Archive for September, 2011

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 2 Fantasy Football Sleepers

September 14th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 2 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 2!

Reggie Bush vs. Houston Texans
We definitely learned one thing about the Dolphins last week, and that’s that RB Reggie Bush is going to need to be used as a runner and a receiver. He may or may not get goal line carries (Lex Hilliard did last week in the one and only chance that he had on the field), but we know that against the Texans’ new 3-4 look, Bush is going to find himself a ton of open holes on the field. Especially if you’re dealing in a PPR league, Bush is a great start this week, as he might be good for a dozen receptions to go with his 40-50 rushing yards that he is sure to get against a defense that we really don’t know a heck of a lot about quite yet.

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Brandon Gibson and Sam Bradford vs. New York Giants
Last week, no one was all that high on the Rams against the Eagles, but we have to remember that that Philadelphia secondary is like none other in the league. Bradford has a finger injury that we have to deal with, but with an extra day of preparation, we think that he’ll be fine. The Giants just allowed over 300 passing yards to QB Rex Grossman of the Redskins, something that should virtually never happen, and that being said, this is going to be a porous unit until some bodies start to get healthier. Gibson is going to be the primary target in all likelihood for Bradford after WR Danny Amendola went down with an elbow injury in Week 1. Don’t be shocked if these two hook up a half dozen times for over 100 yards and a TD on Monday Night Football.

Santana Moss vs. Arizona Cardinals
Moss really isn’t much of a sleeper, since he was probably a mid-round pick in your fantasy league, but with Grossman at the helm, the former Miami Hurricane is going to be the subject of a ton of targets once again. He had nine targets last week against the Giants, and this week, he is facing perhaps the only secondary in football that is as bad as the one that he faced last week. Arizona will definitely show some holes, and there isn’t a corner that can keep up what Moss’ speed, save for DB Patrick Peterson, and we wouldn’t be thrilled with the prospects of a rookie going up against a vet like Moss.

Devery Henderson vs. Chicago Bears
This is the second time that we are going to be asking one of the secondary receiving options for QB Drew Brees to do us the favor of scoring a touchdown, and we tend to think that a big week in Week 1 is just the beginning of what could be a bust out season for Henderson. The former LSU Tiger is likely to get the nod alongside WR Robert Meachem this week, and if that’s the case, though Chicago’s secondary is solid, Brees should be throwing him the ball quite a bit. Meachem and TE Jimmy Graham are both great starts this week as well.

NCAA Football Picks: LSU @ Mississippi St College Football Props

September 12th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on NCAA Football Picks: LSU @ Mississippi St College Football Props
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Week 3 of college football betting action is here! But before you get started with the NCAA football odds, be sure to check out our college football prop picks for the first day of the third week of the season, including the LSU vs. Mississippi State picks!

Vick Ballard Over/Under 87.5 Rushing Yards
The Bayou Bengals have allowed less than 50 rushing yards per game this year, and that makes it hard to believe that Ballard is going to be getting anywhere near this 87.5 yard barrier. The truth of the matter is that he has averaged over 150 yards per game as well, but it just isn’t going to happen this week. Last year, Ballard carried the ball 11 times for 28 yards, and the running backs as a whole for the Bulldogs ended up toting the rock 33 times for only 90 yards. Ballard isn’t going to be able to do it on his own, and he won’t reach this ‘total’. Ballard Under 87.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Chris Relf Over/Under 15 Completions
In the first week of the year, we took Relf ‘over’ 11.5 completed passes, and we find it odd that that number, against a stouter defense, has gone up 3.5 completions. Now, it’s true that Relf has completed 33 passes in two games, but it is clear that QB Tyler Russell is going to get his snaps as well under center. There has to be a concerted effort to try to run the football, and even if it fails, we don’t expect Head Coach Dan Mullen to get off of that kick. There are too many variables in this one, but we just can’t see many situations in which Relf completes at least 16 passes. Relf Under 15 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

NFL Picks: New England @ Miami, Oakland @ Denver Prop Picks

September 12th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Picks: New England @ Miami, Oakland @ Denver Prop Picks
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Monday Night Football is back and better than ever this week, as there are two crucial divisional duels on tap. Check out how we stack up the NFL props and make our NFL picks on the clashes between the Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots and Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders.

