Archive for October, 2010

2010 NFL Week 5 Lines – Week Five Lines Breakdown

October 9th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Week 5 Lines – Week Five Lines Breakdown

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Complete List of NFL Week 5 Lines Can Be Found Below

Week 5 of the 2010 NFL campaign is going to get underway this weekend. Below you will find the current list of 2010 Week 5 NFL lines; both spreads and totals. Be sure to check out the free NFL picks from the expert handicappers at Bankroll Sports this weekend…

A very interesting week for NFL betting fans is ahead, as the football odds for Week 5 are out. Ironically, the biggest underdog on the board this week is the league’s last undefeated team, the Kansas City Chiefs. They’re coming off of their bye week and are clearly getting thoroughly disrespected in this duel with the Indianapolis Colts, as they are eight point pups. Indianapolis has plenty of reasons to be upset after losing to a 59 yard field goal at the end of last week’s game against the Jacksonville Jaguars, and we all saw what this team did when it was angry the last time it was playing a game off of a defeat… QB Eli Manning doesn’t want to see his big brother, QB Peyton Manning again.

Once again, road favorites seem to be the norm for the week, as there are a slew of so called “better teams” that have to go on the road to try to snare wins against “lesser teams.”

The Cleveland Browns are one of the disrespected home underdogs on the NFL odds for Week Five, as they are three point pups to the Atlanta Falcons. Does this situation look familiar? Last week, the Brownies were three point dogs to open up against the Cincinnati Bengals as well, as they came away with the outright victory.

The biggest road favorites are the New Orleans Saints. The oddsmakers are taking a big chance on New Orleans, as this crew really doesn’t have much in the way of a running game right now with RB Pierre Thomas out of the lineup. The Saints struggled mightily with the Carolina defense last week. Arizona’s biggest problems have come on the road, where it has gotten crushed by both the Atlanta Falcons and the San Diego Chargers. This is at home though, and it seems like there are favorable NFL trends point towards the hosts as seven point underdogs on Sunday afternoon.

Last week, the NFL oddsmakers were burned by making the Tennessee Titans nearly full touchdown favorites at home against the Denver Broncos. HC Josh McDaniels’ crew came away with the outright upset by the count of 26-20, and now Tennessee has to head to “Big D” to fight with the Dallas Cowboys, who are still trying to salvage their season after an 0-2 start. Owner Jerry Jones’ men are favored by 6.5 points on the opening NFL lines.

The highest ‘total’ on the board this week is in the clash between the New York Giants and Houston Texans at 48. Neither team has had much success on defense in recent weeks, and the Texans offense is putting points on the board left and right against everyone that it faces.

The lowest ‘total’ of all the week 5 NFL lines used to be the Monday Night Football tussle between the Minnesota Vikings and the New York Jets, but after the news that the Chicago Bears were going to be without QB Jay Cutler, the ‘total’ between the Bears and the Carolina Panthers is only 33.

2009 NFL Football Week Five Lines From BetUS (as of 10/9 @ 9:00 am ET):
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Week 5 Lines for Sunday, 10/10/10

411 Denver Broncos +7
412 Baltimore Ravens -7
Over/Under 40

413 Jacksonville Jaguars +1.5
414 Buffalo Bills -1.5
Over/Under 40.5

415 Kansas City Chiefs +7
416 Indianapolis Colts -7
Over/Under 46

417 St. Louis Rams +3
418 Detroit Lions -3
Over/Under 42.5

419 Atlanta Falcons -3
420 Cleveland Browns +3
Over/Under 41

421 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6.5
422 Cincinnati Bengals -6.5
Over/Under 38

423 Chicago Bears +1.5
424 Carolina Panthers -1.5
Over/Under 33

425 Green Bay Packers -2.5
426 Washington Redskins +2.5
Over/Under 45

427 New York Giants +3
428 Houston Texans -3
Over/Under 47

429 New Orleans Saints -7
430 Arizona Cardinals +7
Over/Under 44

431 San Diego Chargers -6.5
432 Oakland Raiders +6.5
Over/Under 45

433 Tennessee Titans +7
434 Dallas Cowboys -7
Over/Under 42.5

435 Philadelphia Eagles +3
436 San Francisco 49ers -3
Over/Under 38

Week 5 Spreads for Monday, 10/11/10

437 Minnesota Vikings +4
438 New York Jets -4
Over/Under 39

2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 6 Cheat Sheet

October 7th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on 2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 6 Cheat Sheet
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Week 6 college football betting is here! Bankroll Sports is back with more NCAA football picks for Week 6 of the year, but before we do that, we need to take a look at the important trends and history that the teams that are facing against each other this week.

