Posts Tagged ‘Monday Night Football props’

NFL Prop Picks: New York Jets vs. Tennessee Titans Predictions 12/17

December 14th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: New York Jets vs. Tennessee Titans Predictions 12/17
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Full Jets @ Titans NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

The Tennessee Titans and New York Jets are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 15 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Shonn Greene Over/Under 68.5 Rushing Yards: We do have to remember that the Titans rank 24th in the NFL against the rush. Greene might be averaging just 3.8 yards per carry this year, but he does carry the ball a ton and has 230 carries on the campaign. RB Bilal Powell has really cut into the time that Greene spends on the field, but over the course of the last three games, in spite of Powell’s presence, Greene has still reached the 70+ yard mark. It just makes too much sense not to back Greene’s ‘over’ in this one, especially knowing that his degree of success might be the only thing that keeps the Jets in this (or any other) game. Shonn Greene Over 68.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Chris Johnson Over/Under 2.5 Receptions: It’s a tricky prop because of the price that is attached to the number, but the basic implication here is that the oddsmakers are insinuating that this over/under should be right at three. And that sounds just about right. Johnson does have seven receptions in his last two games, but he had just three receptions in total the two games prior to that. It seems as though QB Jake Locker would rather get the ball up the field, something that he is going to have the opportunity to do against a sometimes suspect Jets defense. We’re going to play the percentages and hope that CJ will be held in check, at least as a receiver on Monday night. Chris Johnson Under 2.5 Receptions (+120)

Kenny Britt Over/Under 3.5 Receptions: Remember how we said that Locker wanted to get the ball up the field more? This is the man that he is going to be looking for. Britt had eight receptions last week for 143 yards, and it is clear, now that the Titans have a new offensive coordinator, that they are going to try to get the ball in the hands of their playmaker from Rutgers more often. Creatively, Tennessee has used Britt in some shorter pass routes to go with some of the deep balls, and he is going to likely find some openings in spite of the fact that DB Antonio Cromartie will likely be following him all over the field. The Jets just aren’t disciplined enough to keep him totally quiet, especially with DB Darrelle Revis having long since been on IR. Kenny Britt Over 3.5 Receptions (-125)

Rob Bironas Over/Under 7.5 Points: All of a sudden over the course of the last few weeks, the Jets just haven’t allowed all that many field goal attempts. However, earlier in the year, this team was all about giving up points to kickers. The Jets had a stretch of seven games in which they allowed at least 11 points to kickers five times and at least seven to every kicker that they faced… And that was after a total of four missed field goals in that stretch to boot! Bironas has a huge leg, and he has at least 11 points in three of his last four games. He has attempted at least three field goals in all of those games, and he has missed twice, both of which came in games in which he had huge efforts. This could be another one of those great days for Bironas to make an impact. Rob Bironas Over 7.5 Points (-130)

New York Jets vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 12/17/12):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -110

Jets Score First -110
Titans Score First -120

First Score a Touchdown -145
First Score Not a Touchdown +115

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 40.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 40.5 Yards -115

Jets To Throw a Touchdown Pass First -140
Jets To Throw an Interception First +110

Jets Pass Completions Over 17 -120
Jets Pass Completions Under 17 -110

Shonn Greene Rushing Yards Over 68.5 -115
Shonn Greene Rushing Yards Under 68.5 -115

Shonn Greene Scores a Touchdown +120
Shonn Greene Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

Bilal Powell Rushing Attempts Over 12.5 -110
Bilal Powell Rushing Attempts Under 12.5 -120

Jeremy Kerley Receptions Over 4 +100
Jeremy Kerley Receptions Under 4 -130

Jeremy Kerley Receiving Yards Over 49.5 -115
Jeremy Kerley Receiving Yards Under 49.5 -115

Chaz Schilens Receptions Over 2 -120
Chaz Schilens Receptions Under 2 -110

David Harris Total Tackles Over 7.5 -115
David Harris Total Tackles Under 7.5 -115

Antonio Cromartie Intercepts a Pass +300
Antonio Cromartie Does Not Intercept a Pass -400

Nick Folk Points Over 6 -130
Nick Folk Points Under 6 +100

Jake Locker Pass Completions Over 20.5 -115
Jake Locker Pass Completions Under 20.5 -115

Jake Locker Passing Yards Over 232.5 -115
Jake Locker Passing Yards Under 232.5 -115

Jake Locker Throws a Touchdown First -140
Jake Locker Throws an Interception First +110

Chris Johnson Receptions Over 2.5 -150
Chris Johnson Receptions Under 2.5 +120

Chris Johnson Scores a Touchdown -105
Chris Johnson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -125

Nate Washington Scores a Touchdown +200
Nate Washington Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -260

Kenny Britt Receptions Over 3.5 -125
Kenny Britt Receptions Under 3.5 -105

Kendall Wright Receptions Over 4.5 +100
Kendall Wright Receptions Under 4.5 -130

Kendall Wright Receiving Yards Over 46.5 -115
Kendall Wright Receiving Yards Under 46.5 -115

