Posts Tagged ‘AFC Championship’

2009 NFL Pre-Season Prop Bets, Picks, and Odds

July 4th, 2009 by Jay (Bankroll Sports Contributor) | Posted in NFL Football   No Comments »

Sports fans do not worry, the 2009 NFL Football Season will be here in just a couple of weeks. If you may have taken the summer off from the betting world or just ready for football season you are not alone. Anticipation for the upcoming football season is at an all time high because there are so many big stories heading into 2009. Tom Brady makes his return under center in New England, the ongoing saga in Dallas, and Jay Cutler becoming the new quarterback in Chicago are just a few of the headlines. It is safe to say the 2009 NFL season will be one that will be fun to watch. The NFL training camps are only about two weeks away as we begin to learn a little bit more about the teams and what to expect. We have examined all the off-season transactions and draft selections and are ready to take advantage of all available betting lines. As we transition our focus to football we look forward to bringing you the best betting strategies on hand. The season odds are most favorable before the teams take the field and we will try to pinpoint the best prop bets available for 2009 NFL Season.

Prop Bet #1
– Winning the AFC North Division (Click here for AFC Divisional Odds)

Baltimore Ravens +320
Cincinnati Bengals +800
Cleveland Browns +900
Pittsburgh Steelers -225

The Pittsburgh Steelers dominated this division a year ago on route to winning their record 6th Super Bowl. The Steelers will again be big favorites to win the division over the Baltimore Ravens. The Steelers beat the Ravens on 3 different occasions last season. Pittsburgh 3 wins may consider that they just blew down the division. However, the two regular season games were decided by a combined 7 points including an overtime game in the first meeting. The Steelers then battled in another great football game with Baltimore in the AFC Championship beating the Ravens by 9 points. We expect things to shape out differently in 2009. While this is still a two horse race in the division, we like Baltimore to extract some revenge. The Ravens passing attack improved tremendously in 2008 behind young quarterback Joe Flacco. Baltimore consistently tested the deep ball towards the end of the season proving how much trust they had in their young quarterback. Baltimore is anticipating another promising season. Both teams have the most dominating defenses in the league. Last season Pittsburgh come up with big plays at the right times mainly from WR Hines Ward. We expect the road will be more difficult as it always is when defending a Super Bowl winning season. Add to the fact, Baltimore won the last 6 out of 9 in the series before last season and the Ravens should be primed for the upset. Take advantage of Baltimore’s profitable pre-season odds and consider a wager.

Pick – Baltimore Ravens +320

Prop Bet #2 - Odds to win the AFC Championship

Notables:
Baltimore Ravens +900
Indianapolis Colts +650
New England Patriots +350
Pittsburgh Steelers +450
San Diego Chargers +650
Tennessee Titans +900

The AFC will sport a load of talent in 2009. The Pittsburgh Steelers are the defending Super Bowl Champions. The Indianapolis Colts won their last 9 games of the regular season and many are promising them to have a breakout season. Tennessee got off to a perfect 10-0 start before faltering down the stretch. San Diego came on strong during the playoffs and Baltimore is an up and coming contender as well. However, the team that has dominated the last decade will be amongst the biggest favorites and rightfully so. The Patriots had a perfect regular season at 16-0 in 2007 in what people will remember as one of the greatest teams ever. New England lost their superstar quarterback Tom Brady last year and the team struggled to return to dominance. However, many people were surprised to see how good the Patriots could contend with an inexperienced quarterback. New England finished 11-5, but this season promises to be much better with Brady back under center. Randy Moss and Wes Welker both eclipsed the 1,000 yard plateau in 2008 and we believe they will have even bigger season in 2009. Not a big surprise of a pick, but this team has the potential to flirt with their 2007 undefeated status. The Patriots return to dominance will be felt in 2009.

Pick – New England Patriots +350

Prop Bet # 3 – Who will have the most regular season passing yards?

The top 3 quarterbacks in terms of passing yards in 2008 were Jay Cutler, Kurt Warner, and Drew Brees. Brees dominated in nearly all passing statistics throwing for an amazing 5,000 plus yards in the New Orleans pass happy offense. Brees also led the league in passing touchdowns with 34 scores as well. Jay Cutler and Kurt Warner were both very impressive as both starts threw for over 4,500 yards. Warner will again be a threat as he has two of the most talented receivers in the game in Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin. However, it is unlikely the veteran quarterback can reach those impressive numbers again as age is should start taking a toll. Cutler is now in Chicago and that is anything but a 4500 yard passing type of offense. Meaning the only other contenders would be Phillip Rivers and Peyton Manning who both barely eclipsed the 4,000 yard barrier. Drew Brees should be just as big a threat in 2009. Backed by a solid offensive front, the pass happy offense will go to the air early and often. Do not be surprised to see very similar numbers from the Saints biggest star in 2009.

