Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Prop Picks (11/14/11)

Last Updated: November 14th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Minnesota Vikings First Team To Score
It really seems like the Packers are the popular pick here at -230, but we have to remember the percentages. Green Bay would have to score first in over 70 percent of the games to win this NFL prop, and that is truly a stunning rate. The Vikings just aren’t going to be afraid of the Packers, especially after they came out with guns blazing in the first meeting at the HHH Metrodome with a 70 yard pass play on the first play from scrimmage. Know that you are going to lose this prop significantly more often than not, but know that you are going to win it enough to make a sizeable profit in the long run. Minnesota Vikings Score First (+190 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Longest Touchdown Over/Under 49.5 Yards
Just take a look at WR Jordy Nelson’s numbers over the course of these last few games. He has a catch of at least 50 yards in four of his last seven, and he always seems to find the end zone when he breaks free like that. Just right there, you’ve got enough proof that a 50+ yard touchdown could be scored at least half the time. QB Aaron Rodgers isn’t afraid to uncork the long balls at any point, and QB Christian Ponder showed that he can do it as well after taking a 70 yard shot on the first play of the game when these teams met three weeks ago. Parlay all of that with a Green Bay defense that has a propensity to turn you over and score and players like WR Percy Harvin and RB Adrian Peterson in purple, and the recipe is there for at least one incredibly long touchdown when push comes to shove. Longest Touchdown Over 49.5 Yards (-120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Aaron Rodgers Over/Under 2.5 TD Passes
It’s sad to say, but we really have no choice but to take the ‘over’ in this one. The Vikings have allowed a slew of touchdowns this year to opposing quarterbacks, including three to Rodgers in October. The former Cal Golden Bear has three straight games with at least three touchdown passes, and he has six 3+ touchdown games in eight tries this year. It’s not like the Packers ever really slow down their offense, as there is just little confidence in the ground game with RBs Ryan Grant and James Starks. Rodgers has 24 scores in eight games this year, and he is probably going to end up adding three or four more touchdown strikes to that tally. It’s a chalky proposition, but with the way that the Packers are playing offensively, we just don’t see any other reasonable options but to play Rodgers’ over. Rodgers Over 2.5 TD Passes (-165 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

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Posted in NFL Football - Last Updated on Monday, November 14th, 2011 @ 7:42 am (EST)
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