Posts Tagged ‘Week Four trends’

2010 NFL Trends: Week 4 Cheat Sheet

October 1st, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Trends: Week 4 Cheat Sheet
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Week 4 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 4 NFL matchups.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 ET: Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
NFL Trends of Note
The Packers are just 9-2-1 ATS in their L/12 overall
Detroit is 1-6-1 ATS in its L/8 in division
The Lions are 2-6-2 ATS in their L/10 roadies

Series History
Green Bay has simply dominated this series, winning every game dating back to the first clash in 2005, a stretch of nine straight overall. In that run, Detroit has only covered two spreads, with the most recent cover coming at Lambeau Field in December 2008. The Pack have averaged 35.0 PPG over their L/6 with Detroit and haven’t scored less than 26 points in a game in that stretch.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints
NFL Trends of Note
Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its L/8 against teams with a winning record
The Saints are 2-7 ATS in their L/9 as favorites
New Orleans is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 played on field turf

Series History
Carolina has actually won all but two of the L/9 meetings dating back to 2005. Last season’s was a Panthers ATS sweep, as there was no issue knocking off either NFL spread over the course of the year. Carolina has four straight ATS under its belt against the Saints and is 7-2 ATS over the L/9 ATS as well as SU. The L/2 meetings went ‘under’ the ‘total’, while five of the L/6 have failed to reach the number.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Denver Broncos @ Tennessee Titans
NFL Trends of Note
Denver has covered three straight against the Titans overall
Tennessee is 2-10 ATS in its L/12 years in Week 4
The Titans are 10-4 ATS in their L/14 against teams with losing records

Series History
As we’ve already said, it’s been awhile since Tennessee has come up with a ‘W’ in this series. You have to go back to 1995 to find the last regular season triumph. However, Denver hasn’t visited the Music City since 2004. It walked out a winner that day to the tune of 37-16. The Broncos have at least 34 on the board in each of their L/3 meetings with Tennessee, while the Titans have scored 20, 10, and 16 respectively in those three duels.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns
NFL Trends of Note
The Bengals are 1-13 ATS in their L/14 years in Week 4
Cincinnati is 3-8 ATS in its L/11 overall
The Browns are 8-1 ATS in their L/9 games played in October

Series History
These two teams simply don’t like each other a whole bunch. The Bengals might have won both games last year SU, but the Browns won the ATS war in each clash. The underdog has covered six straight overall. Four of the L/5 have stayed ‘under’ the number, while the ‘under’ is 8-3 in the L/11 meetings in the Dawg Pound. The Browns haven’t won a game here against Cincinnati since 2007 in that wild 51-45 game in which QB Derek Anderson threw five TD passes and RB Jamal Lewis rushed for 216 yards.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
NFL Trends of Note
The Niners are 1-7-1 ATS in their L/9 played in October
San Fran is 9-3-2 ATS in its L/14 against teams with a winning record
Atlanta is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 home games

Series History
Last year, Atlanta marched into AT&T Park and absolutely crippled the 49ers 45-10 as short underdogs. All of a sudden, San Fran badly needs to make amends for that. However, the Niners haven’t won a game in this series since these two teams were in the NFC West together, a stretch of three straight dating back to 2001. San Francisco also hasn’t scored more than 19 points in a game in this series since then. The Falcons are 5-3 ATS over the L/8 meetings.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Seattle Seahawks @ St. Louis Rams
NFL Trends of Note
Seattle is 1-9 ATS in its L/10 on the road
St. Louis is 7-22 ATS in its L/29 against the NFC West
The Rams are 7-17 ATS in their L/24 against teams with a winning record

Series History
It’s been Seattle, Seattle, and more Seattle since 2005 in this series, as the Seahawks haven’t lost a game to the Rams in that stretch. Several of these games were absolute beat downs as well, as five of the L/9 have been decided by at least ten points. The Seahawks have covered six straight in this series and eight out of ten overall. Seattle has put at least 23 on the board in all ten clashes.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL Trends of Note
The Ravens are 7-2-1 ATS in their L/10 as underdogs of a field goal or less
Baltimore is 22-10-1 ATS in its L/33 played on grass
The Steelers are 35-17-2 ATS in their L/54 games played in October

Series History
Even though you’d tend to believe that both of these teams are prone to ‘under’ games, it has been the ‘over’ that has cashed quite a bit. In fact, ‘over’ bettors are a whopping 6-1-1 in the L/8 meetings of these arch rivals. The home team has won six of the L/7, but Baltimore has been the one losing host and is just 2-5 in those seven. The Steelers are 3-0-1 ATS over their L/4 clashes, including already nearly winning one game with QB Dennis Dixon under center last year in Baltimore.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills
NFL Trends of Note
The Jets are 2-10 ATS in their L/12 played in October
New York is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 against the AFC
Buffalo is 3-11 ATS in its L/14 home games