Rob Bironas Points Over 7.5 -130
Rob Bironas Points Under 7.5 +100

NFL Prop Picks: Texans vs. Patriots Prop Sheet Predictions 12/10

December 9th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Texans vs. Patriots Prop Sheet Predictions 12/10
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Full Texans @ Patriots NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Patriots CheerleadersThe New England Patriots and Houston Texans are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 14 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Will Either Team Score in the First 6:00 Of the Game?: Though the Texans are averaging right near 30 points per game this year, and though the Patriots score 30+ (heck, sometimes even 50+) at home against virtually everyone, both teams tend to come out of the blocks a little more conservative. Houston especially, loves to get the ball rolling with RB Arian Foster and work on that stretch play that they run better than anyone in the league. They tend to take their time and be methodical. The defense is going to do what it can to make sure that QB Tom Brady doesn’t get the ball up the field in a hurry, and as long as WR Wes Welker and the deep threats all stay in front of the Houston DBs, Head Coach Gary Kubiak is going to be a happy man. There’s a reason that this prop is set at 6:00 and not at the 5:30 or 5:00 that we would be expecting for a game that has a ‘total’ that is posted this high. No Score in the First 6:00 (+105)

Matt Schaub Over/Under 260.5 Passing Yards: Though we know that we are going to see plenty of Foster in this game, we are going to see Schaub put the ball up in the air as well. When the props post on WR Andre Johnson, we think that he is going to be in for a huge game when push comes to shove. Johnson has had 28 catches over the course of the last three games, and he had solid games against both the Broncos and the Ravens this year when he was called upon, including catching a 60-yard touchdown pass against Denver. Schaub has already thrown for over 3,000 yards this year, though we probably should take out that 527 yard game against the Jaguars from consideration for this. Still, that’s three out of five games getting past the 260-yard mark, and if you believe that the Texans are going to play this one from behind at any point, this is a prop that you figure should be a winner in a big time game. Matt Schaub Over 260.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Arian Foster Rushing Yards Over/Under 92.5: Just because Schaub and Johnson could have a heck of a lot of fun on Monday doesn’t mean that Foster can’t as well. Remember that he has had at least 90 yards in five out of six games, and he is going to be up against a New England defense that has historically been weak against ground games. Look at Houston’s toughest opponents this year and see what Foster did to them. He ran for 105 on Denver and 98 on Baltimore, not to mention 102 on Chicago. That’s an awfully good indication, especially off of a week in which he only carried the ball 14 total times, that Foster is going to be in for a much, much better day when push comes to shove this time around versus New England. Arian Foster Rushing Yards Over 92.5 (-115)

Tom Brady Over/Under 1.5 Touchdown Passes: One might think that this is a bit of a trick play when looking at the NFL betting lines. After all, Brady should easily be able to throw for two touchdowns, even against this stout Houston defense, right? The truth of the matter is that the Texans only rank 19th against the pass this year, and Brady had played six games in a row with at least two touchdown passes before last week’s narrow escape from the Miami Dolphins. Brady now has 25 TDs against just four picks this year, and it is clear that he is going to have his opportunities to score in this game. Houston’s defense is good, but this is Brady at home. Sure, he only had one score against the Broncos at Gillette this year, but remember that we only have to win this one five out of seven times to make it worthwhile. There’s no way that Brady is going to have three games out of seven in which he doesn’t throw at least two TD passes. Tom Brady Passing Touchdowns Over 1.5 (-250)

Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 12/10/12):
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Score in the First 6:00 Minutes of the Game -135
No Score in the First 6:00 Minutes of the Game +105

Texans Score First +105
Patriots Score First -135

First Score a Touchdown -210
First Score Not a Touchdown +165

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 50.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 50.5 Yards -115

Matt Schaub Passing Yards Over 260.5 -115
Matt Schaub Passing Yards Under 260.5 -115

Matt Schaub Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -140
Matt Schaub Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +110

Arian Foster Rushing Yards Over 92.5 (-115)
Arian Foster Rushing Yards Under 92.5 (-115)

Tom Brady Pass Completions Over 25 -115
Tom Brady Pass Completions Under 25 -115

Tom Brady Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -250
Tom Brady Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +190

Tom Brady Throws An Interception -130
Tom Brady Doesn’t Throw An Interception +100

NFL Prop Picks: Panthers vs. Eagles Predictions & Tips 11/26/12

November 24th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Panthers vs. Eagles Predictions & Tips 11/26/12
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Full Panthers @ Eagles NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Cam Newton PanthersThe Philadelphia Eagles and Carolina Panthers are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 12 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Cam Newton Touchdown Passes Over/Under 1.5: Are we playing on the Carolina offense or against the Philadelphia defense? The Eagles have allowed at least two TD passes in four straight games and six out of eight, and that just isn’t going to cut it when push comes to shove, even against a run first team. Heck, the Washington Redskins threw the ball just 15 times last week, and QB Robert Griffin III threw for four TDs in that stretch. To ask Newton, who has had just two games this year with at least two TD passes, to get to at least two in this one is going to be tough, but we really think that this is more of a 50/50 proposition than anything else, especially against this Philly secondary, which has brutally underachieved and looks like it has given up on the season. Cam Newton TD Passes Over 1.5 (+140)

