Posts Tagged ‘free NFL playoff picks’

Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Redskins NFL Playoff Prediction 1/6

January 6th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Redskins NFL Playoff Prediction 1/6
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Washington RedskinsThe 2013 NFL playoff picks are going to be difficult to make, and in this one, the Seattle Seahawks and the Washington Redskins are set to do battle with one another. Check out our Seahawks vs. Redskins predictions and the keys to the game for Seattle vs. Washington.

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#6 Seattle Seahawks @ #3 Washington Redskins
Seahawks vs. Redskins Location: FedEx Field, Landover, MD
Seahawks vs. Redskins Date/Time: Sunday, January 6th, 4:30 p.m. (ET)
Seahawks vs. Redskins On TV: FOX

Key #1: Home has to be where the heart is for the Redskins
You have to go back to 1999 to find the last time that the Redskins even played a playoff game here in DC. Interestingly enough, it has been almost three decades since Washington has lost a postseason tussle at home, and that’s a stat that is definitely worth noting in this one. To find the last Seattle win in the postseason on the road, you have to go all the way back to 1983 against the Miami Dolphins, and that was when the Seahawks were in the AFC. History isn’t on the side of either of these teams though, and that has to change for the winner. Seattle is a team that historically doesn’t play all that well away from home, especially all the way out on the East Coast, several thousands of miles away from home. Washington went over 400 days without a home victory, a streak that only ended this year the middle of October. There aren’t many better fan bases than the one in Washington though, and the Redskins know that they are going to need to put together a heck of an effort in front of their hometown crowd if they are going to take down the Seahawks.

Seahawks @ Redskins Odds at Diamond Sportsbook
Seattle Seahawks -2.5
Washington Redskins +2.5
Over/Under 46
Click Here to Bet Your Seahawks vs. Redskins Picks!

Key #2: Youth has to be served
There isn’t a game here in the playoffs with more riding on the backs of the rookies than this one. QB Russell Wilson and QB Robert Griffin III are obviously both rookies that are playing well beyond their years, but these aren’t the only rookies that are worth watching in this game by any stretch of the imagination. One of Seattle’s best defensive players is LB Bruce Irvin, who is often the key to a fantastic pass rush that helped the team become the No. 1 scoring defense in America. Washington’s leading rusher is the unheralded RB Alfred Morris, who came out of literally nowhere to rush for 1,610 yards and 13 TDs on the campaign. Morris isn’t the flashiest runner in the world, and he has never played in a game on this magnitude in his career. Still, the Florida Atlantic back was really the main reason, not RG3, that this team ranked No. 1 in the game in rushing at 169.1 yards per game, as he contributed more to the ground game by himself than a lot of teams came up with in the 2012 season. Still, it’s never easy for rookies to step right into their first playoff game and perform, and whichever set of rookies can do that job better will be the ones that lead their team to victory on Sunday afternoon.

Key #3: The Washington defense needs some stars to rise up on defense
This magical run for the Redskins this year has truly been remarkable, if for nothing else, LB Brian Orakpo and DE Adam Carriker have been out for basically the whole season. That’s a solid portion of the defense for sure, and others have had to step up in their places. LB London Fletcher had one of the best years of his entire career, picking up five picks and three sacks, while LB Perry Riley was the second leading tackler on the team and had 3.5 sacks. The question is in the secondary, where DB DeAngelo Hall and S Madieu Williams have had some major problems this year. This unit ranks 30th in the game, allowing 281.9 passing yards per game. If the Redskins don’t ultimately figure out how to stop the passing game, QB Russell Wilson can take real advantage of this unit. It’s really tough to win games in the playoffs, because that’s when your best players are supposed to make their biggest plays. With Orakpo and others out of the fold, someone is going to have to step it up for the hosts to survive.

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NFL Prop Picks: Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens Tips 1/6/13

January 6th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens Tips 1/6/13
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Full Colts @ Ravens NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Joe FlaccoThe Baltimore Ravens and Indianapolis Colts are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the Wild Card betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over/Under 44.5 Yards: Six of Indy’s last seven games have featured at least one touchdown of at least 45 yards, and it’s tough to think that there won’t be at least one really long score in this one. Of course, it’s tough to get these big ones in Ravens’ games. There has only been one TD of at least 45 yards in their games since November 18th against the Pittsburgh Steelers. QB Andrew Luck takes shot after shot down the field though, and he is inevitably going to connect with one of his big men, whether it be WR Reggie Wayne, WR TY Hilton, or WR Donnie Avery for the big play that results in six points more often than not. Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 44.5 Yards (-115)

Andrew Luck Longest Completion Over/Under 37.5 Yards: Wouldn’t it be nice if we could just get Luck’s longest completion out of the way with the longest touchdown of the game right away in this one? Luck has hit at least one 60+ yard pass in three of his last five games, and he had eight games this year where he completed a pass for at least 40 yards. Six of those came since Week 9 against the Miami Dolphins though, and it is clear that he is going to be taking his shots. Luck doesn’t complete a slew of passes, but he does go after a lot of receivers, especially right down the middle of the field, and he often averages over 12 yards per pass that he completes in games. The Baltimore defense will be hard-pressed to keep Luck from completing any pass for more than 37 yards. Andrew Luck Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards (-115)