Thursday, October 7th: Nebraska Cornhuskers @ Kansas State Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Huskers are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 road games
KSU is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 overall
The Cornhuskers are just 3-7 ATS in their L/10 against the Wildcats

Series History
Though we already know that Nebraska has only covered three of the L/10 against the Wildcats, that doesn’t mean that Big Red hasn’t dominated this series. They have a 73-31 victory to their credit as 7.5 point underdogs in 2007, and they have outscored KSU by an average of over 20 points per game in five wins since 2005. ‘Over’ bettors are a whopping 10-2 in the L/12 meetings in this series.

Friday, October 8th: Connecticut Huskies @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights
NCAA Football Trends of Note
UConn is 15-4 ATS in its L/19 overall
The Huskies are 7-2 ATS in their L/9 road games
The road team is 5-2-1 ATS in the L/8 meetings in this series

Series History
These two teams have only met eight times in their history, and the Scarlet Knights have really had no luck. UConn was 6-0-1 ATS in the first seven clashes before last year when Rutgers came up with its second win in Connecticut in team history. The underdog has also covered four of the L/5. Five of the L/7 have gone ‘over’ the ‘total’.

Friday, October 8th: Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Okie State is 6-1-1 ATS in its L/8 games played in the month of October
The Cajuns are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 in October
Louisiana Lafayette is 9-4 ATS in its L/13 against the Big XII

Series History
These two teams haven’t met since 2003, and it’s probably a good thing for the Cajuns. The Pokes posted a 56-3 beat down of ULL in that meeting in ’03 in Stillwater. Oklahoma State actually visited Cajun Field in 1997 and 1986, coming away with victories in both games. The Ragin’ Cajuns have never won a game in this series.

Saturday, October 9th: Indiana Hoosiers @ Ohio State Buckeyes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The road team is 7-2 ATS in the L/9 meetings of these teams
Ohio State is 43-19 ATS in its L/62 games overall
The Buckeyes are 9-2 ATS in their L/11 against teams with a winning record

Series History
Indiana just doesn’t know what it’s like to beat the Buckeyes of late. You have to go way back to find the last Indiana victory. Ohio State has covered five straight and seven out of eight in this series, including issuing a 33-14 beat down last season in Bloomington. The Bucks have scored at least 30 in seven straight and at least 27 the L/10 meetings. In the L/10, Indiana hasn’t scored more than 17 points against OSU.

Saturday, October 9th: Illinois Fighting Illini @ Penn State Nittany Lions
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Illini are 6-0 ATS in their L/6 as an underdog
Illinois is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 overall
The Nittany Lions are 18-7-2 ATS in their L/27 in October

Series History
The Illini know what it takes to get rid of Penn State, but here in Happy Valley has been a totally different thing. Illinois’ last win in this series was back in 2007 in Champaign. Since then, the Nittany Lions have won both tussles, including last year’s 35-17 victory on the road as 7.5 point favorites. Six of the L/8 clashes of these Big Ten rivals has eclipsed the ‘total’.

Saturday, October 9th: Tennessee Volunteers @ Georgia Bulldogs
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Vols have covered four straight in this series
Georgia is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 against teams with losing records
The Dawgs are 4-11 ATS in their L/15 home games

Series History
The home team has won three straight in this series and has done so by double digits in all three clashes. This annual early October tussle generally features low scoring games, as the losing team has only scored more than 19 points once since 2001. The winner generally gets an upper hand in the SEC East title race, though this season, these teams come into this one at a combined 0-5 in conference play.

Saturday, October 9th: Alabama Crimson Tide @ South Carolina Gamecocks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tide are 11-5 ATS in their L/16 in the SEC
Alabama is 11-5 ATS in its L/16 road games against teams with winning home records
The Gamecocks are 4-1-1 ATS in their L/6 following a bye week

Series History
These teams have only met five times since they joined the SEC, and the meetings have been fairly evenly matched. Both teams have one win on enemy soil, while Alabama holds a 3-2 edge both SU and ATS overall. Two of the L/3 meetings have been played into just the 20s in total points scored, while the losing team has only scored more than 17 points once since 2000.

