Archive for December 12th, 2012

Thursday Night NFL Picks: Bengals vs. Eagles Props & Predictions 12/13

December 12th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Bengals vs. Eagles Props & Predictions 12/13
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Full Bengals vs. Eagles NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

AJ Green BengalsThe Philadelphia Eagles and Cincinnati Bengals are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 15 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Jeremy Maclin Over/Under 63.5 Receiving Yards: The oddsmakers made far too much of an adjustment in this one. Maclin had a great game against a bad secondary last week. He lit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers up for 104 yards, but that was his first 100+ yard showing since Week 6 against the Detroit Lions, another team with a terrible secondary. Cincinnati’s secondary is anything but terrible, and Maclin is going to be in some trouble because of it. Remember that he had just eight total catches over the course of the previous three games, and without QB Michael Vick in the fold, he just hasn’t really built up a good rapport with QB Nick Foles as of yet. Could that change over the course of this week? Surely it could. However, we think that the percentages definitely state that Maclin isn’t going to be getting to 50 yards, let alone 64 this time around versus the Bengals. Jeremy Maclin Receiving Yards Under 63.5 (-115)

Nick Foles Total Touchdown Passes Over/Under 1.5: Foles had a great game last week, throwing for 382 yards and two TDs. However, in the four games that he played before that, he only had a total of two TD passes. It’s not like the team didn’t do some scoring in those games either, as the Eagles put up 33 against the Dallas Cowboys and 22 against the Carolina Panthers. However, in order to get two passing touchdowns, you’ve got to score two touchdowns, and that just doesn’t seem conducive against a defense that has conceded just a total of two passing touchdowns over the course of the last five games. Nick Foles Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 (-155)

Andrew Hawkins Over/Under 3.5 Receptions: At the outset of the year, Hawkins was the man that was the second favorite receiver for QB Andy Dalton. He caught eight passes in Week 1, and had two other games with at least five receptions. For the next few weeks though, he tailed off with the emergence of WR Mohamed Sanu, and then he missed two games with a knee injury. Hawkins is back now though, and he has 11 catches for 91 yards over the course of the last two games. He had eight targets last week, and he is getting more and more looks thanks to the fact that defenses are rolling more towards WR AJ Green’s side as the season wears on. The end result in this one is going to be that Dalton will have to look elsewhere. We like the idea of TE Jermaine Gresham going ‘over’ four receptions as well, but Hawkins’ ‘over’ is far more appealing. Andrew Hawkins Over 3.5 Receptions (-105)

Will Andy Dalton Throw An Interception?: Dalton has tossed 14 picks this year, and he has only had three games all year long in which he hasn’t been picked off. This time around though, we think that he is going to have a decent chance of getting away without an INT. The Eagles haven’t forced a turnover in five straight games, and they haven’t picked off a pass since Week 6. That’s just a horrid stat to start with, and we think that it is darn near impossible for that to truly be the case. You’d figure on accident that you’d recover a fumble or something of the sorts… But alas, that isn’t the case. The moral of the story though, is that the Eagles stink at forcing turnovers defensively, and there should be at least a . That’s just a horrid stat to start with, and we think that it is darn near impossible for that to truly be the case. You’d figure on accident that you’d recover a fumble or something of the sorts… But alas, that isn’t the case. The moral of the story though, is that the Eagles stink at forcing turnovers defensively, and there should be at least a 40/60 chance that Dalton goes the whole game without a pick. Andy Dalton To Not Throw an Interception (+160)

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 12/13/12):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -140
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game +110

Bengals Score First -140
Eagles Score First +110

First Score a Touchdown -160
First Score Not a Touchdown +130

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 43.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 43.5 Yards -115

Andy Dalton Passing Yards Over 232.5 -115
Andy Dalton Passing Yards Under 232.5 -115

Andy Dalton TD Passes Over 1.5 -160
Andy Dalton TD Passes Under 1.5 +130

Andy Dalton Throws an Interception -200
Andy Dalton Doesn’t Throw an Interception +160

BenJarvus Green-Ellis Rushing Yards Over 82.5 -115
BenJarvus Green-Ellis Rushing Yards Under 82.5 -115

BenJarvus Green-Ellis To Score a Touchdown -105
BenJarvus Green-Ellis To Not Score a Touchdown -125

AJ Green Receptions Over 5.5 -150
AJ Green Receptions Under 5.5 +120

AJ Green Receiving Yards Over 87.5 -115
AJ Green Receiving Yards Under 87.5 -115

AJ Green Scores a Touchdown -115
AJ Green Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Andrew Hawkins Receptions Over 3.5 -105
Andrew Hawkins Receptions Under 3.5 -125

