Posts Tagged ‘Week 5 Picks’

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (10/4/10)

October 10th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (10/4/10)
NFL Betting Offer From Top Sponsor For Bankroll Sports Visitors Only
Click Here For a 25% Deposit Bonus From Hollywood
(Exclusive Bonus Offer – Must Use This Link or Above Links)

The New York Jets and Minnesota Vikings both have new weapons to be trying out at wide receiver this week. With both WR Randy Moss and WR Santonio Holmes in the fold for the first time, the oddsmakers might just be a step or two behind with the way that the NFL props are lined in this one. Check out our best NFL propositions for Monday Night Football props!

Will there be a score in the first 7 minutes of the game?
Don’t be shocked if Holmes and Moss try to get into the act early. We know that both of these defenses really have the ability to shine, but with so much emphasis coming on both rushing attacks, the passing games might be able to snare a cheap shot early on. Even just a 30-40 yard pass could set up a nice field goal opportunity in the first half of the first quarter. We’ll take our chances, regardless of who gets the ball first, that something special is going to happen early on to set up the first points of the game. Even though this one involves the Jets, a team that is typically impossible to bet “yes” with this prop, we have no hesitations in this one. Yes, there absolutely will be a score in the first 7:00 (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

Will Brett Favre throw an interception?
This is like taking candy from a baby. There are just a million reasons why Favre will get picked off in this one and virtually none saying that he won’t. For starters, Favre has already tossed six picks this year and he looks like a man that is once again going to throw 20-25 on the season. He is also facing one of the best ball hawking secondaries in the league with a healthy DB Darrelle Revis in the lineup. The pressure up front is always incredibly immense, and if RB Adrian Peterson can’t get anything going, Favre is going to be forcing balls into traffic. There’s no way that he makes it through this game without making a crucial mistake. Go with Favre to throw an interception (-240 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Randy Moss Total Receptions Over/Under 4.5
Last week, we played this exact same prop against Moss when he was with the New England Patriots, but now, our tune is changing. The Vikings already know that an unhappy Randy Moss is a disgruntled Randy Moss. Fortunately, former HC Mike Tice’s idiotic “Randy Ratio” is gone, but the logic of “Get Randy the damn ball” is still in play. It seems like a foregone conclusion that the first play of the game will put the ball in No. 84’s hands, and we have a hard time thinking that, especially on the bright lights of Monday Night Football, that Moss isn’t coming up with a spectacular game now that he is with a team that wants him and badly needs him. It seems very likely that he goes Over 4.5 Receptions (+115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this battle against the Jets.

Mark Sanchez Over/Under 200.5 Passing Yards
The lack of confidence that the oddsmakers have in Sanchez in this one is a bit disturbing. HC Rex Ryan is building more and more confidence in his young signal caller with each week that he doesn’t turn the ball over like his predecessor. The front seven for Minnesota is one of the best in the NFL, and in spite of the fact that New York might try, try, and try again to force the ball on the ground through this purple defense, it probably won’t work all that much. At some point, the safeties and linebackers are going to have to be held with some play action passes, and with targets like Holmes, TE Dustin Keller, WR Braylon Edwards, and WR Jerricho Cotchery, we love “The Sanchise” and his chances on this one. Go with Sanchez Over 200.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) versus the stout Minnesota front.

2010 NFL Trends: Week 5 Cheat Sheet

October 9th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Trends: Week 5 Cheat Sheet
Play The NFL Trends Below At Our Sponsor & Get Exclusive Bonuses
Click Here For a 100% Signup Bonus From JustBet
(Exclusive Bonus Offer – Must Use This Link or Above Links)

Week 5 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 5 NFL matchups.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 ET: Atlanta Falcons @ Cleveland Browns
NFL Trends of Note
Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 overall
Cleveland is 9-1 ATS in its L/10 in October
The Browns are 7-2 ATS in their L/9 played on grass

Series History
These teams have only met twice in Cleveland’s brief history, and the Browns have dominated. Cleveland stole a 17-13 victory at the Georgia Dome in 2006 and won 24-16 in 2002. Even in the one preseason tussle that these teams played in 2003, Cleveland took a 20-9 win. All three games have gone ‘under’ the ‘total’, while the Browns have covered all three NFL lines.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens
NFL Trends of Note
The Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 following an SU win
The Ravens are 42-18-1 ATS in their L/61 as home favorites
Baltimore is 5-2 ATS in its L/7 as a home favorite of between 3.5 and 10 points