Saturday, October 9th: Arkansas Razorbacks @ Texas A&M Aggies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Hogs are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 games in October
Arkansas is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 neutral site games
The Razorbacks are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 against Big XII opposition

Series History
These two teams renewed their old SWAC rivalry last year with the Razorbacks pounding the Aggies 47-19 on a neutral field. This year will be no exception playing at Dallas Cowboys Stadium. The Hogs have covered five straight dating back to 1988, but the most recent meeting since the ’09 encounter was in 1991.

Saturday, October 9th: Michigan State Spartans @ Michigan Wolverines
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Spartans haven’t covered a spread on the road since October 10th, 2009
Michigan is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 played in October
Big Blue is just 5-16 ATS in its L/21 played in the Big Ten

Series History
These two teams have a history of playing very, very close games, as three of the L/6 have gone to overtime. The final margin of victory between these two has been no more than 18 points since 2002 when the Wolverines were absolutely dominant, and even then, only one of the L/10 has been separated by more than two tuddies. Still, even with close margins of victory, the favorites have covered four straight in this series, including last year’s 26-20 OT victory for Sparty at home.

Saturday, October 9th: Virginia Cavaliers @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Cavs are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 games played in October
Georgia Tech is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 played in the ACC
The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the L/8 in this series

Series History
The home team might be 9-3 ATS in the L/12 in this series, but the hosts have failed to either cover or win two straight. Last year’s 34-9 beat down for the Jackets only avenged the previous year’s 24-17 loss at Bobby Dodd Stadium. Five of the L/6 have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’ when these two teams have met, as the 34 points scored by the Ramblin’ Wreck last year was the highest point total for a team in a game in this series since 2001.

Saturday, October 9th: Pittsburgh Panthers @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Pitt is 13-5 ATS in its L/18 played on grass
The Irish are just 5-17 ATS in their L/22 played on grass
Notre Dame has covered five of the L/7 and seven of the L/10 in this series

Series History
That doesn’t mean that Notre Dame has really dominated the SU proceedings, though. Sure, back in the ’90s when the Irish were a dominating force, they were winning games in this series by 60-6 score lines like they did in 1996. However, since 1999, U-Pitt has definitely show a pulse, losing by more than 17 points just once in this series and pulling off three victories, two of which came in South Bend. The Irish have won a game against the Panthers in front of the watchful eyes of Touchdown Jesus since 2000.

Saturday, October 9th: Clemson Tigers @ North Carolina Tar Heels
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 overall
North Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 overall
The favorite is 7-3 ATS in the L/10 in this series

Series History
Clemson absolutely pummeled the Tar Heels 52-7 in Death Valley the last time that these two teams got in on in 2006, but they haven’t met in Chapel Hill since 2002. That meeting was a 42-12 romp for the Tigers as well. The last time that UNC won a game in this series was a 38-3 decision in 2001, and the last ‘W’ on Tobacco Road came in 1998. The road team had won three straight from 2000 to 2002 before the Tigers took over for their L/2 home wins.

Saturday, October 9th: Oregon State Beavers @ Arizona Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Oregon State is 13-3 ATS in its L/16 road games
Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 as a favorite
The Wildcats are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 home games

Series History
Last season, the Wildcats nearly made it to the Rose Bowl courtesy of a 37-32 win at Reser Stadium. However, before that, the Beavs had blown them apart to the tune of a 3-0 SU and ATS mark from 2006 to 2008. Oregon State is 8-2 ATS in the L/10 in this series, while the favorite has nailed down seven of the ten ATS decision in that stretch. Arizona only has won two games SU in this series since 2000 and hasn’t won a game at home in that run.

Saturday, October 9th: Colorado Buffaloes @ Missouri Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Buffs are 8-3 ATS in their L/11 against teams with a winning record
Colorado is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 played in the Big 12
Mizzou is just 3-11 ATS in its L/14 games played in Columbia

Series History
The Tigers have won four straight both SU and ATS in this series dating back to ’06, but it wasn’t always that way. Colorado covered four straight and went 5-0-1 ATS in six games before that dating back to 2000. Thanks to the fact that the ‘Zou has averaged scoring 44.3 PPG in the L/4, four of the L/5 games have gone ‘over’ the ‘total’ between these Big XII rivals

Saturday, October 9th: Utah Utes @ Iowa State Cyclones
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Utes are 5-0-1 ATS in their L/6 games as favorites
Iowa State has covered four straight home games
The Cyclones are 4-1 ATS in their L/5 games played outside of the B12

Series History
First Meeting

Saturday, October 9th: Auburn Tigers @ Kentucky Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Auburn is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 played away from Jordan Hare Stadium
The Tigers are 3-7 ATS in their L/10 played in October
Kentucky is 6-13-1 ATS in its L/20 home games

Series History
There have won been seven meetings between these teams since 1988, and all of them belonged to the Tigers before last season’s surprising 21-14 upset for UK in Auburn. The Cats have now covered two straight, but failed to cover four in row prior to that point. Last year’s ‘under’ clash marked the first ‘under’ between these SEC foes since the 1989 24-12 result in favorite of the Tigers.

