Posts Tagged ‘Super Bowl picks’

Superbowl 46 Props: New York Giants Super Bowl Props 2012

January 31st, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Superbowl 46 Props: New York Giants Super Bowl Props 2012
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Bovada Sportsbook is one of our favorite sportsbooks, as it has some of the best football props that you will find on the internet. Check out our Super Bowl prop sheet for the New York Giants, as they get ready to try to get the job done in Super Bowl 46.

Eli Manning Pass Attempts Over/Under 39.5 Pass Attempts: The problem that the Giants have had this year is running the football. Neither RBs Ahmad Bradshaw nor Brandon Jacobs has really done all that much, and the end result has seen Eli have to put a heck of a lot more on his shoulders. Manning threw the ball at least 40 times in four straight games this season towards the end of the year, and he had at least 40 throws eight times including in playoffs. It’s not a great sample set to use in the end, but we just can’t ignore the possibilities that Head Coach Tom Coughlin are going use to try to take advantage of this questionable New England secondary, one which has given up oodles of yards this year at times. We have to think that Eli is going to wing it at least 40 times in this one.

Brandon Jacobs Over/Under 1 Reception: We just love it when we see Super Bowl props like this one. Seeing that “1” on the board looks too easy. It only takes one catch… just one play that could happen at any time to at least ensure a push in this one. However, when you really look back at it, Jacobs isn’t the better back between he and Bradshaw in passing situations, and he isn’t the better back when you think about goal line and short yardage carries either. Over the course of the last six games (including the postseason), Bradshaw has been on the field for almost double the plays that Jacobs has, and the bigger of the two backs only has five receptions in those six games. Jacobs went seven games this year without a single catch against having five games (three of which Bradshaw wasn’t in the lineup) with two or more receptions. Don’t get suckered into this one. The ‘under’ is the right play to make.

Osi Umenyiora Tackles + Assists Over/Under 2.5: We really aren’t all that sure why this prop is this low. Umenyiora isn’t really used all that much against the run because he isn’t all that effective with it, but he does do a great job rushing the passer, which means that he is going be on the field quite a bit harassing QB Tom Brady. Umenyiora has had a great postseason, picking up 5.5 sacks in three games, though those have basically been his only tackles. We aren’t so sure that just based upon sacks, Umenyiora might not reach this point. However, for as much as we are anticipating him being on the field in this game, we do think that more often than not, he will end up with at least three tackles in some form or another.

Lawrence Tynes Over/Under 1.5 Field Goals: Four years ago, Tynes had to be wondering whether he was going to be keeping his job or not. He had missed a slew of field goals on the season for the G-Men, including missing at Lambeau Field in the NFC Championship Game twice before redeeming himself and kicking the game winning three pointer in OT. He did well in the Super Bowl two weeks later and won his job in the offseason that year again and never looked back. Tynes really hasn’t done all that well this year too, especially down the stretch. He hasn’t kicked a field goal of longer than 40 yards in a game since December 18th, but he is still getting his chances. The Giants aren’t a good red zone team, which might leave for a bunch of opportunities to get the job done. He has attempted at least two field goals in nine straight games, including in all three postseason efforts. Of course, making those kicks and getting the chances are two totally different things, but we think that in the big one in the Super Bowl, Tynes will get his chance to be a hero and make at least two kicks at least half the time.

Superbowl 46 Props: New England Patriots Super Bowl Prop Picks

January 30th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Superbowl 46 Props: New England Patriots Super Bowl Prop Picks
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Bovada Sportsbook is one of our favorite sportsbooks, as it has some of the best football props that you will find on the internet. Check out our Super Bowl prop sheet for the New England Patriots, as they get ready to try to exact some revenge in Super Bowl 46.

Tom Brady Passing Yards Over/Under 320.5: Brady is going to be under the gun in this one, knowing that he has a fantastic pass rush coming his way. He hasn’t historically played all that well in the playoffs of late, though he obviously has the pedigree of playing well enough to win in these big time games. Brady also has a set of receivers that has been banged up. TE Rob Gronkowski is the most notable injury concern, as he has an ankle injury that has kept him out of practice. If Gronk can’t give it a go or is limited for whatever reason, the man that Brady uses as his support over the middle won’t be as effective as always. That could really hurt him even though the secondary for the G-Men is somewhat weak. Play on the ‘under’ in this one for sure.

