Posts Tagged ‘Week 9 picks’

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (11/8/10)

November 8th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (11/8/10)
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The Cincinnati Bengals could have their 2010 NFL betting campaign put on the line on Monday Night Football, as they are taking on their divisional rivals, the Pittsburgh Steelers at home in a huge encounter. We here at Bankroll Sports, have all of our Monday Night Football prop picks available for you for the upcoming MNF tussle.

Terrell Owens Over/Under 67.5 Receiving Yards
The Bengals know that they are going to have to throw the football if they plan on beating this Pittsburgh defense. The interesting question here is whether it is going to be WR Terrell Owens or WR Chad Ochocinco that really gets coverage rolled his way in this one. Either way, the Steelers don’t have the corners to be able to stick with either man. When the lights start rolling on Monday Night Football, you know that Owens wants to be the star of the show. This is the top statistical receiver on the team, and he is going to have no choice but to have a big time game on Monday Night. You’d better get your popcorn ready. TO is going Over 67.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

Cedric Benson Over/Under 63.5 Rushing Yards
Benson is having a down year this season, as he only has two total touchdowns to speak of. His rushing total is up there, and at least on the average night, he should have no problem eclipsing this type of a number on the ground. However, let’s be real. This is the Pittsburgh defense that he is running against, not a bunch of rag tag guys just trying to hold on for dear life. The Steelers are out to really punish your running back, and this isn’t going to be an exception. Benson is easily flustered when things aren’t going his way, and with the Steelers averaging allowing less than three yards per carry on the season, it is probably going to take at least 18-20 carries to get Benson to this type of figure. Dream on. The University of Texas standout probably stands little chance in this one, so go with Benson Under 63.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Jordan Shipley Over/Under 3.5 Receptions
Shipley is becoming the receiver du jour for QB Carson Palmer at times, and for good reason. The former Texas Longhorn has great hands, isn’t afraid to go over the middle, and will do all of the dirty work for your team. Consider him like the New England Patriots’ Wes Welker. He’s really the same exact player, just Cincinnati’s form of it. Palmer isn’t going to have much time to figure out how to reach Owens and Ochocinco with deep balls, so we tend to believe that he is going to be forced to check down on those five yard curls and quick slants to the inside. That’s right up Shipley’s alley. As long as Palmer doesn’t try to do too much against this black and gold defense, Shipley should go Over 3.5 Receptions (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Will Ben Roethlisberger Throw an Interception?
These are some absolutely stellar odds that Big Ben isn’t going to get picked off. The Bengals just don’t get enough pressure on opposing quarterbacks for it to really make much of a difference. Cincinnati is dead last in the NFL with just six sacks this year, and at that point, and only thing separating Roethlisberger and a solid game without a blunder is staying away from DB Leon Hall, who leads the team with four INTs on the year. Especially if the Steelers get up early in this game, if you can survive the first half, you’ll have this prop free and easy the rest of the way, as RB Rashard Mendenhall should once again just be pounding the rock in the second half. We’ll say that Roethlisberger does Not Throw an Interception (+160 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

2010 NFL Trends: Week 9 Cheat Sheet

November 7th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Trends: Week 9 Cheat Sheet
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Week 9 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 9 NFL matchups.

Sunday, November 7th, 1:00 ET: New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers
NFL Trends of Note
The Saints are 8-3-1 ATS in their L/12 games played on grass
New Orleans is 5-2-1 ATS in its L/8 played in Week 9
The Panthers are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 against teams with a winning record

Series History
It was only a month ago that the Panthers scared the wits out of the Saints in one of the first career appearances for QB Jimmy Clausen. That marked the fifth straight cover in this series for Carolina, and the seventh in the L/8 meetings dating back to the end of the 2006 campaign. There is good news for the men from the Bayou, though. The road team is 17-4 ATS over the L/11 years of meetings of these AFC South rivals.

Sunday, November 7th, 1:00 PM ET: San Diego Chargers @ Houston Texans
NFL Trends of Note
The Chargers are just 2-6 ATS over the L/8 seasons in Week 9
San Diego is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 against teams with a winning record
The Texans have failed to cover three straight NFL betting lines

Series History
There isn’t much to talk about here, as these teams have only met three times in the brief history of the Houston franchise. The Texans have never won a game in this series and have never been favored either. This week is no exception. The Chargers won 35-10 in the last clash at Qualcomm Stadium and were 27-20 victors in their lone visit to Reliant Stadium in 2004.