Saturday, October 9th: LSU Tigers @ Florida Gators
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tigers are just 2-6 ATS in their L/8 played on grass
Florida is 23-7 ATS in its L/30 against teams with a winning record
The Gators are 19-8 ATS in their L/27 overall

Series History
It’s certainly great to be a Florida Gator in this series. The blue and orange have covered five straight in this series dating back to 2004, but it was that 2004 meeting that was most memorable for the Bayou Bengals. That marked the last time that they successfully came into the Swamp and took care of Florida. The Gators have won three of the L/4 in this series, but the home team had won four straight before UF’s 13-3 last year at night in the Bayou. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the L/9. The ‘under’ has cashed in 11 of the L/14.

Saturday, October 9th: Florida State Seminoles @ Miami Hurricanes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Noles are just 2-6 ATS in their L/8 games following an ATS victory
Miami is 3-13 ATS in its L/16 home games against teams with winning road records
The Canes are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 played in October

Series History
For whatever reason, the road team has suddenly started to dominate this series. Four straight ‘W’s have come from road teams, and pups have covered nine straight and ten out of 11. The Canes marched into Tallahassee and won 38-34 last year on Labor Day night, but prior to that, the Noles won 41-39 and 13-10 in Miami. This series has a history of producing close games, as each of the L/9 have been decided by eight points or less.

Saturday, October 9th: USC Trojans @ Stanford Cardinal
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Trojans are 1-8 ATS in their L/9 played on grass
USC is 3-11 ATS in its L/14 played in the Pac-10
Stanford is 12-3 ATS in its L/15 home games

Series History
The Cardinal rolled into LA last year and laid a whopping 55-21 smack down on the Trojans. However, no upset was finer than the 2007 remarkable win that changed the Stanford program forever. The 24-23 upset as 39 point favorites stunned the world. The Trees have now covered five straight in this series and have even won twice outright, something that was never heard of from the early 2000s until the late 2000s.

2010 College Football Week 6 Lines – NCAA Football Week Six Lines Breakdown

October 5th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on 2010 College Football Week 6 Lines – NCAA Football Week Six Lines Breakdown

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Complete List of Week 6 College Football Lines Can Be Found Below

Week 6 of the 2010 college football campaign is going to get underway this weekend. Below you will find the current list of 2010 Week 6 NCAA football lines and spreads along with a breakdown of the Week 6 college football lines. Be sure to check out the free NCAA football picks from the expert handicappers at Bankroll Sports this weekend!

Week 6 betting action picks up on Tuesday night and continues with college football betting action throughout the week! The action is going to be hot and heavy in conference play this year, as some fierce rivals take aim at big wins that can change the landscape of college football for the 2011 BCS Championship run!

We’re keeping a very close eye on some undefeated Big XII teams this week, as both the Nebraska Cornhuskers and the Oklahoma State Cowboys are on upset alert on the road in weeknight, nationally televised duels. Nebraska is heading to Kansas State, where the Wildcats are out to prove that they belong as a Top 25 team. The Pokes have a much more modest test, as they have to travel to face the Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns. However, they have had a history of losing against Sun Belt teams before, so Okie State is certainly one to watch out for.

Saturday belongs to the SEC, though!

The Alabama Crimson Tide, fresh off of their whooping of the Florida Gators, now have to hit the road in the SEC, where there is simply never a week off. The South Carolina Gamecocks are searching for some respect and nearly pulled the upset at the Auburn Tigers two weeks ago. The Ol’ Ball Coach, Steve Spurrier knows that the Tide did his Cocks a big time favorite by handing UF its first conference loss, and a win in this won could go a long way in flipping the tide of the SEC East race. The Crimson Tide are favored by seven points, the third straight hefty college football point spread in a tough game.

