2010 NFL Trends: Week 6 Cheat Sheet

Last Updated: October 13th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Week 6 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 6 NFL matchups.

Sunday, October 17th, 1:00 ET: Kansas City Chiefs @ Houston Texans
NFL Trends of Note
Kansas City is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 road games
The Texans are 6-2-2 ATS in their L/10 against teams with a winning record
Houston is 5-2-1 ATS in its L/8 played on grass

Series History
There have only been four meetings in this series, and three of the four have belonged to the road team both SU and ATS. The last clash of these AFC squads came in 2007, and the Texans rammed KC 20-3 as three point favorites. The only time a dog covered a game in this rivalry was in 2004, a 24-21 upset for the Texans at Arrowhead Stadium. The ‘totals’ have been level at two ‘overs’ and two ‘unders’ apiece.

Sunday, October 17th, 1:00 PM ET: New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL Trends of Note
The Saints are 3-13 ATS in their L/16 against the NFC
New Orleans is 7-3-1 ATS in its L/11 played on grass
Tampa Bay is 6-1-1 ATS over the L/8 seasons in Week 6

Series History
The Saints had covered three straight in this divisional rivalry before last year’s 20-17 overtime victory for the Bucs at the Superdome which helped ruin the celebration of clinching the NFC for the hosts. The L/3 have all stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’, though at least 37 points have gone on the scoreboard in the nine meetings since the end of the 2005 campaign. Tampa Bay went 5-1 ATS from ’05 through ’07.

Sunday, October 17th, 1:00 PM ET: Miami Dolphins @ Green Bay Packers
NFL Trends of Note
The Fins have covered four straight games on the road
Miami is a whopping 17-4 ATS in its L/21 road games against teams with a winning home record
The Packers 9-4-1 ATS in their L/14 overall

Series History
Every four years, these teams meet to do battle since divisional realignment. The Packers have covered back to back and have won two straight SU. The Dolphins haven’t won a game at Lambeau Field since 1994. The last meeting of these teams resulted in a 34-24 win for Green Bay in South Beach. There has only been one ‘under’ game since 1997 in this series, that coming in the last visit to Lambeau in November of 2002, a 24-10 Packers victory.

Sunday, October 17th, 1:00 PM ET: San Diego Chargers @ St. Louis Rams
NFL Trends of Note
The Chargers have covered six straight games following an ATS defeat
San Diego has gone 5-1 ATS over the L/6 years in Week 6
The Rams are 5-2 ATS in their L/7 as pups of more than a field goal but less than double digits

Series History
The home team has won every game in this series in this decade, but this is probably a bit unfair due to the fact that the Rams were really good at the start of the decade and really terrible recently. Expect to see the fireworks flying in this one, as the home team has scored a whopping average of 41.0 points per game in the L/3. All three went past the ‘total’.

Sunday, October 17th, 1:00 PM ET: Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots
NFL Trends of Note
The Ravens are 19-7-1 ATS in their L/27 on the road as underdogs
New England is 24-11-1 ATS in its L/36 following an SU victory of at least 14 points
The Pats are 23-7-1 ATS in their L/31 games played in the month of October

Series History
These two teams have had a heck of a history, especially in the last four years or so. Last season in the playoffs, the Ravens bounced New England 33-14 at Gillette Stadium. New England won the last two battles though, taking a 27-21 decision at home and a 27-24 victory in Baltimore. That ’07 meeting was particularly notable because it was the closest that the Patriots came to losing in that undefeated regular season, as the Ravens ‘D’ found a way to shut down the New England offense that was amongst one of the best in the league’s history. Baltimore is 3-1 ATS in its L/4, but the Pats had covered the previous three spreads.

Sunday, October 17th, 1:00 PM ET: Detroit Lions @ New York Giants
NFL Trends of Note
The Lions are 7-19 ATS in their L/26 played on field turf
The G-Men are 20-6-1 ATS in their L/27 played in the month of October
New York is winless ATS in its L/4 home games against teams with losing road records

Series History
These two teams haven’t met since 2007 when the Giants took out the Lions 16-10 in the Motor City. The road team has won every meeting in this series dating back to 1990, and the Lions haven’t won a game at home against New York since well back into the 1980s. As a result, the road team is 6-0 ATS since 1994 in this series, while the underdog won five of those games outright.

Sunday, October 17th, 1:00 PM ET: Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears
NFL Trends of Note
The Seahawks are 4-9 ATS in their L/13 against NFC teams
Chicago is 2-12 ATS over the L/14 seasons in Week 6
The Bears are 5-2 ATS in the L/7 in this series dating back to 1990

Series History
In this decade, these two teams have each won a pair of games. The most notable win came in the ’06-’07 playoffs, when the Bears captured a 27-24 overtime victory in the Windy City. Seattle was a 9.5 point underdog that day, marking what was the second time in a row that the Hawks beat the number. Chicago captured the last duel at Qwest Field 25-19 as short favorites. The L/4 have all gone beyond the ‘total’.