Joe Flacco Over/Under 255.5 Passing Yards: This is a whole bunch of passing yards to ask for a quarterback to get in a game like this one. The Indy secondary clearly isn’t all that bad, and ever since Jim Caldwell has taken over as the team’s offensive coordinator, Flacco has been asked to do less and less. He has seven games since Week 5 (Week 17 not counting in there) in which he has thrown for fewer than 255 yards, and we’re really not all that sure where the oddsmakers are getting this one from. Flacco only averaged 252.2 yards per game this year (again, not counting Week 17), and he had a lot more games this year with way over 255 yards (382 vs. New England, 356 vs. Cleveland, 341 vs. Oakland) than he did falling way under 255 (147 against Houston, 153 against Cleveland). This is a line that just doesn’t make any sense to us. Joe Flacco Under 255.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Ray Rice Over/Under 97.5 Rushing Yards: Rice really didn’t have a great year, but he did run for at least 100 yards in two of his final three legitimate starts this year. Caldwell has been calling upon his rushing game more with both Rice and RB Bernard Pierce, both of which could be in for great games against an Indy defense that has historically been very weak up front against the run. We really don’t see any reason why the Ravens won’t rush for at least 150 yards in this game, and if they do that, Rice should get at least 100, if not more of them when push comes to shove. Bank on the little big man to come up in a big time way for the Ravens on Sunday. Ray Rice Over 97.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 1/6/13):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -140
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game +110

Colts Score First +130
Ravens Score First -160

First Score a Touchdown -170
First Score Not a Touchdown +140

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -110
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -120

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards +100

Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Over 3.5 +110
Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Under 3.5 -140

Total Punts by Both Teams Over 9.5 -115
Total Punts by Both Teams Under 9.5 -115

Total Sacks by Both Teams Over 4.5 +100
Total Sacks by Both Teams Under 4.5 -130

Game Will Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points +400
Game Will Not Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points -600

Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored +135
No Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored -165

Largest Lead of the Game Over 16.5 +100
Largest Lead of the Game Under 16.5 -130

Andrew Luck Throws a Touchdown First -145
Andrew Luck Throws an Interception First +115

Andrew Luck Completions Over 20.5 -115
Andrew Luck Completions Under 20.5 -115

Andrew Luck Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards -115
Andrew Luck Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards -115

Andrew Luck Passing Yards Over 262.5 -115
Andrew Luck Passing Yards Under 262.5 -115

Andrew Luck Rushing Yards Over 15
Andrew Luck Rushing Yards Under 15

Andrew Luck Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +110
Andrew Luck Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -140

Andrew Luck Throws an Interception -260
Andrew Luck Doesn’t Throw an Interception +200

Vick Ballard Rushing Yards Over 63.5 -115
Vick Ballard Rushing Yards Under 63.5 -115

Vick Ballard Scores a Touchdown +220
Vick Ballard Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -300

Reggie Wayne Receptions Over 5.5 -115
Reggie Wayne Receptions Under 5.5 -115

Reggie Wayne Longest Reception Over 22.5 Yards -115
Reggie Wayne Longest Reception Under 22.5 Yards -115

Reggie Wayne Receiving Yards Over 78.5 -115
Reggie Wayne Receiving Yards Under 78.5 -115

Reggie Wayne Scores a Touchdown +170
Reggie Wayne Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -220

TY Hilton Receptions Over 3.5 +100
TY Hilton Receptions Under 3.5 -130

TY Hilton Scores a Touchdown +150
TY Hilton Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Adam Vinatieri Points Over 7.5 -115
Adam Vinatieri Points Under 7.5 -115

Joe Flacco Completions Over 20.5 -115
Joe Flacco Completions Under 20.5 -115

Joe Flacco Longest Completion Over 40.5 Yards -115
Joe Flacco Longest Completion Under 40.5 Yards -115

Joe Flacco Passing Yards Over 255.5 -115
Joe Flacco Passing Yards Under 255.5 -115

Joe Flacco Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -145
Joe Flacco Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +115

Joe Flacco Throws an Interception -200
Joe Flacco Doesn’t Throw an Interception +160

Ray Rice Rushing Yards Over 97.5 -115
Ray Rice Rushing Yards Under 97.5 -115

Ray Rice Yards on First Rushing Attempt Over 3.5 -130
Ray Rice Yards on First Rushing Attempt Under 3.5 +100

Ray Rice Receiving Yards Over 35.5 -115
Ray Rice Receiving Yards Under 35.5 -115

Ray Rice Scores a First Half Touchdown +160
Ray Rice Doesn’t Score a First Half Touchdown -200

Ray Rice Scores a Touchdown -140
Ray Rice Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +110

Anquan Boldin Receptions Over 4.5 +105
Anquan Boldin Receptions Under 4.5 -135

Anquan Boldin Receiving Yards Over 66.5 -115
Anquan Boldin Receiving Yards Under 66.5 -115

