Posts Tagged ‘NFL prop picks’

Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Prop Picks (11/14/11)

November 14th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Prop Picks (11/14/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Minnesota Vikings First Team To Score
It really seems like the Packers are the popular pick here at -230, but we have to remember the percentages. Green Bay would have to score first in over 70 percent of the games to win this NFL prop, and that is truly a stunning rate. The Vikings just aren’t going to be afraid of the Packers, especially after they came out with guns blazing in the first meeting at the HHH Metrodome with a 70 yard pass play on the first play from scrimmage. Know that you are going to lose this prop significantly more often than not, but know that you are going to win it enough to make a sizeable profit in the long run. Minnesota Vikings Score First (+190 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Longest Touchdown Over/Under 49.5 Yards
Just take a look at WR Jordy Nelson’s numbers over the course of these last few games. He has a catch of at least 50 yards in four of his last seven, and he always seems to find the end zone when he breaks free like that. Just right there, you’ve got enough proof that a 50+ yard touchdown could be scored at least half the time. QB Aaron Rodgers isn’t afraid to uncork the long balls at any point, and QB Christian Ponder showed that he can do it as well after taking a 70 yard shot on the first play of the game when these teams met three weeks ago. Parlay all of that with a Green Bay defense that has a propensity to turn you over and score and players like WR Percy Harvin and RB Adrian Peterson in purple, and the recipe is there for at least one incredibly long touchdown when push comes to shove. Longest Touchdown Over 49.5 Yards (-120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Aaron Rodgers Over/Under 2.5 TD Passes
It’s sad to say, but we really have no choice but to take the ‘over’ in this one. The Vikings have allowed a slew of touchdowns this year to opposing quarterbacks, including three to Rodgers in October. The former Cal Golden Bear has three straight games with at least three touchdown passes, and he has six 3+ touchdown games in eight tries this year. It’s not like the Packers ever really slow down their offense, as there is just little confidence in the ground game with RBs Ryan Grant and James Starks. Rodgers has 24 scores in eight games this year, and he is probably going to end up adding three or four more touchdown strikes to that tally. It’s a chalky proposition, but with the way that the Packers are playing offensively, we just don’t see any other reasonable options but to play Rodgers’ over. Rodgers Over 2.5 TD Passes (-165 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Week 11 NFL Picks: NFL Prop Picks for Sunday NFL Schedule 11/13/11

November 12th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Week 11 NFL Picks: NFL Prop Picks for Sunday NFL Schedule 11/13/11
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NFL prop picks are always what we are looking at in NFL betting action, and if you’re ready to dissect the best pro football picks on the Week 11 schedule, look no further than right here at Bankroll Sports! All Week 11 NFL props courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Jackie Battle Over/Under 62.5 Rushing Yards
The Chiefs have really made a big effort to get back in the passing game, but in this one, against a Denver defense that has had a bad history of getting reamed on the ground, we tend to like the chances for Battle to put together a nice effort. He is clearly the top running back on this team, and though we have seen a lot of RB Dexter McCluster of late, we do think that Battle is going to get plenty of opportunities and will get a heck of a lot of yards. This is a low, low number. Battle Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Will Maurice Jones-Drew Score a Touchdown?
The Colts have had no real luck keeping opposing passing games down this year, but historically, MJD has really been fantastic in this series. Jones-Drew has had a frustrating season for the most part, but the one thing that we realize is that he is still getting the ball a ton. Don’t be shocked if he ends up with 30 carries in this game, and if that ends up being the case, we have a hard time believing that he doesn’t have at least a 50/50 shot of finding the end zone with at least one of those touches. Maurice Jones-Drew To Score a Touchdown (+115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

