Posts Tagged ‘Russell Wilson’

Superbowl XLIX MVP Odds & Tips For Betting the Super Bowl MVP

January 27th, 2015 by Lou Palumbo (Head Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Superbowl XLIX MVP Odds & Tips For Betting the Super Bowl MVP
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Full List of Odds To Win The MVP For Superbowl 49 Can Be Found Below

Betting on the Superbowl MVP is one of the most enjoyable betting propositions for the big game.  It’s one of those rare types of future wagers where you are almost betting on the Superbowl and playing fantasy football at the same time.  However, betting the Superbowl MVP odds can be one of those very tricky type of proposition / future wagers.  Why?  We’ll because it’s one of those hard to predict wagers where you need to find some balance as you look for value.  It’s also one of those types of wagers where the average public bettor often gets suckered into getting a very low value bet (on either a ridiculous Superbowl MVP longshot or a favorite that pays less than it should…..

When Looking at Superbowl MVP Longshots:
There are often many huge long shots that look tempting due to their large payout and the player’s notoriety, but at the same time, the player might never even touch the football during, even a regular season game….much less, the Super Bowl.  If betting a player down the list, make sure to factor in the player’s health, the likelihood that he will see the end zone, and/or make multiple game changing plays.  Make sure to factor the competition and how the player has performed in big playoff games in the past.  Also, if the player is in a non-skill position it’s likely that he will not have any chance to actually win the Superbowl MVP (regardless of how many great plays he makes to help his team).  FFor the most, part, anyone below 150 to 1 on the list of Super Bowl MVP odds to win the Su

An example of a zero value long shot would be a full back (who is very popular) having a very sizable payout, and being very low on the MVP odds list, despite the fact that he scores very little and rarely gets the football.  Another example of a zero value long shot would be a popular Offensive Tackle being on the list.

Longshot Picks From the MVP Odds
Doug Baldwin (Seattle):
Superbowl MVP Odds: 50 to 1 Diamond Sportsbook
Jonas Grey (Patriots):
Odds To Win the Superbowl MVP: 200 to 1 Diamond Sportsbook

Who usually get’s the MVP? Yes, the quarterback, the running back, a wide receiver. Well if you remember last in last year’s Super Bowl, linebacker Malcolm Smith won the award in Seattle’s dominating win over Denver. In this interesting matchup on Sunday, both teams have outstanding defensive unit’s and either of these two players are more than capable of making a game changing play. Wagner, the heart of Seattle’s ferocious front 7, and Jamie Collins, the versatile linebacker who has really come into his own this season. Yes, this is a crapshoot, but here you find two outstanding players presenting tremendous value.

When Looking at Superbowl MVP Favorites:
The top of the Superbowl MVP odds are usually the quarterbacks, the running backs, and the top pass catcher on each team.  The quarterback is the showcase position.  The quarterback gets the spotlight and is usually the most talked about player on the field.  This applies even on teams where the quarterback isn’t the most skilled player, or where the quarterback is less responsible for the team even getting to the super bowl.  However, there are times where a quarterback’s over-hype and popularity overshadows another offensive player that is; (a) more likely to make the difference between winning and losing, and is also more likely to reach the end zone on multiple occasions in the Superbowl.  Sometimes popularity, likeability, and overwhelming hype provides good value in another player’s odds to win the Superbowl MVP award.

An example of this would be Rusell Wilson of the Seattle Seahawks offering a smaller payout than Marshawn Lynch, while Lynch’s success on the field usually determines weather Seattle wins or loses.

Favorites (To Win The MVP) Offering Value
LeGarrette Blunt (Patriots):
Odds To Win The MVP: 20 to 1 (5Dimes)
Marshawn Lynch (Seahawks):
Odds To Win The MVP: 6 to 1 (5Dimes)
Consider the Superbowl MVP Judges:
One of the biggest things to remember before you decide to make a Superbowl MVP future bet, is that this is not an award that is given-to by, or voted-on-by the other players on the field.  That’s right….the other players (on the winning and/or losing team) don’t get any say who they think should get the Superbowl’s Most Valuable Player award after the game.  Furthermore, when looking at the odds to win the MVP list, you also have to consider that this isn’t an award that fans decide on.  Nope….the NFL’s paying customers have more say in who wins American Idol than they do when it comes to which player gets the Super Bowl MVP.  So, who decides who wins the Superbowl’s Most Valuable player award….?

