NFL Prop Picks: Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers Picks 9/13/12

Last Updated: September 13th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Full Bears @ Packers NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Jay Cutler SackedThe Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 2 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for the first game of the season.

Randall Cobb Yards On First Reception Over/Under 8.5: WR Greg Jennings is considered a 50/50 proposition to be able to play on Thursday night, and that might mean that we see more of Cobb playing out of the slot. This is one of the shiftiest players in the league, and often times, he is able to get loose from defenders and turn short looking passes into big time gains. That being said, that first look that he is going to have is almost certainly going to be a bubble screen type of play, as QB Aaron Rodgers looks to get his confidence back after having a woeful game last week against the San Francisco 49ers. We just don’t see how the former Kentucky Wildcat is going to have at least nine yards more often than not on his first touch of the football, and this also keeps us covered in the event that he doesn’t catch a pass. Randall Cobb Yards on First Reception Under 8.5 (-115)

Cedric Benson Rushing Yards on First Attempt Over/Under 3.5: Let’s be realistic here. This is a man that carried the ball for an average of right at 2.0 yards per carry last week, and Benson is a runner that really has never been “four yards and a cloud of dust” type of guy. Instead, he is just a guy who is going to barrel right into the line of scrimmage and see what happens with his blockers, and against this Chicago front, that probably isn’t going to go all that well. Look at it this way: Will Benson have more carries over or under four yards tonight? Until we see more out of the Green Bay offensive line, we have no choice but to think that the proper answer is ‘under’. Benson Rushing Yards on First Attempt Under 3.5 (-130)

Will Matt Forte Score a Touchdown?: This is a very, very tricky prop in which you have to be mighty careful. Sure, it seems immediately that Forte would of course get into the end zone, knowing that he is the featured back and will touch the ball at least 20 times over the course of the night. However, last week on the goal line, it was RB Michael Bush that snuck in from a yard out twice, not Forte. Yes, Forte did get his rushing touchdown, but that came from outside the five, not inside of it. That’s not a good sign here for him to score this time around. Sure, Forte could break one and get into the end zone that way, and it just doesn’t seem like it is nearly a slam dunk to have this happen. Forte To Not Score a Touchdown (-105)

Jay Cutler Over/Under 22.5 Completions: Alright Cutler, this is where the rubber is going to meet the road for you. You’ve spoken all about how you think that you are going to take advantage of the bump and run coverage that the Packers are going to send your way, and you think that you are going to tear that apart. We think otherwise. Green Bay is going to be sending the pressure Cutler’s way from start to finish over the course of this night, and that’s going to translate into a shady game for the Chicago quarterback. Asking a man on a team that wants to run the ball first to complete 23 passes against a team that is going to be out for blood just isn’t a great idea. Most will jump right towards the ‘over’ after last week, but we are going to take the road less travelled, which will probably also be the more profitable road over the long run. Cutler Under 22.5 Completions (-115)

Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Props @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 9/13/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -110

Bears Score First +130
Packers Score First -160

First Score a Touchdown -200
First Score Not a Touchdown +160

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 49.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 49.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 43.5 Yards -120
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 43.5 Yards -110

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -125
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards -105

Total Field Goals Made Over 3.5 +140
Total Field Goals Made Under 3.5 -170

Total Punts Over 10.5 +100
Total Punts Under 10.5 -130

Total Sacks Over 4.5 -130
Total Sacks Under 4.5 +100

Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown +140
Not a Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown -170

Jay Cutler Completions Over 22.5 -115
Jay Cutler Completions Under 22.5 -115

Jay Cutler Passing Yards Over 277.5 -115
Jay Cutler Passing Yards Under277.5 -115

Jay Cutler Total Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -150
Jay Cutler Total Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +120

Jay Cutler Throws an Interception -200
Jay Cutler Doesn’t Throw an Interception +160

Matt Forte Rushing Yards Over 82.5 -115
Matt Forte Rushing Yards Under 82.5 -115

Matt Forte Receptions Over 3.5 -130
Matt Forte Receptions Under 3.5 +100

Matt Forte Scores a Touchdown -125
Matt Forte Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -105

Brandon Marshall Receptions Over 6.5 -125
Brandon Marshall Receptions Under 6.5 -105

Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Over 90.5 -115
Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Under 90.5 -115

Brandon Marshall Scores a Touchdown -115
Brandon Marshall Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Earl Bennett Receptions Over 3 -130
Earl Bennett Receptions Under 3 +100

Devin Hester Longest Reception Over 23.5 Yards -115
Devin Hester Longest Reception Under 23.5 Yards -115

Alshon Jeffrey Yards on First Reception Over 11.5 -115
Alshon Jeffrey Yards on First Reception Under 11.5 -115

Aaron Rodgers Completions Over 24.5 -130
Aaron Rodgers Completions Under 24.5 +100

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Over 302.5 -125
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Under 302.5 -105

Aaron Rodgers Touchdown Passes Over 2.5 +100
Aaron Rodgers Touchdown Passes Under 2.5 -130

Aaron Rodgers Throws an Interception -125
Aaron Rodgers Doesn’t Throw an Interception -105

Cedric Benson Yards on First Carry Over 3.5 +100
Cedric Benson Yards on First Carry Under 3.5 -130

Jordy Nelson Receptions Over 5 -140
Jordy Nelson Receptions Under 5 +110

Jordy Nelson Receiving Yards Over 70.5 -125
Jordy Nelson Receiving Yards Under 70.5 -105

Jordy Nelson Scores a Touchdown -110
Jordy Nelson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -110

James Jones Receptions Over 3.5 -145
James Jones Receptions Under 3.5 +115

James Jones Scores a Touchdown +120
James Jones Doesn’t Score a Touchdown-150

Jermichael Finley Receptions Over 4.5 -160
Jermichael Finley Receptions Under 4.5 +130

Randall Cobb Yards on First Reception Over 8.5 -115
Randall Cobb Yards on First Reception Under 8.5 -115

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Posted in NFL Football - Last Updated on Thursday, September 13th, 2012 @ 7:27 am (EST)
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