LeGarrette Blount Over/Under 75.5 Rushing Yards
Last week, in a game in which the Bucs were basically behind the entire way, Blount still had 72 yards against the Saints on the ground on just 13 carries. He is going to have a great opportunity in this one against a Houston team that, though it ranks No. 1 in the league in total defense, isn’t all that strong up front in general. Blount will certainly get the ball more than 13 times in this game, and as long as he can find a way to get perhaps one of those runs 20 yards downfield, he should be able to reach this number. LeGarrette Blount Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (+105 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Brandon Lloyd Over/Under 4.5 Receptions
With double digits in targets in all of his games since coming over to St. Louis, Lloyd is certainly going to end up plenty of looks once again in this one. This number is low due to the fact that QB Sam Bradford hasn’t been all that efficient and that DB Joe Haden is going to be matched up with him for the entire game in all likelihood. If that ends up being the case, perhaps it might be a tad difficult. However, Offensive Coordinator Josh McDaniels loves Lloyd, and he is sure to get the ball in his hands by hook or by crook, no matter what he has to do. Brandon Lloyd Over 4.5 Receptions (-135 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Will Larry Fitzgerald Score a Touchdown?
Don’t you have to have your team score a touchdown for an individual to score? The Cardinals had a heck of a time trying to get the ball in the end zone last week with QB John Skelton at quarterback, and that is likely to be the case again. The Eagles have had a ton of success against teams that try to throw the ball all over the field this year, and if by chance the ball does get into the hands of Fitzgerald, it’s going to be against one of the premier corners in the game. We just don’t like Fitzgerald’s chances of getting into the end zone in this one. Larry Fitzgerald To Not Score a Touchdown (-150 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 10 Fantasy Football Sleepers

November 11th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 10 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 10!

Jason Hill vs. Indianapolis Colts
If there were ever a week to go ahead and try to pick out a Jacksonville wide receiver to start in your fantasy lineup, this would be the week. Hill has had a consistent look of at least five targets per game for the most part, and QB Blaine Gabbert seems to look his way in the red zone quite a bit. However, this is a play that is more about going against the Colts than anything else. Indy ranks dead last in the league against wide receivers for fantasy purposes, and matters are really just getting worse for this team, not better. We watched WR Julio Jones totally rip this team apart last week. We’d just be happy with 60 yards and a score from Hill, though.

Chris Johnson vs. Carolina Panthers
It’s really sad that we are considering Johnson as a bit of a sleeper pick, but with the way that he has played this year, he certainly isn’t an automatic start every single week. Last week, he really showed some decent signs though, coming up with a couple long plays against the Bengals, and now, he has his best matchup of the season on the road against a Panthers team that ranks dead last in the league against fantasy running backs. If CJ2K can’t figure out how to find the end zone in this one and account for more than a season-high 12 points (in standard ESPN fantasy leagues), he’s never going to do it.

Brandon Pettigrew vs. Chicago Bears
According to ESPN.com, the Bears have allowed a whopping 80 targets in nine games against opposing tight ends, and they have allowed an average of almost 10 points per game against tight ends. Pettigrew found the end zone against them earlier this year, and QB Matt Stafford continues to look the big man’s direction when the team is near the end zone. You have to go back to Week 6 to find the last time Pettigrew scored a touchdown, and he only has seven catches for 39 yards since then, but we have confidence that this is the week that he is going to be back in the saddle and back on the big time scoreboard.

Christian Ponder vs. Green Bay Packers
Ponder isn’t afraid to scramble out of the pocket, which could give him a heck of a lot of rushing yards against the Green Bay defense this week. He has a chance to crack double digits once again in points this week, just as he has done in each of his first two starts. There are definitely worse quarterback situations to have. Remember that the Packers, for as vaunted as they have been this year, rank No. 28 against opposing fantasy quarterbacks, and in a game in primetime which could feature a slew of points, Ponder might make a nice start to fill in for a quarterback with a bad matchup.

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 9 Fantasy Football Sleepers

November 5th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 9 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 9!

Michael Bush vs. Denver Broncos
It became awfully clear on Saturday morning that Bush was going to make for a great start this week against the Broncos. Denver has one of the most porous rush defenses in the league, especially on the road, and now, Bush is going to be the primary runner without RB Darren McFadden in the fold. Parlay all of that with the fact that QB Carson Palmer is still really trying to learn the ropes of his new offense. He has been in camp now just about two and a half weeks, and there is no way that Head Coach Hue Jackson is going to let Palmer do everything that a healthy QB Jason Campbell would have been given the rights to do. Bush will tote the rock at least 20, if not maybe even 30 times on Sunday, and we would be brutally disappointed if he didn’t end up with at least 120 rushing yards and two scores when the afternoon was said and done with.