Danny Woodhead Over/Under 1.5 Receptions: You never really know what Head Coach Bill Belichick is thinking with his running backs. Woodhead was used quite a bit in the first meeting between these teams though, as he had seven carries and six looks as a receiver, totaling 60 yards. Woodhead did only have 18 receptions this year, but he had 34 a year ago in just 14 games, proving that he can get the job done as a receiver as well. If Gronkowski is limited, TE Aaron Hernandez will probably spend less time in the backfield than he has in the rest of these playoffs. That probably means more looks for Woodhead as well, especially with New England needing to find some way to slow down the New York pass rush. He seems to be a solid play to get at least two receptions on Super Sunday.

Rob Gronkowski Over/Under 6 Receptions: Again, we have to mention this injury that Gronkowski is dealing with. It really concerns us any time that we talk about ankle injuries, especially in games played on turf instead of grass. The former Arizona Wildcat has had some huge games, and he has all of the potential in the world, especially near the red zone. This seems like an easy ‘over’ play, knowing that he had eight grabs against the Giants in the first meeting in Foxboro. However, we just aren’t all that sure that Gronk is going to be the top tight end target in this one, as Hernandez could suddenly become the tight end du jour for Brady. Asking anyone to come up with at least seven receptions to beat us is a heck of a lot for the Super Bowl.

Rob Ninkovich Over/Under 5 Tackles + Assists: Every now and again, especially when you’re talking about the hundreds and hundreds of Super Bowl props that are available on an annual basis, the oddsmakers just get a line badly wrong. Ninkovich averaged 4.6 tackles + assists this year, which is why this number is probably relatively logical at five. However, in the playoffs, the Purdue production only has a grand total of six tackles + assists in two games. He hasn’t had more than four tackles + assists in a game since Week 11 against the Kansas City Chiefs, and that came in a game in which the Chiefs ran the heck out of the football. The Giants are clearly going to throw it more than run in, and in the passing game, if Ninkovich isn’t getting sacks, he probably isn’t getting tackles. The ‘under’ is the better play for sure.

2011 Free Super Bowl Free Pick Prop of the Day: Brett Favre Props

February 5th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 Free Super Bowl Free Pick Prop of the Day: Brett Favre Props

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What? Brett Favre? How in the hell does this guy’s name keep coming up? Yes, No. 4 in going to inevitably be in the broadcast his share of times, as he was the man that was perceived to have built this Green Bay Packers franchise. However, if QB Aaron Rodgers can pull this one off, he will have the same number of titles under his belt that the great No. 4 did in his entire time in Title Town. For the last of our daily Super Bowl prop picks, we’ll take a look at the prop odds for how many times the name “Brett Favre” is uttered during the biggest game of the year.

First off, we have to remember that this is Fox with coverage of the game, meaning Joe Buck and Troy Aikman and their man crushes on Favre are ridiculous. Ok, so one would figure that we would have to go ‘over’ 2.5 mentions of Favre’s name for the big one this week, right?

Not so fast, my friends. Let’s read the rules of this one a little bit closer, as this is always the key to these Superbowl props. This isn’t for mentions of Favre’s name in the coverage leading up to the game or during the postgame interviews or anything like that. Buck, Aikman, or any of the other Fox television stars have to mention Favre’s name at least three times from the kickoff of the ball through the final whistle of the game to make this one a winner.

It’s also not just the mentioning of “Favre.” Not “Brett.” Not “No. 4.” Nothing like that. The announcers have to refer to him as “Brett Favre.”

Now, we’ve already spoken about this man crush thing, but we know that there are going to be plenty of other topics of conversation that can come up over the course of this game. Even though we know that this was the year that Favre will reportedly go off into the sunset, we don’t think that he is worthy of having his full name mentioned at least three times during the telecast of the biggest game of the year, a game that he never had a chance of getting into with his Minnesota Vikings this year.

Free Super Bowl Picks: Under 2.5 Mentions of the name “Brett Favre” +150 at BetUS Sportsbook

2011 Free Super Bowl Free Pick Prop of the Day: Longest TD Prop

February 2nd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   1 Comment »

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Super Bowl betting action is just mere days away, and here at Bankroll Sports, we are continuing our look at all of the great props that are on the board for you to sink your teeth into. Today, we look at why we believe there will be a TD of at least 44 yards that gets scored in the biggest game of the year to help you beat the Super Bowl lines.