Pick – Drew Brees +250

2009-10 AFC Divisional Odds & Picks

May 12th, 2009 by Jay (Bankroll Sports Contributor) | Posted in NFL Football   1 Comment »

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AFC East

Odds to win the AFC East:
Buffalo Bills +600
Miami Dolphins +1000
New England Patriots -400
New York Jets +700

The AFC East was among the most exciting playoff division races of 2009. Miami, New York, and New England all entered the last two weeks of the season with chances to make the playoffs and many were shocked when the Patriots dynasty failed to make the post-season. The Patriots lost QB Tom Brady early in the year and it quickly leveled the playing field among the division. Miami was among one of the biggest turnaround stories in recent memory and became the only team in the division to make the post-season. However, Brady is back and so are the expectations for the Patriots to return to dominance in 2010. The Patriots put together some depth through the NFL Draft and WR Brandon Tate could find away to fit into the air attack in the future. The Jets had a great draft as well landing Mark Sanchez to fill the shoes at quarterback. However, it will take Sanchez some time and the Jets need someone to make an immediate impact. Chad Pennington turned the Dolphins team around in 2009 throwing for over 3600 yards and 19 touchdowns. The Dolphins had an unexpected successful year, but that may have been more of a sign of how weak the division was instead of how well the Dolphins were playing. Buffalo struggled to move the ball last season as they only averaged 305 yards of total offense. The Bills addressed some defensive needs in the draft, but they are in desperate need for playmakers on offense. The Patriots appear to be a lock in the AFC East this year with their high power offense and solid defense. However, if Brady goes down again this year they will have a lot bigger problems as Cassel is not there any longer at backup.

Pick – Patriots -400

AFC North

Odds to win the AFC North:
Baltimore Ravens +250
Cincinnati Bengals +800
Cleveland Browns +800
Pittsburgh Steelers -200

The Pittsburgh Steelers wrapped up their NFL record 6th Super Bowl victory last season and they will of course be rather sizeable favorites to win the AFC North in 2010. The Steelers were involved in some hard fought battles with Baltimore throughout the season, but in the end the Steelers beat the Ravens in all 3 games played. Heading into next year it is fairly safe to say that the division will likely be a two horse racing again. Cleveland and Cincinnati ranked as the bottom two teams in the NFL in 2009 in terms of overall offense. Cleveland averaged 249 yards per game and the Bengals somehow were even worse at 245 yards per game. These two teams combined to only average 26 points per game last season. Seven teams averaged at least 26 points per game last season to just give an idea of how poor these offenses were. Do not expect any dramatic improvements next year. The Steelers and the Ravens were propelled by two very strong defenses in 2009. Pittsburgh’s defense was perhaps the best to take the field in the last decade as they were ranked number 1 in 3 out of 4 major defensive categories. Baltimore’s defense was ranked number 2 behind the Steelers in nearly every category and the two tangled for some low scoring defensive controlled games. The difference this year could be Joe Flacco ability to continue to mature at quarterback for Baltimore. The Ravens used Flacco’s arm to pursue the deep ball more often towards the end of the year and Baltimore could develop into a strong offensive team as well. We will pick the Ravens to play spoiler against the defending champions in the AFC North.

Pick – Baltimore +250

AFC South

Odds to win the AFC South:
Houston Texans +400
Indianapolis Colts +160
Jacksonville Jaguars +200
Tennessee Titans +300

The AFC South should without a doubt be the strongest division in the AFC next season from top to bottom. The Tennessee Titans started 2009 a perfect 10-0 as one of the breakout teams in the league. The Titans will look to stick to strong defense and an offense led by the legs of Chris Johnson. Draft picks Kenny Britt and Jared Cook could become potential weapons after time to develop. Cook has a lot of speed for a tight end that could present some big mismatches in the secondary. The Texans added a lot of focus to the defense during the off-season. Houston allowed 24 points per game last year and things must change for them to contend. Steve Slaton had strong year running the ball and will need similar efforts for Houston this year to keep the offense affective. Jacksonville did a wonderful job adding some premier talent to the offensive line with Eugene Monroe and Eben Britton during the draft. The offensive line allowed a miserable 42 sacks last season and these two young guys will change that. The question is how long will it take? The Jaguars defense is a work in progress and they could be a playmaker away on offense from shaping out to be a great team. The Indianapolis Colts got off to a horrible 3-4 start last year before rattling off 9 straight wins to close out the season. Indianapolis appears on the outside looking in to be primed for 2010. However, the release of Marvin Harrison along with major changes in the coaching staff after Tony Dungy retired and the Colts have a lot of question marks. However, Peyton Manning behind center is all anyone could ask for even when times are tough.

Pick – Indianapolis +160

AFC West

Odds to win the AFC West:
Denver Broncos +350
Kansas City Chiefs +600
Oakland Raiders +800
San Diego Chargers -225

The San Diego Chargers became the first team to enter the playoffs that did not have a winning record last season in nearly two decades. The Charges finished 8-8 on the season, but it was good enough as they held the tie breaker over Denver who was also 8-8. Darren Sproles made a big impact during the playoffs as the speedy running back will get his share of touches with LaDainian Tomlinson. San Diego’s late season success could be a good indication of what to expect in 2010. The Denver Broncos gave up star quarterback Jay Cutler. Does Kyle Orton come in to run the offense? If so we have seen the show before and it did not work out so well in Chicago. The Broncos did add Knowshon Moreno to the roster with the first pick. Moreno could be a solid back with unbelievable lateral quickness, but how much of an immediate impact he will make is the question. Oakland shocked the world by taking Darius Heyward-Bey in the first round over Michael Crabtree. However, the Raiders were going after an immediate big play threat. Heyward-Bey’s speed gives the down field threat on any given play. However, Oakland needs a lot more help to improve from the 16.4 points and 272 yards of offense from 2009 which were both among the worse in the NFL. Kansas City went after a few defensive needs with the draft selecting Tyson Jackson and Alex Magee for the defensive line. The Chiefs defense was flat frightening in all the wrong ways last season so any help has to be a plus. Kansas City still has a lot of question marks all over the field on the offensive side of the ball as well. The Chiefs should win more than two games this year, but perhaps not enough to consider contending for the division crown.

Pick – San Diego -225