Archive for the ‘General Handicapping’ Category

NFL Football Picks: Carolina Panthers @ Pittsburgh Steelers Props

December 23rd, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Head Columnist) | Posted in General Handicapping  
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The Carolina Panthers come into this Thursday Night Football duel with very little hope of actually beating the Pittsburgh Steelers. However, there are still some tremendous props on the board for this game that we can profit with, so be sure to check out our Carolina/Pittsburgh prop picks for Thursday!

Jonathan Stewart Over/Under 78.5 Rushing Yards
Let’s just be reasonable here, shall we? You’re asking Stewart to get to 79 yards against a defense which allows less than 65 yards per game on the ground, when Stewart splits his carries with RB Mike Goodson, and when his team is clearly going to be trailing the entire game? C’mon now. Let’s get real here, ladies and gents. Let’s get real. There’s absolutely no way that Stewart is getting to this number unless he busts a tremendous one early in the game. This is Pittsburgh, where the best running backs in the league essentially come to die. Bank on Stewart going Under 78.5 Rushing Yards (-150 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Thursday Night Football.

Rashard Mendenhall Over/Under 99.5 Rushing Yards
Carolina definitely doesn’t have a strong rush defense, ranking No. 23 in the league at 126.2 yards per game, but asking Mendenhall to get to 100 yards tonight is a tall task for a man that has just four games at the century mark on the ground this year. Though we know that the former member of the Illinois Fighting Illini has carried the ball a ton over the course of the season, we’re not so certain that, especially if this game gets out of hand, that Head Coach Mike Tomlin won’t want to give him a breather and use men like RB Isaac Redman to tote the rock some more. We’ll take our chances that Mendenhall stays Under 99.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Ben Roethlisberger Over/Under 1.5 TD Passes
This is perhaps the most interesting prop on the board on Thursday Night Football, as one would figure that there is no way that Big Ben doesn’t throw at least two TD passes against one of the worst teams in football. However, with potentially iffy conditions, we know that there are going to be some longer drives in this game. The Steelers aren’t one of these teams that needs to win games by three or four TDs just to prove a point. Wins are wins. Heck, against the Cincinnati Bengals in a very similar situation, Big Ben didn’t throw a single TD pass and the offense only had one TD. Though Roethlisberger does have three TDs in three games this year and one other game with at least two picks, we’re not so certain that that is going to happen again on this night. Don’t be shocked if the Panthers find a way to keep him Under 1.5 TD Passes (+110 at Hollywood Sportsbook) and gives us a huge cash.

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (10/4/10)

October 3rd, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Head Columnist) | Posted in General Handicapping  
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If you’re a fan of good old fashioned hard hitting football between two teams that just don’t like each other, this is the game for you! The Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots are sure to put on a real show on MNF this week, as they meet at Sun Life Stadium in a game that is absolutely crucial for both teams involved. Check out some of the NFL props for the game that we are keying in on to try to make you some great cash on the action!

Will there be a score in the first 6 1/2 minutes of the game?
Normally speaking, this prop would be set at 7:30, not 6:30, but due to the fact that this is the highest NFL betting ‘total’ on the board in Week 4, the number has come down just a tad. It won’t matter. The Dolphins now know that they can stretch the field quite a bit on the Pats, who seem to be relatively helpless defensive right now. With WR Brandon Marshall being used as an inviting target, big plays are very, very possible. We already know that the Brady Bunch has the top scoring offense in the game at 30.0 points per game, as QB Tom Brady and WR Randy Moss can hook up for a TD pass from anywhere on the field. Yes, there absolutely will be a score in the first 6:30 (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

