Posts Tagged ‘Week Seven picks’

2010 NFL Trends: Week 7 Cheat Sheet

October 24th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Trends: Week 7 Cheat Sheet
Play The NFL Trends Below At Our Sponsor & Get Exclusive Bonuses
Click Here For a 100% Signup Bonus From JustBet
(Exclusive Bonus Offer – Must Use This Link or Above Links)

Week 7 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 7 NFL matchups.

Sunday, October 24th, 1:00 ET: San Francisco 49ers @ Carolina Panthers
NFL Trends of Note
San Fran is 7-1-3 ATS in its L/11 following an ATS defeat
The Niners are 7-18-1 ATS in their L/26 played in October
Carolina is 9-3 ATS in its L/12 against NFC opponents

Series History
These two teams used to duke it out twice a year before 2002’s realignment that brought the Houston Texans into the league. However, this is always a series that has belonged to the Panthers. San Fran has failed to cover three straight, nine out of ten, and 13 out of 16 in this series. Carolina owns the L/2 games outright in this series, winning 31-14 at home and 37-27 at AT&T Park. If you’re a fan of high scoring games, this one is for you as well. Eight of the L/10 dating back to 1998 have gone ‘over’ the ‘total’, with the average score since then reaching a whopping 53.7 points per game.

Sunday, October 24th, 1:00 PM ET: Buffalo Bills @ Baltimore Ravens
NFL Trends of Note
The Bills are 5-13 ATS in their L/18 against teams with winning records
Buffalo is 9-4 ATS in its L/13 road games
The Ravens are 11-3 ATS in their L/14 against teams with a losing record

Series History
Since moving from Cleveland, the Ravens have only met Buffalo five times in the regular season. In those five meetings, Buffalo owns a 3-2 SU and ATS edge. The most recent meeting came in 2007, a 19-14 win for the host Bills. The L/4 have all stayed ‘under’ the number, and strangely enough, all four ‘totals’ were posted at the very low 36 or less. No team has scored more than 22 points in this series since 1990.

Sunday, October 24th, 1:00 PM ET: St. Louis Rams @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL Trends of Note
The Rams are 4-1 ATS in their L/5 as underdogs
St. Louis is 18-40-1 ATS in its L/59 road games against teams with winning home records
The Bucs have covered five straight following a double digit home loss

Series History
Remember the days when the vaunted Bucs defense was taking on the “Greatest Show on Turf?” What the heck happened to those days? Since that point, these two squads have only really met as iffy teams, with the hosts claiming three straight at home both SU and ATS. Tampa Bay won 24-3 in ’07 at Raymond James Stadium, which was the last meeting of these squads. The home team has won three straight SU and is 2-0-1 ATS in that stretch. The Bucs are 6-0-1 ATS since 1994.

Sunday, October 24th, 1:00 PM ET: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins
NFL Trends of Note
Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 games played in Week 7
The Fins are 15-41-1 ATS in their L/57 home games
Miami is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 games played in the month of October

Series History
Last season, the Steelers ended any hopes of the Dolphins making the playoffs by beating them 30-24 on the final day of the regular season. Little did either team know that the game wouldn’t matter at all. These two have played some ugly games over the years, including a 3-0 game decided with a field goal at the gun at Heinz Field on Monday Night Football in 2007. Four of the L/6 have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’. The Steelers have won four straight in this series and are 3-1 ATS in those four games.

Sunday, October 24th, 1:00 PM ET: Washington Redskins @ Chicago Bears
NFL Trends of Note
The Redskins are 6-1-4 ATS in their L/11 games played on grass
Chicago is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 home games
The Bears are 3-8 ATS in their L/11 on this surface

Series History
It’s been quite awhile since the Redskins were the dominant team of the 1990s when they rolled off five straight in this series SU and went 4-1 ATS in those five games. The Bears still only have two wins in this series since they were doing the Super Bowl Shuffle, and they only have three covers in the L/10 tries as well. Washington nailed down a 24-16 win in 2007 at home, but its last visit to the Windy City came way back in 2004, a 13-10 win. In fact, Chicago hasn’t covered a game in this series since the 1980s while playing at (either) Soldier Field.

Sunday, October 24th, 1:00 PM ET: Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta Falcons
NFL Trends of Note
The Bengals are 3-10 ATS in their L/13 overall
Cincinnati is 5-2-1 ATS in its L/8 games played in Week 7
The Falcons are 7-3 in their L/10 duels played at the Georgia Dome

Series History
You have to go all the way back to 1996 to find the last time that the Bengals won a game in this series, but there haven’t been all that many encounters since that point. The Falcons won in 2006, 2002, and 1999 both SU and ATS. Even if you want to include the preseason, this has been a lopsided series. Atlanta has gone 8-0 SU and ATS if you want to include exhibitions dating back to 1996. You need to go back into the early 1990s to find the last win for the Bengals here in the Peach State.

Sunday, October 24th, 1:00 PM ET: Philadelphia Eagles @ Tennessee Titans
NFL Trends of Note
The Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 played in the month of October
Tennessee is 2-10 ATS in its L/12 against teams with a winning record
The Titans are 7-3 ATS over the L/10 years in games played in Week 7

Series History
The Titans have taken three straight in this series SU and back to back ATS. There have only meet three meetings since the move to Tennessee from Houston, and needless to say, they haven’t been happy ones for the men from the City of Brotherly Love. Philly has been held to 13 points in two of the three meetings, while allowing the Titans to score 24.3 points per game.

