Posts Tagged ‘Super Bowl props’

Superbowl 46 Props: New England Patriots Super Bowl Prop Picks

January 30th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Superbowl 46 Props: New England Patriots Super Bowl Prop Picks
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Bovada Sportsbook is one of our favorite sportsbooks, as it has some of the best football props that you will find on the internet. Check out our Super Bowl prop sheet for the New England Patriots, as they get ready to try to exact some revenge in Super Bowl 46.

Tom Brady Passing Yards Over/Under 320.5: Brady is going to be under the gun in this one, knowing that he has a fantastic pass rush coming his way. He hasn’t historically played all that well in the playoffs of late, though he obviously has the pedigree of playing well enough to win in these big time games. Brady also has a set of receivers that has been banged up. TE Rob Gronkowski is the most notable injury concern, as he has an ankle injury that has kept him out of practice. If Gronk can’t give it a go or is limited for whatever reason, the man that Brady uses as his support over the middle won’t be as effective as always. That could really hurt him even though the secondary for the G-Men is somewhat weak. Play on the ‘under’ in this one for sure.

Danny Woodhead Over/Under 1.5 Receptions: You never really know what Head Coach Bill Belichick is thinking with his running backs. Woodhead was used quite a bit in the first meeting between these teams though, as he had seven carries and six looks as a receiver, totaling 60 yards. Woodhead did only have 18 receptions this year, but he had 34 a year ago in just 14 games, proving that he can get the job done as a receiver as well. If Gronkowski is limited, TE Aaron Hernandez will probably spend less time in the backfield than he has in the rest of these playoffs. That probably means more looks for Woodhead as well, especially with New England needing to find some way to slow down the New York pass rush. He seems to be a solid play to get at least two receptions on Super Sunday.

Rob Gronkowski Over/Under 6 Receptions: Again, we have to mention this injury that Gronkowski is dealing with. It really concerns us any time that we talk about ankle injuries, especially in games played on turf instead of grass. The former Arizona Wildcat has had some huge games, and he has all of the potential in the world, especially near the red zone. This seems like an easy ‘over’ play, knowing that he had eight grabs against the Giants in the first meeting in Foxboro. However, we just aren’t all that sure that Gronk is going to be the top tight end target in this one, as Hernandez could suddenly become the tight end du jour for Brady. Asking anyone to come up with at least seven receptions to beat us is a heck of a lot for the Super Bowl.

Rob Ninkovich Over/Under 5 Tackles + Assists: Every now and again, especially when you’re talking about the hundreds and hundreds of Super Bowl props that are available on an annual basis, the oddsmakers just get a line badly wrong. Ninkovich averaged 4.6 tackles + assists this year, which is why this number is probably relatively logical at five. However, in the playoffs, the Purdue production only has a grand total of six tackles + assists in two games. He hasn’t had more than four tackles + assists in a game since Week 11 against the Kansas City Chiefs, and that came in a game in which the Chiefs ran the heck out of the football. The Giants are clearly going to throw it more than run in, and in the passing game, if Ninkovich isn’t getting sacks, he probably isn’t getting tackles. The ‘under’ is the better play for sure.

2011 Free Super Bowl Free Pick Prop of the Day: Brett Favre Props

February 5th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 Free Super Bowl Free Pick Prop of the Day: Brett Favre Props

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What? Brett Favre? How in the hell does this guy’s name keep coming up? Yes, No. 4 in going to inevitably be in the broadcast his share of times, as he was the man that was perceived to have built this Green Bay Packers franchise. However, if QB Aaron Rodgers can pull this one off, he will have the same number of titles under his belt that the great No. 4 did in his entire time in Title Town. For the last of our daily Super Bowl prop picks, we’ll take a look at the prop odds for how many times the name “Brett Favre” is uttered during the biggest game of the year.

First off, we have to remember that this is Fox with coverage of the game, meaning Joe Buck and Troy Aikman and their man crushes on Favre are ridiculous. Ok, so one would figure that we would have to go ‘over’ 2.5 mentions of Favre’s name for the big one this week, right?

Not so fast, my friends. Let’s read the rules of this one a little bit closer, as this is always the key to these Superbowl props. This isn’t for mentions of Favre’s name in the coverage leading up to the game or during the postgame interviews or anything like that. Buck, Aikman, or any of the other Fox television stars have to mention Favre’s name at least three times from the kickoff of the ball through the final whistle of the game to make this one a winner.

It’s also not just the mentioning of “Favre.” Not “Brett.” Not “No. 4.” Nothing like that. The announcers have to refer to him as “Brett Favre.”

Now, we’ve already spoken about this man crush thing, but we know that there are going to be plenty of other topics of conversation that can come up over the course of this game. Even though we know that this was the year that Favre will reportedly go off into the sunset, we don’t think that he is worthy of having his full name mentioned at least three times during the telecast of the biggest game of the year, a game that he never had a chance of getting into with his Minnesota Vikings this year.

