2011 AAA 400 Odds, Preview, Analysis, & Free Picks

September 30th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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NASCAR betting fans: We’re back with another fantastic race this weekend at Dover International Speedway, as 43 of the best drivers in the world look to make for great AAA 400 picks and the Chase for the Sprint Cup continues!

2011 AAA 400 Odds, Picks & Info
2011 AAA 400 Date: Sunday, September 25th, 2011
2011 AAA 400 Green Flag Time: 2:14 ET
2011 AAA 400 Location: Dover International Speedway, Dover, DE
2011 AAA 400 Favorite: Jimmie Johnson (+600)
Defending AAA 400 Champion: Jimmie Johnson
2011 AAA 400 TV Coverage – Network: ESPN

After taking down the first two races in the Chase for the Championship, there is just no way that we can ignore just how good Tony Stewart (Odds to Win the AAA 400: 8 to 1 at 5Dimes Sportsbook) has truly been. “Smoke” still probably doesn’t believe that he is the driver to beat in the Chase for the Sprint Cup, but he definitely has done well enough in these first two races to be considered a legitimate threat when push comes to shove. The problem for Stewart? He has only averaged finishing at 12.5 at this track in his career, and though he has a pair of wins at Dover, that isn’t nearly as good as some of the other contenders around him.

For example, there’s a reason why Jimmie Johnson (Current AAA 400 Odds: 6 to 1 at 5Dimes Sportsbook) is the man that is favored to win this race. He was not just the winner of the AAA 400 last year, but he is the two time defending champion. In total, Johnson has won six races at Dover dating back to 2002, four of which have come in the race late in the season. We keep waiting for the No. 48 to wake up and take his place near the top of the Sprint Cup standings, and it has yet to happen. Though the No. 48 won’t be on top when this weekend is all said and done with, he can really put the threat into the rest of the drivers in the field by taking the checkered flag at a racetrack he has dominated over the years.

List Of Past AAA 400 Champions (Since 2000)
2010 AAA 400 Winner: Jimmie Johnson
2009 AAA 400 Winner: Jimmie Johnson
2008 AAA 400 Winner: Greg Biffle
2007 AAA 400 Winner: Carl Edwards
2006 AAA 400 Winner: Jeff Burton
2005 AAA 400 Winner: Jimmie Johnson
2004 AAA 400 Winner: Ryan Newman
2003 AAA 400 Winner: Ryan Newman
2002 AAA 400 Winner: Jimmie Johnson
2001 AAA 400 Winner: Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
2000 AAA 400 Winner: Tony Stewart

And then there’s Brad Keselowski (AAA 400 Lines: 15 to 1 at 5Dimes Sportsbook)… We still think that the Jet Ski has a legitimate chance of winning the Sprint Cup this season, and we know that he has some real potential at this track. Sure, he only has an average finishing position of 17.7 in his races here, and he did only finish 13th in the May race here, but we just can’t ignore this man’s form right now. Keselowski has had nine straight finishes in the Top 12, and he darn near won again last week at the Sylvania 300. Don’t be surprised if the shocker heads to Victory Lane again this week.

AAA 400 Odds @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 9/30/11):
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Jimmie Johnson 6 to 1
Kyle Busch 6 to 1
Carl Edwards 7 to 1
Tony Stewart 8 to 1
Matt Kenseth 10 to 1
Kurt Busch 12 to 1
Kevin Harvick 15 to 1
Brad Keselowski 15 to 1
Greg Biffle 15 to 1
Denny Hamlin 20 to 1
Kasey Kahne 30 to 1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 30 to 1
AJ Allmendinger 30 to 1
Jeff Burton 30 to 1
Mark Martin 30 to 1
Martin Truex Jr. 30 to 1
Ryan Newman 30 to 1
Clint Bowyer 30 to 1
Joey Logano 40 to 1
Brian Vickers 50 to 1
Jamie McMurray 50 to 1
Juan Pablo Montoya 50 to 1
David Ragan 50 to 1
Paul Menard 60 to 1
David Reutimann 60 to 1
Marcos Ambrose 100 to 1
Regan Smith 200 to 1

AAA 400 Odds @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 9/30/11):
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Posted in Nascar / Auto Racing on Friday, September 30th, 2011 at 11:27 am (EST)
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