Torrey Smith Receptions Over 3.5 -130
Torrey Smith Receptions Under 3.5 +100

Torrey Smith Receiving Yards Over 63.5 -115
Torrey Smith Receiving Yards Under 63.5 -115

Torrey Smith Scores a Touchdown +140
Torrey Smith Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Dennis Pitta Receiving Yards Over 45.5 -115
Dennis Pitta Receiving Yards Under 45.5 -115

Dennis Pitta Scores a Touchdown +135
Dennis Pitta Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -170

Jacoby Jones Receiving Yards Over 22.5 -115
Jacoby Jones Receiving Yards Under 22.5 -115

Ed Reed Intercepts a Pass +260
Ed Reed Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -340

Ray Lewis Tackles Over 8 -115
Ray Lewis Tackles Under 8 -115

Justin Tucker Points Over 7.5 -140
Justin Tucker Points Under 7.5 +110

NFL Prop Picks: Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Redskins Tips 1/6

January 5th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Redskins Tips 1/6
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Full Seahawks vs. Redskins NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Redskins CheerleadersThe Washington Redskins and Seattle Seahawks are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the Wild Card betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Pierre Garcon Over/Under 63.5 Receiving Yards: Garcon has averaged 5.5 receptions for 79.2 yards per game over the course of his last six, and he is back to being the favorite target for QB Robert Griffin III in the passing game when he is needed. We’re a bit wary over the fact that Garcon is going to be up against these great Seattle corners, but considering the fact that he is the leading receiver on this team and only played in 10 games this year, there is a tremendous reason to think that is the passing game is needed, Garcon will be the man that ends up with the football in his hands when push comes to shove. Pierre Garcon Over 63.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Will Robert Griffin III Throw an Interception?: We love the assumption here that RG3 is going to get picked off in this game more often than not even though he was only intercepted five times in 15 games for the whole season. Seattle, yes, was one of the best intercepting teams in the league this year, but this is still about what the former Heisman Trophy winner is going to do, not what the defense around him is going to do. RG3 doesn’t put the ball in the air a ton, and as long as the rushing game continues to get some good work in, there is no reason to think that he’ll throw it more than 25 times against two great Seattle corners. Griffin has just one pick since Week 12 against the Dallas Cowboys, and there is no reason to think that he’ll get into trouble in this game more than half the time either. Robert Griffin III To Not Throw an Interception (+120)

Steven Hauschka Over/Under 7.5 Points: It’s a tough prop to back, knowing that kickers can be wildly inconsistent, but this could be the day for Hauschka to shine. He has booted multiple field goals in three of his last four games, and he has tried at least two field goals in six of his eight road games this year. Just in the last four games, Hauschka has scored eight, six, 14, and 16 points, and he really has become a weapon, missing just three times on the whole year. The veteran knows what he is doing, and he is playing behind an offense that has the mentality that it is okay to kick field goals and leave it up to the defense to do the rest. If that remains the case on Sunday, once there is a bit of resistance for the Seattle offense, expect to see Washington force Head Coach Pete Carroll to trot Hauschka on the field at least three times in this game. Steven Hauschka Over 7.5 Points (-130)

Will Golden Tate Score a Touchdown?: We do have to admit that it has been awhile since Tate has scored a touchdown this year, as you have to go all the way back to Week 13 to find the last time that he scored. Still, there’s some great value here on Tate, who scored five of his seven touchdowns this year against teams that made it to the playoffs. We know that this man has some of the strongest hands in the league, and QB Russell Wilson definitely isn’t afraid to put it up there for him, just as we saw in the Hail Mary that ultimately beat the Green Bay Packers way back in Week 3. With seven TDs in 15 games, we have to think that this is at least a 40% proposition that we are getting a great price on. Golden Tate To Score a Touchdown (+160)

Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Redskins NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 1/6/13):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -140
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game +110

Seahawks Score First -125
Redskins Score First -105

First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -125
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards -105

Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Over 3.5 +130
Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Under 3.5 -160

Total Punts by Both Teams Over 9 -115
Total Punts by Both Teams Under 9 -115

Total Sacks by Both Teams Over 4.5 +105
Total Sacks by Both Teams Under 4.5 -135

Game Will Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points +260
Game Will Not Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points -340

Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored +150
No Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored -180

Largest Lead of the Game Over 13.5 +100
Largest Lead of the Game Under 13.5 -130

Russell Wilson Completions Over 16.5 -115
Russell Wilson Completions Under 16.5 -115

Russell Wilson Passing Yards Over 220.5 -115
Russell Wilson Passing Yards Under 220.5 -115

Russell Wilson Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -140
Russell Wilson Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +110

Russell Wilson Throws an Interception -170
Russell Wilson Doesn’t Throw an Interception +135

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Over 36.5 -115
Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Under 36.5 -115

Marshawn Lynch Rushing Yards Over 101.5 -115
Marshawn Lynch Rushing Yards Under 101.5 -115

Marshawn Lynch Rushing Yards on First Carry Over 3.5 -130
Marshawn Lynch Rushing Yards on First Carry Under 3.5 +100

