NFL Betting – 2011 NFL Draft Props

Last Updated: April 26th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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The 2011 NFL Draft is just about here, and here at Bankroll Sports, we’re analyzing the best NFL Draft props on the board so you can cash in on the most exciting offseason event for the boys on the gridiron!

Quarterbacks Drafted in the First Round Over Under 3.5

It’s a lock that both Blaine Gabbert and Cam Newton will be selected in the Top 10 and Jake Locker will almost assuredly go in the first round as well. That means that either Christian Ponder, Andy Dalton, Colin Kaepernick, or Ryan Mallett needs to be taken in the first round as well to win this NFL Draft bet. No one would be particularly surprised to see any of these players taken at the back end of the first round, with the most likely candidates being Ponder or Dalton. In particular, many NFL experts like Vic Carucci believe that Ponder will be taken by the end of the first round, probably by a team with a quarterback need trading back up. Gil Brandt recently highlighted that the Cincinnati Bengals brought in both Dalton and Ponder for private workouts and will look into selecting one of them as well. Go with Over 3.5 Quarterbacks Drafted in Round 1, -170 @ BetOnline

Jake Locker Position Drafted Over/Under 23.5

A few weeks ago, some thought that Locker would slip out of the first round, but recently, Locker has been getting a great deal of love from teams in desperate need of a quarterback such as the Minnesota Vikings and Washington Redskins. With Newton and Gabbert off the board early, teams could get into a scramble to take the third-best quarterback on most team’s boards. Locker was seen as a potential #1 overall pick before the start of the 2010 college football season, but Washington’s offense struggled and Locker’s stock fell over questions about his accuracy and ability to succeed at the next level. However, smart teams have noted that Locker did not have many underneath routes to help his completion percentage at the college ranks and this affected perception. The 49ers, Vikings, Redskins, Dolphins, and Jaguars could also conceivably take Locker in their draft positions and a team might be likely to trade up to grab him as well. Locker Under Draft Position 23.5, -130 @ BetOnline is a mortal lock with all of these teams interested.

AJ Green’s Position Drafted Over/Under 4.5

Virtually every mock draft in the world has Green going to the Bengals with the 4th overall pick and it’s hard to fault their logic. With Carson Palmer threatening to retire, the loss of Terrell Owens, and Chad Ochocinco continuing to cause problems, a standout wide receiver may convince Palmer to stay. Green is the best receiver in the draft and has amazing physical tools, including a set of hands that will already be among the best in the league upon his entry. Someone could be trading up into the Top 5 to snare a tremendous physical specimen as well. One of the top four teams will take him, so for your NFL Draft picks, take Green Under Draft Position 4.5, -155 @ BetOnline.

Total Players Drafted in the First Round from the ACC Over/Under 5

The juice is pretty high on this prop, but it’s as close to a lock as you’re going to get. There are only three consensus first round picks from the ACC: North Carolina’s Robert Quinn, Boston College’s Anthony Castonzo, and Clemson’s Da’Quan Bowers. After that there are a number of players that are potential first round picks, such as Miami’s Brandon Harris, Florida State’s Christian Ponder, and North Carolina’s Marvin Austin. However, the chances of Austin getting into the first round are minimal at best, and although Ponder has a decent chance at being a first round selection, Harris is a coin flip. The worst case scenario should see exactly five ACC players taken in the first round which would be a push on the bet. This looks to be one of the easier NFL Draft props this year, so go with the ACC Under 5 First Round Draft Picks, -200 @ BetOnline.

Which Side of the Ball With the No. 11 Picks in the Draft Be From?

Many bettors will be turned off by the high juice on this prop, but the Houston Texans come into this draft needing defense in the worst way. Houston had one of the most porous secondaries in the history of the NFL in 2010 and would love to get their hands on Patrick Peterson or Prince Amukamara to give itself a shutdown corner for the next decade. If both of these players are gone, expect the Texans to take a defensive end/linebacker type such as Robert Quinn since they are switching to the 3-4 this season. Julio Jones is an outside possibility at this slot, but that assumes that Jones falls this far and that the Texans pass on such glaring needs over another wide receiver. Really, the only way that this bet loses is if the Texans trade the pick. There’s at least an 85 percent chance that the 11th NFL Draft pick goes on the Defense, -500 @ BetOnline.

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Posted in NFL Football - Last Updated on Tuesday, April 26th, 2011 @ 4:57 pm (EST)
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