Sunday, November 7th, 1:00 PM ET: Chicago Bears @ Buffalo Bills
NFL Trends of Note
The Bears are just 5-11 ATS in their L/16 games overall
Chicago is only 2-7 ATS in its L/9 following an SU defeat
The Bills are winless in their L/5 ATS as dogs of a field goal or less

Series History
The annual trek for the Bills to Toronto should be quite the interesting one this year, as this might be their best chance to win a game for the rest of the season. Chicago won the last meeting of these teams in the regular season by a hefty final of 40-7, though the Bills did win the previous two encounters dating back to 2000. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the L/5 in this series as well.

Sunday, November 7th, 1:00 PM ET: Arizona Cardinals @ Minnesota Vikings
NFL Trends of Note
The Redbirds are a woeful 7-22 ATS in their L/29 on the road against teams with a losing home record
Minnesota is 7-1-1 ATS in its L/9 as home favorites
The Vikes are 10-4 ATS in their L/14 following an SU defeat

Series History
It wasn’t all that long ago that the Cards beat the Vikings 18-17 in 2003 to keep the men in purple out of the postseason. However, the key in this series has been the dominance of the home team. Arizona won 30-17 last year in the desert when these two teams met to help it win the NFC West. The Cardinals haven’t won a game in Minnesota since moving to Phoenix though, and that includes a dreadful 1-4 ATS mark since the 1999 playoffs.

Sunday, November 7th, 1:00 PM ET: New England Patriots @ Cleveland Browns
NFL Trends of Note
The Pats have covered every game in this series dating back to 2001
The Browns are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 against AFC foes
Cleveland is 10-4 ATS in its L/14 overall

Series History
HC Bill Belichick has only gotten the privilege of coming back to his old stomping grounds once in his career, and there was certainly a stomping going on all right… New England won 42-15 in the most lopsided victory in the history of this series. These teams have only met six times since the reformation of the Browns, and Cleveland is just 1-5 SU and 1-4-1 ATS to show for its work.

Sunday, November 7th, 1:00 PM ET: Miami Dolphins @ Baltimore Ravens
NFL Trends of Note
Miami is 16-5 ATS in its L/21 road games
The Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 against teams with a winning record
Baltimore is 2-5-1 ATS in its L/8 against teams with a winning record

Series History
These two teams have met in some vastly differing spots in recent history. The Ravens won 27-9 two years ago in Miami in the playoffs and snared a 27-13 victory there earlier in the season. The last meeting in the big Crab Cake came back at the end of the ’05 season, when the Ravens scored a 30-23 victory. Even though these teams have met eight times since the Browns moved to Baltimore, that was the only meeting in which Miami was the underdog before Sunday. The 2007 meeting was a mighty interesting one, as the 22-16 win for the Dolphins was their only ‘W’ of the season in that dreadful 1-15 year.

Sunday, November 7th, 1:00 PM ET: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
NFL Trends of Note
The Bucs are 3-0 SU and ATS on the road this season
Atlanta is 8-3 ATS in its L/11 overall
The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the L/8 clashes of these rivals

Series History
Though that last stat is true, we have to make note of the fact that the Bucs had covered five straight in this series until the Falcons won 20-10 on the last day of the season last year in a game that was only played for pride. Atlanta has won three straight SU. The L/4 meetings have all produced ‘under’ games. The losing team hasn’t scored more than 17 in a game in this series since the end of the 2005 campaign, while no team has scored more than 20 since the first clash in ’08.

Sunday, November 7th, 1:00 PM ET: New York Jets @ Detroit Lions
NFL Trends of Note
The Jets are 8-1 ATS in their L/9 road games
New York is 6-1-1 ATS in its L/8 seasons in Week 9
The Lions have the best ATS mark in the league at 6-1 ATS

Series History
You have to go back to 2006 to find the last time these teams faced off, and the Jets knocked off Detroit that day 31-24. New York has covered two straight in this series, including the most recent meeting in Motown, a 31-14 triumph for the visitors. Detroit’s last win came in 2000 in the Meadowlands, and its last win at home was way back in 1997. The last cover at home was in 1991, a 34-20 win by the Barry Sanders led Lions.