Free Super Bowl Picks: Under 2.5 Mentions of the name “Brett Favre” +150 at BetUS Sportsbook

2011 Free Super Bowl Free Pick Prop of the Day: Longest TD Prop

February 2nd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   1 Comment »

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Super Bowl betting action is just mere days away, and here at Bankroll Sports, we are continuing our look at all of the great props that are on the board for you to sink your teeth into. Today, we look at why we believe there will be a TD of at least 44 yards that gets scored in the biggest game of the year to help you beat the Super Bowl lines.

When push really comes to shove, there always seems to be some trickeration in these big time games. In Pittsburgh’s two Super Bowls, we not only saw WR Antwaan Randle El throw a TD pass to WR Hines Ward against the Seattle Seahawks, but we also saw LB James Harrison end up with one of the longest returns in the history of the league when, at the end of the first half, he scored a TD against the Arizona Cardinals. Last year, the New Orleans Saints beat the Superbowl betting lines thanks to that pick six by DB Tracey Porter. We also saw WR Devin Hester return a kick for a TD against the Indianapolis Colts right off the bat in the Super Bowl a few years ago.

We already know that we have two defenses that not only know how to turn teams over, but to take the ball all the way to the house as well. DB Tramon Williams has already done it once in these playoffs for a 70 yard score, while we know that men like S Troy Polamalu, Harrison, and the sorts all know how to scoop and score.

Offensively, QB Ben Roethlisberger isn’t afraid to uncork the long balls, especially to WR Mike Wallace, who will be the fastest player on the field at all times. QB Aaron Rodgers has four different receivers that he utilizes, all of which know what it takes to have a 50-60 yard play without batting an eyelash. WR Greg Jennings, his favorite target, is a fantastic man at running after the catch, and if he can shake just one tackle on a play in which the Steelers send just one too many men at Rodgers, it could be all over.

The only thing we really have working against us is that neither of these running backs are really home run threats. There isn’t a back in the world that we consider a home run threat against the Pittsburgh defense, and the only time that RB Rashard Mendenhall rumbled for that long of a play all season long was on the game winning score against the Atlanta Falcons in OT in Week 1.

Still, it seems like we should be beating the Super Bowl XLV odds in this one with ease, as there should be at least one really long score that makes us a winner.

Free Super Bowl Picks: Longest Touchdown Over 43.5 Yards -115 at BetUS Sportsbook

2011 Free Super Bowl Free Pick Prop of the Day: Steelers Celebrations

January 31st, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 Free Super Bowl Free Pick Prop of the Day: Steelers Celebrations
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Every now and again, making Super Bowl picks requires doing a little bit of thinking outside of the box. The Pittsburgh Steelers know that QB Aaron Rodgers does that Championship Belt celebration on his touchdowns and during big plays over the course of the game. Hollywood Sportsbook is offering a very interesting Superbowl prop in the biggest game of the year whether or not there will be a player on the Steelers that will imitate the leader of the Green Bay Packers at any point during this game.

Let’s be real, here. There is absolutely better than a 50/50 chance that this happens at some point. The oddsmakers weren’t all that specific in this one, as all the rules state is that the celebration must clearly be shown on TV during the game or a live picture of the Super Bowl. This doesn’t mean that it has to be after a touchdown, and it can appear during any point of the duel.

Think about this for a second. LB James Harrison comes off of the edge and gets a huge sack or forces a fumble. You don’t think for one second, especially if the Steelers have already allowed a TD or if the game is getting to be out of hand that Harrison wouldn’t be the smart guy to mock Rodgers with his own celebratory move? Think again. In fact, save perhaps the relatively mild mannered Troy Polamalu, there isn’t a player on this defense that we can think of that wouldn’t at least think about doing this Championship Belt celebration at least once if he can do something that negatively affects Rodgers.

Now, let’s go to the offensive side of the ball. WR Hines Ward has never really been known as a player that has the greatest of tempers, and it is clear that he is going to be out to make enemies, not friends in this Super Bowl betting affair. If he hauls in a huge catch or scores a TD, he is a great candidate to pull off this stunt as well. QB Ben Roethlisberger has never been known to shy away from a situation like this either, and we could see him stealing it as well.

The bottom line here is that there are just too many opportunities for Pittsburgh to pounce on poor Rodgers to pass on. Someone, at some point during these three and a half hours, is going to make the move, and we wouldn’t be surprised to see that old Championship Belt flashed several times over the course of the game. We tend to think that this is a mortal lock, and it’s not often that we say that at even money.

Free Super Bowl Picks: Steeler Player to Do the Aaron Rodgers Championship Belt Celebration (+100) at Hollywood Sportsbook

2011 Free Super Bowl Free Pick Prop of the Day: Packers Rushing TD

January 30th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 Free Super Bowl Free Pick Prop of the Day: Packers Rushing TD

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The Green Bay Packers have suddenly found their running game just in time for this great run to the Super Bowl. However, are they good enough to rush for a TD against one of the impenetrable defenses in the league this year, that of the Pittsburgh Steelers? We take a look at the Super Bowl props today for whether the Pack can get the job done on the ground or not.
Six TDs. That’s all that the Steelers have given up on the ground all season long in 18 games. Just that alone suggests that we should make our Super Bowl picks on the ‘no’, especially knowing that they are conceding right around 63 yards per game this year on the ground.