Oakland Raiders D/ST vs. Denver Broncos
QB Tim Tebow is going to rack up some fantasy points once again versus the Raiders, but the fear that he is going to end up being taken out of the game at halftime is just too much for us to want to use him. That being said, the Raiders are a defense that you could pick up off of most waiver wires this week, and they’re a unit that we might be willing to start in front of just about any other defense in the league. Denver’s offensive line is in shambles, and Tebow holds the ball far too long to be successful in the pocket. He stares down receivers, often leading to bad decisions. Forget about scoring points. If you take out the final six minutes of games, Tebow has led the Broncos to one field goal and two field goal attempts in his time under center. Oakland should put together a huge fantasy day on Sunday, and that doesn’t even include the possibility of the hidden touchdown that WR Jacoby Ford seems to be due for on special teams.

Victor Cruz vs. New England Patriots
New England’s struggles against the pass continued to show last week when it allowed 365 passing yards to QB Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers. There are some real problems for the Giants this week, as WR Hakeem Nicks really doesn’t seem to be at 100% with a hamstring injury, if he even plays at all. That being said, Cruz has been the more consistent receiver between he and WR Mario Manningham this year, and he has found the end zone four times in his last five games. This is a boom or bust receiver, though. So far this season, Cruz has had three games with either no points or one point and three games with at least 15 points in standard leagues. Knowing how bad the Pats’ secondary is, this is probably one of the weeks where Cruz can boom.

David Nelson, Buffalo Bills
WR Steve Johnson is likely to be locked up on Revis Island for the entire day, which really does leave the possibility there for Nelson to just get a slew of targets. Even the speedy WR/RB CJ Spiller might not be all that bad of a start as long as you aren’t expecting too many touchdowns. Seeing Nelson get 12 targets wouldn’t be a humongous surprise this week, as he has great size and the ability to make plays when it counts. Nelson has had just a total of 11 receptions in his last four games, a far cry from the 20 that he had in his first three games, but we do have confidence that he can get back on track in this one against the Jets with Johnson being followed by DB Darrelle Revis everywhere that he goes.

San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Prop Picks (10/31/11)

October 31st, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Prop Picks (10/31/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Will There Be a Score in the First 7:30 Of the 1st Quarter?
With RB Mike Tolbert out of the fold and the Chiefs evolving into a bit more of a passing team, we tend to think that there will be at least two possessions in the first half of the first quarter. QB Philip Rivers is probably going to try to get up top early to WR Vincent Jackson, and we tend to think that the same could be said for WR Dwayne Bowe for the Chiefs, especially to get some of that mojo on the side of the hosts. We don’t generally like props like this one, but this time around, we’re going to make a bit of an exception. Score in the First 7:30 of the 1st Quarter (-160 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Longest Field Goal Made Over/Under 44.5 Yards
The weather is getting colder and the ball is getting heavier, and with two kickers that aren’t exactly known as being clutch out on the field, we have a hard time believing that there is going to be a field goal of at least 45 yards over half the time. The temperature is going to dip into the 30s tonight, and the possibility is there of a fairly brisk wind as well, two factors that generally make the kicking game awfully difficult. Longest Field Goal Under 44.5 Yards (-120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Will There Be a Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown?
Another interesting prop to say the least. Normally speaking, it’s a bit of a sucker bet to take the no at minus odds, and we tend to agree with this sentiment. These two teams have three touchdowns between them this year on defense, and neither special teams has yet to score. We’re not all that worried about the San Diego special teams, but Javier Arenas and Dexter McCluster are always potential game breakers, especially in a game like this one with all sorts of tension. Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored (+160 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 8 Fantasy Football Sleepers

October 28th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 8 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 8!

