NFL Prop Picks: Houston Texans vs. New York Jets Predictions 10/8

Last Updated: October 8th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Full Texans @ Jets NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

The New York Jets and Houston Texans are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 5 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Longest Touchdown Over/Under 40.5 Yards: The Jets sure as heck aren’t driving down the field and scoring all that many touchdowns in this game, so if they are going to get the job done and get into the end zone, it is going to come from quite a ways out. Houston meanwhile, has all of the cards in its control on Monday, knowing that it can spread the field and attack this Jets secondary, which is severely depleted. We saw Head Coach Gary Kubiak go after DB Champ Bailey and DB Tracy Porter of the Denver Broncos time and time again two weeks ago, and that might be the game plan again in this one. Look for QB Matt Schaub to find one of his streaking receivers down the field at some point for a long score. We think there will be a couple of these big ones that hit the board when push comes to shove on Monday. Longest Touchdown Over 40.5 Yards (-115)

Arian Foster Total Rushing Yards Over/Under 103.5: We might be certifiably insane to go against Foster in a game like this one, but we think that Houston is going to air it out a bit more. RB Ben Tate is likely out of the fold, and he is certainly in the doghouse, but Kubiak wants to keep Foster fresh, meaning he probably won’t touch the ball more than 25 times as he has done at times this year. The problem for the New York defense has actually been stopping the run this year, as it has set up the secondary to get crushed for long passes. Still, Foster isn’t going to rush for a number this big more often than not in this type of a spot, especially in a game where Houston might prove to be a tad sluggish offensively. Arian Foster Rushing Yards Under 103.5 (-115)

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Mark Sanchez Total Passing Yards Over/Under 205.5: The Houston secondary is holding teams down to just 182.8 passing yards per game this year, and though there haven’t been a lot of the big time quarterbacks on the schedule yet, it isn’t like Sanchez is all that much better than Ryan Tannehill or Blaine Gabbert. The man they call “The Sanchise” has thrown for 103, 306, and 138 yards over the course of the last three weeks, and in spite of the fact that Head Coach Rex Ryan is sticking with the man from USC as his quarterback, the pressure has to be mounting that the time is near for QB Tim Tebow to get the call. The truth of the matter is that we don’t think Sanchez makes it through the third quarter before getting replaced, and especially in a game where he won’t have WR Santonio Holmes, WR Stephen Hill, or TE Dustin Keller. Mark Sanchez Under 205.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Shonn Greene Rushing Yards Over/Under 55.5: Greene almost certainly has to get 15-20 carries in this game, unless he is replaced by RB Bilal Powell at some point. The problem that we see with Greene though, is that he is in a time share and has lost control of that time split at this point. Sure, while the Jets are still in this game and not playing catch up, it’ll be Greene that gets the majority of the time. However, even with 20 carries, getting 55 yards against this Houston defense isn’t a guarantee. We’re not taking our chances. Too many bad things could happen on Monday to Greene. Shonn Greene Rushing Yards Under 55.5 (-115)

Houston Texans vs. New York Jets NFL Props @ BetOnline Sportsbook (as of 10/8/12):
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Score in the First 7 Minutes of the Game -135
No Score in the First 7 Minutes of the Game +105

Texans Score First -190
Jets Score First +155

First Score a Touchdown -150
First Score Not a Touchdown +120

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 40.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 40.5 Yards -115

Matt Schaub Completions Over 20 -130
Matt Schaub Completions Under 20 +100

Matt Schaub Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards -115
Matt Schaub Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards -115

Matt Schaub Passing Yards Over 240.5 -115
Matt Schaub Passing Yards Under 240.5 -115

Matt Schaub Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -130
Matt Schaub Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +100

Matt Schaub Throws an Interception -180
Matt Schaub Doesn’t Throw an Interception +140

Arian Foster Rushing Yards Over 103.5 -115
Arian Foster Rushing Yards Under 103.5 -115

Arian Foster Scores a Touchdown -180
Arian Foster Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +140

Andre Johnson Receptions Over 5 -130
Andre Johnson Receptions Under 5 +100

Andre Johnson Receiving Yards Over 76.5 -115
Andre Johnson Receiving Yards Under 76.5 -115

Andre Johnson Scores a Touchdown +120
Andre Johnson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

Kevin Walter Receptions Over 3 +120
Kevin Walter Receptions Under 3 -150

Kevin Walter Scores a Touchdown +200
Kevin Walter Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -260

Owen Daniels Receptions Over 4 -120
Owen Daniels Receptions Under 4 -110

Owen Daniels Receiving Yards Over 55.5 -115
Owen Daniels Receiving Yards Under 55.5 -115

Owen Daniels Scores a Touchdown +140
Owen Daniels Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

James Casey Receptions Over 3 +110
James Casey Reception Under 3 -140

Brian Cushing Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 7.5 -105
Brian Cushing Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 7.5 -125

Shayne Graham Total Points Over 7.5 -115
Shayne Graham Total Points Under 7.5 -115

Mark Sanchez Completions Over 18 -115
Mark Sanchez Completions Under 18 -115

Mark Sanchez Passing Yards Over 205.5 -115
Mark Sanchez Passing Yards Under 205.5 -115

Mark Sanchez Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +140
Mark Sanchez Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -180

Mark Sanchez Throws an Interception -250
Mark Sanchez Doesn’t Thrown an Interception +190

Shonn Greene Rushing Yards Over 52.5 -115
Shonn Greene Rushing Yards Under 52.5 -115

Shonn Greene Scores a Touchdown +140
Shonn Greene Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Tim Tebow Yards on First Rushing Attempt Over 4.5 +100
Tim Tebow Yards on First Rushing Attempt Under 4.5 -130

Jeremy Kerley Receptions Over 3.5 -115
Jeremy Kerley Receptions Under 3.5 -115

Jeremy Kerley Scores a Touchdown +170
Jeremy Kerley Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -220

Chaz Schilens Receptions Over 2.5 -150
Chaz Schilens Receptions Under 2.5 +120

Stephen Hill Yards on First Reception Over 11.5 -115
Stephen Hill Yards on First Reception Under 11.5 -115

David Harris Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 8.5 -125
David Harris Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 8.5 -105

Nick Folk Total Points Over 7.5 +115
Nick Folk Total Points Under 7.5 -145

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Posted in NFL Football - Last Updated on Monday, October 8th, 2012 @ 3:45 am (EST)
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