Over/Under 4 Sacks (NE/MIA)
You don’t normally think of these two teams as two that will gun the ball all over the place. However, with QB Tom Brady breaking in a new receiver in WR Chad Ochocinco and QB Chad Henne really stuck throwing the ball a ton without a steady running game, the sacks could mount in a hurry. You know that New England’s defense is not relenting, as Head Coach Bill Belichick will throw the kitchen sink at the relatively inexperienced Henne. The question is how much Head Coach Tony Sparano is going to send at Brady. Knowing that his job might be on the line, we’d guess that we’ll see a lot of guys like LB Jason Taylor and LB Koa Misi in the backfield. Over 4 Sacks (-110 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Brandon Lloyd Over/Under 4.5 Receptions
No respect here for the defending receiving yards champ in the league. Lloyd had a sturdy year last year, and though we know that Head Coach John Fox is going to want to run the ball more with RB Knowshon Moreno, that doesn’t mean that the rapport that QB Kyle Orton built with Lloyd over the last year will just suddenly disappear. Don’t be surprised if there are a few shots taken to try to loosen up this Oakland defense, and if that’s the case, Lloyd should be able to amass the five receptions needed to beat this target. Lloyd Over 4.5 Receptions (+100 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over/Under 45.5 Yards (NE/MIA)
Last season alone, New England scored four special teams or defensive TDs that all went for more than 45 yards against the Dolphins, and that doesn’t even include the possibility of the offenses scoring from this far out. We know that Brady will be looking to hit some deep shots during this game, and the X-Factor very well could be RB Reggie Bush, who appears like he is going to get at least 20-25 touches of the football in some respect in this game. Don’t be shocked if this prop is decided with the very first touchdown. Longest Touchdown Over 45.5 Yards (-115 at BoDog Sportsbook)

NCAA Football Picks: Saturday College Football Props 9/10/11

September 9th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on NCAA Football Picks: Saturday College Football Props 9/10/11
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The second Saturday of the NCAA football betting campaign is here, and here at Bankroll Sports, we’re getting ready to analyze some of the college football prop picks for the day!

Will There be a Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Alabama vs. Penn State Game?
If this game were in Tuscaloosa, we’d feel just a tad differently about this prop. That being said, we just don’t see how either of these teams are going to find their way onto the scoreboard all that quickly in Happy Valley, especially if Mother Nature provides a bit of a challenge. Neither one of these offenses in all that great, and both defenses are the strength of the squad. It’s a bit chalky, but it’s a short number that we have to wait to cash in a winner. No Score in the First 6 Minutes (-135 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Team To Have the Most First Downs: Notre Dame (-1) @ Michigan
We just don’t buy the Irish as favorites in this game, and we certainly don’t believe that the Wolverines are going to have fewer first downs than their opponents in this one as well. QB Tommy Rees is going to have his work cut out for him against a Michigan defense that has to be improved from last year. To make matters even worse for the Irish, QB Denard Robinson looks like he is going to be committed to fewer big plays with Head Coach Brady Hoke in charge, so this one seems to be easy. Michigan +1 First Downs (-130 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Chad Bumphis Over/Under 2.5 Receptions
Mississippi State showed a bit more in the passing game last week against the Memphis Tigers than we thought it would, but we are wondering whether there won’t be more looks for the receivers in this one against Auburn, especially if the game becomes a bit of a shootout. That being said, Bumphis is the most talented of these receivers, and though he only had one catch last week, we know that he averaged almost four receptions per game last year. Getting to three shouldn’t be all that hard, especially after the Tigers nearly allowed Utah State to come into Jordan Hare Stadium and post a win. Bumphis Over 2.5 Receptions (-130 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Marquis Maze Over/Under 56.5 Receiving Yards
Maze really amazed last week against the Kent State Golden Flashes, picking up eight receptions and accounting for over 100 yards. We know that Maze getting at least five receptions is a great college football prop as well, but we’ll take him for a big play or two in this one as well. We tend to think that it is a slam dunk that he is getting into the 60s at least in receiving yards. Someone has to pick up the slack for WR Julio Jones. Maze Over 56.5 Receiving Yards (-105 at BoDog Sportsbook)

2011 Week 1 NFL Lines – Week One NFL Spreads Breakdown

September 9th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 Week 1 NFL Lines – Week One NFL Spreads Breakdown

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The Entire List of 2011 Week 1 NFL Lines are Listed at the Bottom of This Page!