Seattle Seahawks Defense/Special Teams vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Are we out of our minds playing with the Seahawks defense? This team has accounted for negative points twice already this year and just one point in most standard leagues once as well. That’s half of its games! However, we have a lot of reasons to hate the Bengals this week and love the Seahawks. This is going to be the first mega difficult road trip for QB Andy Dalton. No matter how bad Seattle is, Qwest Field is always a horror to try to play at. On top of that, RB Cedric Benson has been suspended for this game, and the weather is expected to be horrible. Last week, the Seahawks didn’t do all that much right against the Cleveland Browns, but if the clock just runs as quickly in this game as it did in that one, we should be getting a nice sum of points from this defense for a second straight week.

Mario Manningham vs. Miami Dolphins
Most of you that drafted Manningham did so way, way too early in your drafts. He was expected to be a bit of a sleeper this year, but so far, he really has done nothing to even warrant being on a fantasy team, let alone being a starter. He only has 18 catches for the season and hasn’t had more than 56 yards in a game, nor has he scored a touchdown yet. However, this is the perfect game for him to shine. Remember that Manningham has picked up more targets in these last two games (16 in total) than he had for the rest of the season combined. He’s going against a Miami defense which ranks No. 18 in the league against opposing wide receivers. You know that the Giants’ offense is going to be on the field quite a bit, as the offense for the Dolphins just can’t stay out of its own way. We think that this is the week for Manningham to be a big time boom.

Tim Tebow vs. Detroit Lions
Last week, we called for Tebow to have a great game against the Dolphins. In fact, he had a terrible game… and a fantastic three minutes in which he accounted for nearly 20 total fantasy points and 15 points in real life. The man is going to run the ball, he is going to throw the ball, and he is going to put points on the board in some respect against a Detroit team that, quite frankly, has been very questionable these past two weeks. You just know that somehow, Tebow is going to keep this game close no matter how ugly of a ball that he throws, and in the end, that will probably translate into at least 15-20 fantasy points, making the former Heisman Trophy winner a solid start.

Owen Daniels vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Let’s get this part straight. If you have Owen Daniels, you’re starting him each and every week, unless you’re one of these wackos that is carrying two tight ends on your team and the other one happens to be named Antonio Gates or Jason Witten. However, just as we said last week with Ed Dickson, playing against the Jags with your tight end is a gold mine. The team’s Cover 2 scheme is conducive for a ton of passes right over the middle, and all three of the Texans’ tight ends might end up being great plays, especially if WR Andre Johnson ends up not playing yet again with his hamstring injury.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Prop Picks (10/24/11)

October 24th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Prop Picks (10/24/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Ray Rice Over/Under 94.5 Rushing Yards
Rice has been a workhorse this year, and this game should be no exception. Unfortunately from our standpoint, the Rutgers Scarlet Knight also gets it done through the air as a receiver, so we might get nipped that way. Plus, if this game does get out of hand, it’ll be RB Ricky Williams doing the heavy lifting, not the potential MVP candidate. Still, Rice always seems to get his yards, and after watching RB Rashard Mendenhall smoke this defense on the ground behind that shoddy offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers, in Rice we trust. Rice Over 94.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Total Sacks Over/Under 5
Look, we know that QB Joe Flacco has happy feet, and we know that QB Blaine Gabbert looks like a deer in headlights and holds the ball far too long. However, let’s be realistic here for a second. Asking for six sacks in a game is a tad ridiculous, as we don’t think that it is even remotely reasonable no matter how good these two defensive fronts are. Last week, the aforementioned Steelers got four sacks in the first half and couldn’t get to Gabbert after that. We think that that might be the beginning of some better place for this offensive line, and that should keep the sack total lower in this one. Under 5 Sacks (-120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Total Field Goals Over/Under 3.5
Four field goals is a lot in a game, which is why we are getting some odds on our side in this one. What we also know though, is that the Jaguars have a stingy defense and often hold teams to field goals instead of touchdowns. Both of these kickers, Billy Cundiff and Josh Scobee have the ability to boot the ball 50+ yards as well. These defenses bend quite a bit, but they very rarely break. This one could feature a lot of attempts at three points over the course of the day, and we think that that plays right into our hands. Over 3.5 Field Goals (+145 at BetOnline Sportsbook).