Eagles Pass Completions Over/Under 22.5: On one blush, knowing that QB Michael Vick is out of the lineup, it seems appropriate to back the ‘under’ in this situation. However, when you think about it closer and look at it a bit closer, perhaps it isn’t so insane to back the ‘over’ instead. QB Nick Foles has a decent arm without a shadow of a doubt. However, he doesn’t have a running game this week either, as RB Bryce Brown is going to have to play in place of the injured RB LeSean McCoy. Don’t be all that shocked if it in the end, that means that Foles is going to put the rock up 30+ times against a secondary that doesn’t have a single player on the roster with more than two picks. We really are only asking Foles to complete about 58% of his passes or so to reach this number. Eagles Pass Completions Over 22.5 (-110)

Riley Cooper Receptions Over/Under 2: Really? Just two for Cooper? Last week against the Redskins, in a game where Foles threw the ball 46 times, Cooper had eight targets, whereas WR Jeremy Maclin had just three. Maclin didn’t catch a single pass. Cooper caught five balls for 61 yards. The game before for Cooper? Three targets, two catches, and a TD. He is clearly becoming more and more of a target in this offense, and he is the third receiver for sure. That doesn’t mean that he is a slam dunk for a heck of a night, but we have to think that he is going to get at least a handful of looks and at least a pair of receptions to push and hopefully at least three to win as well. Riley Cooper Over 2 Receptions (-110)

Alex Henery Over/Under 6.5 Points: It’s not often that we play these kicker props, but we’re asking the Eagles to get two field goals and a touchdown here. The Eagles have 18 field goal attempts on the campaign, which makes them one of the rare teams in the game to have more field goals than touchdowns, and that’s great news for Henery, who booted two field goals last week in Foles’ debut. There’s no reason to think that there won’t be at least a TD in this one in some form, and getting the two field goals really shouldn’t be all that hard for an offense that hit a lot of big plays last week ,but just wasn’t able to get the job done to get the ball in the end zone. As the field gets smaller, so does Foles’ play. It’s great news for the ‘over’, though. Alex Henery Over 6.5 Points (-130)

DeMeco Ryans Total Tackles Over/Under 6.5: Ryans is averaging 7.5 total tackles per game this year, and he is going to be playing against a run first offense. Heck, if you take out the assists, you’ve still got three games in the last five where Ryans has at least seven tackles, and the one game that he didn’t was against the pass first New Orleans Saints who only happened to run 52 plays from scrimmage that whole night. Carolina is probably going to spend a lot of time on the field offensively, and that means that Ryans will have plenty of chances to get his tackles. This should be an easy ‘over’ play when push comes to shove. DeMeco Ryans Total Tackles Over 6.5 (-130)

Carolina Panthers vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 11/26/12):
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Score in the First 6.5 Minutes of the Game +100
No Score in the First 6.5 Minutes of the Game -130

Panthers Score First -130
Eagles Score First +100

First Score a Touchdown -140
First Score Not a Touchdown +110

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 39.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 39.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal Made Over 43.5 Yards -125
Longest Field Goal Made Under 43.5 Yards -105

Shortest Field Goal Made Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal Made Under 25.5 Yards +100

Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown Scored +160
No Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown Scored -200

Cam Newton Completions Over 19.5 -115
Cam Newton Completions Under 19.5 -115

Cam Newton Passing Yards Over 240.5 Yards -115
Cam Newton Passing Yards Under 240.5 Yards -115

Cam Newton Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +140
Cam Newton Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -180

Cam Newton Throws an Interception -160
Cam Newton Doesn’t Throw an Interception +130

Cam Newton Rushing Yards Over 45.5 -115
Cam Newton Rushing Yards Under 45.5 -115

Cam Newton Scores a Rushing Touchdown +100
Cam Newton Doesn’t Score a Rushing Touchdown -130

Steve Smith Receptions Over 4.5 -130
Steve Smith Receptions Under 4.5 +100

Steve Smith Receiving Yards Over 70.5 -115
Steve Smith Receiving Yards Under 70.5 -115

Brandon LaFell Receptions Over 3.5 +100
Brandon LaFell Receptions Under 3.5 -130

Brandon LaFell Scores a Touchdown +160
Brandon LaFell Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -200

Greg Olsen Receptions Over 4.5 +100
Greg Olsen Receptions Under 4.5 -130

Greg Olsen Receiving Yards Over 44.5 -115
Greg Olsen Receiving Yards Under 44.5 -115

Luke Kuechly Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 9.5 -115
Luke Kuechly Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 9.5 -115