Marshawn Lynch Rushing Yards on Longest Carry Over 23.5 -115
Marshawn Lynch Rushing Yards on Longest Carry Under 23.5 -115

Marshawn Lynch Scores a Touchdown -240
Marshawn Lynch Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +180

Marshawn Lynch Receiving Yards Over 14.5 -115
Marshawn Lynch Receiving Yards Under 14.5 -115

Sidney Rice Receptions Over 3.5 +100
Sidney Rice Receptions Under 3.5 -130

Sidney Rice To Score a Touchdown +170
Sidney Rice To Not Score a Touchdown -220

Golden Tate Receiving Yards Over 46.5 -115
Golden Tate Receiving Yards Under 46.5 -115

Golden Tate Scores a Touchdown +160
Golden Tate Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -200

Zach Miller Receiving Yards Over 25.5 -115
Zach Miller Receiving Yards Under 25.5 -115

Doug Baldwin Receptions Over 2.5 +120
Doug Baldwin Receptions Under 2.5 -150

Richard Sherman Intercepts a Pass +300
Richard Sherman Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -400

Steven Hauschka Points Over 7.5 -130
Steven Hauschka Points Under 7.5 +100

Robert Griffin III Passing Yards Over 206.5 -115
Robert Griffin III Passing Yards Under 206.5 -115

Robert Griffin III Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +130
Robert Griffin III Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -160

Robert Griffin III Throws an Interception -150
Robert Griffin III Doesn’t Throw an Interception +120

Robert Griffin III Rushing Yards Over 46.5 -115
Robert Griffin III Rushing Yards Under 46.5 -115

Robert Griffin III Scores a Rushing Touchdown +260
Robert Griffin III Doesn’t Score a Rushing Touchdown -340

Alfred Morris Rushing Yards Over 90.5 -115
Alfred Morris Rushing Yards Under 90.5 -115

Alfred Morris Yards on First Rushing Attempt Over 3.5 -115
Alfred Morris Yards on First Rushing Attempt Under 3.5 -115

Alfred Morris Yards on Longest Rush From Scrimmage Over 18.5 -115
Alfred Morris Yards on Longest Rush From Scrimmage Under 18.5 -115

Alfred Morris Scores a Touchdown -200
Alfred Morris Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +160

Pierre Garcon Receptions Over 5.5 -115
Pierre Garcon Receptions Under 5.5 -115

Pierre Garcon Receiving Yards Over 63.5 -115
Pierre Garcon Receiving Yards Under 63.5 -115

Pierre Garcon Scores a Touchdown +160
Pierre Garcon Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -200

Santana Moss Receiving Yards Over 36.5 -115
Santana Moss Receiving Yards Under 36.5 -115

Santana Moss Scores a Touchdown +180
Santana Moss Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -240

London Fletcher Tackles Over 9.5 +100
London Fletcher Tackles Under 9.5 -130

DeAngelo Hall Intercepts a Pass +350
DeAngelo Hall Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -500

Kai Forbath Points Over 8 +105
Kai Forbath Points Under 8 -135

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers NFL Playoff Predictions 1/5

January 5th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers NFL Playoff Predictions 1/5
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Purple JesusOur 2013 NFL playoffs predictions continue on Saturday, January 5th with the Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers. We are set to make our Vikings vs. Packers predictions, tips, and keys to the game for this crucial duel in the first round of the playoffs.

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#6 Minnesota Vikings @ #3 Green Bay Packers
Vikings vs. Packers Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Vikings vs. Packers Date/Time: Saturday, January 5th, 8:00 p.m. (ET)
Vikings vs. Packers On TV: NBC

Key #1: Green Bay has to find a way to slow down All Day
RB Adrian Peterson has ripped apart a number of foes this year, but the way that he has played against the Packers for two games has been just flat out nuts. Purple Jesus has 409 rushing yards in two games versus his divisional rivals, and he had a number of huge runs, including the one that ultimately set up K Blair Walsh for the game winning field goal in Week 17. There is a question as to whether anyone is able to stop Peterson right now, as he has put together 1,598 yards over the course of his last 10 games, and there really hasn’t been a 10-game stretch like this in recent memory. The Packers allowed 118.5 rushing yards per game, but if you take out the two games that Peterson put up, that average came down to 106.2 yards per game, so it isn’t like this is a terrible unit up front. However, Peterson is the best running back in the game, and the argument could be made that he is the MVP of the entire league this year. If he has another huge game, it’ll be tough for the Packers to ultimately triumph.

Vikings @ Packers Odds at WagerWeb Sportsbook
Minnesota Vikings +7.5
Green Bay Packers -7.5
Over/Under 46.5
Click Here to Bet Your Vikings vs. Packers Picks!

