Toledo vs. Air Force Predictions: 2011 Military Bowl 12/28/11
December 24th, 2011 by | Posted in College FootballIf you love running the football and offenses that are a heck of a lot of fun to watch, the 2011 Military Bowl is the game that you should be playing on the 2011 bowl game betting lines. The Air Force Falcons and Toledo Rockets will have at it on December 28th, and here at Bankroll Sports, we’ve got all of the Military Bowl keys to the game covered!
Military Bowl: Toledo Rockets vs. Air Force Falcons
Military Bowl Location: Military Stadium, Shreveport, LA
Military Bowl Date/Time: Wednesday, December 28th, 4:30 p.m. (ET)
Military Bowl Television Coverage: ESPN2, ESPN3.com
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Key #1: Air Force has to find a way to slow down this Toledo assault
To say that the Rockets run and throw the ball all over the place is a tremendous understatement. The team scored at least 54 points four times this year (of course, they lost one of those games and darn near lost another…), and at least 44 in each of their final five games of the campaign. Over 500 yards of offense and over 40 points is nothing new, as those are about Toledo’s average numbers. The Falcons were No. 112 in the nation against the run this year at 227.8 yards per game, and teams were regularly gashing them. Air Force only took on five bowl teams all year long… It allowed 35 to TCU, 59 to Notre Dame, 41 to San Diego State, 37 to Boise State, and 25 to Wyoming… And yes, all five games were lost. If the Rockets get rolling, it is clear that the Falcons aren’t going to be able to fly high enough to get the ‘W’.
Military Bowl Odds at Wager Web Sportsbook
Toledo Rockets -3
Air Force Falcons +3
Over/Under 69.5
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Key #2: Toledo needs to draw up its run defense from the game against Temple
The Rockets didn’t do a heck of a lot of playing well in their secondary this year, allowing 277.9 passing yards per game. However, they did prove to be reasonable on the ground, allowing just 123.2 yards per game. This is the second time this year in which they are playing against a team that is almost exclusively a running club. In the first game, Temple only mustered 13 points and only had 145 yards on 46 carries. Toledo jumped up early in that game and never looked back, and if it can do that again versus Air Force, the Military Bowl odds are definitely going to be in favor of the representatives from the MAC.
Key #3: Tim Jefferson, Jr. has to control this offense
If it feels to you as though Jefferson has been playing in bowl games forever, you’re not dreaming. He has been the four year leader of this triple option assault, and the truth of the matter is that he probably took a step backwards this year even though he had a tremendously veteran squad. In last year’s bowl game against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, the Falcons had a terrible time trying to move the football, and the only reason why that game was won was because Georgia Tech literally seemed to have zero interest in playing in the Independence Bowl. Though Jefferson does call his own number quite a bit on the run, and he does have a slew of backs that can run the ball, he is given the liberty to throw. He completed 61 percent of his passes and ended the year with 1,478 yards and 12 TDs to show for his work. Whether it is via the run or the pass, Jefferson has to be the pivot for this offense, and if he starts making mistakes, it could become an ugly, ugly game.
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