Posts Tagged ‘NFL Picks’

2012 NFL MVP Odds, Lines, Predictions, & Picks

October 17th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2012 NFL MVP Odds, Lines, Predictions, & Picks
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All Of The 2012 NFL MVP Odds Can Be Found Below

Drew Brees Super BowlSeveral players have started off the 2012 NFL schedule in fine form, and they are going to be the favorites on the odds to win the MVP award in the NFL. Don’t miss our NFL MVP odds, as we take a look at the odds near the halfway point of the season.

It’s tough to think that there really isn’t a bona fide favorite on the odds to win the MVP. At the moment, the man getting the nod is the Atlanta Falcons QB Matt Ryan (Favorite To Win NFL MVP: 5 to 1 at JustBet Sportsbook). Matty Ice is the best player on what is statistically the best team in the NFL. He has a great set of receivers, and all three of TE Tony Gonzalez, WR Roddy White, and WR Julio Jones might all get to 1,000 yards by the end of the campaign. Ryan, as a result, has some big time stats. The Boston College product has thrown for 1,756 yards, putting him on a clip for 4,683 yards this year. He also has 14 TDs against just six picks. That leaves him fourth in the league in passing yards, tied for second in touchdowns, and fifth in quarterback rating. We aren’t so sure that Matty Ice is going to be able to stay here for the whole year, but there is no denying that he is the favorite at the moment.

We still can’t help but wonder if the man that is going to end up winning the MVP Award this year is New Orleans Saints QB Drew Brees (2012 MVP Odds: 12 to 1 at JustBet Sportsbook). Brees has a big strike against him, knowing that he is on a team that lost its first four games of the year. But how dramatic would it be to see Brees lead his team all the way back to the playoffs and become the second team ever to come from 0-4 to get into the second season. Brees has thrown for 14 TDs, tied with Ryan and others, and he is on a clip to throw for 5,504 yards, which would break the record for the most yards in a single season that he set last year. This is a great price on a man that clearly would be the MVP of the league if he were to get his team back into the push for the playoffs this year.

With so many different options this year, there is a real chance that The Field (Odds To Win 2012 MVP: 5 to 1 at JustBet Sportsbook) ends up taking the MVP Award. There are a lot of fantastic options here on this list, but there are a bunch that aren’t as well. Both of the best defensive players in the league at the moment, DE JJ Watt of the Houston Texans and LB Clay Matthews of the Green Bay Packers. The league’s leading rusher, RB Jamaal Charles isn’t on this MVP list, nor is the league’s leading receiver, WR AJ Green. Those are a heck of a lot of players that could all legitimately win the MVP Award this year, though it is going to take a whole heck of a lot for that to happen. We do think that in the end, one of the top quarterbacks in the league will end up winning this award, but at 5 to 1, there is a good enough chance for someone off the board to end up taking the MVP. We’d much rather have the field than someone like Eli Manning, Aaron Rodgers, or Peyton Manning, all of which are 5 to 1 as well.

NFL MVP Odds 2012-13 @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 10/17/12):
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Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) 5 to 1
Adrian Peterson (Minnesota Vikings) 75 to 1
Alex Smith (San Francisco 49ers) 125 to 1
Andrew Luck (Indianapolis Colts) 100 to 1
Andy Dalton (Cincinnati Bengals) 175 to 1
Arian Foster (Houston Texans) 20 to 1
Ben Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers) 12 to 1
Calvin Johnson (Detroit Lions) 50 to 1
Cam Newton (Carolina Panthers) 250 to 1
Chris Johnson (Tennessee Titans) 250 to 1
Drew Brees (New Orleans Saints) 12 to 1
Eli Manning (New York Giants) 5 to 1
Jay Cutler (Chicago Bears) 50 to 1
Larry Fitzgerald (Arizona Cardinals) 150 to 1
LeSean McCoy (Philadelphia Eagles) 30 to 1
Matt Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) 3 to 1
Matthew Stafford (Detroit Lions) 50 to 1
Michael Vick (Philadelphia Eagles) 66 to 1
Peyton Manning (Denver Broncos) 5 to 1
Ray Rice (Baltimore Ravens) 75 to 1
Robert Griffin III (Washington Redskins) 50 to 1
Tom Brady (New England Patriots) 8 to 1
Tony Romo (Dallas Cowboys) 60 to 1
Field (Any Other Player) 5 to 1

Peyton Manning NFL Prop Predictions, & Odds Tim Tebow Gets Traded

March 20th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Peyton Manning NFL Prop Predictions, & Odds Tim Tebow Gets Traded
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Bovada Sportsbook is always the home for some of the best NFL props out there, and today, we are going to analyze the Peyton Manning props that just hit the board now that he has signed with the Denver Broncos, along with the odds on where Tim Tebow will be playing next year.