Eagles Completions Over 22.5 -110
Eagles Completions Under 22.5 -120

Eagles First Pass Complete -145
Eagles First Pass Incomplete +115

Eagles Throw a Touchdown First -145
Eagles Throw an Interception First +115

DeSean Jackson Receptions Over 4.5 +100
DeSean Jackson Receptions Under 4.5 -130

DeSean Jackson Receiving Yards Over 64.5 -115
DeSean Jackson Receiving Yards Under 64.5 -115

Jeremy Maclin Receptions Over 3.5 -140
Jeremy Maclin Receptions Under 3.5 +110

Jeremy Maclin Scores a Touchdown +160
Jeremy Maclin Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -200

Brent Celek Receptions Over 3.5 -130
Brent Celek Receptions Under 3.5 +100

Brent Celek Receiving Yards Over 40.5 -115
Brent Celek Receiving Yards Under 40.5 -115

Riley Cooper Receptions Over 2 -110
Riley Cooper Receptions Under 2 -120

DeMeco Ryans Total Tackles Over 6.5 -130
DeMeco Ryans Total Tackles Under 6.5 +100

Alex Henery Total Points Over 6.5 -130
Alex Henery Total Points Under 6.5 +100

NFL Prop Picks: New York Giants vs. Washington Redskins Props 12/3

November 22nd, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: New York Giants vs. Washington Redskins Props 12/3
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Full Giants @ Redskins NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Washington RedskinsThe Washington Redskins and New York Giants are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 13 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Robert Griffin III Touchdown Passes Over/Under 1.5: This really feels like it should be a remotely easy prop, no? RG3 has thrown four TD passes in each of the last two games, and he should be able to do so against versus a New York team that he really torched and should have beaten when these teams clashes a few weeks ago. However, we’re not all that sure that this is going to be the case. Remember that the former Heisman Trophy winner had thrown for just eight touchdowns in the first nine games of his career. To think that we can get -125 on the fact that RG3 won’t get to two passing touchdown in this one is a heck of a price on an NFL prop that we think is going to be a total slam dunk. Robert Griffin III Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 (-125)

Eli Manning Touchdown Passes Over/Under 1.5: We’re going to go against Manning as well in this one. It’s a great price that we are getting on a man to not throw at least two touchdown passes. Granted, it’s going to be tough against a Washington defense that has allowed 22 passing touchdown this year, though we do have to note that after the first three weeks of the campaign, the team has averaged allowing just 1.44 TDs per game. Manning went three games without a touchdown before going off for three scores last week against the Green Bay Packers. What we have to remember though, is that in that game too, Manning completed just 53.3 percent of his passes. With such a low completion percentage and just 15 TDs on the season, three of which came last week, it really seems like a joke that he is -220 to throw two scores in this one. Eli Manning Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 (+170)

Victor Cruz Receiving Yards Over/Under 80.5: Cruz really hasn’t been totally healthy over the course of the last few weeks, and he only has accounted for 13 catches, 152 yards, and one score in his last four games. It’s not like this was a number that he was easily able to get to before this either, as he only exceeded 60 yards three times in his first seven games of the year as well. Cruz does have a favorable matchup against a team that he put up seven catches, 131 yards, and a TD against in Week 7, but we do have to remember that 77 of those yards came on just one play. Don’t be all that shocked if Cruz isn’t doing all that much salsa dancing when push comes to shove on Monday. Victor Cruz Receiving Yards Under 80.5 (-115)

New York Giants vs. Washington Redskins NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 12/3/12):
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Score in the First 6:00 Minutes of the Game -135
No Score in the First 6:00 Minutes of the Game +105

Giants Score First -125
Redskins Score First -105

First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 48.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 48.5 Yards -115

Eli Manning Passing Yards Over 290.5 -125
Eli Manning Passing Yards Under 290.5 -105

Eli Manning Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -220
Eli Manning Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +170

Victor Cruz Receiving Yards Over 80.5 -115
Victor Cruz Receiving Yards Under 80.5 -115

Victor Cruz Scores a Touchdown +105
Victor Cruz Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -135

Robert Griffin III Pass Completions Over 20 -120
Robert Griffin III Pass Completions Under 20 -110

Robert Griffin III Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -105
Robert Griffin III Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -125

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Props & Predictions 11/12

November 12th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Props & Predictions 11/12
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Full Chiefs @ Steelers NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Kansas City Chiefs are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 10 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Shortest Field Goal Made Over/Under 25.5 Yards (+100): K Ryan Succop has kicked just one field this year of less than 25 yards, while K Shaun Suisham has just three. However, we have to think that Mother Nature is going to play some tricks on both of these teams. Getting down to the opposing 8-yard line won’t be easy as it is, but getting those last few yards will be difficult in the projected wind and rain. Both of these head coaches have already proven to be rather conservative over the course of the season, and they are likely to be putting the points on the board when they can. It only takes one kick to make us a winner in this one, and it could come at any point over the course of the game. We think that it will happen at least half the time in these conditions. Shortest Field Goal Made Under 25.5 Yards (+100)

