NFL Prop Picks: Denver Broncos vs. San Diego Chargers Tips 10/15

Last Updated: October 13th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Full Broncos @ Chargers NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Broncos vs. ChargersThe San Diego Chargers and Denver Broncos are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 6 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Will the First Score Be a Touchdown or Field Goal?: This is just some simple math. The Broncos have scored 16 touchdowns against seven field goals this year. San Diego has 13 touchdowns and 12 field goals. Now just do some quick math. That’s 29 touchdowns and 19 field goals. Considering how badly QB Peyton Manning has played against the Chargers in his career (more on that in a second), some of those touchdown drives for the Broncos very well could turn into field goal drives. All we need is the first one to be that way around 40% of the time, and we’re going to be winners. First Score a Field Goal or Safety (+160)

Peyton Manning Over/Under 285.5 Passing Yards: Manning has averaged 304.0 passing yards per game in his career against the Chargers over the course of seven games. He has completed just 60.8 percent of his passes against them though, and he has a woeful quarterback rating of just 72.5 against them. Remember that this isn’t nearly the same Manning that had all of those great receiving options in Indianapolis. Yes, this Peyton Manning has averaged 299.8 passing yards per game this year, but there is a reason that this number has been lined a tad lower than these numbers that you see. The Chargers rank No. 20 in the NFL is passing, but they should be able to hold Manning under this very, very lofty passing total for Manning, who would much rather keep the football on the ground. Peyton Manning Passing Yards Under 285.5 (-115)

Will Joel Dreessen Score a Touchdown?: Dreessen is a nice little story this year, and he does have three trips to the end zone in five games. However, one of those touchdowns came on a pass which was never even intended for him and ended up just more or less falling into his hands. Dreessen only has 11 catches this year, and he clearly isn’t a threat to score a touchdown from anywhere more than a dozen or so yards away from the end zone. The Chargers haven’t allowed much to opposing tight ends this year, including just a pair of touchdowns over the course of the first five games of the campaign. It seems a heck of a lot more likely that TE Jacob Tamme scores than Dreessen, and we think that this prop is overstated. Joel Dreessen Doesn’t Score a Touchdown (-180)

Philip Rivers Passing Yards Over/Under 285.5: Once again, this is a very high number against a secondary that has some real talent in it. Rivers has had luck in his career against the Broncos, and there is no doubt that he is going to be asked to put the ball in the air quite a bit again in this one. However, Rivers has a running game at his disposal now with RB Ryan Mathews being back in the lineup and trusted with the football, and that is going to take some of the pressure off indeed. Rivers might come up near this number, but when push comes to shove, asking him to throw for over 286 yards would be averaging 4,500+ yards for a season. Rivers just isn’t going to be able to do that in all likelihood, especially knowing that he is averaging just 250.2 yards per game thus far on the campaign. Philip Rivers Passing Yards Under 285.5 (-115)

Denver Broncos vs. San Diego Chargers NFL Props @ BetOnline Sportsbook (as of 10/15/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -110

Broncos Score First -115
Chargers Score First -115

First Score a Touchdown -200
First Score Not a Touchdown +160

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 48.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 48.5 Yards -115

Peyton Manning Completions Over 24.5 -130
Peyton Manning Completions Under 24.5 +100

Peyton Manning Longest Completion Over 39.5 Yards -115
Peyton Manning Longest Completion Under 39.5 Yards -115

Peyton Manning Passing Yards Over 285.5 -115
Peyton Manning Passing Yards Under 285.5 -115

Peyton Manning Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -200
Peyton Manning Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +160

Peyton Manning Throws an Interception -180
Peyton Manning Doesn’t Throw an Interception +140

Willis McGahee Rushing Yards Over 66.5 -115
Willis McGahee Rushing Yards Under 66.5 -115

Willis McGahee Scores a Touchdown +115
Willis McGahee Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -145

Demaryius Thomas Receptions Over 5 -115
Demaryius Thomas Receptions Under 5 -115

Demaryius Thomas Receiving Yards Over 85.5 -115
Demaryius Thomas Receiving Yards Under 85.5 -115

Demaryius Thomas Scores a Touchdown +105
Demaryius Thomas Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -125

Eric Decker Receptions Over 4.5 -130
Eric Decker Receptions Under 4.5 +100

Eric Decker Receiving Yards Over 62.5 -115
Eric Decker Receiving Yards Under 62.5 -115

Brandon Stokley Receptions Over 2.5 -140
Brandon Stokley Receptions Under 2.5 +110

Brandon Stokley Receiving Yards Over 34.5 -115
Brandon Stokley Receiving Yards Under 34.5 -115

Jacob Tamme Receptions Over 3.5 -150
Jacob Tamme Receptions Under 3.5 +120

Jacob Tamme Receiving Yards Over 40.5 -115
Jacob Tamme Receiving Yards Under 40.5 -115

Joel Dreessen Receptions Over 2.5 -105
Joel Dreessen Receptions Under 2.5 -125

Joel Dreessen Scores a Touchdown +145
Joel Dreessen Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -185

Wesley Woodyard Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 7.5 +100
Wesley Woodyard Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 7.5 -130

Matt Prater Total Points Over 7.5 +100
Matt Prater Total Points Under 7.5 -130

Philip Rivers Completions Over 22.5 -125
Philip Rivers Completions Under 22.5 -105

Philip Rivers Passing Yards Over 285.5 -115
Philip Rivers Passing Yards Under 285.5 -115

Philip Rivers Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -160
Philip Rivers Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +130

Philip Rivers Throws an Interception -240
Philip Rivers Doesn’t Thrown an Interception +180

Ryan Mathews Rushing Yards Over 75.5 -115
Ryan Mathews Rushing Yards Under 75.5 -115

Ryan Mathews Scores a Touchdown +115
Ryan Mathews Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -145

Malcom Floyd Receptions Over 4.5 +110
Malcom Floyd Receptions Under 4.5 -140

Malcom Floyd Receiving Yards Over 70.5 -115
Malcom Floyd Receiving Yards Under 70.5 -115

Malcom Floyd Scores a Touchdown +140
Malcom Floyd Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Robert Meachem Receptions Over 2.5 -115
Robert Meachem Receptions Under 2.5 -115

Robert Meachem Longest Reception Over 27.5 Yards -115
Robert Meachem Longest Reception Under 27.5 Yards -115

Antonio Gates Receptions Over 4 -150
Antonio Gates Receptions Under 4 +120

Antonio Gates Receiving Yards Over 55.5 -115
Antonio Gates Receiving Yards Under 55.5 -115

Eddie Royal Receptions Over 2.5 -115
Eddie Royal Receptions Under 2.5 -115

Takeo Spikes Total Tackles Over 5.5 +115
Takeo Spikes Total Tackles Under 5.5 -145

Nick Novak Total Points Over 7.5 -120
Nick Novak Total Points Under 7.5 -110

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Posted in NFL Football - Last Updated on Saturday, October 13th, 2012 @ 12:29 am (EST)
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