One would figure when the No. 9 team in the land travels to face the No. 12 team that the spread would be awfully close. However, that just isn’t the case this week, as the Florida Gators play host to the LSU Tigers in a game that could have some major implications in the National Championship run as well. LSU knows that it can afford a slip, but there are still some horrifying games on the slate. Florida’s season would effectively be over with a second straight loss. The Bayou Bengals might be undefeated, but they certainly don’t look sharp right now. They’re expected to take a major tumble in this one, as they are 6.5 point underdogs on Saturday night in the Swamp.

There are two other major games of note. In the Big Ten, the Michigan Wolverines and Michigan State Spartans will both look to lock up a spot in a bowl game this early in the season. Both teams are 5-0 and both are ranked in the Top 25. It is clear to say that both are exceeding expectations, though one will clearly take a tumble back towards earth upon defeat. The Spartans are the team under the gun in this one though, as they know that they can play at home but have yet to really get tested away from East Lansing. That will all change on Saturday. Big Blue is favored by 4.5 points.

The Sunshine State will be burning as well in South Beach for arguably the most crucial duel in ACC betting action all season long. The Miami Hurricanes and Florida State Seminoles have both looked fantastic for the most part this year, and they can both get a huge leg up in their respective divisions in the ACC with a win against their biggest rivals. Florida State might be angry over last year’s defeat on Labor Day night at home, but it has a 6.5 point hole to climb out of to win this one.

2010 NCAA Football Week 6 Odds @ BetUS Sportsbook (as of 10/5/10):
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Week 6 Lines for Tuesday, 10/5/10