Sunday, October 24th, 1:00 PM ET: Jacksonville Jaguars @ Kansas City Chiefs
NFL Trends of Note
The Jags are just 8-26 ATS in their L/34 games played on natural grass
Jacksonville is only 5-13 ATS in its L/18 overall
KC is 5-2-1 ATS in its L/8 played in Week 7

Series History
It is surprising that these two teams have played each other so often even though the Jaguars haven’t been in existence all that long, relatively speaking. The Jags have captured back to back games outright, including a 24-21 win last year at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium. However, KC covered the seven point NFL lines, marking just its second cover in five tries since 2001. The ‘totals’ have been evenly split this decade with three ‘overs’ and three ‘unders’.

Sunday, October 24th, 1:00 PM ET: Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans Saints
NFL Trends of Note
Cleveland is 9-3 ATS in its L/12 games played in October
The Browns are 9-4 ATS in their L/13 overall
New Orleans is just 2-7 ATS in its L/9 played on field turf

Series History
Remember when QB Tim Couch successfully hit that Hail Mary here in the Superdome in 1999 for the first ever victory for the new Cleveland Browns? Since that point, these teams have only met two other times, with Cleveland winning 24-15 here at the ‘Dome, and the Saints capturing a 19-14 ‘W’ in 2006 up north. It’s interesting that this is the only team in football that has never lost a game in the Superdome. The underdog is 3-0 ATS, while two of the three meetings have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’ after the first only got there due to the last second shenanigans.

Sunday, October 24th, 4:05 PM ET: Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks
NFL Trends of Note
The Cards are 9-3 ATS in their L/12 against teams with a winning record
Seattle is 1-7 ATS in its L/8 against teams with a winning record
The Seahawks are just 2-7 ATS over the L/9 years in Week 7

Series History
The less important NFL trend to note in this series is that the home team has gone 6-2 ATS over the L/4 seasons. The more important one is that Arizona has covered four straight and six out of seven. The Redbirds have been absolutely dominating, winning all six of those games that they covered in this stretch. They have three straight in this series by double digits. You have to go back to the first meeting in 2006 to find the last time that Arizona was held under 20 points in a game in this series.

Sunday, October 24th, 4:05 PM ET: New England Patriots @ San Diego Chargers
NFL Trends of Note
The Chargers are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 against teams with winning records
San Diego is just 2-6 ATS in its L/8 played in October
New England has failed to cover a game in this series since 2007

Series History
Yes, the Bolts have taken the last two clashes of these AFC titans from an ATS standpoint, winning 30-10 outright in 2008 and covering the 14 point spread in a 21-12 defeat . However, the Pats have really won the war with these guys when push has come to shove. New England ended San Diego’s season with playoff wins in both 2008 and 2007. Dating back to 1994, the Patriots are 6-3 SU and 5-4 ATS against the Chargers.

Sunday, October 24th, 4:15 PM ET: Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos
NFL Trends of Note
The Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their L/7 following an SU defeat
Denver is 7-3-1 ATS over the L/11 years in Week 7
The Broncos are just 9-23-1 ATS in their L/33 home games

Series History
The Raiders have covered six of the L/8 in this series and have found ways to win games that they have no business winning here at Mile High. Oakland captured a debilitating 20-19 victory here last season that probably effectively kept Denver out of the playoffs, and it also won 31-10 here in 2008. Ironically, the road team is 4-0 SU and ATS over the L/2 seasons, with the home team not even reaching 20 points scored in the proceedings.

Sunday, October 24th, 8:20 PM ET: Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers
NFL Trends of Note
The Vikes are 5-1-1 ATS in their L/7 games played in division
Minnesota is just 3-12-2 ATS in its L/17 games as underdogs of a field goal or less
The Packers are 1-6 ATS in their L/7 as favorites of a field goal or less

Series History
QB Brett Favre is back in the saddle in Green Bay, but it’s not to be captaining the ship of the Packers. He won here last year by throwing four TD passes en route to a series sweep both SU and ATS> That switches a recent trend, as the Packers were 4-0 ATS and 3-1 SU in 2007 and 2008 and actually won five games in a row in this series at one point in the mid 2000s. Four straight have gone past the ‘total’ and both teams have scored at least 23 points in three straight clashes.

Monday, October 25th, 8:30 PM ET: New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys
NFL Trends of Note
The Giants are 12-3-1 ATS in their L/16 road games as pups of a field goal or less
New York is 20-7-1 ATS in its L/28 games played in the month of October
Dallas is just 2-5 ATS in its L/7 games following an SU defeat

Series History
New York, New York, it’s a hell of a town! The Giants have won two straight and four out of five in this series both SU and ATS in spite of the fact that it has been a dog in four of those five games. The G-Men have only been held under 20 points in this series since December 2005 and don’t plan on changing that NFL trend this weekend. Dallas on the other hand, has been awfully inconsistent, as it has both been held in the 10-17 point range and scored in the 40s over the L/4 years.