Denver Broncos Regular Season Wins Over 10
Remember in the AFC West, there are six games that Denver really should take at least five of. There’s no reason to not win the mass majority of the games on this type of a slate. The Broncos still have the defense to get the job done, and they still just tend to find some ways to win games, and in the end, we would be a lot less surprised to see them win 11 games than to see them win just nine or fewer as long as Manning proves to be remotely healthy.

Peyton Manning Under 4,000 Total Passing Yards
We know that Manning has had very few bad seasons in his career. He has played in 13 seasons in the past, and of those, he never had fewer than 3,739 yards, and he exceeded 4,000 yards in 11 of the 13. However, Head Coach John Fox is a guy that wants to run the football, and it isn’t just because Tebow couldn’t really throw the football to save his life. Jake Delhomme never threw for 4,000 yards in a season with Fox calling the shots with the Carolina Panthers, and though we know that Delhomme is no Peyton Manning, it just doesn’t seem like it is in Fox’s nature to let Manning throw the ball the 525-550 times required for him to reach 4,000 yards. Remember that injuries could come into play as well, and if Manning isn’t good to go for the full year, he won’t be anywhere near this number in all likelihood.

Peyton Manning Total TD Passes in 2012 Season Over 28.5
Now, this is a different story. Manning has absolutely pristine precision in the end zone, and though his arm strength might not be what it once was, we have to reason to believe that he still won’t have the eye and the accuracy to be able to put the ball exactly where it needs to be. There are some big, tall receivers that are playing here in Denver, and once Manning builds that rapport with them, there are going to be a heck of a lot of opportunities to score. Remember that the AFC West had some miserable defenses last season, and they aren’t going to be getting any better. We have to think that Manning has 30 TD potential this year.

Peyton Manning Total INTs in 2012 Season Over 16.5
Yeah, sure. We hear you. Manning really was only this bad at the very beginning of his career, and he surely is going to be very careful with the football here in Denver. That being said, we think that the arm strength issue could be a concern. There are a lot of gambling corners out there that are going to love to get a piece of Manning, and he became a bit pick happy in his last two seasons, tossing 33 INTs in that stretch. Manning could be worth 20 INTs this year.

Will Peyton Manning Win 2012 NFL MVP? (+700)
Really, Bovada? Only 7 to 1 on this prop. No thanks. Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, and Tom Brady are all going to be frontrunners for the MVP award at the start of the year, and we just don’t see that changing at any point in the near future. Manning won’t have the numbers this year to get the job done, and in all likelihood, he probably won’t even be considered when push comes to shove.

Will Peyton Manning Win Comeback Player of the Year? (+100)
Now, here’s a lot smarter prop. Manning doesn’t have to be a super stud to win this award, just knowing that there usually aren’t a ton of great candidates for this honor when push really comes to shove. The story in Denver is going to be great to follow this year, and the media is going to be all over Manning. As long as he stays on the horse, he should be the Comeback Player of the Year.

Where Will Tim Tebow Play Next Year?
Jacksonville +150
Denver +175
Miami +175
New England +700
Cleveland +1200

Oh, Denver, what are you going to do here? The most logical place for Tebow to land is in Jacksonville, but the Jaguars just signed Chad Henne and still have Blaine Gabbert, who was only just put into the fray last season as the team’s No. 1 draft pick. Dare the Jags give up on Gabbert and give Tebow a shot? He’ll sell uniforms, but he might not do much more. We just don’t see the Broncos hanging onto him, as we think that that situation will get toxic in a hurry with the media that will be in the Mile High City. The Browns do need a quarterback, but trading in Colt McCoy for Tebow just doesn’t seem to be that much of an upgrade. They’re both proven winners and both work incredibly hard, and Tebow just doesn’t strike us as a Cleveland type of guy. New England is a team to consider for sure.

The Pats have all sorts of love for Tebow, from the fact that Head Coach Bill Belichick loves drafting Gators to the fact that Josh McDaniels, the new OC for the team, is the man that traded up to draft Tebow in Denver. Still, if we had to guess, Tebow is going to be bringing his talents to South Beach. The Dolphins fans are starting to rise up against ownership, and the team needs to make a splash. Sure, it would have been a lot better to land Manning, and heck, it probably would have been better to end up with Matt Flynn, too. However, Tebow at least brings a name to the team, gives it a shot of having a starting quarterback at the NFL level that has won some games, and gives ownership the ability of adding another glitzy name, just like Serena Williams and all of the other big names that have small ownership of the team.