Series History
The Broncos are just 1-6-1 ATS in the L/8 meetings in this series. Baltimore won 30-7 last year in this fixture. The home team has won five straight dating back to 2002 and eight out of nine since 1994. Four straight and six out of seven have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’. The road team has only scored a grand total of 26 points in the L/4 meetings of these powerhouses, but the home team has only eclipsed 13 points once in the L/3.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: New York Giants @ Houston Texans
NFL Trends of Note
The Giants are 1-7 ATS in their L/8 played on grass
New York is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 against teams with a winning record
Houston has gone 5-1-1 ATS in its L/7

Series History
The Texans have only been around long enough to face the Giants twice in their lives, and this is just the second trip to Reliant Stadium ever. The home team has won both meetings, but the Texans have dominated the ATS proceedings. Houston is 2-0 ATS, with both clashes coming as underdogs. The Giants won 14-10 in the one duel in the Meadowlands, while Houston won 16-14 at home. Obviously, both meetings stayed well ‘under’ the ‘total’.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers
NFL Trends of Note
The Bears are 2-7 ATS in their L/9 on grass
Carolina is 8-1 ATS in its L/9 against teams with winning records
The Bears are 4-2 ATS in their L/6

Series History
There have only been five clashes of these teams in Panthers history, including one meeting in the postseason. Carolina won that day 29-21 in the Windy City, and that was the only time a road team ever won a game in this series. The underdog has only failed to cover one spread, with that coming in 2005 in favor of the Bears. That also happens to be the only time since 1995 that the men from the Windy City have won a game against the Panthers.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: St. Louis Rams @ Detroit Lions
NFL Trends of Note
The Rams are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 against teams with losing record
The Lions are just 5-13 ATS in their L/18 games played at Ford Field.
St. Louis has covered back to back in this series

Series History
The only win for the Rams last year came against these Lions at this venue. St. Louis captured a 17-10 decision. The meeting prior to that was also in favor of the Rams, a 41-34 win at the Edward Jones Dome. That was actually the only meeting in St. Louis since 1993, as the other five since that point were played in the Motor City.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Green Bay Packers @ Washington Redskins
NFL Trends of Note
Green Bay is 9-3-1 ATS in its L/13 overall
The Packers are 8-3-1 ATS in their L/12 on grass
The Redskins are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 played in Week 5

Series History
Since the mid 1980s, this series has just belonged to the Pack. Green Bay had gone 4-0 SU from 2001 to 2007, and the previous meeting before that was back in 1988. The Packers have only made one trek to our nation’s capitol in that stretch as well. Green Bay is 5-0-1 ATS since 1986 in this series. The ‘under’ has gone 5-1 in those six clashes. The ‘Skins were dropped 17-14 at Lambeau Field in the last encounter in 2007.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals
NFL Trends of Note
The Bucs have covered three straight in this series
Cincinnati is 3-9 ATS in its L/12 overall
The Bengals are 8-3 ATS in their L/11 against teams with a winning record

Series History
The Bucs captured a 14-13 decision in 2006 at Raymond James Stadium, but the last trip to Cincinnati was also a grand one. Tampa Bay won 35-7 in its glory days in 2002. Five of the L/6 between these rivals have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’, with the one exception being that 2002 clash. The losing team in this series hasn’t scored more than 16 points in a game since 1989.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Kansas City Chiefs @ Indianapolis Colts
NFL Trends of Note
The Colts are 6-1-1 ATS in their L/8 against teams with a winning record
Indianapolis is 10-3 ATS in its L/13 played in October
Kansas City is just 2-7 ATS in its L/9 against the Colts

Series History
Kansas City’s only win in this series since the 1980s came in 2004 with a 45-35 victory at Arrowhead Stadium. Indy has held the Chiefs to just 18 total points in two meetings since that point in two games at the old RCA Dome. One of those games was a postseason clash in January 2007.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills
NFL Trends of Note
Jacksonville is 4-12 ATS in its L/16 overall
Buffalo is 3-7 ATS in its L/10 played in Week 5
The Bills are 3-10 ATS in their L/13 played on turf

Series History
The Jaguars certainly love playing in Ralph Wilson Stadium, as this will always be the home of their first postseason win in 1996. Since that point though, the Bills have really done a nice job. Buffalo nearly won last year in the Sunshine State, dropping 18-15, but the fact that it covered the spread marked its sixth cover in its L/8 since that playoff defeat at home in ’96. The L/2 have gone ‘under’ the ‘total’ with ease.