Sunday, October 17th, 1:00 PM ET: Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL Trends of Note
The Browns are 8-1 ATS in their L/9 against the AFC
Cleveland is 9-2 ATS in its L/11 played in the month of October
The Steelers are 7-2 ATS over the L/9 years in Week 6

Series History
These two teams absolutely despise each other. Cleveland stuck in front of both numbers last season, including a 13-6 upset at home as 9.5 point underdogs in December in a game that helped keep the black and gold out of the playoffs. Dating back to the last meeting in 2007, the Browns are 4-1 ATS against their arch rivals. The win last year marked the first victory in five seasons for Cleveland. The ‘over’ might be 6-1-1 ATS in the L/8 clashes in the Steel City, but the ‘under’ has come in three of the L/4 times these AFC North foes have met.

Sunday, October 17th, 1:00 PM ET: Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles
NFL Trends of Note
The Falcons are 7-2 ATS in their L/9 overall
Philly is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 overall
The Eagles are 7-3-1 ATS over the L/11 seasons in Week 6 encounters

Series History
The Eagles have three wins in a row and seven out of eight in this series dating back to 1998. They have gone 7-2 ATS in their L/9 in this series. The favorite is 6-2 ATS over the L/8. In spite of the fact that the Eagles have averaged 24.1 points per game in this series since 2003, Atlanta’s woeful 11.4 points per game average has resulted in a 6-0-1 record for ‘under’ bettors in that stretch. This would be QB Michael Vick’s first meeting against his old team if he is able to play on Sunday.

Sunday, October 17th, 4:05 PM ET: Oakland Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers
NFL Trends of Note
The Raiders are 8-17 ATS in their L/25 road games against teams with a losing home record
Oakland is 5-16 ATS in its L/21 after an ATS victory
The Niners are 7-1-3 ATS in their L/11 after an ATS defeat

Series History
These rivals meet every single year in the preseason, but they have only met twice in the regular season when the games are for keeps in this decade. In 2002, San Fran captured a 23-20 decision, while in 2006, the Niners won 34-20 at home. San Francisco covered both spreads, while the ‘total’ has been split. The preseason meeting this year resulted in a 28-24 win for the 49ers.

Sunday, October 17th, 4:05 PM ET: New York Jets @ Denver Broncos
NFL Trends of Note
The Jets are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 road games
New York is 8-2 ATS in its L/10 games against the AFC
Denver has gone 8-2 ATS over the L/10 in this series

Series History
The Jets have never loved playing against Denver, particularly at Mile High. Yes, they have a win there in 1999, but that was the only game that they won in this series there in the last two decades. The Broncos have a postseason win there as well in this stretch, a 23-10 win in the AFC Championship Game in 1999. New York hasn’t scored more than 25 points in a game in this series since the 1980s. Five of the L/7 have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’.

Sunday, October 17th, 4:15 PM ET: Dallas Cowboys @ Minnesota Vikings
NFL Trends of Note
Dallas is 2-6-2 ATS over the L/10 years in Week 6
Dallas is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 against teams with a losing record
The Vikes are 6-1-1 ATS in their L/8 home games

Series History
The favorite has covered eight straight games in this series, which is a good sign for the hosts on Sunday. The most recent meeting came in the playoffs last year, a 34-3 romp for the Vikes at home. Dallas had won the previous two meetings both SU and ATS, but the Vikes owned the previous four, including a win in the 2000 playoffs. Six of the L/8 have gone past the ‘total’.

Sunday, October 17th, 8:20 PM ET: Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Redskins
NFL Trends of Note
The Colts are 7-1-1 ATS in their L/9 against teams with a winning record
Indy is 11-4-1 ATS in its L/16 road games
Washington is 6-1-3 ATS in its L/10 played on grass

Series History
These teams have only met seven times in the L/20 years. Washington dominated the NFL odds from 1994 to 2002, as it covered four straight against the Colts. The most recent meeting in 2006 resulted in a 36-22 win for QB Peyton Manning’s crew at the old RCA Dome. This is the first meeting of these teams in Landover since 2002, where the Colts haven’t won in well over two decades.

Monday, October 18th, 8:30 PM ET: Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL Trends of Note
Tennessee is 1-10 ATS in its L/11 against teams with a winning record
The Titans are just 2-6 ATS in their L/8 against the AFC South
Jacksonville is only 2-6 ATS in its L/8 appearances on Monday Night Football

Series History
The home team is 7-3 ATS since 2005 in this series. However, only six of those games have actually been won SU. Last year, the home team took both meetings both SU and ATS with some major romps. The Titans won 30-13 at LP Field, while the Jags won 37-17 at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium. The ‘under’ has cashed in three of the previous four meetings, but all five clashes in 2005 and 2006, including the postseason tussle, went ‘over’ the ‘total’.

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