March Madness Picks: Odds To Win NCAA Tournament Final Four MVP

Last Updated: March 30th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Complete List of NCAA Tournament MVP Lines Can Be Found Below

Our NCAA Tournament picks continue this weekend with a look at the odds to win the Final Four MVP. There are a slew of big time players that are going to be in the running for one of the most illustrious individual prizes in college basketball, and here at Bankroll Sports, we are making our Final Four predictions on the players to watch.

We said way back at the beginning of this tournament that the man we were going to be watching out for was the Kentucky Wildcats’ Anthony Davis (Odds To Win NCAA Tournament MVP: 3 to 1 @ SportBet Sportsbook). Davis has consistently been the man to watch out for that Kentucky always feeds the ball to, and against a very athletic Baylor Bears outfit last week in the Elite 8, he had 18 points, 11 rebounds, and six blocked shots. There isn’t a bigger defensive force in the country than this one, and it is going to be hard to ignore a man that has this much dominance on both sides of the ball. If Kentucky is to win the National Championship, save for perhaps Doron Lamb, it is going to be hard to justify picking any of the other players to win the Final Four MVP.

That being said, we were happy to know at the beginning of this tournament that we were also on the bandwagon of the Kansas Jayhawks’ Thomas Robinson (NCAA Tournament MVP Odds: 8 to 1 @ Bovada Sportsbook). His odds have been cut in half now that the Jayhawks are here in the Final Four, but there is no doubt that Robinson and his double-double motor are going to be candidates for this award as long as they win it all. Tyshawn Taylor might make for an interesting pick as well, knowing that he was finally able to put together a great game in the Elite 8, but in the end, there probably won’t be a game in the Final Four in which Robinson goes for less than 15 and 10, and if that turns out to be the case, it is going to be hard to ignore him as the MOP of the tourney.


There are a number of players that are down the line that we never really saw coming as potential Final Four MVPs as well. The Ohio State Buckeyes aren’t a huge shock to be in this position, but instead of backing Jared Sullinger, we are going to take a very close look at William Buford (March Madness MVP Odds: 18 to 1 @ SportBet Sportsbook). Thus far in the tourney, Buford has been a bit inconsistent. He only had four points against the Cincinnati Bearcats, and he only has one game with more than 13 points in the tournament, that coming in the first round against the Loyola Maryland Greyhounds. Buford is the best three-point shooter on the team though, and he has consistently averaged right around 14 points per game for his entire career. This is a bad draw down the stretch for the Buckeyes, as they have to take on two teams one way or the other that have a lot of big time bigs on the defensive side of the court, and if they are going to win it all, the guards are going to have to make the difference. We don’t see OSU beating Kansas without a huge game out of Buford of at least 20 points, and that would make him a tremendous MVP candidate should the Buckeyes cut down the nets on Monday night.

Not many are giving the Louisville Cardinals all that much of a chance to win the whole enchilada this year, but if they do, you know that Russ Smith (Odds To Win March Madness MVP: 20 to 1 @ SportBet Sportsbook) is going to have to be the man that does the most damage. When you look at the averages for Smith this year, nothing is all that impressive. He put up just 11.6 points, 2.5 boards, and 2.0 assists per game. He is a great defensive player, averaging over two steals per game as well. However, what you notice are the big games that he tends to explode for every now and again. In just 22 minutes against the Florida Gators, Smith had 19 points off of the bench, and it was the third straight game in which he scored double digits in spite of the fact that he hasn’t played more than 23 minutes in the entire tourney. Smith played for 27 minutes against Kentucky the first time around, and he scored 30 of the team’s 62 points. It’s going to come in streaks for Smith, and he is really the only man in the Final Four that we can see coming off of the bench and winning the Final Four MVP award.

2012 March Madness Final Four MVP Odds @ SportBet Sportsbook (as of 3/30/12):
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Anthony Davis (Kentucky) 3 to 1
Jared Sullinger (Ohio State) 6.50 to 1
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (Kentucky) 6.50 to 1
Thomas Robinson (Kansas) 8 to 1
Doron Lamb (Kentucky) 14 to 1
Tyshawn Taylor (Kansas) 15 to 1
Deshaun Thomas (Ohio State) 18 to 1
William Buford (Ohio State) 18 to 1
Darius Miller (Kentucky) 20 to 1
Gorgui Dieng (Louisville) 20 to 1
Lenzelle Smith Jr. (Ohio state) 20 to 1
Marquis Teague (Kentucky) 20 to 1
Russ Smith (Louisville) 20 to 1
Terrence Jones (Kentucky) 20 to 1
Peyton Siva (Louisville) 25 to 1
Aaron Craft (Ohio State) 28 to 1
Kyle Kuric (Louisville) 35 to 1
Jeff Withey (Kansas) 40 to 1
Elijah Johnson (Kansas) 50 to 1
Travis Releford (Kansas) 50 to 1

2012 NCAA Tournament MVP Odds @ BetUS Sportsbook (as of 3/30/12):
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Anthony Davis (Kentucky) 2 to 1
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (Kentucky) 5 to 1
Jared Sullinger (Ohio State) 6 to 1
Thomas Robinson (Kansas) 8 to 1
Deshaun Thomas (Ohio State) 9 to 1
Doron Lamb (Kentucky) 15 to 1
Tyshawn Taylor (Kansas) 15 to 1
William Buford (Ohio State) 15 to 1
Peyton Siva (Louisville) 18 to 1
Gorgui Dieng (Louisville) 20 to 1
Marquis Teague (Kentucky) 20 to 1
Terrence Jones (Kentucky) 20 to 1
Kyle Kuric (Louisville) 25 to 1
Chane Behanan (Louisville) 35 to 1

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Posted in NCAA Basketball - Last Updated on Friday, March 30th, 2012 @ 12:14 am (EST)
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