Can the Giants Repeat? New York Giants 2013 Super Bowl 47 Odds

February 6th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Can the Giants Repeat? New York Giants 2013 Super Bowl 47 Odds
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The New York Giants just won the Super Bowl for the second time under QB Eli Manning. But do the Giants 2013 Super Bowl odds justify backing them again? Check out the answer to the question: Will the Giants repeat as Super Bowl champions?

2012 New York Giants Offense
The biggest thing that the G-Men have going for them this coming season is that Manning has clearly jumped into that elite status of NFL quarterbacks. He has probably surpassed his brother, and really with the exception of perhaps Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, and Drew Brees, there probably isn’t another quarterback that you would put on the list ahead of the younger Manning. He threw for 4,933 yards this year with 29 TDs against 16 INTs. Sure, the pick total was high, but Manning made up for it by having a knack for winning games at the end when all looked lost.

The emergence of WR Victor Cruz was key this year. That gave Manning a solid set of receivers to throw the pigskin to. He had 1,536 yards, while WR Hakeem Nicks had 1,192 yards, and WR Mario Manningham had 523 yards. TE Jake Ballard suffered a knee injury during the Super Bowl, but assuming that he is okay, he is going to one of the sneakier tight ends in the league next year. Ballard averaged 15.9 yards per catch and had 604 yards.

RBs Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs were both hurt for pieces of the season, and the two only ended up rushing for a total of 1,230 yards with 16 scores. Both averaged under 4.0 yards per carry, and that shows that the offensive line is clearly going to need some work going forward.

2012 New York Giants Defense
Defensively, it is all about the pass rush. The play of rookie DB Prince Amukamara improved as the season went on, but he will look like a great starter next year as long as the trio of DEs, Justin Tuck, Osi Umenyiora, and Jason Pierre-Paul continue to be dominating. The questions that are to be asked of this defense, which ranked No. 27 in the league at 376.4 yards per game and No. 25 in scoring at 25.0 points per game in the regular season, are going to be at linebacker, where the team just isn’t all that great.

2012 New York Giants Contracts & Free Agents
Free agency shouldn’t be all that bad on the Giants this year. Ballard is a free agent, as is Manningham, and they will probably be the top priorities on offense to resign. OLs Stacy Andrews and Kareem McKenzie are both free agents to be. On the other side of the ball, DB Aaron Ross is sure to be in for a big payday from someone, while S Deon Grant is free as well. LB Chase Blackburn is likely in line for a new contract, and the team is also going to have to address the situation with at punter and backup quarterback if QB David Carr and P Steve Weatherford are not resigned.

2012 New York Giants Schedule
The schedule next year for the Giants is going to be brutal. The team is obviously going to have to play a first place schedule, meaning the Green Bay Packers will once again be on the slate. The other non-divisional home games are against the New Orleans Saints, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Cleveland Browns, and Pittsburgh Steelers. The non-divisional road games are against the San Francisco 49ers, Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, Baltimore Raven, and Cincinnati Bengals. Needless to say, it is going to be a heck of a lot different now that the Giants have to play against the NFC South instead of the NFC West, and those games against the teams in the AFC North are certainly not going to be easy.

2012-2013 New York Giants Super Bowl Odds
The Giants Super Bowl odds are 15 to 1 at Bovada.lv, making them the eighth favorite. They were never really the favorites at any point over the course of this season either, especially with the Dallas Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles in the same division with them. In the end, this is a brutal schedule for New York to have to play, especially if it isn’t going to win games like the two against the Washington Redskins that it was defeated in this past year. We aren’t even all that sure that the Giants are going to make the playoffs next year, and at this point, we wouldn’t want to back a team at these types of 2013 Super Bowl odds, especially when the team was brutally inconsistent all season long.

New York Giants 2012 Super Bowl Keys To The Game

February 5th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on New York Giants 2012 Super Bowl Keys To The Game
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It was four years ago that the New York Giants were lifting the Lombardi Trophy at the expense of the New England Patriots. This year, they are back in the big one once again, and if they are going to beat the Super Bowl betting lines in Super Bowl 46, these are the Giants keys to winning the Super Bowl.