When push really comes to shove, there always seems to be some trickeration in these big time games. In Pittsburgh’s two Super Bowls, we not only saw WR Antwaan Randle El throw a TD pass to WR Hines Ward against the Seattle Seahawks, but we also saw LB James Harrison end up with one of the longest returns in the history of the league when, at the end of the first half, he scored a TD against the Arizona Cardinals. Last year, the New Orleans Saints beat the Superbowl betting lines thanks to that pick six by DB Tracey Porter. We also saw WR Devin Hester return a kick for a TD against the Indianapolis Colts right off the bat in the Super Bowl a few years ago.

We already know that we have two defenses that not only know how to turn teams over, but to take the ball all the way to the house as well. DB Tramon Williams has already done it once in these playoffs for a 70 yard score, while we know that men like S Troy Polamalu, Harrison, and the sorts all know how to scoop and score.

Offensively, QB Ben Roethlisberger isn’t afraid to uncork the long balls, especially to WR Mike Wallace, who will be the fastest player on the field at all times. QB Aaron Rodgers has four different receivers that he utilizes, all of which know what it takes to have a 50-60 yard play without batting an eyelash. WR Greg Jennings, his favorite target, is a fantastic man at running after the catch, and if he can shake just one tackle on a play in which the Steelers send just one too many men at Rodgers, it could be all over.

The only thing we really have working against us is that neither of these running backs are really home run threats. There isn’t a back in the world that we consider a home run threat against the Pittsburgh defense, and the only time that RB Rashard Mendenhall rumbled for that long of a play all season long was on the game winning score against the Atlanta Falcons in OT in Week 1.

Still, it seems like we should be beating the Super Bowl XLV odds in this one with ease, as there should be at least one really long score that makes us a winner.

Free Super Bowl Picks: Longest Touchdown Over 43.5 Yards -115 at BetUS Sportsbook

2011 Free Super Bowl Free Pick Prop of the Day: Steelers Celebrations

January 31st, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 Free Super Bowl Free Pick Prop of the Day: Steelers Celebrations
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Every now and again, making Super Bowl picks requires doing a little bit of thinking outside of the box. The Pittsburgh Steelers know that QB Aaron Rodgers does that Championship Belt celebration on his touchdowns and during big plays over the course of the game. Hollywood Sportsbook is offering a very interesting Superbowl prop in the biggest game of the year whether or not there will be a player on the Steelers that will imitate the leader of the Green Bay Packers at any point during this game.

Let’s be real, here. There is absolutely better than a 50/50 chance that this happens at some point. The oddsmakers weren’t all that specific in this one, as all the rules state is that the celebration must clearly be shown on TV during the game or a live picture of the Super Bowl. This doesn’t mean that it has to be after a touchdown, and it can appear during any point of the duel.

Think about this for a second. LB James Harrison comes off of the edge and gets a huge sack or forces a fumble. You don’t think for one second, especially if the Steelers have already allowed a TD or if the game is getting to be out of hand that Harrison wouldn’t be the smart guy to mock Rodgers with his own celebratory move? Think again. In fact, save perhaps the relatively mild mannered Troy Polamalu, there isn’t a player on this defense that we can think of that wouldn’t at least think about doing this Championship Belt celebration at least once if he can do something that negatively affects Rodgers.

Now, let’s go to the offensive side of the ball. WR Hines Ward has never really been known as a player that has the greatest of tempers, and it is clear that he is going to be out to make enemies, not friends in this Super Bowl betting affair. If he hauls in a huge catch or scores a TD, he is a great candidate to pull off this stunt as well. QB Ben Roethlisberger has never been known to shy away from a situation like this either, and we could see him stealing it as well.

The bottom line here is that there are just too many opportunities for Pittsburgh to pounce on poor Rodgers to pass on. Someone, at some point during these three and a half hours, is going to make the move, and we wouldn’t be surprised to see that old Championship Belt flashed several times over the course of the game. We tend to think that this is a mortal lock, and it’s not often that we say that at even money.