Key #2: Aaron Rodgers has to prove that he is the MVP of the league
Minnesota thinks that it has the MVP of the league in Peterson. Green Bay thinks that it has the MVP, too. Granted, we know that Rodgers isn’t going to win the award, but statistically speaking, he is just out of this world. Not only did the former Cal Golden Bear throw for 4,295 yards and 39 TDs, but he also did all of that without a single receiver getting to 1,000 yards. WR James Jones did catch 14 touchdown passes, making him the top scorer amongst receivers this year. The truth of the matter is that it’s all about Rodgers, though. He is the man that is going to make this offense go, and he is going against a pass defense that ranked 24th in the league this year. Rodgers threw for 365 yards and four scores on the road last week, and he had 286 yards at home when these two teams met the first time. If he has another game something in that neck of the woods, the Packers will have a great chance to win. If not, without any semblance of a running game available to him, Rodgers will be in for a long evening.

WagerWeb

Key #3: Kicking it to win it
At this level, all of the little things are the ones that separate teams. Three points could go a long way one way or the other for these two teams, and if that’s what the difference turns out to be, the Packers are in some trouble. The normally reliable K Mason Crosby ended up ranking dead last in the league this year in field goal percentage, making just 63.6 percent of his kicks (21-of-33). Granted, he did miss some long ones that he wouldn’t be expected to make all that often, and he has made four kicks in a row after missing two at Soldier Field against the Chicago Bears in Week 15. However, it is clear that the former Colorado Buffalo is going to be outkicked by K Blair Walsh if push comes to shove. Walsh knocked in all 10 of his kicks from 50+ yards this year, and he has the leg to boot it from 60 if he is needed to do so. The rookie went 35-of-38 this year on three-point attempts, and he is clearly the better of these two kickers. P Chris Kluwe also averaged 45.0 yards per punt this year, a solid 1.5 yards per kick better than Green Bay P Tim Masthay. Special teams could be huge in this one from start to finish.

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NFL Props: Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers Predictions 1/5

January 4th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Props: Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers Predictions 1/5
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Full Vikings vs. Packers NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Green Bay PackersThe Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the Wild Card betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Largest Lead of the Game Over/Under 16.5 Points: Considering the fact that the largest margin of victory in this series this year was just nine points in a game, it’s really tough to see how one of these two sides ends up pulling ahead by three scores at any point in the clash. With the way that RB Adrian Peterson runs the football, and the fact that this is one of those Black and Blue Division games that should be close from the get go, we really don’t see all that much of a way that this game ever gets too far out of hand for either team. Largest Lead of the Game Under 16.5 Points (-130)

Adrian Peterson Over/Under 126.5 Rushing Yards: It’s the squarest prop play on the board, and it’s the play that is going to garner the most attention of all of the props, probably all postseason long until the Super Bowl. Peterson rushed for 199 yards and 211 yards in two games against the Packers this year, so the common thought is that he absolutely has to have at least 127 yards on the ground in this one, right? That’s exactly what the oddsmakers are trying to get you to think. This is the playoffs. This is the second straight week that the Packers have lined up against this monster. They know what it will take to take him down. Sure, Peterson might carry the ball 40 times and get there that way, but in all likelihood, he doesn’t touch it more than 25. Even the great Adrian Peterson didn’t reach 127 rushing yards in nine out of 16 games this year, and odds have it, he isn’t going to get there in this one either. Adrian Peterson Under 126.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Aaron Rodgers Over/Under 292.5 Passing Yards: It’s going to be around 20 degrees at kickoff. It’s cold. It’s really cold. We know that Rodgers is used to playing in this weather, but he isn’t going to get to 300 passing yards more often than not in it. Don’t fall in love with last week’s game where Rodgers threw for 365 yards and four scores. He’s not doing that all that often. In fact, in outdoor games of late, Rodgers has thrown for 342, 291, 173, 286, 219, 218, 186, and 235 yards. Don’t see a lot of 293+ numbers on there, eh? The Vikes don’t have a fantastic secondary, but what they do have is a running game that controls the clock with regularity. If Minnesota does ride the back of Peterson to the tune of 150+ rushing yards for the team on the day and carries the ball 35-40 times as a team, it’s going to be really tough for Rodgers to have the ball for long enough to throw for this many yards. Aaron Rodgers Under 292.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Will Mason Crosby Miss a Field Goal?: Again, it’s cold, and the ball is going to be awfully heavy in this game. Crosby missed 12 times this season, and he missed those kicks in nine total games. There was a stretch of eight straight games between Week 7 and Week 15 where Crosby missed at least once. Granted, he hasn’t missed since that point, and he does historically have a heck of a leg, but in the end, kickers are weird. They get misses in their head and don’t get them out, and that could be what happens (and is happening) to Crosby. There has to be at least a 40% chance that he is going to miss a kick in this game, and we’re going to be right there to cash in on it when he does. Mason Crosby To Miss a Field Goal Attempt (+140)

Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 1/5/13):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -130
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game +100

Vikings Score First +145
Packers Score First -175

First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -110
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -120

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -125
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards -105

Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Over 3.5 +115
Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Under 3.5 -145

Total Punts by Both Teams Over 8.5 -115
Total Punts by Both Teams Under 8.5 -115

Total Sacks by Both Teams Over 5.5 +105
Total Sacks by Both Teams Under 5.5 -135

Game Will Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points +400
Game Will Not Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points -600

Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored +160
No Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored -200

Largest Lead of the Game Over 16.5 +100
Largest Lead of the Game Under 16.5 -130

Christian Ponder Throws Touchdown First -140
Christian Ponder Throws Interception First +110

Christian Ponder Completions Over 17.5 -115
Christian Ponder Completions Under 17.5 -115

Christian Ponder Passing Yards Over 191.5 -115
Christian Ponder Passing Yards Under 191.5 -115

Christian Ponder Throws an Interception -300
Christian Ponder Doesn’t Throw an Interception +220

Christian Ponder Rushing Attempts Over 3.5 -135
Christian Ponder Rushing Attempts Under 3.5 +105

Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards Over 126.5 -115
Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards Under 126.5 -115

Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards on First Carry Over 3.5 -130
Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards on First Carry Under 3.5 +100

Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards on Longest Carry Over 29.5 -115
Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards on Longest Carry Under 29.5 -115

Adrian Peterson Scores a First Half Touchdown +130
Adrian Peterson Doesn’t Score a First Half Touchdown -160

Adrian Peterson Scores a Touchdown -220
Adrian Peterson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +170

Michael Jenkins Receiving Yards Over 36.5 -115
Michael Jenkins Receiving Yards Under 36.5 -115

Kyle Rudolph Receiving Yards Over 37.5 -115
Kyle Rudolph Receiving Yards Under 37.5 -115

Kyle Rudolph Scores a Touchdown +160
Kyle Rudolph Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -200

Chad Greenway Tackles Over 8.5 -115
Chad Greenway Tackles Under 8.5 -115

Jared Allen Sacks Over 1.5 +120
Jared Allen Sacks Under 1.5 -150

Blair Walsh Points Over 8.5 -115
Blair Walsh Points Under 8.5 -115

Aaron Rodgers Completions Over 25.5 -130
Aaron Rodgers Completions Under 25.5 +100

Aaron Rodgers Longest Completion Over 38.5 Yards -115
Aaron Rodgers Longest Completion Under 38.5 Yards -115

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Over 292.5 -115
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Under 292.5 -115

Aaron Rodgers Touchdown Passes Over 2.5 -110
Aaron Rodgers Touchdown Passes Under 2.5 -120

Aaron Rodgers Throws an Interception -130
Aaron Rodgers Doesn’t Throw an Interception +100

Packers Score a Rushing Touchdown -150
Packers Don’t Score a Rushing Touchdown +120

Jordy Nelson Receiving Yards Over 56.5 -115
Jordy Nelson Receiving Yards Under 56.5 -115

Jordy Nelson Scores a Touchdown +140
Jordy Nelson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Greg Jennings Receptions Over 5.5 +105
Greg Jennings Receptions Under 5.5 -135

Greg Jennings Receiving Yards Over 64.5 -115
Greg Jennings Receiving Yards Under 64.5 -115

Greg Jennings Scores a Touchdown +100
Greg Jennings Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -130

Randall Cobb Receptions Over 4.5 -115
Randall Cobb Receptions Under 4.5 -115

Randall Cobb Receiving Yards Over 64.5 -115
Randall Cobb Receiving Yards Under 64.5 -115

Jermichael Finley Receptions Over 4.5 -130
Jermichael Finley Receptions Under 4.5 +100

Jermichael Finley Receiving Yards Over 54.5 -115
Jermichael Finley Receiving Yards Under 54.5 -115

Clay Matthews Records a Sack or Half Sack -240
Clay Matthews Doesn’t Record a Sack or Half Sack +180

Casey Hayward Intercepts a Pass +260
Casey Hayward Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -340

Mason Crosby Points Over 8.5 -115
Mason Crosby Points Under 8.5 -115

Mason Crosby Misses a Field Goal Attempt +140
Mason Crosby Doesn’t Miss a Field Goal Attempt -170

NFL Props: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Houston Texans Predictions 1/5

January 4th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Props: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Houston Texans Predictions 1/5
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Full Bengals @ Texans NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Texans vs. BengalsThe Houston Texans and Cincinnati Bengals are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Wild Card betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Total Sacks Over/Under 5.5: There were six sacks when these two teams played last year in the playoffs, and both teams were expert sack masters this year. The Bengals and Texans combined for 95 sacks this year, which would average out to 5.9 sacks per game. DE JJ Watt by himself could be a monster that comes up with three or four sacks. On top of that, the interior linemen for the Bengals are outstanding, and DT Geno Atkins is one of the more underrated players in all of football. QB Matt Schaub has been sacked 10 times over the course of his last three games, and if the Houston offensive line doesn’t improve, this is going to be a slam dunk of an ‘over’ bet. Over 5.5 Sacks (-120)