Super Bowl Matchup: New York Giants vs. New England Patriots
Super Bowl Location: Lucas Oil Field, Indianapolis, IN
Super Bowl Date/Time: Sunday, February 5th, 6:30 p.m.
Super Bowl Television Coverage: NBC

Click Here For The Rest Of The 2012 NFL Playoff Bracket And Other NFL Playoff Previews

Key #1: Eli Manning has to continue to get the job done in the clutch
Call it whatever you want to call it. Eli has guts. The younger Manning brother was sacked six times and nailed countless others by the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship Game, but even though he was in a position where he was absolutely brutalized, when his back was against the wall, he got the job done. In fact, that “back against the wall” mentality is what brought the G-Men their first Super Bowl in the Manning era, and it will be what has to happen again this year. It is clear that QB Tom Brady has the better passing game in our eyes with the flexibility at the tight end spot. However, in the end, when the going gets tough, it is Eli that is going to have a shot with the ball in his hands to make something special happen. It might be to lead a comeback. It might be to preserve a lead. It might be to make the big throw in a seemingly impossible position. Yet at some point, Manning is going to need to make a play, and regardless of how well or not well he has played in the game to that point, he is going to have to find some way, against all odds, to make the play that helps New York win this game.

Super Bowl 46 Odds at Wager Web Sportsbook
New York Giants +3.5
New England Patriots -3.5
Over/Under 55.5
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Key #2: The ground game cannot be stuck in neutral
The first time that these two teams played this year, 25 carries combined from RBs Brandon Jacobs and Danny Ware needed 95 yards on the ground. It wasn’t enough to consider the New York offense even remotely balanced, as the team threw it 39 times on the day, but it was just enough to win the time of possession battle and give Manning the ability to throw the ball around the field. RB Ahmad Bradshaw was out of the lineup in that first meeting of the year, as was WR Hakeem Nicks. The addition of these two is crucial to say the least, but if Bradshaw and Jacobs can’t get the ball going on the ground, these three fantastic wide receivers that Manning has at his disposal could effectively be taken out of the game. These two had a combined 23 carries for 87 yards in the Super Bowl four years ago, but there was a lot more pressure on them to carry the offense with the very young Manning under the gun.

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Key #3: Blitz, blitz, and blitz some more
Actually, we probably don’t have the right terminology for this. The Giants don’t necessarily need to blitz, but they absolutely have to get in the backfield on defense and get the ball out of QB Tom Brady’s hands in a heartbeat. If Brady can hold onto the football in the backfield for long periods of time, TEs Aaron Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski will have plenty of time to get open and find seams in the defense. That just isn’t going to cut it to say the least. All of a sudden over the course of the last few weeks, men like DE Jason Pierre-Paul and DE Osi Umenyiora are finding ways to get around the corner and into the backfield in a hurry. Penetration is going to have to come straight at Brady as well, as it was when the pass rush was in his face that he made mistakes all season long against some of the best defenses in the game. Sure, generating that pass rush with just four or five guys will make life a lot easier on some suspect corners, but running bump and run and getting guys in the backfield in a hurry will do wonders as well. If the Giants can’t dial up some blitz packages and knock down Brady, they aren’t going to have success in this game.

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New England Patriots 2012 Super Bowl Keys To The Game

February 5th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on New England Patriots 2012 Super Bowl Keys To The Game
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The Super Bowl 46 odds are now out, and the New England Patriots are the decided favorites over the New York Giants. Check out the keys to the Super Bowl for the Patriots and see what they have to do to make sure that they beat the Super Bowl betting lines.

Super Bowl Matchup: New York Giants vs. New England Patriots
Super Bowl Location: Lucas Oil Field, Indianapolis, IN
Super Bowl Date/Time: Sunday, February 5th, 6:30 p.m.
Super Bowl Television Coverage: NBC

Click Here For The Rest Of The 2012 NFL Playoff Bracket And Other NFL Playoff Previews

Key #1: Tom Brady has to figure out how to beat a brutal pass rush
Some of the best teams in the game this year have had a remarkable pass rush this year, and the teams that have been able to beat the Pats have gotten to Brady and put him under some remarkable pressure. That includes the pair of sacks that the G-Men got in the first go around of these two teams. The Baltimore Ravens were able to get in his face last week, and though he was only sacked one time, Brady did throw two picks and only found the end zone one time, and that was on the ground. This is the same type of defense that the Giants are going to throw New England’s way again with some ferocious pass rushers like DE Jason-Pierre Paul. Whether it is more draws, more quick plays, extra blockers, or whatever the case is, Head Coach Bill Belichick and Brady have to design ways to be successful and to keep the likes of Pierre-Paul and these other remarkable defensive linemen out of the backfield.

