2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 4 Cheat Sheet

Last Updated: September 22nd, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Week 4 college football betting is here! Bankroll Sports is back with more NCAA football picks for Week 4 of the year, but before we do that, we need to take a look at the important trends and history that the teams that are facing against each other this week.

Thursday, September 23rd: Miami Hurricanes @ Pittsburgh Panthers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
-The Canes are 3-13 ATS in their L/16 off of a bye week
-U-Pitt is 12-6 ATS in its L/16 games on grass
-The Panthers are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 at home

Series History
The Canes have won every meeting of these teams dating back to 1998, but this is the first time the squads have met outside of Big East play. Miami won 28-14 the last time it travel to Pitt, but the time before, it was a 27.5 point favorite. My, how times have changed now that the Canes are just short four point choices of the oddsmakers in a game that many think could go either way.

Friday, September 24th: TCU Horned Frogs @ SMU Mustangs
NCAA Football Trends of Note
-The Horned Frogs are 4-10 ATS in their L/14 against C-USA
-TCU is 5-1 ATS in its L/6 on the road
-SMU is 18-7-1 ATS in its L/26 against teams with a winning record

Series History
These two teams have met in each of the L/3 seasons, and though it looks like it would be a runaway for the 3-0 Horned Frogs, who have won the three games by an aggregate score of 108-28, that just isn’t the case. SMU holds a 2-1 ATS edge and is 5-2 ATS over the L/7 meetings against one of the mid-major powers of the country.

Saturday, September 25th: Virginia Tech Hokies @ Boston College Eagles
NCAA Football Trends of Note
-The Hokies are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 overall
-V-Tech is 22-9 ATS in its L/31 roadies
-BC is just 2-14 ATS in its L/16 against teams with a losing record, including an 0-2 mark this year

Series History
These two former Big East teams have met five times over the L/3 years, including twice in the ACC Championship Game. V-Tech is 3-2 SU and ATS. The favorite has won and covered four straight, and no road team has won in this series since 2003, save for BC winning in Blacksburg is 2007. The last time the Hokies won on Chestnut Hill came in 2002 as an 8.5 point favorite.

Saturday, September 25th: NC State Wolfpack @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
NCAA Football Trends of Note
-NC State is 5-0-1 ATS in its L/6 played in September
-The Wolfpack are 11-5 ATS in their L/16 in the ACC
-G-Tech is 7-1 ATS in its L/8 played in conference

Series History
Surprisingly, it has been the road team that has dominated this series of late, winning three straight and four out of five. The Ramblin’ Wreck are 5-1 SU in their L/6 against NC State and 4-1 ATS in their L/5 in this series as well. This is the first meeting of these ACC foes since 2006.

Saturday, September 25th: Stanford Cardinal @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
NCAA Football Trends of Note
-The Cardinal are just 2-9 ATS in their L/11 against independent teams
-Notre Dame is 0-5 ATS in its L/5 following an ATS win
-The Irish are only 17-35 ATS in their L/52 under the watchful eyes of Touchdown Jesus

Series History
These annual rivals really hate each other, and for good reason. Stanford beat Notre Dame for the first time since 2002 last year, but the Irish are still dominating the NCAA football odds in this series. They have covered three straight and seven out of nine dating back to last the 2001 campaign.

Saturday, September 25th: Temple Owls @ Penn State Nittany Lions
NCAA Football Trends of Note
-The Owls are 11-5 ATS in their L/16 overall
-Penn State is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 against the MAC, including one cover already this season
-The Nittany Lions are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 against Temple

Series History
Needless to say, this is Temple’s best chance to win a game in this series a quite some time. These teams have met quite a bit since 1992, ten times to be exact, and this is the first time the Owls haven’t been dogs by at least 25 points. PSU didn’t cover last year in a 31-6 victory, but it hasn’t won a game by less than that 25 point margin in this series since 2003. Over the L/4 meetings, the Owls have scored a grand total of nine points and haven’t found the end zone more than once in a game against the Nittany Lions since 1995. They lost that game 66-14.