Andrew Hawkins Receiving Yards Over 40.5 -115
Andrew Hawkins Receiving Yards Under 40.5 -115

Jermaine Gresham Receptions Over 4 -120
Jermaine Gresham Receptions Under 4 -110

Jermaine Gresham To Score a Touchdown +115
Jermaine Gresham To Not Score a Touchdowns -145

Nick Foles Completions Over 22 -115
Nick Foles Completions Under 22 -115

Nick Foles Passing Yards Over 240.5 -130
Nick Foles Passing Yards Under 240.5 +100

Nick Foles Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +125
Nick Foles Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -155

Nick Foles To Throw an Interception -180
Nick Foles To Not Throw an Interception +140

Bryce Brown Scores a Touchdown -115
Bryce Brown Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Jeremy Maclin Receptions Over 5 -130
Jeremy Maclin Receptions Under 5 +100

Jeremy Maclin Receiving Yards Over 63.5 -115
Jeremy Maclin Receiving Yards Under 63.5 -115

Jeremy Maclin To Score a Touchdown +130
Jeremy Maclin To Not Score a Touchdown -160

Jason Avant Receptions Over 3.5 -140
Jason Avant Receptions Under 3.5 +110

New Mexico Bowl Odds & Predictions – Nevada vs. Arizona 12/15/12

December 12th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on New Mexico Bowl Odds & Predictions – Nevada vs. Arizona 12/15/12
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New Mexico BowlOur 2012 bowl predictions kick off on Saturday, December 15th with the New Mexico Bowl, and we are set to make our New Mexico Bowl predictions, tips, and keys to the game for the duel between the Nevada Wolf Pack and the Arizona Wildcats.

2012 New Mexico Bowl: Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Arizona Wildcats
2012 New Mexico Bowl Location: University Stadium, Albuquerque, NM
2012 New Mexico Bowl Date/Time: Saturday, December 15th, 1:00 p.m. (ET)
2012 New Mexico Bowl On TV: ESPN, Watch ESPN

Click Here For The Rest Of The 2012-13 Bowl Game Schedule And Other Bowl Game Previews

Key #1: Stefphon Jefferson cannot wear down
It’s really tough to imagine just how many times Jefferson has carried the ball this year for the Wolf Pack. He is averaging touching the rock over 30 times per game in the Pistol offense, and he is going to have be going full bore against this Arizona defense from start to finish. The Wildcats allowed 189.8 yards per game this year on the ground to opponents, and the only comparable teams to this Nevada club that they played were the Oregon Ducks (228 rushing yards allowed), Oklahoma State Cowboys (200 rushing yards allowed), and UCLA Bruins (308 rushing yards allowed). We know that it isn’t just Jefferson that is going to be carrying the ball on Saturday, as QB Cody Fajardo is going to be doing so as well, but it is Jefferson that has to keep those chains moving on a regular basis, and he is also going to be tabbed with making sure that the Wolf Pack stay on schedule with down and distance. They’ll make their big plays, and Jefferson will be part of that, but Jefferson has to keep running the ball and running it hard for the full 60 minutes.

New Mexico Bowl Odds at WagerWeb Sportsbook
Nevada Wolf Pack +9
Arizona Wildcats -9
Over/Under 77
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Key #2: Austin Hill must stretch the field
The Wildcats are a team that can run the football and run the heck out of it, too. We already know that RB Ka’Deem Carey will get his yards and his touchdowns from in close, but to move the pigskin in chunks, it’s going to require a solid effort from WR Austin Hill. QB Matt Scott averaged 7.2 yards per pass attempt this year, including 24 touchdowns. Hill was not just the leading receiver for the team with 73 catches, 1,189 yards, and nine scores, but he also led the team in yards per catch with 16.3. Hill had a few absolutely massive games this year, including 139 yards against Toledo, 125 yards against Okie State, 165 yards against Stanford, and 259 yards against USC. He hasn’t had a 100+ yard game since the end of October, but this could be the secondary that he could torch. The Wolf Pack did only allow 218.3 passing yards per game this year, but there were a lot of games that were played against teams that run it more than they throw it. The last truly excellent quarterback/receiver tandem that Nevada saw this year was against the Fresno State Bulldogs when QB Derek Carr threw for 220 yards and two TDs and WR Davante Adams had nine catches, 120 yards, and trip to the end zone.