Super Bowl 46 Odds at Wager Web Sportsbook
New York Giants +3.5
New England Patriots -3.5
Over/Under 56
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Key #2: The threat of the big play has to be there
Brady threw for 5,235 yards this year, but the one knock that he has had about his passing game is that there really wasn’t all that much of a vertical passing game. WR Chad Ochocinco might have the ability to stretch the field, assuming that he is back in the lineup for the Super Bowl, while WR Deion Branch is probably the next best option. He caught a deep ball against the Denver Broncos in the Patriots’ first playoff game, but that was a severely different defense than what New England will see in this game. Brady has to be able to have the time to take some shots down the field, no matter who it is that is getting the passes thrown his way, and though we don’t think that he necessarily has to connect on those big time passes, he at least to have to have that threat to keep the New York corners from playing bump and run coverage. We have seen teams hit the deep ball against these defensive backs before, and the Giants have to be taken off the line of scrimmage with the threat of the long pass from one of the best quarterbacks in the game.

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Key #3: New England has to become a hardnosed team
With apologies to the football players on the field, all of which have to be tough guys to a certain extent, this New England team is basically soft. The Patriots don’t run the ball right up the gut all that often and have to get cute running the ball with gimmicks and odd formations. They tend to get gashed when teams run hard at them, and their corners really don’t like playing bump and run coverage. Case in point for how soft this team looks: New England needed three shots to get into the end zone from 2nd and goal against the Ravens’ 1-yard line to get in the end zone, and in the end, it was just a jump from Brady got the ball in on fourth down. This is a tough New York team that has taken the emotion from its winning streak and its history of winning the Super Bowl in the past. New England has to match that intensity if it wants to avoid another terrible disappointment in the Super Bowl.

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AFC Championship Keys to the Game – Ravens @ Patriots 1/22/12

January 22nd, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on AFC Championship Keys to the Game – Ravens @ Patriots 1/22/12
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The AFC Championship Game odds are out, and here at Bankroll Sports, we are set to take a look at what should be a fantastic duel in Foxboro between the Baltimore Ravens and the New England Patriots. Check out our New England vs. Baltimore keys to the game for the AFC Championship Game.

NFL Playoffs Matchup: Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots
Ravens vs. Patriots Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
Ravens vs. Patriots Date/Time: Sunday, January 22nd, 3:00 p.m.
Ravens vs. Patriots Television Coverage: CBS

Click Here For The Rest Of The 2012 NFL Playoff Bracket And Other NFL Playoff Previews

Key #1: The Patriots have to prove that they are tough
It’s hard to challenge a team’s toughness, but we have to wonder just how good these Patriots are. They played against two teams that finished above .500 this year, and they were beaten by both the New York Giants and the Pittsburgh Steelers. They’ve got their hands full now with a Baltimore team that is as tough as nails. What we have seen from the Patriots is the ability to throw the ball, and there is no doubt that they can do that as well as anyone ever has been able to in the history of the league. However, running the ball is a severely different story. The team ranks No. 20 in the NFL with 110.2 rushing yards per game, and a heck of a lot of those yards have come on finesse runs to the outside. The Ravens are going to challenge New England the entire game by slamming it right up the gut both on offense and on defense, and if this game gets ugly, QB Tom Brady and the gang are going to be tested against a team that absolutely relishes playing in these types of games.

Ravens @ Patriots Odds at Wager Web Sportsbook
Baltimore Ravens +7
New England Patriots -7
Over/Under 50
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Key #2: Brady is going to have to find some receivers aside from the tight ends
The combination of TEs Aaron Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski is as good as it gets in the NFL, and these two had right around 250 yards from scrimmage against the Denver Broncos last week, but we just don’t know whether the Ravens are going to be allowing that type of production with all of the speed that it has in the middle of the field. Remember that last week, Baltimore played against one of the few teams that utilize the tight end as much as New England does, and the three Houston tight ends combined for just two receptions and 26 yards. The Ravens also didn’t allow a pass that went for more than 19 yards in the whole game, and it is a wonder how Brady is going to find holes in this defense if he can’t work the ball up the field and can’t get it inside to his tight ends. WR Wes Welker could be in for a big time day, as could WR Deion Branch, who is more or less the forgotten man in this offense in spite of the fact that he had a fantastic season as the No. 2 wide out.