Ronnie Brown Over/Under 65.5 Rushing Yards
Something is wrong with RB Ricky Williams right now. He doesn’t have a single carry this year for more than eight yards, and the end result might be more weight put onto the shoulders of RB Ronnie Brown. Brown is averaging well more than two yards per carry more than Williams is this year, and the defense on the other side of the field isn’t exactly known for its ability to stop the run, especially if you can bounce the ball outside and away from DT Vince Wilfork. Remember the MNF game last year when the Fins absolutely dominated time of possession against the Indianapolis Colts to try to keep QB Peyton Manning off the field? HC Tony Sparano knows that that would be a fantastic game plan to use on Monday night. Go with Brown Over 65.5 rushing yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Randy Moss Total Receptions Over/Under 4.5
Normally, it seems like a bit of a slam dunk for Moss to go ‘over’ this type of a number, but perhaps that shouldn’t be considered the case anymore. He only has nine total receptions on the season, and that’s due to the emergence of men like WR Julian Edelman, TE Rob Gronkowski, and TE Aaron Hernandez. Plus, age really isn’t helping Moss out any, as he is spending more and more plays on the sidelines when he isn’t being utilized. The Dolphins know that Moss is still a lethal deep threat though, and he is going to be a force to be reckoned with. Will Moss get his big play or two over the course of the game? Probably. However, especially if Miami does a great job of protecting the football, we have a hard time figuring how he is going to be getting to five receptions on the day unless he is really force fed the ball. That’s not a necessity for Brady and the offense anymore at this point in Moss’ career. Go with good ol’ Randy Under 4.5 Receptions (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this battle against the Dolphins.

2010 Women’s French Open Odds, Predictions, and Preview

May 16th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Head Columnist) | Posted in General Handicapping  
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Bankroll Sports is getting all revved up for the French Open, and we’re the home for all of your women’s tennis betting action. Today, we’re taking a look at the odds to win the second leg of the women’s Grand Slam at Roland Garros before the tournament gets started this week!

The defending champion of this event is Svetlana Kuznetsova (+1200 at Sportsbook.com). It marked her first French Open championship and just her second Grand Slam title in her illustrious career, which began in 2002. The #7 ranked player in the world will inevitably play well in this tournament and might be worthwhile to invest in. She has played in six straight fourth rounds and four straight quarterfinals at this event. However, she’s going to have a difficult draw that is littered with a ton of the top ranked women in the world that she’ll have to get through.

The favorite to win this event is Justine Henin (+150 at Sportsbook.com). Henin might be the best player in this field in spite of the fact that she is only ranked 20th in the world. She finished as the runner up in the Australian Open this year after taking almost two full years off from the sport. She has four French Open titles under her belt (2003, ’05, ’06, and ’07) and has been truly dominant on the clay courts. However, at just +150, we can’t see supporting her.

Instead, the second favorite might be one to watch, Serena Williams (+500 at Sportsbook.com). The younger Williams sister has played in nine French Opens and does has one championship to her name (2002). She was bounced in the quarterfinals last year, as she has been in three of her L/4 appearances at Roland Garros. However, it’s hard to argue that Williams isn’t one of the hottest players on tour, as in her L/7 Grand Slam appearances, she has four wins, a runner up, a semifinal defeat, and a quarterfinal defeat. She has only failed to reach the quarterfinals of a major once since the 2006 US Open.

A woman that made a real name for herself last year at Roland Garros was Samantha Stosur (+1500 at Sportsbook.com). She made it all the way to the semifinals as the #30 seed in this tournament a year ago before running into Kuznetsova. She took the Russian to three sets and had several chances to win the match before losing 6-3 in the final set. Since then, the Aussie has gotten herself up to the #8 ranking in the world and looks primed to make another solid run into the final week here at the French Open. She is 23-6 this year and had a fourth round exit at the Australian Open on her home turf.

The one thing that you’re going to want to stay away from is betting the field (+800 at Sportsbook.com). There are a heck of a lot of women that are listed here, and they’re all in the Top 30 in the world. A relative unknown hasn’t won this event since Anastasia Myskina won it in 2004.