Green Bay did have 11 TDs this year on the ground and have added four more on the ground in the playoffs. From that perspective, one would think that they would have a great chance, especially at -105 Super Bowl odds, to be able to get into the end zone on the ground, even just one time.

The biggest fear that we have about betting the ‘no’ is the fact that this was a team that was remarkable on 3rd and 4th and 1 situations this year, and if the Pack get down tight near the end zone, RB John Kuhn has a very high success rate. We’re also mildly afraid of QB Aaron Rodgers taking off and running, something that has already netted 12 carries, 56 yards, and two TDs thus far in the playoffs.

However, when push comes to shove, we just don’t see it happening. RB James Starks hasn’t had a run in the playoffs of longer than 27 yards, and he certainly isn’t busting a long one against the Steelers unless there is just a total breakdown of assignments. We don’t really figure the Pack to get more than 2-3 TDs in this game in all likelihood, and the prospects of one coming on the ground just doesn’t look all that great.

Free Super Bowl Picks: No Green Bay Rushing Touchdown -125 at BetUS Sportsbook

Free Superbowl Prop Pick of the Day: Pittsburgh Completions

January 30th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Free Superbowl Prop Pick of the Day: Pittsburgh Completions

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Sportbet.com is back with some more tremendous Superbowl props, and today at Bankroll Sports, we’re dissecting another of the weaker lines that they have to offer so you can cash in with Super Bowl picks! We’ll look at the Pittsburgh Steelers and how many completions they are going to have against the Green Bay Packers.

First off, let’s remember that this prop is for the Steelers total number of completions, not just those of QB Ben Roethlisberger. We’re protected in the event that Big Ben gets hurt, and we are also given a bonus if there is anyone else out of left field who completes a pass on a trick play. These things are key, as they always have to be considered when playing props of this sort. Roethlisberger’s completions alone could be found as high as 19.5 at some sportsbooks, making this a tremendous price.

Off to the prop itself… Roethlisberger averaged 20 completions per game in the 12 duels that he played in the regular season. He had exactly 19 completions against the Baltimore Ravens, but the number that is really scaring most away from this prop is the 10 that he had against the New York Jets. Odds have it though, that the Steelers aren’t going to be jumping out to this 24-0 lead the same way that they did against the Jets in the AFC Championship Game, meaning the offense is going to need to be more well balanced here than it was in that one. RB Rashard Mendenhall might not have the same type of success in this one as he did against the Jets when he rumbled for 121 yards. The track in this one is also going to be in great weather, as it is played in a dome, and not in the wind and winter blustery weather.

Especially if the Steelers end up falling behind at any point in this game, there is a great chance that Big Ben is going to be asked to do a little bit more than just stand there and hand the ball off to Mendenhall. Pittsburgh should complete at least 19 passes without any doubt.

Free Super Bowl Picks: Pittsburgh Over 18.5 Completions -125 at Sportbet

Free Super Bowl Pick Prop of the Day: Rashard Mendenhall Carries

January 28th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Free Super Bowl Pick Prop of the Day: Rashard Mendenhall Carries
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The Super Bowl is just a bit over a week away, but we are making our Superbowl picks for props as always on a nightly basis. Today, we look at Rashard Mendenhall, and how many carries that he will get against the Green Bay Packers in Super Bowl XLV.

The first thing that we have to take in consideration in this one is that Mendenhall carried the ball a whopping 371 times this year in his 18 games including the playoffs. That’s an average of 20.6 times per game. He had more than 19.5 carries nine times this year, which really should make this a 50/50 prop… right?

Wrong.

What we have to remember is that the Packers have a tremendous pass defense, and Head Coach Mike Tomlin and company know it. QB Ben Roethlisberger will have to make his plays against a ferocious bunch, and as a result, he is going to be relying on Mendenhall to take off some of the load.

Mendenhall is a horse, as he has demonstrated in the playoffs, as he has carried the ball 20 and 27 times in games against two of the toughest defenses that this league has to offer, the New York Jets and the Baltimore Ravens. Even when things aren’t going well and he is getting stuffed up at the point of attack, the Steelers continue to use him. The other critical factor is that there aren’t any running backs on this team that are stealing many of his carries, save for the short spell here and there.

The former member of the Illinois Fighting Illini also only had one run this year of longer than 38 yards, and that came way back in Week 1 of the season against the Atlanta Falcons. He’s more prone to just pounding the rock up in the hole, taking his few yards, and coming back to do it all over again.

Mendenhall will get into the 20s with ease, and he should be able to dominate this Super Bowl betting prop.

Free Super Bowl Picks: Rashard Mendenhall Over 19.5 Carries (-115) at Hollywood Sportsbook