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Key #3: Joe Flacco has to make some plays to win
There really wasn’t all that much that Flacco did last week against the Texans. He took advantage of three turnovers to score 17 first quarter points, but he only had a field goal for the rest of the game. Quite often, Flacco has found himself rushed against some of the best front sevens in the game, but with the Patriots missing DE Andre Carter and possibly playing without their top sack man, DE Mark Anderson as well, the pocket might not be a problem for the former Delaware Blue Hen. Flacco went 14-of-27 against Houston’s stout defense, but a lot of the passes that he completed were products of great plays by the wide receivers and tight ends, several of which were one-handed snares on balls that weren’t necessarily thrown the greatest. Flacco has found ways to win playoff games for his whole career, but right around this juncture, he needs to make the big time play to get his team to the Super Bowl, and he just hasn’t been able to do it. There is a point that there have to be some questions asked of Flacco, and eventually, he is going to have to win a game like this to validate that he indeed can take this team to the Super Bowl.

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New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers Predictions & Analysis 1/22/12

January 17th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers Predictions & Analysis 1/22/12
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For the second time this year, the New York Giants and the San Francisco 49ers are going to square off against one another, and the action should be intense. Here are the keys to the game for the NFC Championship Game, complete with our Giants vs. 49ers predictions and odds analysis.

NFC Championship Matchup: New York Giants vs. San Francisco 49ers
Giants vs. 49ers Location: Candlestick Park, San Francisco, CA
Giants vs. 49ers Date/Time: Sunday, January 22nd, 6:30 p.m.
Giants vs. 49ers Television Coverage: FOX

Click Here For The Rest Of The 2012 NFL Playoff Bracket And Other NFL Playoff Previews

Key #1: The Giants have to take care of the football
It really seems as though the Giants keep good care of the pigskin when they are at their best. QB Eli Manning was picked off 16 times this season, including twice in the first go around between these two teams. That being said, the day that Manning had against the Green Bay Packers last week was remarkable. Sure, he threw that one INT on the day, but he also threw for three TDs and did a great job spreading the football all over the field. Green Bay might have had the worst ranked pass defense in the league, but it also led the league in forcing turnovers. San Fran played a game a lot like that against the New Orleans Saints last week. The Saints had almost 500 yards of total offense, but they turned the ball over five times in the teeth of a San Francisco defense that didn’t play nearly as badly as it seemed on the scoreboard. The 49ers have a nasty, nasty defense, and they picked off Manning twice in the first meeting of these two teams. That’s why the Giants were beaten by a TD the last time around.

Giants @ 49ers Odds at Wager Web Sportsbook
New York Giants +1
San Francisco 49ers -1
Over/Under 41.5
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Key #2: The 49ers need to keep their attitude and their swagger
The 49ers have had a certain aura around them all season long. No one has really believed in them, and you can see that on the NFL betting lines as well. They were 1.5 point dogs against the Cincinnati Bengals, 9.5 point pups against the Philadelphia Eagles on the road, were just 2.5 point favorites at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers… and the list goes on a on. Even last week against the Saints, they were catching 3.5 from the oddsmakers. That’s why San Francisco isn’t just a great SU team, but is a team that has 13 covers on the season including the playoffs as well. Head Coach Jim Harbaugh came to the Bay Area and was determined to make his team nastier on both sides of the ball. It was about working harder and believing that they deserved to beat the team on the other side of the field because of it. We tend to think that that attitude would have looked a heck of a lot better at Lambeau Field than at home against the Giants, as San Francisco is favored in this game and is largely expected to win. As long as that swagger that the Niners deserve to be here, they should be fine, but if they lose that swagger, they could be in some trouble against a New York team that is thriving off of the fact that few figure that it has the capability to win the Super Bowl for the second time under Head Coach Tom Coughlin.

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Key #3: Alex Smith doesn’t have to be better than Manning, but he has to not be significantly worse
This has been the “Year of the Quarterback” in the NFL. Names like Drew Brees, Matthew Stafford, Aaron Rodgers, and Ben Roethlisberger are all out of the playoffs, while Smith is still here in the NFL’s version of the “Final Four.” He didn’t always run a pretty pass offense, as the 49ers only ranked No. 29 in the league in passing at 183.1 yards per game through the air. However, what Smith did this year was believe in himself, believe in his receivers, and take care of the football. What we saw last week is that he has the ability to win games if he needs to, as he stood toe to toe with Brees and the best offense, maybe in the history of the league. That being said, we don’t think that he has to do that again this week against the G-Men, but he can’t be significantly worse than Manning if the team is going to win this one.

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