Week One of the 2011 NFL campaign is going to get underway this weekend. Below you will find the current list of 2011 Week 1 NFL lines and spreads along with a breakdown of the Week one odds. Be sure to check out the free NFL picks from the expert handicappers at Bankroll Sports this week.  The Premium picks from the experts at Bankroll Sports can be purchased by clicking the “Purchase Premium Sports Picks” image on the right hand side of this page.

The NFL Week 1 lines are always extremely tough to gauge, especially with three more weeks still to play before we reach the start of the games that count. This year, things will be even tougher, as training camps were shorter and rookies really didn’t get a chance to start playing until just a few weeks ago thanks to the NFL lockout. Still, these games are huge and are meaningful right out of the block.

The season kicks off on Thursday, September 8th with the defending Super Bowl champs, the Green Bay Packers hosting the Super Bowl winners from two years ago, the New Orleans Saints. The Saints are relatively hefty four point underdogs in this one, a certain sign of disrespect for a team that they finished with a better record than a year ago. If New Orleans is truly the better of these two teams, this will be a heck of a fight between two teams that are hoping to be in the NFC Championship Game this year.

This is the second straight season that the Houston Texans are going to open up against the Indianapolis Colts. Last year, Houston came away with a relatively easy 34-24 ‘W’ thanks to an absolutely amazing day by RB Arian Foster, who rushed for 231 yards and three TDs. This season, the Colts are in some trouble because there was no significant improvement in terms of personnel, and QB Peyton Manning now knows that he is out for at least the foreseeable future, if not for the entire season (as of Friday morning). Are his best days behind him? The oddsmakers think so, because Houston is a whopping nine point favorite on the Week 1 odds.

The week one schedule will also put the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers against one another. These two teams are almost always postseason clubs, and this year should be no exception. These are two veteran laden teams who hope to get back to AFC Divisional Round of the playoffs; where Pittsburgh ousted Baltimore a season ago. As always, this should be a hard hitting slug fest. Both road teams won in this series last year, with SS Troy Polamalu making the play of the game forcing a fumble on QB Joe Flacco. Think the oddsmakers know that this one will be close? The NFL week one odds have Baltimore favored by 2.5, the value of home field advantage against the Steelers.

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Also in Week 1, we have a total of four nationally televised games instead of the usual two or three. We’ve already talked about New Orleans/Green Bay, but we haven’t spoken of the others yet. The Dallas Cowboys are four point underdogs at the New York Jets in what is slated to be the first regular season game back in the saddle for QB Tony Romo.

Monday Night Football features a pair of games, as the New England Patriots open up as 5.5 point favorites but have since raised to seven over the Miami Dolphins at Sun Life Stadium, and the Denver Broncos are three point choices of the oddsmakers at home against the Oakland Raiders.

There are only two teams that are favored by more than a TD in Week 1. One is Houston over Indianapolis. The San Diego Chargers are nine point favorites against the Minnesota Vikings as they hope to get this year off on the right foot after surprisingly missing out on the postseason last year.

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‘Totals’ are generally a tad lower than usual on the NFL Week 1 betting lines. All but four games are featuring ‘totals’ of 41.5 or lower.

It should come as no surprise that the lowest ‘total’ of the week involves two of the nastiest teams in the league, the Ravens and the Steelers. These two almost always play games in the 20s or 30s, and this should be no exception. The oddsmakers have placed this ‘total’ at just 36, and if Mother Nature doesn’t cooperate, that number could fly down into the low-30s by the time the ball is kicked off.

The clash between the other two AFC North teams, the Cincinnati Bengals and Cleveland Browns is set just a half point lower at 35.5. Though these two have a history of playing some higher scoring affairs, these two teams are just brutally offensively challenged this year. The Bengals really have no clue how to stay out of their own way with QB Andy Dalton and a host of running backs and receivers that truly aren’t all that talented, and Cleveland didn’t go out in the offseason and pick up any real help for QB Colt McCoy.

One of the highest ‘totals’ of all the NFL week one lines was the 46 hung in the Houston/Indianapolis game. And why not? These two teams have played three straight games to at least 47 points, and a number of games in this series have gotten into the 50s and 60s. However, with QB Peyton Manning now in doubt, that ‘total’ has dipped to 43. The highest ‘total’ of the week is the 47 posted in the Green Bay/New Orleans opener.