301 Troy Trojans +3
302 Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders -3
Over/Under 63

Week 6 Spreads for Wednesday, 10/6/10

303 UAB Blazers +13
304 Central Florida Knights -13
Over/Under 48.5

Week 6 Betting Lines for Thursday, 10/7/10

305 Nebraska Cornhuskers -12
306 Kansas State Wildcats +12

Lines for Week 6 for Friday, 10/8/10

307 Connecticut Huskies -6
308 Rutgers Scarlet Knights +6

Week 6 Odds for Saturday, 10/9/10

311 Minnesota Golden Gophers +22
312 Wisconsin Badgers -22

313 Syracuse Orange +8
314 South Florida Bulls -8

315 Illinois Fighting Illini +7.5
316 Penn State Nittany Lions -7.5

317 Indiana Hoosiers +22
318 Ohio State Buckeyes -22

319 Michigan State Spartans +4.5
320 Michigan Wolverines -4.5

321 Memphis Tigers +17
322 Louisville Cardinals -17

323 Miami Redhawks +17
324 Cincinnati Bearcats -17

325 Boston College Eagles +10
326 NC State Wolfpack -10

327 Clemson Tigers +2.5
328 North Carolina Tar Heels -2.5

329 Virginia Cavaliers +10
330 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -10

331 Temple Owls +3
332 Northern Illinois Huskies -3

333 Navy Midshipmen -5.5
334 Wake Forest Demon Deacons +5.5

335 UNLV Rebels +27.5
336 West Virginia Mountaineers -27.5

337 Western Michigan Broncos +4
338 Ball State Cardinals -4

339 Tennessee Volunteers +12
340 Georgia Bulldogs -12

341 Eastern Michigan Eagles +26
342 Vanderbilt Commodores -26

343 Utah Utes -6
344 Iowa State Cyclones +6

345 Colorado Buffaloes +13
346 Missouri Tigers -13

347 Central Michigan Chippewas +22
348 Virginia Tech Hokies -22

349 Bowling Green Falcons OTB
350 Ohio Bobcats OTB

351 East Carolina Pirates +9
352 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -9

353 Colorado State Rams +25
354 Air Force Falcons -25

355 Akron Zips +17
356 Kent State Golden Flashes -17

357 Alabama Crimson Tide -7
358 South Carolina Gamecocks +7

359 LSU Tigers +6.5
360 Florida Gators -6.5

361 Wyoming Cowboys +34.5
362 TCU Horned Frogs -34.5

363 Arizona State Sun Devils +3
364 Washington Huskies -3

365 UCLA Bruins +7.5
366 California Golden Bears -7.5

367 Pittsburgh Panthers +6
368 Notre Dame Fighting Irish -6

369 Army Black Knights +1
370 Tulane Green Wave -1

371 Baylor Bears +2.5
372 Texas Tech Red Raiders -2.5

373 Texas A&M Aggies +6
374 Arkansas Razorbacks -6

375 Florida State Seminoles +6.5
376 Miami Hurricanes -6.5

377 Utah State Aggies +1
378 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -1

379 San Jose State Spartans +39.5
380 Nevada Wolfpack -39.5

381 San Diego State Aztecs -5
382 BYU Cougars +5

383 Oregon Ducks -36
384 Washington State Cougars +36

385 Oregon State Beavers +7.5
386 Arizona Wildcats -7.5

387 Auburn Tigers -6
388 Kentucky Wildcats +6

389 Purdue Boilermakers +10
390 Northwestern Wildcats -10

391 Mississippi State Bulldogs -5
392 Houston Cougars +5

393 New Mexico Lobos +3.5
394 New Mexico State Aggies -3.5

395 USC Trojans +10
396 Stanford Cardinal -10

397 Toledo Rockets +39
398 Boise State Broncos -39

399 Tulsa Golden Hurricane +6.5
400 SMU Mustangs -6.5

401 Rice Owls +9
402 UTEP Miners -9

403 Hawaii Warriors +10.5
404 Fresno State Bulldogs -10.5

405 Arkansas State Red Wolves OTB
406 North Texas Mean Green OTB

407 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +9.5
408 Florida International Golden Panthers -9.5

409 Florida Atlantic Owls +3.5
410 Louisiana Monroe Warhawks -3.5

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (10/4/10)

October 3rd, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in General Handicapping   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (10/4/10)
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If you’re a fan of good old fashioned hard hitting football between two teams that just don’t like each other, this is the game for you! The Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots are sure to put on a real show on MNF this week, as they meet at Sun Life Stadium in a game that is absolutely crucial for both teams involved. Check out some of the NFL props for the game that we are keying in on to try to make you some great cash on the action!

Will there be a score in the first 6 1/2 minutes of the game?
Normally speaking, this prop would be set at 7:30, not 6:30, but due to the fact that this is the highest NFL betting ‘total’ on the board in Week 4, the number has come down just a tad. It won’t matter. The Dolphins now know that they can stretch the field quite a bit on the Pats, who seem to be relatively helpless defensive right now. With WR Brandon Marshall being used as an inviting target, big plays are very, very possible. We already know that the Brady Bunch has the top scoring offense in the game at 30.0 points per game, as QB Tom Brady and WR Randy Moss can hook up for a TD pass from anywhere on the field. Yes, there absolutely will be a score in the first 6:30 (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

Ronnie Brown Over/Under 65.5 Rushing Yards
Something is wrong with RB Ricky Williams right now. He doesn’t have a single carry this year for more than eight yards, and the end result might be more weight put onto the shoulders of RB Ronnie Brown. Brown is averaging well more than two yards per carry more than Williams is this year, and the defense on the other side of the field isn’t exactly known for its ability to stop the run, especially if you can bounce the ball outside and away from DT Vince Wilfork. Remember the MNF game last year when the Fins absolutely dominated time of possession against the Indianapolis Colts to try to keep QB Peyton Manning off the field? HC Tony Sparano knows that that would be a fantastic game plan to use on Monday night. Go with Brown Over 65.5 rushing yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Randy Moss Total Receptions Over/Under 4.5
Normally, it seems like a bit of a slam dunk for Moss to go ‘over’ this type of a number, but perhaps that shouldn’t be considered the case anymore. He only has nine total receptions on the season, and that’s due to the emergence of men like WR Julian Edelman, TE Rob Gronkowski, and TE Aaron Hernandez. Plus, age really isn’t helping Moss out any, as he is spending more and more plays on the sidelines when he isn’t being utilized. The Dolphins know that Moss is still a lethal deep threat though, and he is going to be a force to be reckoned with. Will Moss get his big play or two over the course of the game? Probably. However, especially if Miami does a great job of protecting the football, we have a hard time figuring how he is going to be getting to five receptions on the day unless he is really force fed the ball. That’s not a necessity for Brady and the offense anymore at this point in Moss’ career. Go with good ol’ Randy Under 4.5 Receptions (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this battle against the Dolphins.