Women’s French Open Odds @ Sportsbook.com (as of 5/16/10):
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Agnieszka Radwanska +10000
Ana Ivanovic +2000
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova +8000
Carla Suarez Navarro +8000
Caroline Wozniacki +1500
Dinara Safina +2000
Elena Dementieva +2000
Flavia Pennetta +10000
Jelena Jankovic +800
Justine Henin +150
Maria Sharapova +4000
Samantha Stosur +1500
Serena Williams +500
Svetlana Kuznetsova +1200
Venus Williams +1500
Vera Zvonareva +4000
Victoria Azarenka +1200
Yanina Wickmayer +2500
Field +800

2010 Men’s French Open Odds, Predictions, and Free Picks

May 15th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Head Columnist) | Posted in General Handicapping  
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The clay courts of Roland Garros will be on full display next weekend for the French Open, and here at Bankroll Sports, we’re going to take our first look at the players in the field and how they’re going to stack up against each other for the second jewel of tennis’ Grand Slam!

For the first time in awhile, we no longer have to ask this question to Roger Federer (+450 at Sportsbook.com): Are you ever going to win the career Grand Slam? Federer finally captured the French Open, and he did so by dropping just five sets during the entire tournament. His biggest challenge came in the Round of 32 against Tommy Haas, as he had to come back from a two sets to love deficit to win 6-4, 6-0, 6-2 in the final three stanzas. The 16 time Grand Slam Singles champion has played in eight straight major tournament finals, and he has made it to at least the semifinals every grand slam tourney since the 2004 French Open, a span of 23 straight majors.

However, the biggest question that is still looming over Federer’s head is whether or not he can beat Rafael Nadal (-275 at Sportsbook.com) on the clay courts or not. Rafa is clearly the odds on favorite in this event, as last year snapped a stretch of 31 straight matches worth of victories at Roland Garros when he lost to Robin Soderling (+3000 at Sportsbook.com) in the fourth round of this event. Soderling went on to lose to Federer in the finale.

Nadal hasn’t totally been himself since his elimination at last year’s French Open, as he has battled injuries and hasn’t captured many titles. He has dropped to the #3 ranking in the world for his struggles, but no one is going to bet against him on the clay courts any time early in this tournament. Nadal has won four French Open titles and has two other Grand Slam trophies on his mantle.

Aside from these two monsters of men’s tennis, there really aren’t a lot of contenders to consider. Don’t even remotely consider taking the field (+1000 at Sportsbook.com). All of the players listed are really the only ones that have a chance of claiming glory at Roland Garros. Soderling became the first player not named Nadal or Federer to be in the French Open Final since Gaston Gaudio beat Guillermo Coria in the 2004 finale.

If you’re looking to step outside of the box and take a chance on someone else, both Andy Murray (+2500 at Sportsbook.com) and Novak Djokovic (+1000 at Sportsbook.com) are going to be hanging around deep into this tournament and could pull upsets of one of the Big 2. Djokovic has worked his way up to the world’s #2 ranking, and many think that he is the future of men’s tennis. However, a 283-93 career record has only yielded one major championship (2008 Australian Open), and he has only played in two French Open semifinals. Murray won’t have the crowd on his side since he is a Brit playing in France, but the young gun did get off to a great start this year at the Aussie Open, finishing runner up to Federer. Last year’s quarterfinal appearance was the best in Murray’s young career.

One thing to keep an eye on in specific matches is that aforementioned home court advantage that Murray certainly won’t have coming from a rival country. However, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (+10000 at Sportsbook.com) and Gael Monfils (+6000 at Sportsbook.com) both will. Tsonga, the 10th ranked player in the world coming into the French Open, went to the fourth round last year at Roland Garros and has already gone to the Australian Open semis this year. Monfils, who is the 19th ranked player in the world, went to the quarterfinals last year before losing to Federer. He also went to the semifinals in 2008. However, the knock on Monfils is that those are the only two Grand Slam quarterfinals that he has ever reached.

French Open Odds @ Sportsbook.com (as of 5/15/10):
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Andy Murray +2500
Andy Roddick +10000
David Ferrer +3000
David Nalbandian +6000
Ernests Gulbis +3000
Fernando Gonzalez +8000
Fernando Verdasco +2500
Gael Monfils +6000
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga +10000
Juan Carlos Ferrero +6000
Marin Cilic +8000
Nikolay Davydenko +2500
Novak Djokovic +1000
Rafael Nadal -275
Robin Soderling +3000
Roger Federer +450
Stanislas Wawrinka +10000
Tomas Berdych +10000
Field +1000

Weekly Sports Betting Rap Sheet (4/19/10)

April 19th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Head Columnist) | Posted in General Handicapping  

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It’s playoff time once again for the men of the hardwood and on the ice! Here at Bankroll Sports, we’re still taking our best shots at the teams, players, and situations that really cost us sports bettors in a big way in the week that was.

