers and how many completions they are going to have against the Green Bay Packers.

First off, let’s remember that this prop is for the Steelers total number of completions, not just those of QB Ben Roethlisberger. We’re protected in the event that Big Ben gets hurt, and we are also given a bonus if there is anyone else out of left field who completes a pass on a trick play. These things are key, as they always have to be considered when playing props of this sort. Roethlisberger’s completions alone could be found as high as 19.5 at some sportsbooks, making this a tremendous price.

Off to the prop itself… Roethlisberger averaged 20 completions per game in the 12 duels that he played in the regular season. He had exactly 19 completions against the Baltimore Ravens, but the number that is really scaring most away from this prop is the 10 that he had against the New York Jets. Odds have it though, that the Steelers aren’t going to be jumping out to this 24-0 lead the same way that they did against the Jets in the AFC Championship Game, meaning the offense is going to need to be more well balanced here than it was in that one. RB Rashard Mendenhall might not have the same type of success in this one as he did against the Jets when he rumbled for 121 yards. The track in this one is also going to be in great weather, as it is played in a dome, and not in the wind and winter blustery weather.

Especially if the Steelers end up falling behind at any point in this game, there is a great chance that Big Ben is going to be asked to do a little bit more than just stand there and hand the ball off to Mendenhall. Pittsburgh should complete at least 19 passes without any doubt.

Free Super Bowl Picks: Pittsburgh Over 18.5 Completions -125 at Sportbet

The Super Bowl is just a bit over a week away, but we are making our Superbowl picks for props as always on a nightly basis. Today, we look at Rashard Mendenhall, and how many carries that he will get against the Green Bay Packers in Super Bowl XLV.

The first thing that we have to take in consideration in this one is that Mendenhall carried the ball a whopping 371 times this year in his 18 games including the playoffs. That’s an average of 20.6 times per game. He had more than 19.5 carries nine times this year, which really should make this a 50/50 prop… right?

Wrong.

What we have to remember is that the Packers have a tremendous pass defense, and Head Coach Mike Tomlin and company know it. QB Ben Roethlisberger will have to make his plays against a ferocious bunch, and as a result, he is going to be relying on Mendenhall to take off some of the load.

Mendenhall is a horse, as he has demonstrated in the playoffs, as he has carried the ball 20 and 27 times in games against two of the toughest defenses that this league has to offer, the New York Jets and the Baltimore Ravens. Even when things aren’t going well and he is getting stuffed up at the point of attack, the Steelers continue to use him. The other critical factor is that there aren’t any running backs on this team that are stealing many of his carries, save for the short spell here and there.

The former member of the Illinois Fighting Illini also only had one run this year of longer than 38 yards, and that came way back in Week 1 of the season against the Atlanta Falcons. He’s more prone to just pounding the rock up in the hole, taking his few yards, and coming back to do it all over again.

Mendenhall will get into the 20s with ease, and he should be able to dominate this Super Bowl betting prop.

Free Super Bowl Picks: Rashard Mendenhall Over 19.5 Carries (-115) at Hollywood Sportsbook

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Our prop analysis goes from the ridiculous to the sublime here at Bankroll Sports, and for today’s free Super Bowl pick, we’re going to take a look at the first TD celebration of the game and how it will be done.

There are some absolutely hilarious options at BetUS Sportsbook, including the Funky Chicken, the old Sharpie trick, and the one that we absolutely know we would all want to see, mooning the fans.

Let’s be realistic here, though. There are probably only a few reasonable options here on the board. We’ve seen players show their biceps all the time, and we know that the dunk through the uprights is really popular to boot. The typical TD spike is always a popular one, and in this day and age, the good ol’ salute is always a classy celebration.

But honestly, we already know if it is a member of the Green Bay Packers that does the scoring of the first TD of the game, the odds have it, there is going to be a Championship Belt symbol thrown up there. Heck, it wasn’t just QB Aaron Rodgers that did it against the Chicago Bears in the NFC Championship Game. DT BJ Raji did it as well, and you know if the big man is trying to be the champ, so is everyone else on the Packers.