Will Heath Miller Score a Touchdown?: And here’s a way that we can hedge our bets! Miller has scored six touchdowns this year, and five of the six have come from five yards or closer (the sixth touchdown came from nine yards out). That being said, if the Steelers are going to get inside the Kansas City 10-yard line and score, there is a good chance that it is either going to be by way of a field goal or by way of a Miller touchdown. There is a decent chance that both of these outcomes end up happening over the course of this game, and we think that it is a lot more likely that both do than both don’t. Pittsburgh is going to have its chances in the red zone, and we need two of them to go our way for the kill of getting both of these NFL props. Heath Miller To Score a Touchdown (+100)

Dwayne Bowe Over/Under 5 Receptions: Receivers have had a terrible time this year against the Steelers’ defense, especially of late. Quarterbacks have only thrown for right around 150 total yards per game against them over the course of the last three weeks, and that clearly is going to make life really difficult on Bowe. There have been four games this year in which the former LSU Tiger has had at least six receptions, but three in which he has had just three catches. With so much emphasis on the bad weather, it’s going to be hard to get the ball up the field to Bowe. If he’s going to beat us, he’s going to do so with short passes, and that’s what WR/RB Dexter McCluster is more used for than anything else. We really think that the KC offense is going to struggle, and it’s largely going to be because the ball can’t get forced into Bowe’s hands. Dwayne Bowe Under 5 Receptions (-115)

Ben Roethlisberger Over/Under 260.5 Passing Yards: This is a rough and very contradictory prop. We love using fantasy football stats to tell us how to bet these props, and this is a nice spot to use just that. According to ESPN Fantasy Sports, the Chiefs actually have the worst defense in the NFL from a fantasy standpoint on average against opposing offenses in the league. That means that Big Ben could be in for a big time day. The weather is going to play a negative role in all of this for the Pittsburgh offense, but Big Ben is used to playing in these conditions. He has had at least 260 passing yards four times this year, and that makes this prop a de facto tossup. Still, the KC defense seems to be the great equalizer, and believe it or not, it could be the fact that this game is could stay closer because of the weather that might make Roethlisberger throw the ball even more. Ben Roethlisberger Over 260.5 Passing Yards (-115)

James Harrison Over/Under 5.5 Tackles: Something is most certainly wrong with this prop, and we have to take advantage of it. We know that the Kansas City offensive line is pretty darn bad, and we wouldn’t be surprised to see Harrison have a huge impact on this game. However, he hasn’t had a game this year with more than four tackles, let alone more than five tackles. Assists will help, but in the end, this is still just far, far too high of a number, one that should be set at more like 4.5 than 5.5 James Harrison Under 5.5 Total Tackles (-115)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 11/12/12):
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Score in the First 6.5 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6.5 Minutes of the Game -110

Chiefs Score First +175
Steelers Score First -225

First Score a Touchdown -160
First Score Not a Touchdown +130

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 40.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 40.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal Made Over 43.5 Yards -115
Longest Field Goal Made Under 43.5 Yards -115

Shortest Field Goal Made Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal Made Under 25.5 Yards +100

Total Field Goals Made Over 3.5 +110
Total Field Goals Made Under 3.5 -140

Total Punts Over 8.5 +100
Total Punts Under 8.5 -130

Total Sacks Over 4 -110
Total Sacks Under 4 -120

Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown Scored +160
No Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown Scored -200

Chiefs To Lead the Game at Any Point -120
Chiefs To Never Lead the Game -110

Matt Cassel Completions Over 20.5 -110
Matt Cassel Completions Under 20.5 -120

Matt Cassel Longest Completion Over 30.5 Yards -115
Matt Cassel Longest Completion Under 30.5 Yards -115

Matt Cassel Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +220
Matt Cassel Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -300

Matt Cassel Throws an Interception -300
Matt Cassel Doesn’t Throw an Interception +220

Jamaal Charles Rushing Yards Over 63.5 -115
Jamaal Charles Rushing Yards Under 63.5 -115

Jamaal Charles Receptions Over 3 +110
Jamaal Charles Receptions Under 3 -140

Jamaal Charles Scores a Touchdown +130
Jamaal Charles Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -160

Dwayne Bowe Receptions Over 5 -115
Dwayne Bowe Receptions Under 5 -115

Dwayne Bowe Receiving Yards Over 63.5 -115
Dwayne Bowe Receiving Yards Under 63.5 -115

Dwayne Bowe Scores a Touchdown +200
Dwayne Bowe Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -260

Dexter McCluster Receptions Over 3.5 +110
Dexter McCluster Receptions Under 3.5 -140

Jon Baldwin Receptions Over 1.5 -130
Jon Baldwin Receptions Under 1.5 +100

Tony Moeaki Receptions Over 2 -115
Tony Moeaki Receptions Under 2 -115

Derrick Johnson Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 7.5 -115
Derrick Johnson Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 7.5 -115

Ryan Succop Total Points Over 6.5 -125
Ryan Succop Total Points Under 6.5 -105

Ben Roethlisberger Completions Over 22.5 -115
Ben Roethlisberger Completions Under 22.5 -115