Rap Sheet Picture of the WeekMontreal e1271612615632 Weekly Sports Betting Rap Sheet (4/19/10)
Montreal Canadiens G Jaroslav Halak, who blew a three goal lead and gave up this game-winner 31 seconds into overtime.

All of the home teams in the NHL playoffs should be ashamed of themselves. Not a single one of the are hitting the road up two games this week. However, the team we really need to take a stab at right off the bat is the Montreal Canadiens. The rest of the NHL hates you right now, Montreal. After all, the Habs were up 1-0 in the series after stealing Game 1 at the Verizon Center, and they held a 4-1 lead following LW Andrei Kostitsyn’s third goal of the game with just over two minutes to play in the second period. G Jose Theodore had already been ran out of the game and replaced by G Semyon Varlamov, and the Habs looked primed to take a 2-0 lead back to the Great White North. Not so fast, my friends. They were outscored 4-1 during the next 20 minutes of hockey, and then just 31 ticks into the overtime, C Nicklas Backstrom connected for the game-winner, his third goal of the game. Enjoy being bounced from this series in five games, Montreal. You had your chance to slay the giants in the playoffs, and now you’re going to pay the ultimate price for not succeeding.

Give it up for Jason Marquis, ladies and gentlemen! The right-hander has been an absolutely abortion of a signing for the Nationals on the outset of this season, as he has given up at least six earned runs in each of his starts and is 0-3 to show for it. On Sunday though, he had one of the more embarrassing starts that any pitcher has seen in this ’10 MLB betting campaign. Marquis gave up a single to Rickie Weeks, a single to Craig Counsell, a single to Ryan Braun, plunked Prince Fielder, walked Casey McGehee, plunked Jim Edmonds, and gave up a single to Gregg Zaun, and was promptly removed without recording an out. Seven batters faced. Seven batters scored. Solid job, Marquis. Your numbers for the year now? 8.1 innings pitched, 18 hits, 20 runs (19 earned), 2 HRs, 7 walks, 3 plunks, 3 strikeouts, a WHIP of 2.88, a batting average against of .419, and an ERA of 20.52. Doesn’t get much better than that.

Hey, Kevin Garnett, you haven’t cost us any money yet, but we totally see this one coming. For whatever reason, you decided to elbow G Quentin Richardson in the face with 40 seconds to play in a game in which your Celtics stormed back from a 61-47 deficit halfway through the third quarter to win by nine. Now, the NBA’s sheriff, Commissioner David Stern, is inevitably going to suspend you for Game 2 of this series (if not longer). Isn’t your team already woeful enough at home with you in the lineup that you can’t afford to take yourself out of a playoff game for no good reason? C’mon KG, you’re better than this.

Stanley Cup Betting Odds, Free Picks, & Predictions

April 12th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Head Columnist) | Posted in General Handicapping  
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The Stanley Cup Playoffs are about to begin on Wednesday night, and the NHL betting lines at Sportsbook.com are locked, loaded, and ready to go! Here at Bankroll Sports, we’re tearing apart the Stanley Cup odds and giving you our free NHL predictions for what team will be lifting the Cup in a few weeks.

There really isn’t any other place to start than with the top point scoring team in the league, the Washington Capitals (+400 at Sportsbook.com). The Caps are rightfully the chalks on the board after scoring a whopping 121 points on the year. The Caps averaged a whopping 3.8 goals per game this season and had the most lethal power play in the league at a 25.2 percent conversion rate. Playing at the Verizon Center, Washington went 30-5-6 this year, easily the best record in the NHL. However, someone is going to have to figure out how to beat the Caps there to win the Stanley Cup, which is why they’re a tremendous selection at great odds.

