Posts Tagged ‘football prop picks’

NFL Prop Picks & NFL Week 4 Picks (Sunday, October 2, 2011)

October 2nd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks & NFL Week 4 Picks (Sunday, October 2, 2011)
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We’re all set to wrap up the first quarter of the NFL season, and here at Bankroll Sports, we’re always keeping our eyes peeled to the best ways to boost your bankroll. Today, we’re looking at the best NFL prop picks on the NFL Week 4 schedule!

Calvin Johnson TD in the First Half
There’s a point that Calvin Johnson has to have a game in which he doesn’t score two TDs, right? In this one, he can have a million TDs if he wants, as long as one of those scores isn’t in the first half. The truth of the matter is that the Cowboys play significantly better defense than most probably think, and they are going to be sending the heat at QB Matt Stafford all day long. Defensive Coordinator Rob Ryan is a smart cookie, and he knows that the Megatron is the only receiving threat of huge note that Stafford has to throw the ball to, especially near the red zone, and the end result is going to be coverage getting rolled out to his side quite a bit. We know that Johnson should probably be about -200 to score a TD in most games that he is out there, and if that’s the case, we just don’t see him scoring a TD in the first half a high enough percentage of the time to get the job done. If the fair price is -200 on him scoring a TD for the game, it should be +130 for him scoring in the first half. No Calvin Johnson 1st Half Touchdown (-140 at 5Dimes Sportsbook)

Darren Sproles Over/Under 66.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Sproles has been great this year, and the more time that he spends on the field, the better off the New Orleans offense seems to be. That being said, a lot of the swing passes that would have gone to Sproles very well could be going to the returning WR Marques Colston this week. Against the Jags, we look for RB Mark Ingram and RB Pierre Thomas to be more involved in the game both as rushers and potentially as short receiving backs as well. Sproles might not be that much a part of the game plan, as there shouldn’t be that much trickery that needs to be called to win this game. Sproles Under 66.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115 at 5Dimes Sportsbook)

Tim Hightower Over/Under 100.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
The evil, mad scientist, Head Coach Mike Shanahan cannot be trusted with his running backs all that often. RB Roy Helu took some extra snaps last week against the Cowboys, and he very well could be eating into the production that Hightower ends up with. That being said, even in a game in which Hightower took virtually every snap in the backfield, he only had 97 total yards against the Giants, and their defense is probably right about on par with that of the Rams. That being said, we’re not so sure that the Redskins are running away with this one, and if they’re playing catch up, that probably means more time for Helu and less opportunities for Hightower to touch the rock. Tim Hightower Under 100.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115 at 5Dimes Sportsbook)

Marcedes Lewis Over/Under 2 Receptions
It’s not often that we come up with a prop that has simply never lost, but that’s the case for this prop with Lewis. We know that rookie QB Blaine Gabbert hasn’t shown anything to us yet, and we also know that Lewis is coming off of an injury that has been nagging him in recent weeks, but last year, the former UCLA Bruin didn’t have a single game in which he caught fewer than two passes. For a man that caught 58 balls last year and is considered to likely be a bigger part of the offense this year, we just don’t see how he won’t catch at least a couple check downs, especially against a New Orleans team that has been smashed by opposing tight ends this season. Marcedes Lewis Over 2 Receptions (-180 at 5Dimes Sportsbook)

NFL Picks: New England @ Miami, Oakland @ Denver Prop Picks

September 12th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Picks: New England @ Miami, Oakland @ Denver Prop Picks
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Monday Night Football is back and better than ever this week, as there are two crucial divisional duels on tap. Check out how we stack up the NFL props and make our NFL picks on the clashes between the Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots and Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders.

Over/Under 4 Sacks (NE/MIA)
You don’t normally think of these two teams as two that will gun the ball all over the place. However, with QB Tom Brady breaking in a new receiver in WR Chad Ochocinco and QB Chad Henne really stuck throwing the ball a ton without a steady running game, the sacks could mount in a hurry. You know that New England’s defense is not relenting, as Head Coach Bill Belichick will throw the kitchen sink at the relatively inexperienced Henne. The question is how much Head Coach Tony Sparano is going to send at Brady. Knowing that his job might be on the line, we’d guess that we’ll see a lot of guys like LB Jason Taylor and LB Koa Misi in the backfield. Over 4 Sacks (-110 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Brandon Lloyd Over/Under 4.5 Receptions
No respect here for the defending receiving yards champ in the league. Lloyd had a sturdy year last year, and though we know that Head Coach John Fox is going to want to run the ball more with RB Knowshon Moreno, that doesn’t mean that the rapport that QB Kyle Orton built with Lloyd over the last year will just suddenly disappear. Don’t be surprised if there are a few shots taken to try to loosen up this Oakland defense, and if that’s the case, Lloyd should be able to amass the five receptions needed to beat this target. Lloyd Over 4.5 Receptions (+100 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over/Under 45.5 Yards (NE/MIA)
Last season alone, New England scored four special teams or defensive TDs that all went for more than 45 yards against the Dolphins, and that doesn’t even include the possibility of the offenses scoring from this far out. We know that Brady will be looking to hit some deep shots during this game, and the X-Factor very well could be RB Reggie Bush, who appears like he is going to get at least 20-25 touches of the football in some respect in this game. Don’t be shocked if this prop is decided with the very first touchdown. Longest Touchdown Over 45.5 Yards (-115 at BoDog Sportsbook)

NFL Picks: New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers Prop Picks

September 7th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Picks: New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers Prop Picks
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The first day of the football betting action is here! But before you get started with the NFL odds, be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the first day of the season!

Will Mark Ingram Or Pierre Thomas Score a TD?
It’s going to be difficult for Ingram and Thomas in this one, but the truth of the matter is that there aren’t any other players that are going to be stealing these rushing touchdowns like last year. Then you have the ultimate question: Will the Saints have a rushing touchdown in this game? In all likelihood, this has to be at least a 50/50 prop. We can’t imagine that this team isn’t going to have at least one rushing TD in just seven games this season. Ingram Or Thomas To Score a TD (+125 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Robert Meachem Over/Under 32.5 Receiving Yards
Meachem is the deep threat for QB Drew Brees, and that makes him a great candidate to have at least 33 yards on just one catch. In fact, he had six receptions of at least 35 yards last season, all of which came in different games. The Packers might have some secondary issues this year, and we know that Brees isn’t going to end up falling apart under the pressure of the Green Bay linebackers and defensive line. The former Tennessee Volunteer had eight games with at least 32.5 yards through the air last season, and we tend to believe that he will get there again in this one. Meachem Over 32.5 Rushing Yards (-130 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Jermichael Finley Over/Under 55.5 Receiving Yards
This could be a mighty interesting situation here for the former Oklahoma Sooner. He had 301 yards and 21 catches in his first four games last season before getting injured. Now, Finley might have a field day against a Green Bay defense that, for all of its major pros, had a major flaw taking care of tight ends. Finley could be in for a big, big day. Finley Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at BoDog Sportsbook)