Andy Dalton Passing Yards Over/Under 234.5: We continue to reference last year’s playoff game because it is our best point of reference for this one. Dalton, as a rookie, threw for 257 yards in his first ever playoff game, and though he did toss three interceptions, it’s not the picks, but the yards that we’re ultimately worried about. It seems like a bit of a joke to try to bet the ‘over’ in this game, knowing that Dalton only got there once in the last seven games that he played from start to finish (forget about Week 17). Prior to that though, the Bengals’ signal caller threw for at least 235 yards six times in his first eight games. The Texans did rank 16th in the league this year, allowing 225.6 passing yards per game, which seems like it should lead to a lower scoring passing total for Dalton, but this secondary has been downright atrocious over the course of the last several weeks. The truth of the matter is that this might be the best prop play of the bunch. Andy Dalton Over 230.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Arian Foster Over/Under 96.5 Rushing Yards: Foster continues to be the workhorse of the Houston offense this year, and with the way that QB Matt Schaub has played (1 TDs in his L/4 games), there is no reason to think that Foster won’t get force fed the ball the same way that he did last year after Schaub was knocked out of the lineup and replaced with QB Matt Leinart and then QB TJ Yates. Foster is generally an awfully smooth runner, though he averaged just 4.1 yards per carry this year. He logged at least 100 rushing yards seven times this year, and we think that this is No. 8 against a Cincinnati defense that is allowing 107.2 rushing yards per game on average. Arian Foster Over 96.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Kevin Walter Over/Under 2.5 Receptions: We really like what Walter brings to this Houston team, but the truth of the matter is that he has fallen out of favor over the course of the last few weeks. The Eastern Michigan grad has just six total receptions in his last four games, and he has only exceeded 2.5 receptions three times since Week 7. That just doesn’t cut it for us in this one. Schaub does a lot more looking to his tight ends and his H-Back than he does to his second wide receiver, and both WR Lester Jean and WR Keshawn Martin have had bigger roles in the lineup as well over the course of the last several weeks. It just doesn’t seem like Walter is going to get enough looks to get to this reception total. Kevin Walter Under 2.5 Receptions (+100)

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Houston Texans NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 1/5/13):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -110

Bengals Score First +115
Texans Score First -145

First Score a Touchdown -160
First Score Not a Touchdown +130

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 41.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 41.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -115
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards -115

Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Over 3.5 +100
Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Under 3.5 -130

Total Punts by Both Teams Over 9.5 -115
Total Punts by Both Teams Under 9.5 -115

Total Sacks by Both Teams Over 5.5 -120
Total Sacks by Both Teams Under 5.5 -110

Game Will Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points +280
Game Will Not Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points -360

Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored +150
No Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored -180

Largest Lead of the Game Over 13.5 -115
Largest Lead of the Game Under 13.5 -115

Andy Dalton Completions Over 21.5 -115
Andy Dalton Completions Under 21.5 -115

Andy Dalton Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards -115
Andy Dalton Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards -115

Andy Dalton Passing Yards Over 234.5 -115
Andy Dalton Passing Yards Under 234.5 -115

Andy Dalton Throws an Interception -320
Andy Dalton Doesn’t Throw an Interception +240

BenJarvus Green-Ellis Rushing Yards Over 64.5 -115
BenJarvus Green-Ellis Rushing Yards Under 64.5 -115

BenJarvus Green-Ellis Scores a Touchdown +180
BenJarvus Green-Ellis Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -240

AJ Green Receptions Over 6.5 +100
AJ Green Receptions Under 6.5 -130

AJ Green Longest Reception Over 25.5 Yards -130
AJ Green Longest Reception Under 25.5 Yards +100

AJ Green Scores a Touchdown -105
AJ Green Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -125

Jermaine Gresham Receiving Yards Over 42.5 -115
Jermaine Gresham Receiving Yards Under 42.5 -115

Jermaine Gresham Scores a Touchdown +220
Jermaine Gresham Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -300

Andrew Hawkins Receiving Yards Over 40.5 -115
Andrew Hawkins Receiving Yards Under 40.5 -115

Geno Atkins Records a Sack or Half Sack -200
Geno Atkins Doesn’t Record a Sack or Hal Sack +160

Vontaze Burfict Tackles Over 8.5 -115
Vontaze Burfict Tackles Under 8.5 -115

Rey Maualuga Tackles Over 7.5 -115
Rey Maualuga Tackles Under 7.5 -115

Josh Brown Points Over 8.5 -110
Josh Brown Points Under 8.5 -120

Matt Schaub Throws a Touchdown First -260
Matt Schaub Throws an Interception First +200

Matt Schaub Completions Over 21.5 +100
Matt Schaub Completions Under 21.5 -130

Matt Schaub Longest Completion Over 35.5 Yards -115
Matt Schaub Longest Completion Under 35.5 Yards -115

Matt Schaub Passing Yards Over 240.5 -115
Matt Schaub Passing Yards Under 240.5 -115

Matt Schaub Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +130
Matt Schaub Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -160

Arian Foster Rushing Yards Over 96.5 -115
Arian Foster Rushing Yards Under 96.5 -115

Arian Foster Yards on First Rushing Attempt Over 3.5 -115
Arian Foster Yards on First Rushing Attempt Under 3.5 -115

Arian Foster Longest Rush Over 20.5 Yards -115
Arian Foster Longest Rush Under 20.5 Yards -115