Here’s the thing though, from a legitimate handicapping standpoint. We know that the Pittsburgh Steelers are full of some real bad dudes, and they aren’t going to take this “championship belt” thing lightly. Though we aren’t so sure that a man like RB Rashard Mendenhall would do it, we know that a guy like a LB James Harrison or a QB Ben Roethlisberger absolutely would.

You know you want to bet on this one, so don’t even try to avoid it. The first TD celebration in Superbowl XLV betting action is going to be the signaling of the championship belt around someone’s waist.

Free Super Bowl Picks: Championship Belt Celebration +200 at BetUS Sportsbook

Super Bowl XLV Odds for First TD Celebration @ BetUS Sportsbook (as of 1/27/11):
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Touchdown Spike +200
Championship Belt +200
Round Off or Back Flip +500
Snow Angel +1000
Chicken Dance +500
Dunks Football Through the Uprights +350
Dirty Bird +500
Shows His Biceps +600
The Worm +1500
Pulls Out Cell Phone +1200
Throat Slash +500
River Dance +1200
Takes Cheerleader’s Pompoms +1500
Pulls Out Sharpie, Signs Football +1500
Moons Fans +2000
Quiets the Crowd +500
Military Salute +700
The Squirrel +1200
Funky Chicken +1500
Lambeau Leap +200
The Shuffle +1500
Fun Bunch +1500

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We aren’t just keying in on the simple props like passing yards and rushing yards here at Bankroll Sports. For the biggest game of the year, we are leaving no stone unturned for our Super Bowl picks! Today, our free Super Bowl pick of the day revolves around the punters and whether there will be a ball booted into the end zone for a touchback over the course of the game.

For the most part, logic tells you that you that this is a no brainer. It feels like there is a touchback in every game, but in all actuality, the sportsbooks are really trying to trick you into thinking this, and they hope that you back the “yes,” only to find that you’ll be greatly disappointed in the end.

However, it’s not just that simple. Green Bay Packers P Tim Masthay did end up booming one into the end zone last week, probably because he was really worried about WR Devin Hester getting his hands on the pigskin for the Chicago Bears. In fact, two of the six touchbacks that Masthay has in his 18 games this year came because of Hester and the Bears. He really doesn’t have all that much to worry about with the Steelers, as there isn’t a player standing back that could take punts in this one that is known as that explosive of a player that could return for to the house at a moment’s notice.

The punter that we are worried about screwing this up for us is Jeremy Kapinos. He had a touchback in the Divisional Round of the playoffs against the Baltimore Ravens, and in seven games this season, he had four touchbacks. Still, the Steelers quite often will let the ball stay in QB Ben Roethlisberger’s hands when they are close enough to go for it on 4th down to avoid punting, which could play right into our hands in this prop.

Between Kapinos and Masthay, they had 25 games and 11 punts between them. This theoretically should be about a 50/50 proposition, and considering we are getting +120 odds, we’ll gladly jump at them.

Free Super Bowl Picks: No Touchback in the Game +120 at Oddsmaker Sportsbook

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Here at Bankroll Sports, we are continuing our analysis of the Super Bowl XLV odds with our first look at our Free Superbowl Prop Picks. The very first one of these props that we are going to take a look at is the man that is going to score the first touchdown of the game.

Logic tells you that Pittsburgh Steelers RB Rashard Mendenhall should be the selection in this one, as he has three of the Steelers’ TDs in these playoffs, and when they get down close to the goal line, Mendenhall is the man getting the pigskin. However, we’re going to head down the board just a tad to the second favorite to beat the Super Bowl betting lines.

