NFL Prop Picks: Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens Predictions 9/27

Last Updated: September 18th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Full Browns @ Ravens NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Ray Rice RavensThe Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 4 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Team to Score First: You really never see us playing NFL props like this one, but we really like the idea of playing on the Browns to score first at least 40% of the time in this game. Baltimore really should just come out and dominate, but how on earth can it be expected to do that from the get go just basically 96 hours after taking down the New England Patriots in such dramatic fashion in one of the most emotional games of the year? The Browns have been chomping at the bit to get out and play this game to prove that they can indeed play with the big boys in the AFC North, and they might be throwing the whole book at the Ravens right away to try to slip one past this defense. This just feels like a game in which Cleveland finds a way to get on the scoreboard first, though it probably won’t have a legitimate impact on the game. Cleveland Browns Score First (+175)

Joe Flacco Over/Under 21.5 Completions: This is just a bad line in our eyes. Flacco has been running this no huddle offense, and he has thrown the ball a whopping 81 times over the course of his last two weeks. Now, he gets to play the Browns, who don’t have their best cover corner in the lineup, and that means that he should get to pick on the corners once again. Sure, RB Ray Rice will get his carries, but he’ll also get his receptions, and that means that Flacco is going to be putting the ball in the air quite a bit. We just don’t see how more often than not, he isn’t going to complete at least 22 passes. Remember that Flacco is on a clip right now to complete nearly 400 passes this year. Joe Flacco Over 21.5 Completions (-115)

Trent Richardson Total Rushing Yards Over/Under 57.5: This is a rough one for the rookie out of Arkansas. Richardson is a great back, and he has a whole heck of a lot of potential, but this Baltimore defense is vicious. That being said, asking Richardson to get to just 58 yards shouldn’t be all that much, knowing that he does have one of the best offensive tackles in the world to run behind in Joe Thomas. The Browns are committed to the run come hell or high water on a weekly basis, and that means that Richardson will have to average likely no more than 3.0 yards per carry to be able to get the job done with this prop. That’ll be tough against the Ravens, but we think that he’ll find a way to get the job done more often than not. It’s a precarious play at best, though. Trent Richardson Over 57.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Props @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 9/27/12):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -110

Browns Score First +175
Ravens Score First -220

First Score a Touchdown -165
First Score Not a Touchdown +135

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 42.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 42.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards +100
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -130

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards +100

Total Sacks Made Over 4.5 -120
Total Sacks Made Under 4.5 -110

Brandon Weeden Total Completions Over 21.5 -115
Brandon Weeden Total Completions Under 21.5 -115

Brandon Weeden Throws a Touchdown First -120
Brandon Weeden Throws an Interception First -110

Trent Richardson Rushing Yards Over 57.5 -115
Trent Richardson Rushing Yards Under 57.5 -115

Joe Flacco Total Completions Over 21.5 -115
Joe Flacco Total Completions Under 21.5 -115

Joe Flacco Total Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -180
Joe Flacco Total Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +150

Ray Rice Scores a First Half Touchdown +120
Ray Rice Doesn’t Score a First Half Touchdown -150

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Posted in NFL Football - Last Updated on Tuesday, September 18th, 2012 @ 7:54 am (EST)
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