Perhaps the most overrated team on the board are the defending champs, the Pittsburgh Penguins (+500 at Sportsbook.com). Sure, the Pens had the third most points in the Eastern Conference with 101, but they probably aren’t quite as strong as last season’s Stanley Cup team was. G Marc-Andre Fleury could catch fire like he did at times during last postseason, and Richard Trophy winner C Sidney Crosby can always single-handedly put the team on his shoulders, but a potential draw of Ottawa, Washington, and New Jersey just to get to the Stanley Cup Finals is going to be a very difficult path to take.

In the Western Conference, the top seven teams all finished the year with at least 100 points, so this may be the spot to go with an underdog.

Just based on history alone, the San Jose Sharks (+500 at Sportsbook.com) are simply an awful wager. In spite of the fact that it feels like they’re either the #1 or #2 seed in the Western Conference every single season, they haven’t even advanced to the Western Conference Final since 2004. However, in San Jose, there’s always a belief that this is the year for the Sharks, especially since the line of Patrick Marleau, Dany Heatley, and Joe Thornton, which helped carry the Canadians to the Gold Medal in the Olympics, combined to score 254 points. The good news is that the #8 Colorado Avalanche are by far and away the worst team in this conference that made the second season. The bad news is that the Detroit Red Wings, who have won the Western Conference for two straight seasons, could be on deck.

If you’re looking for a bit of an underdog, consider the #3 seed in the West, the Vancouver Canucks (+1000 at Sportsbook.com). Any team that has G Roberto Luongo between the pipes has a chance of winning against any team in the NHL, and unlike in years past where it was the offense that struggled to produce while Luongo was posting fantastic numbers, this year, the Canucks 272 goals was tops in the Western Conference. The Canucks will open up the ’10 playoffs with a duel against the #6 Los Angeles Kings, who look to be one of the weaker teams in the tournament on this side of the draw.

Stanley Cup Odds @ Sportsbook.com (as of 4/12/10):
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Boston Bruins +4000
Buffalo Sabres +1500
Chicago Blackhawks +450
Colorado Avalanche +7500
Detroit Red Wings +800
Los Angeles Kings +4000
Montreal Canadians +5000
Nashville Predators +5000
New Jersey Devils +1000
Ottawa Senators +3000
Philadelphia Flyers +5000
Phoenix Coyotes +2000
Pittsburgh Penguins +500
San Jose Sharks +500
Vancouver Canucks +1000
Washington Capitals +400

Weekly Sports Betting Rap Sheet 4/12/10

April 12th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Head Columnist) | Posted in General Handicapping  
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It was an awkward week of sports betting action, as the start of the baseball betting season continued to cross with red hot sporting events on the ice, hardwood, and links. Here’s what we’re ranting about this week at Bankroll Sports!

Rap Sheet Picture of the WeekLunqvist e1271029875758 Weekly Sports Betting Rap Sheet 4/12/10
New York Rangers G Henrik Lundqvist, who was the losing goalie in Sunday’s elimination game for the final slot in the Eastern Conference playoffs.

Tiger Woods is really getting under my skin right now, and for various reasons. Not only am I irked that the entire PGA Tour betting event this week at the Masters was covered by Tiger this and Tiger that, but I also hate how everyone said that Woods couldn’t figure out how to put this together after taking six months away from the Tour. He’s still Tiger Freaking Woods. No, Tiger didn’t win it on Sunday, but he sure had his dramatic moments to finish just a few shots behind and with yet another Top 10 finish in a major. That being said, I’m still ticked that everyone spent so much time talking about Tiger that there were two stories that just totally went under the radar. Good thing that Phil Mickelson won the event, or no one would’ve ever remembered the name of the winner. I mean really… why not just give Tiger the Green Jacket, too? After all, he was the center of this whole ordeal these past four days, right? And why no love for 16-year old Matteo Manassero, who made the cut and finished at +4 for the tournament? If this kid can finish +4 at the age of 16 and make the Masters cut, maybe there’s another Tiger Woods on our hands that we’ll be discussing in a few years.