Saturday, September 25th: Alabama Crimson Tide @ Arkansas Razorbacks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
-The Tide are 9-2 ATS in their L/11 road games
-Arkansas is 6-2 ATS against teams with a winning record
-The Hogs are just 1-3 ATS in the L/4 meetings with Alabama

Series History
These two teams hate each other, as they meet every single September in the first month of SEC action. Arkansas hasn’t beaten Alabama since 2006, but the Tide have real reasons to be worried. They won in Fayetteville 49-14 in 2008, but before that, they had won here since 2002. Bama rolled to a 35-7 win last year in Tuscaloosa.

Saturday, September 25th: Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ Florida State Seminoles
NCAA Football Trends of Note
-The Deacs are 2-7 ATS in their L/9 road games
-Wake Forest is 8-3 ATS in its L/11 against teams with a winning record
-FSU is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 conference games

Series History
You think these two teams don’t like each other much? FSU certainly remembers that Wake Forest has won its last two trips to Tallahassee in a big way, winning 12-3 in ’08 and 30-0 in ’06. The Noles got a level of revenge last year, winning 41-28 on Tobacco Road, but for the dominant side in the ACC< that was their first win in this series dating back to 2005. The underdog has now covered six straight and has won four in a row outright.Saturday, September 25th: Kentucky Wildcats @ Florida Gators
NCAA Football Trends of Note
-The Gators are 22-6 ATS in their L/28 against teams with a winning record
-UF is 18-7 ATS in its L/25 overall
-The Wildcats are 0-3 ATS since 2007 in this series, but covered five straight before that

Series History
Don’t expect the Wildcats to be able to win this one, though. The Cats have been dominated in this series SU, as they haven’t beaten Florida in seemingly forever. UF has opened up a real can on UK over the L/2 seasons, winning be the aggregate score of 104-12.

Saturday, September 25th: South Carolina Gamecocks @ Auburn Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
-The Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their L/5 on the road against teams with a winning home record
-Auburn is 4-10 ATS in its L/14 following an ATS defeat
-The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their L/5 at Jordan Hare Stadium

Series History
The SEC undercard battle this week is a goodie even though these two teams have only met four times in their history. The Tigers are a perfect 4-0 SU and have now been favored in all five games since 1996. South Carolina has leveled the ATS proceeding at two games apiece with each team going 1-1 ATS at home and on the road.

Saturday, September 25th: Oregon State Beavers @ Boise State Broncos
NCAA Football Trends of Note
-The Beavers are 10-1 ATS in their L/11 road games
-OSU is 8-3 ATS in its L/11 overall
-Boise State is 44-20-2 ATS in its L/66 on the Smurf Turf

Series History
The home team has won five of the six meetings of these teams both SU and ATS. However, there have only been four clashes of these rivals since the Broncos really hit the mainstream, and the hosts won all four games. Boise State holds a 3-0-1 ATS edge though in the L/4.

Saturday, September 25th: West Virginia Mountaineers @ LSU Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
-The Mountaineers have covered four straight against teams with a winning record
-WVU is 1-5 ATS in its L/6 games played on grass
-The Tigers are 4-11 ATS in their L/15 at Tiger Stadium

Series History
First meeting

Saturday, September 25th: California Golden Bears @ Arizona Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
-Cal is 6-14 ATS in its L/20 road games
-The Golden Bears are 7-2 ATS in their L/9 played on grass
-Arizona is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 played on grass

Series History
The home team has won five straight both SU and ATS in this series, with the most recent road victory coming by Cal in 2004 to the tune of 38-0 (however, it was a 23 point favorite that day). The Cats clawed as hard as they could last year, but they came up on the short end of a 24-16 decision as a 2.5 point pup.

Saturday, September 25th: Oregon Ducks @ Arizona State Sun Devils
NCAA Football Trends of Note
-The Ducks are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 overall
-Oregon is 8-3 ATS in its L/11 conference games
-The Ducks are 5-0 ATS over the L/5 years in this series

Series History
Needless to say, it has been all one way traffic for the Quack Attack. Oregon has dropped at least 35 points on ASU in five straight years, winning all five games outright as well as ATS. The last time ASU won a game at home in this series was in 2003 when it came away with a 59-14 whooping of the U of O.

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Posted in College Football - Last Updated on Wednesday, September 22nd, 2010 @ 11:44 am (EST)
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