You guessed it.  It’s those pompous and arrogant blowhards in the sports media (who are so smart, that they’re getting washed out by bloggers on the web).  Sports writers from the major newspapers and sports networks across the United States decide who was the most valuable player to his team on the field that night.  Even if a writer never played a sport in his life, spent the entire game watching the gametracker, and/or didn’t watch a single play from the game…..that writer’s vote counts the same as the next.

Why is this important?  Well, human beings have emotions, and it effect their judgement (especially the annoying sports writers that make up the AP).  Therefore, if the media likes the player, he’s more likely to win a toss-up between two guys.  If you are down to two players, and both have similar odds to win the Superbowl MVP award. it may be useful do a Google News search for the names of players on both teams and see how many positive and negative headlines (from the major publications only) are on that player.  This will give you an idea of whether the media likes this player or not.  Often players who ignore the media, have proven them wrong, or don’t offer substantial interview sessions get some unfavorable spin from the mainstream sports media.

Look For Balance When Betting This Future:
As with most future bets, betting on the odds to win the Superbowl MVP is no different.  Don’t take the favorite for a lot less of a payout than you should be getting for that player.  But, at the same time, don’t waste you money on a 150-1 longshot that won’t even touch the ball.  Look for one or two value bets that are listed in the top 15, but also outside the top 5 on the list of Super Bowl MVP odds at your sportsbook.
Superbowl 49 MVP Value Plays:
Edelman is definitely a wildcard in this game, his toughness and his ability to get open on short routes is excellent. Not only that, chances are he will be matched up with Richard Sherman. Sherman is injured, and he will not be 100% in the game. Also, you have to take a look at Edelman in the passing game, yes, the passing game. Don’t be surprised if you see Edelman wing a touchdown pass in the game, as the Patriots will pull out all the stops. Edelman is also a factor in the return game, as he is extremely quick and is more than capable of taking it to the house. at 28 to 1, Edelman is showing some solid value.  Below Are Some Overall value plays that I see (excluding both team’s quarterback);
Superbowl MVP Overall Value Plays
Julian Edelman (Patriots)
Superbowl MVP Odds: 28 to 1 5Dimes
Rob Gronkowski (Patriots)
Superbowl MVP Odds: 12 to 1 5Dimes

Complete List of 2015 Superbowl MVP Odds @
5Dimes (as of 1/26/15):
(Get a Free 50% Sports Betting Signup Bonus when Using This Link) 