Sunday, October 10th, 4:05 PM ET: New Orleans Saints @ Arizona Cardinals
NFL Trends of Note
The Saints are just 2-9 ATS in their L/11 against NFC opponents
New Orleans is 3-9 ATS in its L/12 overall
The Cards are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 played in October

Series History
The Saints destroyed Arizona last year in the postseason 45-14 at home, marking the second straight win in the Superdome for them against the Redbirds. The Cards scored a 2004 win here in the desert by the count of 34-10, marking its only cover in this series since 1996. You have to go back into the 1980s to find the previous time in which they covered a spread at home against the men in black and gold. Three straight have eclipsed the ‘total’.

Sunday, October 10th, 4:15 PM ET: San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders
NFL Trends of Note
The Bolts are 18-8 ATS in their L/26 games played in October
Oakland is winless over the L/4 seasons both SU and ATS in Week 5
The Raiders are 15-36 ATS in their L/51 home games

Series History
These two divisional foes hate each other, and for good reason. The silver and black haven’t won a game since 2003, a stretch of 12 straight games. The Raiders did cover both numbers last year, losing 24-16 on the road and 24-20 at home. The Chargers had covered seven of the previous eight and are now 11-3 ATS in their L/14 clashes overall. The Bolts are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 trips to Oakland Alameda County Coliseum.

Sunday, October 10th, 4:15 PM ET: Tennessee Titans @ Dallas Cowboys
NFL Trends of Note
The Titans are 18-8 ATS in their L/26 as underdogs
Dallas has covered five of its L/6 following a bye week
The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their L/7 played in October

Series History
The Titans haven’t found their way to Victory Lane against the Cowboys since 2000 on Christmas Day, and the last time that they won a game in Dallas was in 1997. The boys from the Lone Star State smacked Tennessee around 45-14 in the last encounter at Adelphia Coliseum. The L/3 have eclipsed the ‘total’, but that includes a pair of preseason tussles.

Sunday, October 10th, 8:20 PM ET: Philadelphia Eagles @ San Francisco 49ers
NFL Trends of Note
The Eagles are 11-4 ATS in their L/15 as road underdogs
Philly is 0-5 ATS in its L/5 against the NFC
San Fran is 5-1-1 ATS in its L/7 after an SU defeat

Series History
It’s been Philly, Philly, and more Philly in this series of late, as the Eagles have captured four straight against the Niners both SU and ATS, including a 27-13 decision last December in the City of Brotherly Love. The Niners haven’t won a home game either SU or ATS against Philadelphia since 2001. Last year’s ‘under’ clash marked the first time a game in this series stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’ since 2001, a stretch of five straight ‘overs’.

Monday, October 11th, 8:30 PM ET: Minnesota Vikings @ New York Jets
NFL Trends of Note
The Jets are 3-10 ATS in their L/13 played in October
New York is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 overall
The Vikes are just 0-5 ATS in the regular season against the Jets since 1994

Series History
As you can see, this series has been all one way traffic for the men in green. The last encounter came in 2006, with the Jets topping the Vikes 26-13 at the Metrodome. Minnesota isn’t even winning games in this series SU when they’re favored, just like in 2006. Though two of the L/3 have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’, the previous three had all gone ‘over’. The Vikes have never scored more than 21 points in a game against the Jets.

2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 5 Cheat Sheet

September 24th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on 2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 5 Cheat Sheet
Play The NCAA Football Trends Below At Our Sponsor & Get An Exclusive Bonus
Click Here For a 100% Signup Bonus From JustBet
(Exclusive Bonus Offer – Must Use This Link or Above Links)

Week 5 college football betting is here! Bankroll Sports is back with more NCAA football picks for Week 5 of the year, but before we do that, we need to take a look at the important trends and history that the teams that are facing against each other this week.

Thursday, September 30th: Texas A&M Aggies @ Oklahoma State Cowboys
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Aggies are 17-35-1 ATS in their L/53 following an SU win
Okie State is 11-4 ATS in its L/15 as a home favorite
The Pokes are 3-8-1 ATS in their L/12 against teams with winning records

Series History
Okie State has covered and won two straight in this series, but it hadn’t won a game since that point dating back to 2003. This is traditionally a higher scoring series to say the least, as there hasn’t even been a ‘total’ posted the 40s since 2002. Five of the L/6 have gone ‘over’ the number, with the winning team scoring at least 34 in six of the L/7.