2010 NFL Trends: Week 4 Cheat Sheet

October 1st, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Trends: Week 4 Cheat Sheet
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Week 4 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 4 NFL matchups.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 ET: Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
NFL Trends of Note
The Packers are just 9-2-1 ATS in their L/12 overall
Detroit is 1-6-1 ATS in its L/8 in division
The Lions are 2-6-2 ATS in their L/10 roadies

Series History
Green Bay has simply dominated this series, winning every game dating back to the first clash in 2005, a stretch of nine straight overall. In that run, Detroit has only covered two spreads, with the most recent cover coming at Lambeau Field in December 2008. The Pack have averaged 35.0 PPG over their L/6 with Detroit and haven’t scored less than 26 points in a game in that stretch.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints
NFL Trends of Note
Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its L/8 against teams with a winning record
The Saints are 2-7 ATS in their L/9 as favorites
New Orleans is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 played on field turf

Series History
Carolina has actually won all but two of the L/9 meetings dating back to 2005. Last season’s was a Panthers ATS sweep, as there was no issue knocking off either NFL spread over the course of the year. Carolina has four straight ATS under its belt against the Saints and is 7-2 ATS over the L/9 ATS as well as SU. The L/2 meetings went ‘under’ the ‘total’, while five of the L/6 have failed to reach the number.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Denver Broncos @ Tennessee Titans
NFL Trends of Note
Denver has covered three straight against the Titans overall
Tennessee is 2-10 ATS in its L/12 years in Week 4
The Titans are 10-4 ATS in their L/14 against teams with losing records

Series History
As we’ve already said, it’s been awhile since Tennessee has come up with a ‘W’ in this series. You have to go back to 1995 to find the last regular season triumph. However, Denver hasn’t visited the Music City since 2004. It walked out a winner that day to the tune of 37-16. The Broncos have at least 34 on the board in each of their L/3 meetings with Tennessee, while the Titans have scored 20, 10, and 16 respectively in those three duels.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns
NFL Trends of Note
The Bengals are 1-13 ATS in their L/14 years in Week 4
Cincinnati is 3-8 ATS in its L/11 overall
The Browns are 8-1 ATS in their L/9 games played in October

Series History
These two teams simply don’t like each other a whole bunch. The Bengals might have won both games last year SU, but the Browns won the ATS war in each clash. The underdog has covered six straight overall. Four of the L/5 have stayed ‘under’ the number, while the ‘under’ is 8-3 in the L/11 meetings in the Dawg Pound. The Browns haven’t won a game here against Cincinnati since 2007 in that wild 51-45 game in which QB Derek Anderson threw five TD passes and RB Jamal Lewis rushed for 216 yards.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
NFL Trends of Note
The Niners are 1-7-1 ATS in their L/9 played in October
San Fran is 9-3-2 ATS in its L/14 against teams with a winning record
Atlanta is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 home games

Series History
Last year, Atlanta marched into AT&T Park and absolutely crippled the 49ers 45-10 as short underdogs. All of a sudden, San Fran badly needs to make amends for that. However, the Niners haven’t won a game in this series since these two teams were in the NFC West together, a stretch of three straight dating back to 2001. San Francisco also hasn’t scored more than 19 points in a game in this series since then. The Falcons are 5-3 ATS over the L/8 meetings.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Seattle Seahawks @ St. Louis Rams
NFL Trends of Note
Seattle is 1-9 ATS in its L/10 on the road
St. Louis is 7-22 ATS in its L/29 against the NFC West
The Rams are 7-17 ATS in their L/24 against teams with a winning record

Series History
It’s been Seattle, Seattle, and more Seattle since 2005 in this series, as the Seahawks haven’t lost a game to the Rams in that stretch. Several of these games were absolute beat downs as well, as five of the L/9 have been decided by at least ten points. The Seahawks have covered six straight in this series and eight out of ten overall. Seattle has put at least 23 on the board in all ten clashes.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL Trends of Note
The Ravens are 7-2-1 ATS in their L/10 as underdogs of a field goal or less
Baltimore is 22-10-1 ATS in its L/33 played on grass
The Steelers are 35-17-2 ATS in their L/54 games played in October

Series History
Even though you’d tend to believe that both of these teams are prone to ‘under’ games, it has been the ‘over’ that has cashed quite a bit. In fact, ‘over’ bettors are a whopping 6-1-1 in the L/8 meetings of these arch rivals. The home team has won six of the L/7, but Baltimore has been the one losing host and is just 2-5 in those seven. The Steelers are 3-0-1 ATS over their L/4 clashes, including already nearly winning one game with QB Dennis Dixon under center last year in Baltimore.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills
NFL Trends of Note
The Jets are 2-10 ATS in their L/12 played in October
New York is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 against the AFC
Buffalo is 3-11 ATS in its L/14 home games

Series History
The underdog is a whopping 20-8 ATS over the L/28 meetings of these two AFC East rivals. An eight game winning streak for the pup ATS in this series came to a close last December when the Jets walked out of Ralph Wilson Stadium with a 19-13 win. The road team has won six of the L/8, with each team winning one road game. Both meetings last year stayed well ‘under’ the ‘total’, and there has only been one ‘over’ since 2006 (4-1-1).