Green Bay Packers WR Greg Jennings was the leader on the team in the regular season with a dozen TDs on the year, and QB Aaron Rodgers usually loves to do what he can to get Jennings the ball early and often. Unfortunately, he hasn’t found his way into the end zone yet in the playoffs, but it feels like he is the only one that hasn’t for this team. Jennings was clearly vocal after the NFC Wild Card game in which he had just one reception against the Philadelphia Eagles, as he has eight grabs in both of the last two duels. We’re getting some great odds here on Jennings to be the first touchdown scorer in this game at 6.50 to 1, and we are going to cash in on this one for sure.

Free Super Bowl Prop Picks: Greg Jennings to Score the First Touchdown +650

Super Bowl Prop Odds: First Touchdown Scorer @ Sportbet Sportsbook (as of 1/24/11):
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Rashard Mendenhall +450
Greg Jennings +650
Mike Wallace +650
James Starks +950
Hines Ward +1000
James Jones +1000
Donald Driver +1200
Heath Miller +1200
John Kuhn +1200
Aaron Rodgers +1600
Emmanuel Sanders +1600
Jordy Nelson +1600
Ben Roethlisberger +2000
Antonio Brown +2000
Isaac Redman +3300
Brandon Jackson +3300
Mewelde Moore +3300
Andrew Quarless +3300
Tom Crabtree +3300
Matt Spaeth +4000
No TD Scored in Game +5000

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Click Here For A Full List of 2010 Superbowl Odds & Other Football Futures From Bodog

The 2009 NFL Football Season is in some cases upside down from the way the league looked in 2008. The Tennessee Titans who started their 2008 season a perfect 10-0 remain winless at 0-3. The same can be said for the Carolina Panthers who were tied with the Giants for best regular season record in the NFC just one year ago. At least the Panthers are just 2-0, but are pretty sizeable underdogs entering tomorrow night’s battle with Dallas. Still, if you look at some of the teams in the league who would have thought the Jets at this time appear to be the best team in the AFC East over the Patriots and San Francisco sits a top the NFC West at a perfect 3-0.

It just goes to show that no matter how much preseason predictions and reviews that nothing truly matters until teams actually step onto the gridiron. While the season is definitely going to have its twist and turns throughout the remaining 13 weeks of the regular season, we are going to break down some of the teams that may have a shot at the 2010 Super Bowl based what we have seen thus far in the year. Keep in mind that you will have teams that get cold and hot, and things will definitely change. However, it’s hard to pass up the chance to catch the Super Bowl odds while they are at their most profitable. Take a second to look at a few teams who are considered to be 2010 Super Bowl Champion contenders.

#5. New Orleans Saints - 9 to 1 (@ BetUS)

The New Orleans Saints quick 3-0 start may be a surprise to some, but if you paid attention to our preseason predictions we had the Saints to win the NFC South due to their potent offense. Well the season has a long way to go, but so far Drew Brees is proving us right. The Saints are 3-0 including an impressive win over Philadelphia in that stretch. Brees already has 9 touchdowns in just 3 games and is completing 70% of his passes while owning the highest quarterback rating in the league at 118.1. The Saints offense which is averaging 40 points per game remains one of the most prolific passing attacks in the NFL. Last season the Saints were extremely good on offense, but the defense was just as horrible giving up 25 points per game. The Saints defense definitely will not be the strong point of the team. However if they can have more similar performances like they did last Sunday holding Buffalo to 7 points and 243 total yards, then they are going to be extremely difficult to beat.

#4. Minnesota Vikings – 12 to 1 (@ BetUS)

Lets just first start off by saying “wow” to another Brett Farve classic last week. If you missed it, Farve threw a 50 yard laser from the 40 yard line to the back of the end zone finding WR Greg Lewis with 2 seconds to go lifting the Vikings over the 49ers in what has to be the play of the year by season’s end. Farve is the reason the Vikings could contend by the end of the season if he can stay healthy. The reason is not that he is the most important player on the field because that role goes to Adrian Peterson, but because he can make the plays when needed with his arm. The Vikings have struggled to find a quarterback that could move the ball without giving up 17 interceptions as they did in 2008. Farve has thrown just 1 pick this year even though he has thrown more than any other quarterback in his career. However, do not expect to see a lot of picks thrown by the 40 year old this year. The Vikings will keep the work load on running back Adrian Peterson who is undoubtedly the best rusher in the NFL fresh off a 1,760 yard season in 2008. The Vikings won the NFC North with all the troubles in the passing game last year. Imagine if they get consistency in the passing game and the defense continues to improve.