Tom Brady (Patriots) +120 (or 1.2 to 1)
Russell Wilson (Seahawks) +225 (or 2.25 to 1)
Marshawn Lynch (Seahawks) +535 (or 5.35 to 1)
Rob Gronkowski (Patriots) +1200 (or 12 to 1)
LeGarrette Blount (Patriots) +2300 (or 23 to 1)
Richard Sherman (Seahawks) +2500 (or 25 to 1)
Julian Edelman (Patriots) +2800 (or 28 to 1)
Nate Solder (Patriots) +2800 (or 28 to 1)
Russell Okung (Seahawks) +2800 (or 28 to 1)
Kam Chancellor (Seahawks) +3000 (or 30 to 1)
Matthew Slater (Patriots) +4700 (or 47 to 1)
Doug Baldwin (Seahawks) +5000 (or 50 to 1)
Earl Thomas (Seahawks) +5000 (or 50 to 1)
Sealver Siliga (Patriots) +6100 (or 61 to 1)
Brandon LaFell (Patriots) +6600 (or 66 to 1)
Darrelle Revis (Patriots) +6600 (or 66 to 1)
Bobby Wagner (Seahawks) +8000 (or 80 to 1)
Jermaine Kearse (Seahawks) +8000 (or 80 to 1)
Shane Vereen (Patriots) +10000 (or 100 to 1)
Byron Maxwell (Seahawks) +15000 (or 150 to 1)
Danny Amendola (Patriots) +15000 (or 150 to 1)
Jamie Collins (Patriots) +15000 (or 150 to 1)
Luke Willson (Seahawks) +15000 (or 150 to 1)
Michael Bennett (Seahawks) +15000 (or 150 to 1)
Patrick Chung (Patriots) +15000 (or 150 to 1)
Rob Ninkovich (Patriots) +15000 (or 150 to 1)
Akeem Ayers (Patriots) +20000 (or 200 to 1)
Bruce Irvin (Seahawks) +20000 (or 200 to 1)
Chandler Jones (Patriots) +20000 (or 200 to 1)
Cliff Avril (Seahawks) +20000 (or 200 to 1)
Dont’a Hightower (Patriots) +20000 (or 200 to 1)
Jonas Gray (Patriots) +20000 (or 200 to 1)
K. J. Wright (Seahawks) +20000 (or 200 to 1)
Malcolm Smith (Seahawks) +20000 (or 200 to 1)
Brandon Bolden (Patriots) +25000 (or 250 to 1)
Brandon Browner (Patriots) +25000 (or 250 to 1)
Brandon Mebane (Seahawks) +25000 (or 250 to 1)
Chris Jones (Patriots) +25000 (or 250 to 1)
Devin McCourty (Patriots) +25000 (or 250 to 1)
Jeremy Lane (Seahawks) +25000 (or 250 to 1)
Jeron Johnson (Seahawks) +25000 (or 250 to 1)
Kyle Arrington (Patriots) +25000 (or 250 to 1)
O’Brien Schofield (Seahawks) +25000 (or 250 to 1)
Ricardo Lockette (Seahawks) +25000 (or 250 to 1)
Stephen Gostkowski (Patriots) +25000 (or 250 to 1)
Steven Hauschka (Seahawks) +25000 (or 250 to 1)
Tharold Simon (Seahawks) +25000 (or 250 to 1)
Tim Wright (Patriots) +25000 (or 250 to 1)
Tony McDaniel (Seahawks) +25000 (or 250 to 1)
Vince Wilfork (Patriots) +25000 (or 250 to 1)
Christine Michael (Seahawks) +30000 (or 300 to 1)
Cooper Helfet (Seahawks) +30000 (or 300 to 1)
Garry Gilliam (Seahawks) +30000 (or 300 to 1)
Jon Ryan (Seahawks) +30000 (or 300 to 1)
Michael Hoomanawanui (Patriots) +30000 (or 300 to 1)
Robert Turbin (Seahawks) +30000 (or 300 to 1)
Brian Tyms (Patriots) +50000 (or 500 to 1)
Bryan Walters (Seahawks) +50000 (or 500 to 1)
James Develin (Patriots) +50000 (or 500 to 1)
James White (Patriots) +50000 (or 500 to 1)
Josh Boyce (Patriots) +50000 (or 500 to 1)
Kevin Norwood (Seahawks) +50000 (or 500 to 1)
Tony Moeaki (Seahawks) +50000 (or 500 to 1)
Will Tukuafu (Seahawks) +50000 (or 500 to 1)

Super Bowl XLIX Player and Team Prop Picks

January 26th, 2015 by Chad A. Dawkins | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Super Bowl XLIX Player and Team Prop Picks

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Free NFL Team and Player Prop Picks For Super Bowl XLIX

The center of the sports world will be in Glendale, Arizona on Sunday, February 1st for Super Bowl XLIX featuring the AFC Champion New England Patriots and NFC Champion Seattle Seahawks. This is easily the most wagered game of the year, and here at Bankroll Sports we’ll take a look some prop bets that present some value in the big game.

Superbowl Props @ Bovada Sportsbook (as of 01/26/15):
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Super Bowl XLIX, Sunday, February 1, 2015
University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ
New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks
Current line: New England -2 Total: 47.5

Tom Brady Total TD passes: Over 2.5 (+160)
Great value here. What have you have heard all through the media since the AFC Championship? DeflateGate. The Patriots are cheaters, Tom Brady is a cheater. Let’s rewind back to 2007, when the whole spygate thing cam out after their week 1 win against the Jets. After all the hoopla and criticism that week, the Patriots came out and destroyed San Diego. I expect Tom Brady to be more than motivated to put on a spectacular performance. There’s another guy that could help him out and tell him the weaknesses of Seattle’s secondary, and that would be Patriot cornerback Brandon Browner, a former Seahawk. Let’s not forget that Tom Brady goes against Darrelle Revis in practice every week. Tom Brady will definitely bring his ‘A’ game.

Will LeGarrette Blount (NE) score a TD in the first half? Yes (+180)
The Patriots will without a doubt want to establish a solid run game, and they can do it against a Seattle front 7 that has shown they can be run on. Blount is the go-to guy for the Patriots, and at this price, it presents a lot of value.