Series History
The underdog is a whopping 20-8 ATS over the L/28 meetings of these two AFC East rivals. An eight game winning streak for the pup ATS in this series came to a close last December when the Jets walked out of Ralph Wilson Stadium with a 19-13 win. The road team has won six of the L/8, with each team winning one road game. Both meetings last year stayed well ‘under’ the ‘total’, and there has only been one ‘over’ since 2006 (4-1-1).

Sunday, October 3rd, 4:05 PM ET: Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL Trends of Note
The Colts are 10-2 ATS in their L/12 played in October
Jacksonville is 7-25 ATS in its L/32 played on grass
The Jags are 4-14 ATS in their L/18 played at home

Series History
Indianapolis has always had some problems with the Jags, but over the L/5 years, this series has been cut fairly down the middle. The team split the SU and ATS proceedings in each of the L/4 years even though the Colts have only lost twice in that stretch. The Colts haven’t lost in Jacksonville since December 2006, including last year’s 35-31 victory, which marked the third straight trip here with at least 29 points scored.

Sunday, October 3rd, 4:05 PM ET: Houston Texans @ Oakland Raiders
NFL Trends of Note
Houston is 7-1 ATS in its L/8 years in Week 4
The Texans are 4-1 ATS in five meetings against the Raiders
Oakland is just 17-39-1 ATS in its L/57 home games

Series History
Last year, the Texans trounced the Raiders 29-6 at home to dominate the nine point spread. It was the first time in which a favorite even won a game SU in this series, let alone ATS, and if you would like, you can even include the one preseason matchup of these teams in there as well from 2005. Historically, this series is a very low scoring one, as no game has featured more than 47 points, while the L/2 have easily stayed ‘under’ the number.

Sunday, October 3rd, 4:15 PM ET: Arizona Cardinals @ San Diego Chargers
NFL Trends of Note
The Cards have won seven straight ATS in October
Arizona is 10-2 ATS in its L/12 as an underdog
The Bolts have covered five straight following an ATS defeat

Series History
There aren’t many regular season meetings between these two teams since the start of the 2000s in spite of the fact that it feels like they meet every year in the preseason. San Diego won 27-20 on New Year’s Eve 2006, but the Cards covered the 14 point NFL odds that day. In 2002, the Bolts won 23-15 in Tucson, while in 2001, Arizona trumped the Chargers here at Qualcomm Stadium 20-17 in a very similar looking game to the one that will be played on Sunday.

Sunday, October 3rd, 4:15 PM ET: Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles
NFL Trends of Note
The Skins are 4-1-3 ATS in their L/8 played on grass
Washington is 4-10-1 ATS in its L/15 played in October
The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their L/5 in October

Series History
For whatever reason, Washington has seemed to have the Eagles’ number in spite of the fact that it has largely stunk in that stretch. The Eagles did win both games last year but only went 1-1 ATS with the ‘Skins covering here in the City of Brotherly Love. In fact, the last time that Philly covered a home game against Washington was back in 2006, a 27-3 victory. Since that point, the Redskins are 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS.

Sunday, October 3rd, 8:20 PM ET: Chicago Bears @ New York Giants
NFL Trends of Note
Chicago is 3-8 ATS in its L/11 road games
New York is 1-8 ATS in its L/9 against teams with a winning road record
The road team is 8-0 both SU and ATS in this series dating back to 1992

Series History
And if that isn’t a golden trend for Bears bettors, we don’t know what is! Chicago hasn’t lost a game in the Meadowlands since the 1980s and has won all of its meetings in the 1990s and 2000s by at least seven points. All four duels in the 1990s played past the ‘total’, but since that point, ‘under’ bettors are 3-2 and none of the three ‘unders’ got anywhere near the ‘total’.

Monday, September 27th, 8:30 PM ET: New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
NFL Trends of Note
New England is just 2-6 ATS in its L/8 against the AFC East
The Dolphins are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 in division
Miami is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 played in October

Series History
Miami beat the Pats at home last year 22-21 for its fourth cover in the L/5 games in this series. Big time spreads are nothing new in this rivalry either, as the Dolphins have been double digit dogs four times just since 2007, including being a 22 point dog in Gillette Stadium in ’07. Both clashes last year stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’, which bucked the trend of three out of four ‘overs’ over the previous two years.