#3. New England Patriots - 8 to 1 (@ Oddsmaker)

First off let’s go ahead and state that the Patriots have looked absolutely nothing like a Super Bowl caliber team thus far this season. However, it’s hard to think a team this talented will not explode back to the dominating team that has ruled the NFL over the last decade. Tom Brady got off to a rusty start and perhaps has not looked as sharp as normal, but that can be expected following a knee injury. However, the offense has too many weapons to be contained. Sure, the New York Jets are playing well but the Patriots remain favorites to win the Super Bowl. New England bounced back last week beating up on the Atlanta Falcons 26-10 which should indicate even when they are not playing their best they are still among the best in the league. Brady has not been on target when the deep throws and the offense has yet to get the production needed from Wes Welker. However once those few misfires start sparking again, the Patriots are going to be tough to beat in the latter part of the season.

#2. Baltimore Ravens - 9 to 1 (@ BetUS)

It may be difficult to judge just how good the Ravens are considering they have yet to play any team with a winning record from 2008. However, we still have some high praises for this team. It all starts with the defense which is again among tops in the league. The Ravens defense ranked 2nd overall just a season ago and they could be well on their way to another strong year. We predicted the Ravens to pull of the upset over Pittsburgh in the preseason and they are going to have every opportunity. The reason the Ravens may be destined for more success in 2009 is due to the offense that has matured into a productive unit. QB Joe Flacco threw for a career high 342 yards in last week’s blowout over Cleveland 34-3. Flacco has looked sharp in just his 2nd year in the league and as a result 4 different wide receivers are already over 100 yards receiving. Add to the fact, Ray Rice and Willis McGahee are coming along nicely in the backfield and this team is going to be as dangerous as any in the AFC. The Ravens offense has slowly but consistently improved and they are going to be solid this season. As long as the defense does not fade, the Ravens could easily make a run at the AFC Championship.

#1. Indianapolis Colts – 12 to 1 (@ BetUS)

These odds are very inviting with the Colts sitting as +1200 to win the Super Bowl. Manning has been red hot in the opening games throwing over 300 yards in each contest. The Colts blew out the defending NFC Champions last week in Arizona 31-10. The Colts defense is playing extremely well holding opponents to just 15 points per game thus far in the season. The Colts defense will play a huge factor in the Colts success, but as of now everything seems to be on track. If Manning stays on fire, the Colts return to glory may be inevitable. Still, they are going to need Joseph Addai or rookie Donald Brown to get the running game going. The Colts are going to face some situations where they need their running backs to pick up first downs so it is imperative the rushing game come out of extinction. If that happens, there is not any other team in the league playing better right now.

Honorable Mention -

I’m sure some may wonder why the New York Giants are not on the list even though they may be Super Bowl contenders. The Giants are receiving 7 to 1 odds to win the Super Bowl and off to a solid 3-0 start. However, the Giants still are a concern because they way they fall apart last year. The Giants barely escaped a Washington team that was beaten by Detroit last week and hit a game winning field goal in their win over Dallas who many would consider as a bit over rated. QB Eli Manning has played well but that is nothing new for the Giants early in the year. Their biggest challenge is a lot like their biggest foes the Dallas Cowboys. The question is how will the team hold up later in the year? The big play threat at the receiver position is still in question. Steve Smith has played well and so has the emergence of Mario Manningham. However, it will be interesting to see how those young guys hold up. If they get better and do not fade, the Giants will be right in the mix. If not then it will be another disappointing story like the 2008 season.

Current odds to win the Super Bowl From BetUS (as of 9/29/09)
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