Monday Night Football Props: Colts vs. Chargers Predictions 10/14

Last Updated: October 14th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Ryan Mathews ChargersOur Indianapolis Colts vs. San Diego Chargers picks are set and ready to go at Bankroll Sports, but if you’re looking for a bit of a different way to take advantage of some of the Monday Night Football prop bets, you’ve come to the right place. Today, we’re going to be breaking down some of the best NFL props on the board for Monday Night Football, all of which come courtesy of Diamond Sportsbook.

Andrew Luck Under 280.5 Passing Yards – We’re really not all that sure at what the oddsmakers have been looking at here with Luck. He hasn’t come anywhere near this total of passing yards but once all season long in a game, and though he is going against a bad secondary, he also is only throwing the ball right around 30 times per game on the season. If Luck is only going to put the pill in the air 30 times in this game, he is going to have to average right around nine yards per attempt, and we know that he isn’t going to do that more often than not. Especially at +100 odds, we have to think that this is a winning bet more than half the time to make us winners.

Coby Fleener To Score a Touchdown (+125) – Fleener has had himself a good second season, and without TE Dwayne Allen there to steal his targets, the Stanford grad is really shining. He has scored a touchdown in two of his three games this year, but he has been targeted in the end zone in four of the five. Luck is going to complete more of his shots into the end zone than you’d think, and we have to remember that this San Diego defense has had no luck whatsoever defending against tight ends this year. Remember Monday Night Football the first time that the Chargers played on it this year? They allowed three touchdowns to the tight ends of the Houston Texans. We only need one in this one, and we think that Fleener is going to be the man that gets it in at least half of his games.

Philip Rivers Under 290.5 Passing Yards – Rivers has put up three games with at least 400 passing yards this year, but this is a very good Indianapolis secondary that he is going up against that ranks fifth in the NFL against the pass. Sure, Rivers could rack up a bunch of garbage yards, and that might end up beating us, but we are believers that this is going to be a close game one way or the other. Remember that in the two games where Rivers didn’t throw for 400 yards, he also didn’t even throw for 200 yards. Eventually, he’ll settle somewhere in the middle, and we have to think that right around 250 yards is about right for the man from NC State.

Keenan Allen Over 4 Receptions – Asking Allen to get to four receptions to push and five to win seems like a decent bet to us at this point. The rookie out of Cal has had 11 receptions, but more importantly 19 targets in his last two games, proving that he is the man that Rivers is going to love to throw the rock to when he gets the chance to do so. Some of the shots have been deep that Allen has gotten, and though that isn’t really going to help us in terms of receptions, we do think that quantity in this case will be good enough to outshine the lack of quality that some of the throws have had to Allen over the course of the last two weeks.

Antonio Gates To Not Score a Touchdown – It’s only a pick ’em prop, and we think that “no” should be the favorite here by a sizeable margin. The Colts haven’t allowed a tight end to find the end zone against them this year, and in most of the games that they have played, tight ends have caught two passes or fewer. Gates has had himself a good season, but he isn’t getting all of the looks from Rivers in the end zone as he used to. We think that this is a man that could be in for a decent night, but the end zone isn’t in the cards more often than not in all likelihood.

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Posted in NFL Football - Last Updated on Monday, October 14th, 2013 @ 9:54 am (EST)
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