Latest 2011 NFL Football Week 1 Lines @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 9/6/11):
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NFL Week 1 Odds for Thursday, September 8th
451 New Orleans Saints +4
452 Green Bay Packers -4
Over/Under 47

Week 1 NFL Spreads for Sunday, September 11th (1:00 ET Kickoffs)
453 Pittsburgh Steelers +1
454 Baltimore Ravens -1
Over/Under 36

455 Detroit Lions +1
456 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1
Over/Under 41

457 Atlanta Falcons -2.5
458 Chicago Bears +2.5
Over/Under 40.5

459 Buffalo Bills +6.5
460 Kansas City Chiefs -6.5
Over/Under 40

461 Indianapolis Colts +9
462 Houston Texans -9
Over/Under 43

463 Philadelphia Eagles -4
464 St. Louis Rams +4
Over/Under 44

465 Cincinnati Bengals +6.5
466 Cleveland Browns -6.5
Over/Under 35

467 Tennessee Titans +1.5
468 Jacksonville Jaguars -1.5
Over/Under 37

NFL Week 1 Betting Lines for Sunday, September 11th (4:00 ET Kickoffs)
469 New York Giants -2.5
470 Washington Redskins +2.5
Over/Under 37.5

471 Carolina Panthers +7.5
472 Arizona Cardinals -7.5
Over/Under 37

473 Seattle Seahawks +5
474 San Francisco 49ers -5
Over/Under 37.5

475 Minnesota Vikings +9
476 San Diego Chargers -9
Over/Under 41.5

Sunday Night Football Week 1 Gsme Line Sunday, September 11th
477 Dallas Cowboys +5.5
478 New York Jets -5.5
Over/Under 40.5

Week 1 Monday Night Football Lines for Monday, September 12th
479 New England Patriots -7
480 Miami Dolphins +7
Over/Under 45.5

481 Oakland Raiders +3
482 Denver Broncos -3
Over/Under 40

The Current NFL Week One NFL Odds @ BoDog Sportsbook
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2011 Wonderful Pistachios 400 Odds, Preview, Analysis, & Free Picks

September 7th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in Nascar / Auto Racing   Comments Off on 2011 Wonderful Pistachios 400 Odds, Preview, Analysis, & Free Picks

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NASCAR betting fans: We’re back with another fantastic race this weekend at Richmond International Speedway, as 43 of the best drivers in the world look to make for great Wonderful Pistachios 400 picks!

2011 Wonderful Pistachios 400 Odds, Picks & Info
2011 Wonderful Pistachios 400 Date: Saturday, September 10th, 2011
2011 Wonderful Pistachios 400 Green Flag Time: 7:43 ET
2011 Wonderful Pistachios 400 Location: Richmond International Speedway, Richmond, VA
2011 Wonderful Pistachios 400 Favorite: Kyle Busch (+370)
Defending Wonderful Pistachios 400 Champion: Denny Hamlin
2011 Wonderful Pistachios 400 TV Coverage – Network: ABC

There are still a slew of drivers that are trying to get in the NASCAR playoffs, and several know that they need to win this race to get into the Chase. Paul Menard, Marcos Ambrose, and David Ragan all know that a win at Richmond puts them in the playoffs, and AJ Allmendinger likely knows the same thing. However, we have to think that the drivers at the top are going to be the drivers that come to the top this week as well. Case in point, Jimmie Johnson (Odds to Win the Wonderful Pistachios 400: 9 to 1 at 5Dimes Sportsbook). The No. 48 was considered to be down and out over the course of the last few months, but he has stormed back in July and August and is now atop the points standings and in prime position to capture yet another Sprint Cup title. He has two wins here at this track in the past four years, and he really could be the man to get the job done on Saturday.

However, the man to win the last two races here at Richmond is Denny Hamlin (Current Wonderful Pistachios 400 Odds: 4.50 to 1 at 5Dimes Sportsbook), and he is clearly the bubble boy right now for the Sprint Cup playoffs. Hamlin knows that he is safe as long as none of the names listed below wins this race, but now that he knows he can’t get into the Top 10, he has to lock down this race to get the job done. Coming in second won’t necessarily cut it. Only a win will absolutely guarantee that Hamlin is good for the Chase for the Sprint Cup.