Free Super Bowl Picks: Steeler Player to Do the Aaron Rodgers Championship Belt Celebration (+100) at Hollywood Sportsbook

Super Bowl Betting Trends: Super Bowl XLV Cheat Sheet

January 30th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Super Bowl Betting Trends: Super Bowl XLV Cheat Sheet
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Making Superbowl picks are our specialty here at Bankroll Sports, and in order to give you a helping hand on the upcoming duel in the Super Bowl, we’re breaking down some of the most notable Super Bowl trends for the duels left in the second season!

Sunday, February 6th, 6:35 ET: Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL Trends of Note
The Packers are…
-5-1 ATS in their L/6 games against teams with a winning record
-5-1 ATS in their L/6 games overall
-19-6-1 ATS in their L/26 games following games in which they hold their foes to two TDs or fewer
-6-2 ATS in their L/8 games as favorites
-8-3-1 ATS in their L/12 games played on field turf
-12-5-1 ATS in their L/18 games following an ATS win
-2-5 ATS in their L/7 playoff games as favorites

The Steelers are…
-4-0 ATS in their L/4 games overall
-9-1 ATS in their L/10 playoff games
-5-1 ATS in their L/6 games following an SU victory
-4-1 ATS in their L/5 games following an ATS victory
-16-5-1 ATS in their L/22 games as underdogs of three points or fewer
-34-16-1 ATS in their L/51 games as underdogs overall

The over is…
-4-0 in Pittsburgh’s L/4 games following an ATS victory
-4-0 in Pittsburgh’s L/4 games following an SU victory
-5-1 in Pittsburgh’s L/6 playoff games as an underdog
-4-1 in Pittsburgh’s L/5 games overall
-16-5 in Pittsburgh’s L/21 playoff games

The under is…
-4-0 in Pittsburgh’s L/4 games as an underdog
-6-1 in Green Bay’s L/7 games following an SU victory
-8-3 in Green Bay’s L/11 games following an ATS victory
-5-2 in Green Bay’s L/7 games as a favorite of three points or fewer
-9-4 in Green Bay’s L/13 games against teams with a winning record
-5-2 in Green Bay’s L/7 games played on field turf

Series History
These are, without a shadow of a doubt, the two most storied franchises in the history of the NFL. Between them, there are 20 championships, nine of which are Superbowl betting victories. The two teams don’t generally play all that often, but they did last year, and Pittsburgh came away with a 37-36 triumph at home at Heinz Field. The Steelers have had the upper hand on the Pack for quite some time as well. Dating back to 1980, these two teams have met eight times, with Pittsburgh going 6-2 SU and 4-4 ATS. Though the last game between them featured 73 points, there hasn’t been another game between them that has had more than 47, and three of the L/6 clashes have featured 30 points or fewer.

2011 Free Super Bowl Free Pick Prop of the Day: Packers Rushing TD

January 30th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 Free Super Bowl Free Pick Prop of the Day: Packers Rushing TD

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The Green Bay Packers have suddenly found their running game just in time for this great run to the Super Bowl. However, are they good enough to rush for a TD against one of the impenetrable defenses in the league this year, that of the Pittsburgh Steelers? We take a look at the Super Bowl props today for whether the Pack can get the job done on the ground or not.
Six TDs. That’s all that the Steelers have given up on the ground all season long in 18 games. Just that alone suggests that we should make our Super Bowl picks on the ‘no’, especially knowing that they are conceding right around 63 yards per game this year on the ground.

Green Bay did have 11 TDs this year on the ground and have added four more on the ground in the playoffs. From that perspective, one would think that they would have a great chance, especially at -105 Super Bowl odds, to be able to get into the end zone on the ground, even just one time.

The biggest fear that we have about betting the ‘no’ is the fact that this was a team that was remarkable on 3rd and 4th and 1 situations this year, and if the Pack get down tight near the end zone, RB John Kuhn has a very high success rate. We’re also mildly afraid of QB Aaron Rodgers taking off and running, something that has already netted 12 carries, 56 yards, and two TDs thus far in the playoffs.

However, when push comes to shove, we just don’t see it happening. RB James Starks hasn’t had a run in the playoffs of longer than 27 yards, and he certainly isn’t busting a long one against the Steelers unless there is just a total breakdown of assignments. We don’t really figure the Pack to get more than 2-3 TDs in this game in all likelihood, and the prospects of one coming on the ground just doesn’t look all that great.

Free Super Bowl Picks: No Green Bay Rushing Touchdown -125 at BetUS Sportsbook