Ben Roethlisberger Longest Completion in Yards Over 39.5 -115
Ben Roethlisberger Longest Completion in Yards Under 39.5 -115

Ben Roethlisberger Passing Yards Over 260.5 -115
Ben Roethlisberger Passing Yards Under 260.5 -115

Ben Roethlisberger Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -220
Ben Roethlisberger Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +170

Ben Roethlisberger Throws an Interception -135
Ben Roethlisberger Doesn’t Thrown an Interception +105

Steelers Total Rushing Yards on First Attempt Over 3.5 -130
Steelers Total Rushing yards on First Attempt Under 3.5 +100

Mike Wallace Receptions Over 5.5 -105
Mike Wallace Receptions Under 5.5 -125

Mike Wallace Receiving Yards Over 75.5 -115
Mike Wallace Receiving Yards Under 75.5 -115

Mike Wallace Scores a Touchdown -115
Mike Wallace Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Heath Miller Receptions Over 5.5 +110
Heath Miller Receptions Under 4 -140

Heath Miller Receiving Yards Over 52.5 -115
Heath Miller Receiving Yards Under 52.5 -115

Heath Miller Scores a Touchdown +100
Heath Miller Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -130

Emmanuel Sanders Receptions Over 3.5 -115
Emmanuel Sanders Receptions Under 3.5 -115

Emmanuel Sanders Receiving Yards Over 48.5 -115
Emmanuel Sanders Receiving Yards Under 48.5 -115

James Harrison Total Tackles Over 5.5 -115
James Harrison Total Tackles Under 5.5 -115

Shaun Suisham Total Points Over 8.5 -130
Shaun Suisham Total Points Under 8.5 +100

NFL Picks: Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints Predictions 11/5

November 4th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Picks: Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints Predictions 11/5
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Full Eagles @ Saints NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

New Orleans Saints CheerleadersThe New Orleans Saints and Philadelphia Eagles are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 9 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

DeSean Jackson Over/Under 74.5 Receiving Yards: D-Jax hasn’t played the best ball of late, as he only has 14 receptions for 191 yards over the course of his last three games without a trip to the end zone. This is the New Orleans defense that he is going to be playing against though, and this unit has allowed at least 199 yards to opposing wide receivers in all but one game this year (and that came against the lowly Chiefs). There is no reason to think that both Jackson and WR Jeremy Maclin won’t have big time games this week, as these are the two receivers that QB Michael Vick looks at the most. We also like Jackson over 4.5 receptions, but this is the better play, knowing that the speed of Jackson can take one 75 yards on a single play. DeSean Jackson Over 74.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Jeremy Maclin Over/Under 53.5 Receiving Yards: Same premise here with Maclin. The Saints’ secondary is awful. Maclin has gotten over 53.5 receiving yards just twice all season long, and just once since Week 1. Still, we think that he is in for a much better game this time around, and he should have another one of these borderline 100+ yard games. Jeremy Maclin Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Marques Colston Over/Under 77.5 Receiving Yards: With RB Darren Sproles out of the fold, QB Drew Brees is going to have to work hard to get the ball down the field. The problem is that he is going against a very talented secondary for the Eagles, and this unit is going to be tough to crack when push comes to shove. Don’t be all that shocked if Colston will draw the attention of DB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie quite a bit, and that might get Brees to think twice about try to get the ball to the man from Hofstra. There will be better days for Colston than this. Remember that he has only made it to 78 yards twice this entire season to date. Marques Colston Under 77.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Will Jimmy Graham Score a Touchdown?: If there is a Jimmy Graham prop on Monday Night Football this week, we love the ‘over’. Graham is a man that has fallen upon hard times this year because of his bum ankle, but in the end, he is still a dream to have at this position this year. Remember that he had 99 receptions last year and averaged over 80 yards per game, but more important to us right now is the fact that he has scored a touchdown in four of the five games that he has played in from start to finish this year. And, the one game that he didn’t play at all, TE David Thomas had a touchdown. With Sproles out, Graham is probably going to be the security blanket that Brees needs to get the ball to when he is in trouble. We expect to see at least 8 receptions, at least 100 yards, and at least one, if not more trips to the end zone for the Miami Hurricane. Jimmy Graham To Score a Touchdown (-115)

Garrett Hartley Over/Under 6.5 Points: Hartley hasn’t kicked a field goal in two straight games, but what he does routinely do is kick a ton of extra points for New Orleans touchdowns. Granted, we know that it is going to take at least one field goal, and likely at least two to get Hartley to this number, but we have confidence, especially after he had at least two chances in three out of four games to start the year, that he is going to get that opportunity this time around as well against a Philly defense that has a heck of a lot to prove this week. Garrett Hartley Over 6.5 Points (-150)

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Props @ BetOnline Sportsbook (as of 11/5/12):
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Score in the First 5.5 Minutes of the Game -125
No Score in the First 5.5 Minutes of the Game -105

Eagles Score First +105
Saints Score First -135

First Score a Touchdown -210
First Score Not a Touchdown +165

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 50.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 50.5 Yards -115