Sunday, November 7th, 4:05 PM ET: New York Giants @ Seattle Seahawks
NFL Trends of Note
The Giants are 12-4 ATS in their L/16 as road favorites
New York is 21-9 ATS in its L/30 following an SU win
The Seahawks are 2-7 ATS in their L/9 against teams with a winning record

Series History
The L/2 clashes of these teams have resulted in some very high scoring affairs. New York won 44-6 in the most recent tussle in the Meadowlands, while the Seahawks stomped the G-Men 42-30 at Qwest Field in ’06. The hosts have won all ten meetings dating back to 1986 and have a 6-3-1 ATS record to show for it. Five of the L/7 meetings have eclipsed the ‘total’ as well.

Sunday, November 7th, 4:15 PM ET: Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders
NFL Trends of Note
The Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 played on grass
KC is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 against conference foes
The Raiders are just 17-36 ATS in their L/53 home games

Series History
We’ll bet that there aren’t many stats for the Raiders when they are coming off of scoring nearly 100 points in their L/2 games, though! The road teams has won seven straight in this series dating back to the end of the ’06 season, and it should come as no surprise that they are a perfect 7-0 ATS in those duels as well. Four straight and nine out of ten have stayed ‘under’ the number, and no team scored more than 23 in a game in this series since the end of the ’05 season.

Sunday, November 7th, 4:15 PM ET: Indianapolis Colts @ Philadelphia Eagles
NFL Trends of Note
The Colts are 8-1-2 ATS in their L/11 against teams with a winning record
Philly is just 3-7 ATS in its L/10 overall
The Colts have covered all four games in this series since 1996

Series History
Since 1990, these teams have only met a grand total of six times in the regular season. Indy has won five of the six both SU and ATS, and they have dropped some awfully lopsided finals on the board as well. Since ’96, the Colts have outscored the Eagles on aggregate 161-61, an average margin of victory of 25.0 points per game! Needless to say, all four games soared ‘over’ the ‘total’.

Sunday, November 7th, 8:20 PM ET: Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers
NFL Trends of Note
The Cowboys have the worst ATS record in the league at 1-6 ATS
Green Bay is 6-1-1 ATS in its L/8 against teams with a losing record
The Packers are 5-2-1 ATS in their L/8 at Lambeau Field

Series History
The home team is 9-1 ATS in the L/10 clashes of these NFC powerhouses, and the favorite is 8-2 ATS in that stretch as well. The exception to the “favorite” rule came last year at home, where the Pack stalled out Dallas 17-7 here in a cold day at Lambeau Field. The Cowboys do have a ‘W’ on the Frozen Tundra, but not this late in the season in years. In ’08, Dallas scored a 27-16 victory.

Monday, November 8th, 8:30 PM ET: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals
NFL Trends of Note
The Steelers are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 against teams with losing records
Pittsburgh is 2-5-1 ATS in its L/8 against division rivals
The road team is 12-4-1 ATS in the L/17 meetings of these AFC North foes

Series History
In this do or die game for the Bengals, there is at least a little bit to grasp onto. Cincinnati did win both games in this series last year, taking an 18-12 decision at Heinz Field and a 23-20 final here at Paul Brown Stadium. The Steelers had won four straight in this series SU since the ’06 postseason both SU and ATS, and all but one of those four had come by double digit margins of victory.

2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 9 Cheat Sheet

October 27th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on 2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 9 Cheat Sheet
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Week 9 college football betting is here! Bankroll Sports is back with more NCAA football picks for Week 9 of the year, but before we do that, we need to take a look at the important trends and history that the teams that are facing against each other this week.

Thursday, October 28th: Florida State Seminoles @ NC State Wolfpack
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Noles are just 1-4-1 ATS in their L/6 played on Thursday
NC State is 13-3 ATS in its L/16 after a bye week
The Wolfpack are 15-6-1 ATS in their L/22 against teams with a winning record

Series History
The Seminoles come into this game at just 5-4 SU in their L/9 against the Wolfpack, something that is unheard of against a team from the ACC. The garnet and gold are only 0-8-1 ATS in those nine games and will desperately be looking to buck the NCAA football trends on that in Thursday night’s primetime, nationally televised game. The Wolfpack have wins at home against FSU is 2006 and 2002 to show for their work against Florida State.