Friday, October 1st: BYU Cougars @ Utah State Aggies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Cougs are 1-8 ATS in their L/9 played in October
BYU is 2-7 ATS in its L/9 vs. the WAC
Utah State is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 against the MWC

Series History
These Beehive State rivals meet all the time and have clashed over each of the L/2 seasons. BYU has won both games, taking a 35-17 decision in 2009 and a 34-14 one in 2008. However, in both instances, the Aggies have turned out on the right side of the NCAA football betting lines. The L/3 meetings have gone ‘under’ the ‘total’ thanks to the fact that Utah State hasn’t scored more than 17 in a game in that stretch.

Saturday, October 2nd: Ohio State Buckeyes @ Illinois Fighting Illini
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Buckeyes are 9-1 ATS in their L/10 against teams with winning records
OSU is 21-5 ATS in its L/26 road games
Illinois is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 in Champaign

Series History
Upsets have happened in this series in big ways. The Illini won in the ‘Shoe in 2007, 2001, and 1999. Ironically, a home team has only won twice in this decade. The Bucks have covered two straight, winning 30-0 last year and 30-20 in 2008. This is typically a lower scoring series as well, as the L/4 clashes have all had posted ‘totals’ in the 40s. Though two of the four didn’t reach the number, none of the four reached 50 points. In fact, that barrier hasn’t been reached when these two have hooked up since 2001.

Saturday, October 2nd: Miami Hurricanes @ Clemson Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Clemson is 8-3 ATS in its L/11 conference games.
The Tigers are 10-1 ATS in their L/11 as pups of less than ten points
Miami is 12-25-1 ATS in its L/38 games as a favorite

Series History
These two teams don’t have an extensive history with one another, but all three meetings have been quite exciting. All three went into overtime and the road team captured all three outings. The Tigers are 3-0 ATS though, as they have been the underdog in all three games. The most recent meeting came last year in Miami, as the Canes dropped 40-37.

Saturday, October 2nd: Virginia Tech Hokies @ NC State Wolfpack
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Hokies are 1-7 ATS in their L/8 played in October
V-Tech is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 overall
Virginia Tech is 23-9 ATS in its L/32 road games

Series History
The Wolfpack only have one win in this series since 1991, that coming in Blacksburg in 2004. The Hokies have beaten the NCAA spreads by the narrowest of margins in the L/2 meetings, winning 38-10 last year at Lane Stadium and 20-16 in 2005 on Tobacco Road. The winner of this game will have made a great case to hop into the Top 25, especially if the winner is NCSU, who will jump to 5-0.

Saturday, October 2nd: Navy Midshipmen @ Air Force Falcons
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Navy is 13-3 ATS in its L/16 against the MWC
Air Force is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 on grass
The Falcons are 12-5 ATS in their L/17 at home

Series History
These two military academies always play a fantastic game, especially if you’re a fan of the triple option. Navy has won seven straight against Air Force both SU and ATS since 2003. The underdog is 8-3 ATS over the L/11, while Navy is 10-1 ATS over the L/11. Last year, the two hooked up in OT, with the Middies capturing a 16-13 decision in the extra frame.

Saturday, October 2nd: Tennessee Volunteers @ LSU Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Vols have covered seven straight on the road as pups of double digits
Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its L/5 overall
LSU is 8-17-1 ATS in its L/26 against SEC opponents

Series History
These two SEC powers haven’t met on the gridiron since 2007. That meeting resulted in a 21-14 win in the Bayou for the Tigers, who have won two straight. Typically, this is a relatively evenly matched affair. Tennessee holds a 6-4 SU edge, while LSU has a 5-3-2 ATS advantage over the L/10 meetings. The Vols had won at Tiger Stadium in three of the previous four meetings before the ’07 defeat.

Saturday, October 2nd: Texas Longhorns @ Oklahoma Sooners
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Longhorns have covered seven straight following a double digit home loss
Texas is 11-5 ATS following an SU defeat
Oklahoma is 9-4-1 ATS in its L/14 against the Big XII

Series History
These two teams certainly don’t like each other, and it’s going show once again on Saturday in the Red River Rivalry. Texas has won two straight and four out of five, going 4-0-1 ATS since 2005. Before that though, this series simply belonged to Oklahoma. The Sooners posted an aggregate victory of 189-54 in five covers from 2000 to 2004.