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Key #3: The Wolf Pack have to be a bit unpredictable
Predictability has been a major problem for Nevada over the course of the last several bowl games. The team has only won one bowl game since the 2005 Hawaii Bowl, and a lot of these games have featured terrible offensive showings. For example, Nevada has averaged just 17.0 points per game in its last six bowl games this year. The problem the Wolf Pack have is that they run a unique offense that is just too darn simple. It doesn’t take all that long to figure out this offense if you study enough game tape, and though there isn’t always enough time to figure out in preparation for this offense in just one week’s time, getting ready for a bowl game with 16 extra practices is a totally different story. The Pack have to be thrilled that they are playing one of the first bowl games of the year this year though, as it only gives Head Coach Rich Rodriguez two weeks to figure out how to counter this fantastic offense. Still, Fajardo and the gang are going to have to show some more creativity in this one, or once the Arizona defense gets settled, it could really figure out how to wreck havoc on this Pistol attack.

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Utah State vs. Toledo Predictions & Analysis: 2012 Idaho Potato Bowl

December 12th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on Utah State vs. Toledo Predictions & Analysis: 2012 Idaho Potato Bowl
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The 2012 Idaho Potato Bowl picks are going to be difficult to make, as the Utah State Aggies and Toledo Rockets are set to do battle with one another on the Smurf Turf. Check out our Idaho Potato Bowl predictions and the keys to the game for Utah State vs. Toledo.

Click Here For The Rest Of The 2012-13 Bowl Game Schedule And Other Bowl Game Previews

2012 Idaho Potato Bowl: Utah State Aggies vs. Toledo Rockets
2012 Idaho Potato Bowl Location: Bronco Stadium, Boise, ID
2012 Idaho Potato Bowl Date/Time: Saturday, December 15th, 4:30 p.m. (ET)
2012 Idaho Potato Bowl Television Coverage: ESPN, Watch ESPN

Key #1: Kerwynn Williams has to continue to be a star in every facet of the game
You’re not going to find a man who can do more for his team than what Williams can and will do for the Aggies. This is a man that will run the ball 15-20 times and catch at least five or six passes as well, and we wouldn’t bet against him scoring multiple touchdowns to boot. With a total of 200 carries and 43 receptions this year, Williams leads the team in both categories, and he was also the leading receiver in terms of yardage (663 yards) as well. Obviously, the main threat for Williams is his running ability, and he has rumbled for 1,277 yards and 12 TDs. Last year, in spite of the fact that he was splitting the backfield with two other backs, including RB Robert Turbin, who is now in the NFL, Williams had 62 yards on just nine carries. He can do it all, and he frequently will, and he is going to need to come up with the big plays in order to win this game.

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Odds at Diamond Sportsbook
Utah State Aggies -10.5
Toledo Rockets +10.5
Over/Under 58.5
Click Here to Bet Your Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Picks!

Key #2: Utah State needs to get over the fact that it didn’t make the big play last year
Utah State would have had its second ever bowl victory last year if not for the fact that QB Tyler Tettleton scored for the Ohio Bobcats in the dying seconds of the game to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. The Aggies had a defense all that year remembered that moment, especially with so many players that were on the field for that one returning all year long. What we have to remember though, is that Toledo DID make the play in its bowl game, winning the Military Bowl over the Air Force Falcons by stuffing up a two-point conversion to win the game. The Aggies haven’t been tested in all that many games this year that came down to the wire, so if this one is close, as it has the distinct potential to be, the Aggies will need to come up with the big play on one side of the ball or the other to be able to walk away with a ‘W’ this time around from Boise.

Key #3: David Fluellen has to be healthy and post a consistent YPC average
In the regular season finale against the Akron Zips, both QB Terrence Owens and RB David Fluellen sat out with injuries. Both are considered probable on the Idaho Potato Bowl injury report, so there aren’t worries there. What is bothersome though, is the fact that the Rockets really didn’t run the ball well without Fluellen in there. The team averaged just 3.9 yards per carry in that game against a bad Akron team that had a terrible defense this year. That’s a sharp contrast from the 5.8 yards per carry that Fluellen averaged for the season. Granted, there were some games that proved to be problematic for the Rockets when Fluellen didn’t have a great YPC average. He rushed for just 3.6 YPC against the Northern Illinois Huskies and 3.6 YPC against the Arizona Wildcats. These were the only games this year in which he was below 3.9 YPC, and needless to say, they were two of the team’s three losses on the campaign. Utah State is allowing just 111.4 yards per game this year on the ground, and there have been some stout rushing teams in the fold as well. Don’t be all that shocked if Fluellen’s YPC turns out to be the most important number in this game.

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