Arian Foster Receptions Over 2.5 -120
Arian Foster Receptions Under 2.5 -110

Arian Foster Scores a First Half Touchdown +115
Arian Foster Doesn’t Score a First Half Touchdown -145

Andre Johnson Receptions Over 7.5 +105
Andre Johnson Receptions Under 75 -135

Andre Johnson Receiving Yards Over 90.5 -115
Andre Johnson Receiving Yards Under 90.5 -115

Andre Johnson Scores a Touchdown +180
Andre Johnson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -240

Kevin Walter Receptions Over 2.5 -130
Kevin Walter Receptions Under 2.5 +100

Kevin Walter Receiving Yards Over 33.5 -115
Kevin Walter Receiving Yards Under 33.5 -115

Owen Daniels Receptions Over 3.5 -145
Owen Daniels Receptions Under 3.5 +115

Owen Daniels Receiving Yards Over 42.5 -115
Owen Daniels Receiving Yards Under 42.5 -115

Owen Daniels Scores a Touchdown +170
Owen Daniels Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -220

JJ Watt Tackles Over 4.5 -135
JJ Watt Tackles Under 4.5 +105

JJ Watt Sacks Over 1.5 +130
JJ Watt Sacks Under 1.5 -160

Kareem Jackson Intercepts a Pass +300
Kareem Jackson Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -400

Shayne Graham Points Over 8.5 -115
Shayne Graham Points Under 8.5 -115

Cincinnati Bengals @ Houston Texans NFL Playoff Predictions 1/5/13

January 4th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Cincinnati Bengals @ Houston Texans NFL Playoff Predictions 1/5/13
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Cincinnati vs. HoustonThe 2013 NFL playoff picks are going to be difficult to make, and in this one, the Cincinnati Bengals and the Houston Texans are set to do battle with one another. Check out our Bengals vs. Texans predictions and the keys to the game for Cincinnati vs. Houston.

Click Here For The 2013 NFL Playoff Bracket, the 2013 NFL Playoffs Schedule, and all of our NFL Playoff Game Previews

#6 Cincinnati Bengals @ #3 Houston Texans
Bengals vs. Texans Location: Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX
Bengals vs. Texans Date/Time: Saturday, January 5th, 4:30 p.m. (ET)
Bengals vs. Texans On TV: NBC

Key #1: The Texans have to figure out how to get up off of the mat
When you’re a good team, you’ve got the bulls-eye around you, and the Texans have definitely been getting the best shot from a number of good teams down the stretch. They were beaten in three of their final four games of the year, and they are clearly limping into the second season. The squad has scored just one touchdown in its last 10 quarters, and QB Matt Schaub, preparing for his first playoff game, has only one touchdown pass in his last four games. RB Arian Foster has just one 100+ yard rushing game in his last five games, and the only one of those that was comfortably won was the win over the Indianapolis Colts in which he rumbled for 165 yards. This is the first time that the team has really faced some major adversity as a contender for the Super Bowl, and this is going to be a real test of character for all of these young players that have never really been in this position before. This is where we’ll see whether Houston has the moxie to get through this spot, knowing that it had the No. 1 seed in the AFC in the bag up until the very last week of the year.

Bengals @ Texans Odds at Diamond Sportsbook
Cincinnati Bengals +4.5
Houston Texans -4.5
Over/Under 44.5
Click Here to Bet Your Bengals vs. Texans Picks!

Key #2: The offensive line for the Texans has to handle a great defensive front
With 50 sacks this season, the Bengals truly have put together one of the most aggressive defensive fronts in the league. DT Geno Atkins led the club with 12.5 sacks, while DE Michael Johnson had 11.5 sacks. This is one of the most ferocious tandems in the league, and it might be a unit that is even better than that of DE JJ Watt and DE Antonio Smith on the other side of the field. Houston’s offensive line has been solid for the most part this year, but QB Matt Schaub was sacked four times in the finale against the Indianapolis Colts, and he has now been sacked 11 times in his last three games. As we have seen in the past, Schaub has the potential to put up some huge numbers when he has the time to get the ball out of his hands. When he doesn’t though, he tends to make a lot of mistakes as he did last week when he threw two picks to DB Vontae Davis.

Key #3: It’s all about payback and experience
This is a game that is already being dubbed as “Revenge” and “Vengeance” for the Bengals. They were beaten last year by 21 points here at Reliant Stadium, and they really did look lost for most of the game. QB Andy Dalton threw three picks and was sacked four times on the day, and WR AJ Green really wasn’t anywhere to be found with just 47 yards on five catches. This time around, Cincinnati has a better defensive line, as we discussed before, Dalton has another year under his belt, and Green has emerged as a legitimate Top 5 receiver in the league. On top of that, RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis, assuming that he is healthy and can give it a go with his hamstring injury that he picked up at the end of the season, is a 1,000-yard back that has the ability to bust the game open. The Bengals have to stay focused this entire week and stay prepared with the goal at hand, and the extra experience that the team picked up in the playoffs last year and through this season should carry them in the right direction in Houston.

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