A week into MLB betting action and we already have a little bit of history… and not the good kind either. How’s about allowing a whopping 13 runs in an inning? Nice job, Pittsburgh Pirates. The 13 run outburst featured eight hits, four walks, three homers (one of which was to Edwin Jackson, the pitcher, who spent the last couple seasons in the American League), a triple, and a tad bit of miserable fielding to boot. It took three pitchers to get through the frame for the Bucs, as Darren McCutchen, Hayden Penn, and Jack Taschner were all used and all touched up. If you’re interested, through one week of play, McCutchen has an ERA of 24.30 and Penn has one of 30.86. Stellar ball, guys. Stellar.

Let’s take a stab at the Boston Celtics as well. Just a week after watching the San Antonio Spurs get destroyed by the New Jersey Nets, the C’s pulled off one just as sharp. In the fight for the #3 seed in the Eastern Conference, they were knocked off by the lowly Washington Wizards on their home court 106-96. Even more embarrassing was the fact that they put up 42 points in the 4th quarter and still were beaten and beaten badly. The Wiz outscored Boston 52-31 in a very uninspired first half of ball. Over their L/52 games, the Celtics are only 27-25 after starting 18 games over .500 over the first couple months of the year. That won’t cut it in the playoffs, that’s for sure.

Weekly Sports Betting Rap Sheet (4/5/10)

April 5th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Head Columnist) | Posted in General Handicapping  
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The first week of April brings the rare crossover between four major sports, as the MLB, NHL, NBA, and NCAA hoops all collide. But before we look ahead at the week that will be, here at Bankroll Sports, we’re analyzing the week that was and giving all sorts of heck to those that have drawn our ire as sports betting fanatics.

Rap Sheet Picture of the Weekreid Weekly Sports Betting Rap Sheet (4/5/10)
Philadelphia Eagles HC Andy Reid, who looks angrier than ever about the fact that his franchise quarterback, Donovan McNabb was traded for peanuts in his own division.

There’s no better place to start than in the NBA this week, and boy, would we love to give a piece of our mind to the New Orleans Hornets. You get G Chris Paul, your pride and joy, back in the lineup after he missed what felt like an eternity to this franchise, and you promptly come out and beat the Lakers on your home court. Great, right? After all, it’s not often that you can give up 31 points to G Kobe Bryant and 26 points and 22 rebounds to F Pau Gasol and live to tell about it. However… What gives after that, Hornets? As 9.5 point favorites, the Wizards came into New Orleans Arena and spanked the Hornets 96-91. That was followed up by a nine point loss in Memphis, which we deem to be excusable. But losing to the Nets? By four touchdowns? The 115-87 win for Jersey was clearly its biggest ‘W’ of the season, and it came at the expense of a team that just looks like it has given up. Don’t worry, the laughs aren’t over quite yet if you missed this embarrassing one in Jersey. Minnesota is still on the schedule!

This may not have a heck of a lot to do with gambling at this point, but is there any doubt that the Philadelphia Eagles are getting smacked by the Washington Redskins twice this season? Apparently, making it to five NFC Championship Games and a Super Bowl wasn’t enough for QB Donovan McNabb, so the Iggles shipped him out of town. Ok, no problem, right? After all, guys get traded at the end of their careers all the time. But to send him to Washington??? You’re just asking to get whooped up on, Philly. And this blogger, who notoriously hates the Redskins, is going to love watching McNabb come back into the City of Brotherly Love and beat the snot out of your team this season.

The bullpen for the New York Yankees is already off to a flying start this year. You’d figure in and amongst all of the money that this team spends that they’d learn that eventually, a bullpen is going to help you out, right? But no, apparently having leads of 5-1 and 7-5 aren’t good enough. It’s not bad enough that David Robertson allowed his only inherited runner to cross home plate, but then Chan Ho Park proved once again why the Yanks have no clue how to spend their bucks by giving up three runs (two earned) in a three-run seventh. Don’t worry Joba Chamberlain, we’re not forgetting the three hits and a run you gave up in your 1.1 innings worked either. The final stat line for the New York pen? 2.2 IPs, 4 runs (3 earned), 6 hits, 2 walks, 1 K, 1 HR allowed. That’s a WHIP of 3.00 and an ERA of 13.50. Stellar job, boys. Stellar.

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