List Of Past Wonderful Pistachios 400 Champions (Since 2000)
2010 Wonderful Pistachios 400 Winner: Denny Hamlin
2009 Wonderful Pistachios 400 Winner: Denny Hamlin
2008 Wonderful Pistachios 400 Winner: Jimmie Johnson
2007 Wonderful Pistachios 400 Winner: Jimmie Johnson
2006 Wonderful Pistachios 400 Winner: Kevin Harvick
2005 Wonderful Pistachios 400 Winner: Kurt Busch
2004 Wonderful Pistachios 400 Winner: Jeremy Mayfield
2003 Wonderful Pistachios 400 Winner: Ryan Newman
2002 Wonderful Pistachios 400 Winner: Matt Kenseth
2001 Wonderful Pistachios 400 Winner: Ricky Rudd
2000 Wonderful Pistachios 400 Winner: Jeff Gordon

The favorite to win this short track race on Saturday though, is the man who has the most wins this year, Kyle Busch (Wonderful Pistachios 400 Lines: 3.70 to 1 at 5Dimes Sportsbook). Busch did fall out of the points lead thanks to a 23rd place finish last week at the AdvoCare 500. However, we know that he is as dangerous as could be with an average finish of 11.3 in his last 20 races. Busch already has eight wins on short tracks in his career in 40 tries, and this could very well be victory No. 9.

Wonderful Pistachios 400 Odds @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 9/7/11):
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Kyle Busch 3.70 to 1
Denny Hamlin 4.50 to 1
Jeff Gordon 9 to 1
Jimmie Johnson 9 to 1
Carl Edwards 12 to 1
Tony Stewart 12 to 1
Brad Keselowski 15 to 1
Kevin Harvick 16 to 1
Kurt Busch 19 to 1
Matt Kenseth 22 to 1
Clint Bowyer 22 to 1
Kasey Kahne 22 to 1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 32 to 1
Ryan Newman 32 to 1
Greg Biffle 32 to 1
Joey Logano 42 to 1
Martin Truex Jr. 42 to 1
Mark Martin 42 to 1
Jeff Burton 42 to 1
AJ Allmendinger 42 to 1
Paul Menard 52 to 1
Juan Pablo Montoya 52 to 1

Wonderful Pistachios 400 Odds @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 9/7/11):
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Kyle Busch 3.50 to 1
Denny Hamlin 4 to 1
Jeff Gordon 8 to 1
Jimmie Johnson 8 to 1
Carl Edwards 11 to 1
Tony Stewart 11 to 1
Brad Keselowski 15 to 1
Kevin Harvick 15 to 1
Kurt Busch 18 to 1
Matt Kenseth 20 to 1
Clint Bowyer 20 to 1
Kasey Kahne 20 to 1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 30 to 1
Ryan Newman 30 to 1
Greg Biffle 30 to 1
Joey Logano 40 to 1
Martin Truex Jr. 40 to 1
Mark Martin 40 to 1
Jeff Burton 40 to 1
AJ Allmendinger 40 to 1
Paul Menard 50 to 1
Juan Pablo Montoya 50 to 1
Field 18 to 1

NFL Picks: New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers Prop Picks

September 7th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Picks: New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers Prop Picks
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The first day of the football betting action is here! But before you get started with the NFL odds, be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the first day of the season!

Will Mark Ingram Or Pierre Thomas Score a TD?
It’s going to be difficult for Ingram and Thomas in this one, but the truth of the matter is that there aren’t any other players that are going to be stealing these rushing touchdowns like last year. Then you have the ultimate question: Will the Saints have a rushing touchdown in this game? In all likelihood, this has to be at least a 50/50 prop. We can’t imagine that this team isn’t going to have at least one rushing TD in just seven games this season. Ingram Or Thomas To Score a TD (+125 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Robert Meachem Over/Under 32.5 Receiving Yards
Meachem is the deep threat for QB Drew Brees, and that makes him a great candidate to have at least 33 yards on just one catch. In fact, he had six receptions of at least 35 yards last season, all of which came in different games. The Packers might have some secondary issues this year, and we know that Brees isn’t going to end up falling apart under the pressure of the Green Bay linebackers and defensive line. The former Tennessee Volunteer had eight games with at least 32.5 yards through the air last season, and we tend to believe that he will get there again in this one. Meachem Over 32.5 Rushing Yards (-130 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Jermichael Finley Over/Under 55.5 Receiving Yards
This could be a mighty interesting situation here for the former Oklahoma Sooner. He had 301 yards and 21 catches in his first four games last season before getting injured. Now, Finley might have a field day against a Green Bay defense that, for all of its major pros, had a major flaw taking care of tight ends. Finley could be in for a big, big day. Finley Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at BoDog Sportsbook)