Michael Vick Completions Over 22.5 -125
Michael Vick Completions Under 22.5 -105

Michael Vick Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards -115
Michael Vick Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards -115

Michael Vick Passing Yards Over 263.5 -115
Michael Vick Passing Yards Under 263.5 -115

Michael Vick Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -160
Michael Vick Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +130

LeSean McCoy Rushing Yards Over 90.5 -115
LeSean McCoy Rushing Yards Under 90.5 -115

LeSean McCoy Receptions Over 3.5 -140
LeSean McCoy Receptions Under 3.5 +110

LeSean McCoy Scores a Touchdown -185
LeSean McCoy Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +145

DeSean Jackson Receptions Over 4.5 -145
DeSean Jackson Receptions Under 4.5 +115

DeSean Jackson Receiving Yards Over 74.5 -115
DeSean Jackson Receiving Yards Under 74.5 -115

Jeremy Maclin Receiving Yards Over 53.5 -115
Jeremy Maclin Receiving Yards Under 53.5 -115

Jeremy Maclin Scores a Touchdown +140
Jeremy Maclin Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Brent Celek Receptions Over 3.5 -125
Brent Celek Receptions Under 3.5 -105

Brent Celek Receiving Yards Over 49.5 -115
Brent Celek Receiving Yards Under 49.5 -115

Jason Avant Receptions Over 3 +115
Jason Avant Receptions Under 3 -145

DeMeco Ryans Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 6.5 -130
DeMeco Ryans Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 6.5 +100

Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie Intercepts a Pass +250
Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -330

Alex Henery Total Points Over 7.5 +115
Alex Henery Total Points Under 7.5 -140

Drew Brees Completions Over 27.5 -115
Drew Brees Completions Under 27.5 -115

Drew Brees Longest Completion in Yards Over 40.5 -130
Drew Brees Longest Completion in Yards Under 40.5 +100

Drew Brees Passing Yards Over 318.5 -115
Drew Brees Passing Yards Under 318.5 -115

Drew Brees Touchdown Passes Over 2.5 -105
Drew Brees Touchdown Passes Under 2.5 -125

Drew Brees Throws an Interception -260
Drew Brees Doesn’t Thrown an Interception +200

Marques Colston Receptions Over 5.5 -115
Marques Colston Receptions Under 5.5 -115

Marques Colston Receiving Yards Over 77.5 -115
Marques Colston Receiving Yards Under 77.5 -115

Marques Colston Scores a Touchdown -105
Marques Colston Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -125

Lance Moore Receptions Over 4 -125
Lance Moore Receptions Under 4 -105

Lance Moore Receiving Yards Over 65.5 -115
Lance Moore Receiving Yards Under 65.5 -115

Jimmy Graham Receptions Over 5 +100
Jimmy Graham Receptions Under 5 -130

Jimmy Graham Receiving Yards Over 60.5 -115
Jimmy Graham Receiving Yards Under 60.5 -115

Jimmy Graham Scores a Touchdown -115
Jimmy Graham Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Curtis Lofton Total Tackles Over 8.5 -125
Curtis Lofton Total Tackles Under 8.5 -105

Garrett Hartley Total Points Over 6.5 -150
Garrett Hartley Total Points Under 6.5 +120

NFL Prop Picks: Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Predictions 10/22/12

October 21st, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Predictions 10/22/12
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Full Lions @ Bears NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Lions vs. BearsThe Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 7 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Robbie Gould Total Points Over/Under 9.5 : Are we really reading this properly? 9.5 points for a kicker in a game is absolutely insane, knowing that is going to take at least three field goals for the job to get done (unless Chicago plans on scoring four touchdowns or the kicker plans on scoring a touchdown or something absurd like that). We understand that the Bears’ kicker has had games this year of 11, 4, 11, 10, and 11 points, but let’s be realistic. First off, Gould is going to miss a kick every now and again, something that he has yet to do all season long, and if you think that Chicago is going to score four touchdowns or more in 60% of their games as they are doing this year, you’re out of your skull. This is just an insanely high number, especially knowing that this game is likely going to be played in rainy conditions and on a wet field. Robbie Gould Total Points Under 9.5 (-130)

Brian Urlacher Total Tackles Over/Under 5.5: We aren’t so sure whether we like Urlacher’s ‘under’ better or LB Lance Briggs ‘over’. Odds have it, both are going to be sound plays. Urlacher is clearly a step behind where he used to be, and he really looks like nothing more than a “pretty good” middle linebacker. He has to spend more plays on the sidelines now than he has had to do in the past, and as a result, he doesn’t have a single game this year in which he has more than five tackles. Sure, the time is going to come when Urlacher has an eight-tackle game or something of the sorts, and this very well could be that game. But we have to remember that this is all about playing the percentages, and the percentages most certainly say that Urlacher is going to be stuck at five tackles or fewer a whole heck of a lot more often than not. Brian Urlacher Total Tackles Under 5.5 (-130)