Sunday, October 3rd, 4:05 PM ET: Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL Trends of Note
The Colts are 10-2 ATS in their L/12 played in October
Jacksonville is 7-25 ATS in its L/32 played on grass
The Jags are 4-14 ATS in their L/18 played at home

Series History
Indianapolis has always had some problems with the Jags, but over the L/5 years, this series has been cut fairly down the middle. The team split the SU and ATS proceedings in each of the L/4 years even though the Colts have only lost twice in that stretch. The Colts haven’t lost in Jacksonville since December 2006, including last year’s 35-31 victory, which marked the third straight trip here with at least 29 points scored.

Sunday, October 3rd, 4:05 PM ET: Houston Texans @ Oakland Raiders
NFL Trends of Note
Houston is 7-1 ATS in its L/8 years in Week 4
The Texans are 4-1 ATS in five meetings against the Raiders
Oakland is just 17-39-1 ATS in its L/57 home games

Series History
Last year, the Texans trounced the Raiders 29-6 at home to dominate the nine point spread. It was the first time in which a favorite even won a game SU in this series, let alone ATS, and if you would like, you can even include the one preseason matchup of these teams in there as well from 2005. Historically, this series is a very low scoring one, as no game has featured more than 47 points, while the L/2 have easily stayed ‘under’ the number.

Sunday, October 3rd, 4:15 PM ET: Arizona Cardinals @ San Diego Chargers
NFL Trends of Note
The Cards have won seven straight ATS in October
Arizona is 10-2 ATS in its L/12 as an underdog
The Bolts have covered five straight following an ATS defeat

Series History
There aren’t many regular season meetings between these two teams since the start of the 2000s in spite of the fact that it feels like they meet every year in the preseason. San Diego won 27-20 on New Year’s Eve 2006, but the Cards covered the 14 point NFL odds that day. In 2002, the Bolts won 23-15 in Tucson, while in 2001, Arizona trumped the Chargers here at Qualcomm Stadium 20-17 in a very similar looking game to the one that will be played on Sunday.

Sunday, October 3rd, 4:15 PM ET: Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles
NFL Trends of Note
The Skins are 4-1-3 ATS in their L/8 played on grass
Washington is 4-10-1 ATS in its L/15 played in October
The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their L/5 in October

Series History
For whatever reason, Washington has seemed to have the Eagles’ number in spite of the fact that it has largely stunk in that stretch. The Eagles did win both games last year but only went 1-1 ATS with the ‘Skins covering here in the City of Brotherly Love. In fact, the last time that Philly covered a home game against Washington was back in 2006, a 27-3 victory. Since that point, the Redskins are 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS.

Sunday, October 3rd, 8:20 PM ET: Chicago Bears @ New York Giants
NFL Trends of Note
Chicago is 3-8 ATS in its L/11 road games
New York is 1-8 ATS in its L/9 against teams with a winning road record
The road team is 8-0 both SU and ATS in this series dating back to 1992

Series History
And if that isn’t a golden trend for Bears bettors, we don’t know what is! Chicago hasn’t lost a game in the Meadowlands since the 1980s and has won all of its meetings in the 1990s and 2000s by at least seven points. All four duels in the 1990s played past the ‘total’, but since that point, ‘under’ bettors are 3-2 and none of the three ‘unders’ got anywhere near the ‘total’.

Monday, September 27th, 8:30 PM ET: New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
NFL Trends of Note
New England is just 2-6 ATS in its L/8 against the AFC East
The Dolphins are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 in division
Miami is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 played in October

Series History
Miami beat the Pats at home last year 22-21 for its fourth cover in the L/5 games in this series. Big time spreads are nothing new in this rivalry either, as the Dolphins have been double digit dogs four times just since 2007, including being a 22 point dog in Gillette Stadium in ’07. Both clashes last year stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’, which bucked the trend of three out of four ‘overs’ over the previous two years.