Will Rob Gronkowski (NE) score a TD in the game? No (+145)
Will Gronk make a difference in the game? Absolutely, he will have the total attention of the Seahawks secondary. Seattle has an excellent red zone defense, and they have a safety in Kam Chancellor, who will match up extremely well with him. Gronk will make a difference, but I’m not so sure how effective he’ll be in the red zone.

Total Interceptions – Russell Wilson (SEA) Over ½ (-110) 2 (+500)
Yes, the over ½ is not a positive EV wager, but this will without a doubt be the best secondary and possibly the best defense Wilson has faced. This is a guy that threw four interceptions in the NFC championship, and his confidence level can’t be all that hi. I think this is a solid wager, considering the circumstances. Getting +500 for Wilson to throw 2 interceptions is great value.

Total Rushing Yards – Marshawn Lynch (SEA) Under 89.5 (-105)
You have to look at it this way, with 2 weeks to prepare, what will Bill Belichick’s defensive game plan be? Well, looking at history, they will look to take away what Seattle does best. Lynch is by far the most important part of their offense, and I think the Patriots will look to limit Lynch and put the game in Russell Wilson’s hands.

Will there be a defensive or special teams TD in the game? Yes +155
Both defenses are capable of scoring in this game, and in my opinion, and among many of the so-called ‘experts’ these are two of the most complete defensive units in the league with outstanding secondaries. I think we’ll see a defensive touchdown in this game, and I think there is some solid value here and I’m honestly surprised to see this kind of price here.

2013 NFL Playoff Odds – Divisional Round Lines

January 9th, 2014 by Lou Palumbo (Head Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2013 NFL Playoff Odds – Divisional Round Lines
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Here you will find the listing of all the NFL Divisional Playoff lines from 5 Dimes Sportsbook
These include spreads & totals for the NFL Playoffs Divisional round games at 5 Dimes Sportsbook

Three of these 2013-14 NFL Playoffs matchups are rematches of regular season games this year. 

2013 NFL Playoffs Lines For Saturday, January 11, 2014

Seahawks vs Saints Line

Last Saturday, Drew Brees & the Saints were able to come away with their 1st ever road playoff win. Their reward? A trip to Seattle to face Russell Wilson & Seahawks at “The Clink”. Current Line: Seattle -7.5 (Over/Under 46.5)

New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks
Game Time: 4:35pm (EST) ♦ TV Network: FOX
Divisional Playoff Line: Seahawks -8  Total: 46.5

The New Orleans Saints (12-5, SU, 9-8 ATS) will take on the Seattle Seahawks (13-3 SU, 11-5 ATS) for a chance to advance to the NFC championship. These two teams met back in week 13, in a dominant 34-7 victory by the Seahawks. Heading into the playoffs one would think that the Saints had absolutely no chance of winning in Seattle due to this past regular season matchup and the fact that most assumed that the Saints would not be able to win the type game where they were required to run the ball and play a physical grind-it-out game on the road and in cold weather. However, the Saints proved the critics wrong last Saturday by winning their first playoff road game 26-24 at Philadelphia. However, the Seahawks and their stingy defense are currently 7-1 at home this season, with their only loss coming to Arizona 17-10.  Their home field advantage may be the best in the NFL.  They seem to fluster teams early and throw a lot of early punches.  It will take an even more physical attack and lot of mental toughness to come away with this one.  Most think the Saints will not be able to handle what Seattle will dish out this Saturday.  Russell Wilson’s Seahawks are now listed as 8 point favorites from most books as of today.  However, this NFC divisional playoff line is down from an opening line of 8.5. The total may be the more interesting straight to watch here as 46.5 seems high for most Seattle games, but their last matchup finished with only 41 (league average 48).  The Saints are long shots according to the latest odds to win the Superbowl, with a 22 to 1 payout if they win it all this year.  Meanwhile Seattle is the current favorite at 3 to 1.

Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots
Game Time: 8:15pm (EST)  TV Network: CBS
Divisional Playoff Odds: Patriots -7  Over/Under: 51
The AFC South champion Indianapolis Colts (12-5 SU, 10-6-1 ATS) are coming off one of the most improbable comebacks in playoff history. The Colts rallied from a 28 point deficit to defeat Kansas City in the Wildcard round 45-44. Andrew Luck and his island of misfit toys will try to keep this momentum going as they head over to Foxboro, Massachusetts to take on Tom Brady and the playoff-experienced, New England Patriots (12–4 SU, 9-7 ATS). The last meeting between these two teams was in November of the 2012 season.  In last seasons week 11, fans watched an exciting offensive show which racked up almost 900 yards of total offense (over 400+ for both offenses). Brady just kept throwing punches and then rookie, Andrew Luck couldn’t keep up.  Luck had thrown 3 interceptions in the 59-24 New England victory; and the Patriots were able to levy the “Chuck Strong” wave that had taken the league by storm. But that was a Colts team with no experience in big matchups and was also a much stronger New England team in a lot of ways. As of today, the Colts have won four straight heading into this one and are feeling good about themselves after their epic comeback.  However, the Patriots were rolling themselves as they have won five of their last six.  Many would say that the Patriots (as the #2 seed) got the better draw in Indianapolis, while Denver drew a more formidable matchup in the Chargers.  However, Superbowl teams don’t complain about their draw in the divisional playoff round when getting a first round bye in the NFL playoffs.  Most consensus lines for this AFC divisional playoff game have the Patriots listed as 7 point favorites at home against Andrew Luck and the Colts.  The total for this game opened at 52.5 and is down to 51. Check out the Colts & the Patriots Superbowl Odds.

NFL Divisional Playoffs Odds For Sunday, January 12, 2013

49ers-Kaepernick-Odds

Last week, Colin Kaepernick & the 49ers (-2.5) reminded everyone why they are the reigning NFC Champions. They head to Carolina as 1 pt. favorites to face Cam Newton & the Panthers

San Francisco 49ers at Carolina Panthers
Game Time: 1:00pm (EST)  TV Network: FOX
Divisional Playoff Line: 49ers -1  Over/Under: 42

In the Sunday NFC Divisional Playoff game, the San Francisco 48ers (13–4 SU, 10–5-2 ATS) will travel East for their second meeting this season with the Carolina Panthers (12-4 SU, 10-6 ATS). The 49ers (Divisional Round Odds to win the Superbowl: 6 to 1) defeated the Green Bay Packers 23-20 in the Wildcard round in sub-zero temperatures. In the first meeting this season, the 49ers lost to the Panthers 10-9 in one of the more physical games this season and perhaps Colin Kaepernick’s worst performance this season. The 49ers failed to score a point in the 2nd half while Carolina was able to get a go-ahead field goal in the 2nd half. While it wasn’t one of Cam Newton’s best performances either, the difference in this game was a 20 yard TD run by DeAngelo Williams.  San Francisco has won seven games in a row heading into this one, while the Panthers have won three games in a row with the week off.  Colin Kaepernick and the red hot 49ers, opened at 2.5 point favorites and are now down to -1.  The 49ers are the only road favorite of the four divisional playoff lines for this weekend.  This line has seen a lot of movement since the end of the Green Bay / San Francisco game.

San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos (-7, 46.5) 4:40 PM EST on CBS
Game Time: 4:40pm (EST)  TV Network: CBS
Current Line: Broncos -9.5  Over/Under: 54.5
The San Diego Chargers (10-7 SU, 9-7-1 ATS) defeated the Cincinnati Bengals 27-10 last Sunday in the biggest upset thus far in the playoffs. They will take on their AFC West rival, in Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos (13–3 SU, 10–6 ATS) in what will be their third meeting this season (rubber match). Both matchups this season were fantastic games.  Manning and the Broncos won their first meeting 28-20 on the road in sunny San Diego.  Phillip Rivers and the Chargers came out victorious 27-20 on the road in Denver just a few weeks ago (in week 15). Many question whether Peyton Manning can win in the cold weather, making his Choice of Denver during his free agency period back in 2010-11 an interesting one. This is Mannings second go-around with the Broncos after losing a tough loss to the Ravens in last year’s Divisional playoff round.  While it won’t be freezing cold temperatures in Denver on Sunday, it won’t be warm either, with an expected gametime temperature around 38°.  The Chargers have been playing very sound football as of late.  And, prior to their first NFL Playoff win in a while win over the Bengals last week, they have stayed off most people’s radar while doing so.  San Diego has won their last four games.  But, the offensive powerhouse that is, Manning’s Bronco offense has won four out of their last five (with their sole loss being to the Chargers. The oddsmakers opened this AFC Divisional playoff line at Denver -9.5 and it has been bet up to 1 at some books.  The betting public loves to put their money in Peyton Manning’s hands, and that is why they are listed as the current favorite to win the AFC.  Their current odds to win the AFC Championship are listed at t