Holiday Bowl Odds: California vs. Texas Predictions 12/28/11
December 23rd, 2011 by | Posted in College FootballThe 2011 Holiday Bowl is one of the games that most are looking forward to on the college football bowl schedule. The Texas Longhorns and California Golden Bears are probably the two biggest programs that would have played in the bowl season to date, and they should be involved in a doozy of a game. Check out how we think your Holiday Bowl picks will pan out.
Holiday Bowl: California Golden Bears vs. Texas Longhorns
Holiday Bowl Location: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, CA
Holiday Bowl Date/Time: Wednesday, December 28th, 8:00 p.m. (ET)
Holiday Bowl Television Coverage: ESPN, ESPN3.com
Click Here For The Rest Of The 2011-12 Bowl Game Schedule And Other Bowl Game Previews
Key #1: The Longhorns simply have to play well defensively
It seems like a pretty broad key to the game for the Holiday Bowl, but it is a fairly obvious one as well that will most certainly ring true. In games this year in which Texas allowed more than 25 points, it went 0-3 SU and ATS. This offense hasn’t scored more than 27 points in a game since taking on the Texas Tech Red Raiders on November 5th, and it hasn’t scored more than 27 in a game against a team that finished with an above .500 record all season long. We tend to think if the Bears can find their way into even the mid-20s in this game, they are going to be in good shape against an offense that just has had absolutely zero continuity for the last two seasons, two years which have been rather agonizing for the Longhorns fans in Austin.
Holiday Bowl Odds at Wager Web Sportsbook
California Golden Bears +3
Texas Longhorns -3
Over/Under 47.5
Click Here to Bet The Holiday Bowl Picks!
Key #2: Keenan Allen and Marvin Jones need to poke holes in the Texas secondary
The Longhorns had one of the best secondaries in the game this year with a slew of experience at the positions of note. They allowed 211.7 yards per game this year, but we also have to remember that the Big XII is an incredible passing conference with players like Seth Doege, Landry Jones, Brandon Weeden, and Heisman Trophy winner, QB Robert Griffin III. Allen and Jones combined for over 2,000 receiving yards this year, and they caught 142 of the 212 passes that QB Zach Maynard completed this year. All three improved as the season went on, and the two receivers are at least going to have to prove to be a deep threat against the Texas secondary, or the Horns are just going to try to clog up the box with safeties to put the clamps on the Cal running game. Though a lot of teams use the run to set up the pass, in this case, Head Coach Jeff Tedford probably needs to do exactly the opposite to spring RB Isi Sofele, who did run for 1,261 yards this year for Cal.
Key #3: Texas can’t be put into a situation where it has to play “Catch Up”
In the past, if the Longhorns were down in a game, they never fretted. They knew that they had QB Colt McCoy to rely on, and before that, they had the legs and the arm of the tremendous QB Vince Young. However, these last two seasons, the passing game just hasn’t been there. WR Mike Davis led the team in receiving with just over 600 yards, and Head Coach Mack Brown had such a tough time settling on a quarterback that he ultimately didn’t come anywhere near throwing for 3,000 yards and only just barely got QB Case McCoy to the 1,000 yard mark. That being said, the ball has to stay on the ground, and stay on it effectively. The team is only averaging right around 4.6 yards per carry this year, and a lot of the problem has been the rotating running back situation. RB Malcolm Brown has a toe injury, while RB Joe Bergeron has a hamstring injury, and RB Fozzie Whittaker tore his ACL and has missed basically the entire Big XII slate this year. Thank goodness there is plenty of depth, but the truth of the matter is that the Longhorns just don’t have the consistency passing the ball for all of the rushers to fail against the Cal defense.
Click Here to get the best college football picks that you’ll find on the internet, including our Holiday Bowl picks and the NCAA football picks for the rest of the bowl game odds.