Friday, October 29th: West Virginia Mountaineers @ Connecticut Huskies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
WVU is 11-0 ATS in its L/11 road games against teams with a losing home record
UConn has covered five straight as home underdogs of less than double digits
The Huskies are 35-16 ATS in their L/51 after a loss of at least three touchdowns

Series History
The Huskies have never won a game in this series, but at least they took a step in the right direction last year by covering their first spread by losing by just four points in Morgantown. It’s not like these games have been even remotely close either. WVU has won by at least 22 four times in six lifetime meetings, averaging beating UConn by 23.5 points per game from 2004 until 2009.

Saturday, October 30th: Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Kansas State Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
KSU is 8-2 ATS in its L/10 played in the Big XII
The Wildcats are 9-4 ATS in their L/13 overall
Oklahoma State is just 1-5 ATS in the L/6 in this series

Series History
The news for Okie State just continues to get worse. Its defense had no luck stopping the Nebraska Cornhuskers last week, and now it has to run up against one of the best running backs in the nation in RB Daniel Thomas. WR Justin Blackmon has been suspended for this game after a DUI, and now it runs up against a team that has quite frankly dominated this series. You have to go back to 1988 to find the last win for the Pokes in the Little Apple, and though they have won at home in both 2007 and 2003, they are just 1-5 ATS since 1998 against the Wildcats.

Saturday, October 30th: Syracuse Orange @ Cincinnati Bearcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Orange are 6-1 ATS in their L/6 on the road against teams with winning home records
Cincinnati is 3-9 ATS in its L/12 games overall
The underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in the L/8 meetings in this series

Series History
One of the exception’s was last year’s 28-7 win for the Bearcats at the Carrier Dome as 15.5 point favorites. However, this could be a year of some big time revenge for the Orange. Syracuse is playing well, particularly on the road in conference having scored two straight wins there, and they are going to try to pick up their first win in Cincinnati since the 1994 season. The ‘Cuse do have one win since Cincinnati moved to the Big East, but you have to go back to 2004 to find that. Since then, the Bearcats are 3-1-1 ATS and 5-0 SU, and have averaged beating the snot out of the Orange by 16.4 points per game.

Saturday, October 30th: Miami Hurricanes @ Virginia Cavaliers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Canes are just 3-7 ATS in their L/10 played in the ACC
Miami is just 7-18-1 ATS in its L/26 against teams with a losing record
UVA has failed to cover four straight conference games

Series History
The Hurricanes have really taken some vengeance to the fact that the Cavaliers shut down the Orange Bowl with a 48-0 victory in the last game ever played there by Miami in 2007. Since then, “The U” is 2-0 SU and ATS, winning 52-17 at home and 24-17 on the road. The Canes are 4-3 ATS and 5-2 SU all time against the Cavs, including going 2-1 SU and ATS here in Charlottesville.

Saturday, October 30th: Louisville Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Panthers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Redbirds are 3-11 ATS in their L/14 games played in the Big East
Louisville is 4-9 ATS in its L/13 against teams with a winning record
U-Pitt is 9-4 ATS in its L/13 games at Heinz Field

Series History
It’s been all one way traffic in favor of the Panthers over the L/3 seasons, as HC Dave Wannstedt’s team is 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in those meetings. The Cards are 3-2 SU but only 2-3 ATS since moving over to the Big East against the Panthers. They do have one big win here in the Steel City since 1993, a 48-24 triumph as ten point chalks in November of 2006.

Saturday, October 30th: Northwestern Wildcats @ Indiana Hoosiers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Wildcats have covered six straight road games against teams with winning home records
Northwestern has failed to cover seven straight games after allowing more than 280 passing yards in its previous game
Indiana is just 5-12 ATS in its L/17 following an SU defeat

Series History
These Indiana state rivals have really played some great football against each other through the years, which is why we’re keying in on this game. The underdogs have gone 6-1 ATS in this series since 2001, but since 2002, the favorite all of the games have been separated by seven points or less. Heck, both clashes in 2003 and 2004 went to overtime. The home team has won four straight and eight out of nine in this series, with the one road win coming here in Bloomington for the Wildcats in 2003. Northwestern survived a 29-28 scare last year from Indiana.

Saturday, October 30th: Tennessee Volunteers @ South Carolina Gamecocks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Vols are 8-1 ATS in their L/9 games as road pups of double digits
South Carolina is 10-4 ATS in its L/14 against teams with a losing record
The Gamecocks are 5-2 ATS in their L/7 home games

Series History
The road team has gone 9-3-1 ATS in the L/13 in this series. South Carolina knows that it has its work cut out for it, especially with RB Marcus Lattimore injured and questionable for the proceedings, especially for as stingy as this Tennessee team has been lately. The Vols have historically dominated this series, but in the HC Steve Spurrier era, the Gamecocks have fought back. This is the most points that they have ever been favored by in this series. If you take all of the points scored by each of these teams over the L/5 seasons, the Vols have a very slight 110-104 edge.

Saturday, October 30th: Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Golden Hurricane are 11-24-1 ATS in their L/36 as dogs of more than a field goal but less than double digits
The Irish have covered four straight after scoring 20 points or less in their previous outing
Notre Dame is 16-35-2 ATS in its L/53 played at Notre Dame Stadium

Series History
First Meeting

Saturday, October 30th: Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Gators are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 played in the SEC
Georgia is 3-7 ATS in its L/10 against teams with a winning record
The Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 played on a neutral field

Series History
The World’s Biggest Cocktail Party is always one of the fiercest games of the season, and this one isn’t going to be an exception in spite of the fact that neither team is ranked in the Top 25, nor is getting any votes. The L/2 seasons, the Gators have taken a big time bite out of the Dawgs, winning by a combined score of 90-27, but UGA is out for some revenge. Will we see some shenanigans like we did in ’07 when the entire team swarmed the field after the first score of the game? The Bulldogs did win that day 42-30, so who knows what could be in store in Jacksonville on Saturday afternoon.

Saturday, October 30th: Michigan State Spartans @ Iowa Hawkeyes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Sparty has gone 3-7 ATS in its L/10 as underdogs
Iowa is 13-3 ATS in its L/16 following an ATS defeat
The Hawkeyes are 14-5 ATS in their L/19 against teams with a winning record

Series History
Last year, Iowa went on the road and took care of the Spartans 15-13 in a game that helped propel them to the National Championship scene. Michigan State needs to return the favor this year to stay alive in the title race as well. The home team had won every game dating back into the 1990s in this series, but Iowa has gone 7-1 ATS since 2000. Neither team has exceeded 16 points in this series in the L/2 years.

Saturday, October 30th: East Carolina Pirates @ UCF Knights
NCAA Football Trends of Note
ECU is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 overall
The Pirates are 5-12 ATS in their L/17 road games
The Knights are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 overall

Series History
It’s not often that we take the chance to talk about Conference USA, but it isn’t often that we have two teams this good playing each other. The Knights have had no luck in this series, winning just once since these two teams got together in Conference USA play and never winning in Orlando. UCF has lost four straight, but has gone 2-2 ATS in those four games, including sticking in front of both numbers in each of the L/2 years. The winner of this one gains the huge inside track in the East Division in Conference USA and will probably represent that half of the conference in the league title game in December.

Saturday, October 30th: Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Texas A&M Aggies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
T-Tech is 2-5 ATS in its L/7 after an SU win
The Aggies are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 home games against teams with a winning road record
The Red Raiders have failed to cover eight straight as road pups of 3.5-10 points

Series History
These Lone Star State rivals have played some real Texas sized shootouts since 2002. The average score when these two have collided since that point has reached 70.3 points per game, including last year’s 52-30 win for the Aggies in shocking form. A&M was a dog by 22 points and did the old reverse cover on the Techsters. That snapped Tech’s four game winning streak in this series. In spite of the fact that the Aggies have covered two straight, the Red Raiders have gone 6-3 ATS since 2001 in this rivalry.

Saturday, October 30th: Missouri Tigers @ Nebraska Cornhuskers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tigers are 14-5 ATS in their L/19 on the road
Nebraska is 11-5 ATS in its L/16 against teams with a winning record
The home team is 6-2 ATS in the L/8 in this series

Series History
It’s a shame to think that this will be the last time that these two teams collide as members of the Big XII. The two have put on some real shows and have been evenly matched since the 2003 season. Since that point, the Tigers are 4-3 SU and ATS, and all four wins have come by at least 17 points. Nebraska did a number on the ‘Zou last year though in Columbia, winning 27-12 and totally shutting down QB Blaine Gabbert and the Mizzou offense.

Saturday, October 30th: Auburn Tigers @ Mississippi Rebels
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tigers are 1-9 ATS in their L/10 against teams with a losing record
Auburn is 2-9 ATS in its L/11 on the road
The Rebels are 3-1 ATS in the L/4 in this series

Series History
This is a series that Auburn used to dominate, but that just hasn’t been the case in recent seasons. Ole Miss does only have one win outright since 2003 and hasn’t won at Jordan Hare Stadium since that point, but the last two times the Tigers have come to Oxford, only bad things have happened. They were dropped 17-7 in ’08 here, and nearly taken down in a 23-17 escape as 18 point favorites in 2006.

Saturday, October 30th: Kentucky Wildcats @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Cats are 2-5 ATS in their L/7 games as underdogs
MSU is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 as favorites of 3.5-10 points
The Bulldogs are just 2-9 ATS in their L/11 as home favorites

Series History
These two teams have fought like Cats and Dogs over the last four years, with the road team winning four straight both SU and ATS. No team has strung more than two consecutive wins SU together in this series since the 1990s. The Wildcats do hold a slight 6-3 ATS edge of note since the 2001 season, but these two teams won’t always meet up with each other with this frequency since they are in opposite halves of the SEC.

Saturday, October 30th: Stanford Cardinal @ Washington Huskies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Huskies are 6-13 ATS in their L/19 against teams with winning records
U-Dub is 18-38-2 ATS in its L/58 home games
The Cardinal are 4-1-1 ATS in the L/6 meetings in this series

Series History
Stanford is suddenly winning games left and right in this series after not standing a chance in the early 2000s. The Trees won 34-14 last year at home and 35-28 the year before in Seattle, and they have a real chance to win their third straight in this series SU and their fourth straight ATS at Husky Stadium. The losing team has been held to 17 points or less in this series five times in the L/6 years, with the one exception coming in 2008. That was also the only one of these meetings that didn’t stay ‘under’ the ‘total’.

Saturday, October 30th: Baylor Bears @ Texas Longhorns
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bears are 9-4 ATS in their L/13 against teams with a winning record
Texas is just 2-8 ATS in its L/10 overall
The Longhorns are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 against teams with a winning record

Series History
It’s hard to believe that the Bears haven’t won a game in this series since the 1997 season and have only won once since 1992. Heck, this is the first time that Baylor hasn’t been an underdog of at least three TDs in that stretch as well. Since 2000, Texas has averaged being favored by 31.9 points per game, and has averaged winning its ten victories by 37.2 points per game. It could be payback time for Baylor though, as the road team is 9-3 ATS in the L/12 meetings in this series.

Saturday, October 30th: Utah Utes @ Air Force Falcons
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Utes are the only undefeated ATS team in the nation at 6-0-1 ATS and have the longest ATS winning streak in the land at six games
Utah is 10-1-1 ATS in its L/12 overall
The underdog has gone 11-0-1 ATS in the L/12 in this series

Series History
Most of that is bad news for the Falcons, especially when you factor in that the road team is 7-1 ATS in the L/8 in this series. Air Force has covered three straight in this series but only has one outright win since 2002. Ironically, you have to go back to 2001 to find the last win for the Falcons in Colorado Springs against one of their biggest rivals. This is the last scheduled meeting of these teams as Mountain West opponents before the Utes head to the Pac-10.

Saturday, October 30th: Michigan Wolverines @ Penn State Nittany Lions
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Wolverines are 3-8 ATS in their L/11 played away from Ann Arbor
Michigan is winless ATS in its L/4 games as road favorites
The Nittany Lions are 9-2-1 ATS in their L/12 games played in October

Series History
After decades of dominance by the Wolverines, the Nittany Lions have finally stormed back and taken control of this series once again. They destroyed Big Blue 35-10 in the Big House last year and 46-17 upon Michigan’s last visit to Happy Valley. Unfortunately for the Beaver Stadium faithful though, you have to go back a decade to find the most recent win before that, including a number of terrible outings for the hosts. PSU was shut out here in 2001 and beaten 17-10 in 2006.

Saturday, October 30th: Oregon Ducks @ USC Trojans
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Quack Attack is 19-7 ATS in its L/26 games played in October
USC is 7-16 ATS in its L/23 played in October
The men of Troy are 3-8 ATS in their L/11 played on grass

Series History
The home team has won four straight in this series both SU and ATS, but none of those games were as notable as last season’s 47-20 thumping that the Ducks laid on the Trojans on Halloween night in Eugene. Oregon won here in LA most recently in 2000, but since that point has been hammered by 25 and 34 points. The winning team has scored at least 35 in five of the L/6 meetings.

Saturday, October 30th: Colorado Buffaloes @ Oklahoma Sooners
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Colorado is 8-17 ATS in its L/25 road games
The Sooners are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 against teams with a losing record
The home team has covered eight straight in this series

Series History
If the Sooners have long memories, this could be a long, long game for the Buffs. Colorado shocked a then undefeated Oklahoma team 27-24 with a long last second field goal in 2007, the most recent meeting of these two Big XII schools. The Sooners had won the previous five meetings SU and went 4-1 ATS in those five games. However, especially coming off of the loss to the Missouri Tigers, this game takes all the more magnification on for OU, particularly at home.

Saturday, October 30th: Ohio State Buckeyes @ Minnesota Golden Gophers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bucks are 14-3 ATS in their L/17 after allowing 20 points or less than their previous outing
OSU is 21-7 ATS in its L/28 road games
The Gophers are 1-5 ATS in their L/6 home games

Series History
The Bucks still haven’t quite put it together on the road this year, but this might be the perfect panacea. The last time they visited the Dome was in 2007, and they won 30-7. Over the L/6 seasons, OSU has won all six by at least 13 points. Minnesota’s last win in this series was back in 2000, a victory that surprisingly came at the Horseshoe as two TD pups.

NCAA Football Picks: Florida State Seminoles @ NC State Wolfpack Props

October 25th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on NCAA Football Picks: Florida State Seminoles @ NC State Wolfpack Props
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By the standard set by the Florida State Seminoles. they have never had much in the way of luck against the NC State Wolfpack, particularly in Raleigh. Nor have they ever really played that well on primetime football, especially during the week. However, if they want to win the ACC Atlantic Division, they are going to have to put those demons aside and come forth with their best effort on Thursday night to take care of the North Carolina State Wolfpack. Here are our NCAA football props picks for this nationally televised game on ESPN!

Russell Wilson Over/Under 3.5 Touchdowns + INTs
Florida State has a ball hawking secondary that is really one of the most athletic units in the nation. However, unless Wilson plans on throwing oodles of INTs, we have no idea why the oddsmakers are asking him to get to four TDs + INTs in this one. Wilson has 18 touchdown passes this season in just seven games, which is a remarkable number. However, the majority of these TD tosses have come against iffy defenses, save the three TD game against the Virginia Tech Hokies a few weeks ago. Wilson is up against it now, perhaps against the best defense in the ACC. Yes, the Noles will probably get their INT, possibly even two. After all, Wilson has tossed nine picks in his last four games. Remember that this was also a man who only threw one INT in his entire freshman season. Florida State isn’t allowing three TDs passes, and if that’s the case, we’re banking on Wilson to not throw at least three picks again. We’ll take our chances on Wilson going Under 3.5 TDs + INTs (+125 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Thursday night.

Will Willie Haulstead Score a Touchdown?
QB Christian Ponder loves to throw the ball all over the field to a number of different receivers, but Haulstead, at best, is option No. 3. You’re talking about a man that has only scored in two different games this year, and has only had four total catches in FSU’s last two games overall. Aside from that, the Wolfpack have a secondary that is better than what the Noles are used to seeing on average. The sophomore is a big time deep threat, but asking him to score a TD in at least one out of three games to beat us is ludicrous. There’s no way that we aren’t on the right side of this prop more often than not. Go with a Haulstead Not to Score a Touchdown (-180 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Will Jermaine Thomas Score a Touchdown?
Here we go again with another prop that the oddsmakers don’t really know what they’re doing. Thomas really became the “feature” back in this FSU offense when RB Ty Jones got hurt a few weeks ago. However, Jones came back into the fold last week against the Boston College Eagles, and as a result, Thomas only ended up with five carries for the entire game. We expect to see him touch the rock a solid 12-15 times between receptions and carries in this one, but that doesn’t mean that he is finding pay dirt even half the time. There is no real rhyme or reason for who HC Jimbo Fisher elects to deploy down by the goal line, and we aren’t so sure that Florida State won’t be doing more throwing the ball in tight in this game anyway. Once again, the oddsmakers don’t know what they’re doing with this one. Go with Thomas Not to Score a Touchdown (+120 at Hollywood Sportsbook).