Kellen Davis Receiving Yards Over/Under 25.5: Davis might get some more publicity this week for two reasons for the Bears. For starters, he is one of the three people on the team that are expected to be active that have at least eight receptions on the season. One is WR Brandon Marshall, who is going to draw all sorts of attention, and one is RB Matt Forte. The rest of the massive receivers that QB Jay Cutler have to work with are out of the fold, namely WR Johnny Knox and WR Alshon Jeffrey, but in the end, Davis might emerge as a legitimate threat. In each of the last four games this year, Davis has had at least 20 receiving yards, though he has struggled to reach this threshold. Our argument is that there should be at least a couple more pass attempts thrown his way on Monday, and if that turns out to be the case, Davis should be able to get to at least 30 yards receiving more often than not. Kellen Davis Receiving Yards Over 25.5 (+100)

Jason Hanson Total Points Over/Under 9.5: Here we go again with these insane kicking props. We’ll keep this brief, as the explanation really is the same for Hanson as it was for Gould. Yes, Hanson has three games this year with at least four field goals made, but the time is coming that that is just going to stop. He is on a pace to boot 51 field goals this year, and that would smash the NFL record by seven field goals. Last year, Hanson only had 24 field goals and 29 field goal attempts in 16 games. He just won’t be able to keep up at this pace for the whole campaign under any circumstance. Jason Hanson Total Points Under 9.5 (-115)

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears NFL Props @ BetOnline Sportsbook (as of 10/22/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -115
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -115

Lions Score First +130
Bears Score First -160

First Score a Touchdown -175
First Score Not a Touchdown +145

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 45.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 45.5 Yards -115

Matthew Stafford Completions Over 25.5 -125
Matthew Stafford Completions Under 25.5 -105

Matthew Stafford Longest Completion Over 39.5 Yards -115
Matthew Stafford Longest Completion Under 39.5 Yards -115

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Over 280.5 -115
Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Under 280.5 -115

Matthew Stafford Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -140
Matthew Stafford Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +110

Matthew Stafford Throws an Interception -240
Matthew Stafford Doesn’t Throw an Interception +180

Mikel Leshoure Rushing Yards Over 62.5 -115
Mikel Leshoure Rushing Yards Under 62.5 -115

Mikel Leshoure Scores a Touchdown +150
Mikel Leshoure Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -190

Calvin Johnson Receptions Over 6.5 -115
Calvin Johnson Receptions Under 6.5 -115

Calvin Johnson Longest Yardage Receptions Over 33.5 -115
Calvin Johnson Longest Yardage Receptions Under 33.5 -115

Calvin Johnson Receiving Yards Over 95.5 -115
Calvin Johnson Receiving Yards Under 95.5 -115

Calvin Johnson Scores a Touchdown -115
Calvin Johnson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Nate Burleson Receptions Over 4.5 -115
Nate Burleson Receptions Under 4.5 -115

Nate Burleson Receiving Yards Over 48.5 -115
Nate Burleson Receiving Yards Under 48.5 -115

Tony Scheffler Receptions Over 2.5 -115
Tony Scheffler Receptions Under 2.5 -115

Ndamukong Suh Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 2.5 -115
Ndamukong Suh Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 2.5 -115

Jason Hanson Total Points Over 9.5 -115
Jason Hanson Total Points Under 9.5 -115

Jay Cutler Completions Over 20 -130
Jay Cutler Completions Under 20 +100

Jay Cutler Passing Yards Over 250.5 -115
Jay Cutler Passing Yards Under 250.5 -115

Jay Cutler Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -150
Jay Cutler Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +120

Jay Cutler Throws an Interception -200
Jay Cutler Doesn’t Thrown an Interception +160

Matt Forte Total Rushing + Receiving Yards Over 108.5 -115
Matt Forte Total Rushing + Receiving Yards Under 108.5 -115

Matt Forte Scores a Touchdown -140
Matt Forte Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +110

Brandon Marshall Receptions Over 6.5 -115
Brandon Marshall Receptions Under 6.5 -115

Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Over 90.5 -115
Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Under 90.5 -115

Brandon Marshall Scores a Touchdown -125
Brandon Marshall Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -105

Alshon Jeffrey Receptions Over 2.5 -115
Alshon Jeffrey Receptions Under 2.5 -115

Alshon Jeffrey Receiving Yards Over 33.5 -115
Alshon Jeffrey Receiving Yards Under 33.5 -115

Kellen Davis Receiving Yards Over 25.5 +100
Kellen Davis Receiving Yards Under 25.5 -130

Lance Briggs Total Tackles Over 5.5 +100
Lance Briggs Total Tackles Under 5.5 -130

Brian Urlacher Total Tackles Over 5.5 +100
Brian Urlacher Total Tackles Under 5.5 -130

Julius Peppers Total Tackles Over 2.5 -140
Julius Peppers Total Tackles Under 2.5 +110

Charles Tillman Intercepts a Pass +240
Charles Tillman Does Not Intercept a Pass -320

Robbie Gould Total Points Over 9.5 +100
Robbie Gould Total Points Under 9.5 -130