Saturday, October 2nd: Wisconsin Badgers @ Michigan State Spartans
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Wisconsin is only 6-13 ATS in its L/19 road games
Michigan State is just 3-7-1 ATS in its L/11 overall
The Badgers are just 1-3 ATS in 2010

Series History
Home teams have won five straight in this series dating back to 2003, though it hasn’t always been that way from an ATS standpoint. Wisconsin covered two straight in ’08 and ’09, but before that in ’04 and ’07, Sparty proved to be the right side. The L/3 meetings have been decided by a total of 12 points. Six of the L/7 have eclipsed the ‘total’.

Saturday, October 2nd: Michigan Wolverines @ Indiana Hoosiers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Michigan is 2-7 ATS in its L/9 in October
The Wolverines are 3-7 ATS in their L/10 road games
Indiana is only 3-7 ATS in its L/10 played in October

Series History
You have to go back quite some ways to find the last time that Indiana won a game in this series, but it nearly pulled off the shocker last year in the Big House. Facing an 18.5 point spread, the Hoosiers came into Ann Arbor and led the Wolverines for a good chunk of the game before succumbing 36-33. It marked their first cover in this series since 2003, a stretch of three straight games.

Saturday, October 2nd: Stanford Cardinal @ Oregon Ducks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Cardinal have covered four straight following an SU victory
Stanford is just 3-7 ATS in its L/10 road games against teams with a winning home record
The Ducks are just 5-12 ATS in their L/17 when they are favored by less than ten points

Series History
Before last season’s 51-42 Stanford win, this series was really all one way traffic for the Quack Attack. Oregon had won eight straight and covered seven of the eight, including all of the meetings from 2002 to 2007. This is typically a higher scoring series as well, as the L/5 have all gone past the ‘total’, with the lowest ‘total’ of the bunch was 52.5 in that stretch.

Saturday, October 2nd: Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Boston College Eagles
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Irish are 4-11 ATS in their L/15 overall
BC is 5-16 ATS in its L/21 against teams with losing records
The Eagles have covered three of the L/4 and six of the L/10 in this series

Series History
The Irish broke Boston College’s six game winning streak in this battle of the two Catholic schools last year with a 20-16 win in South Bend. However, that victory didn’t result in a cover. The last time Notre Dame both covered and won against the Eagles in the same year was in 2000, a 28-16 victory. The L/3 have all gone ‘under’ the number, while no team has scored in the 30s in this series since 1999.

Saturday, October 2nd: Florida Gators @ Alabama Crimson Tide
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Gators are 12-3 ATS in their L/15 roadies
Florida is 23-6 ATS in its L/29 against teams with a winning record
The Gators are 19-7 ATS in their L/26 overall

Series History
Recent history tells you that the winner of this game wins the National Championship… At least that’s been the case the L/2 seasons in the SEC Championship Game. The teams are both 1-1 SU and ATS over the L/2 years. The last regular season meeting came in 2006 in Gainesville, a 28-13 win for the Gators. The Tide last won in the regular season at home in 2005 by the count of 31-3. Each team won on the road in 1998 and 1999, but Alabama had covered five straight and went 6-0-1 ATS from 1994 until 2006.

Saturday, October 2nd: Penn State Nittany Lions @ Iowa Hawkeyes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Hawkeyes are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 against PSU
Iowa is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 in October
The Hawkeyes are 12-4 ATS in their L/16 against teams with a winning record

Series History
For whatever reason, the Hawkeyes just seem to have Joe Pa’s number. The Nittany Lions have been favored in this series in four straight and nine out of ten dating back to 1996, but they are only a woeful 2-8 SU. These teams have played some ugly encounters as well, including a 6-4 final in Happy Valley in 2004 and last year’s 21-10 final, also in University Park. Iowa hasn’t lost to Penn State at home since 1999, but even then it covered the four TD spread.

2009 Week 5 Picks, Fantasy, & Other Pre-Sunday Links Cycle

October 10th, 2009 by Travis Edwards (Bankroll Sports Contributor) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2009 Week 5 Picks, Fantasy, & Other Pre-Sunday Links Cycle

Exclusive Football Betting Sportsbook Bonus Offer Available From Bankroll Sports Only
Click Here For An Exclusive 100% Bonus (Credit Cards Accepted) @ JustBet!
JustBet

NFL Football Week 5 News & Headlines Cycle:

NFL Football Week 5 Blog Opinion/Picks/Betting Cycle:

2009 Week 5 NFL Fantasy Football Cycle: