Posts Tagged ‘Indianapolis Colts’

Odds The Indianapolis Colts Go Winless 0-16 In 2011-12

December 3rd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Head Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football  
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As of this posting (12/3), the Indianapolis Colts are 0-11 and are five steps away from pulling off the dubious distinction of an 0-16 season. We take a moment to look at the odds the Colts finish 0-16 this year. They are +160 to pull off the bad feat, and we are set to take a look at their chances.

Indianapolis went from having one of the best passing games in the league to one of the worst. The team is averaging just 181.0 yards per game passing this year, No. 28 in the game. A lot of the problem is that QB Curtis Painter just isn’t ready to play in the NFL. He is only completing 54.3 percent of his passes with six scores against nine picks. He replaced the ineffective QB Kerry Collins, who led the team to three losses in a row before being benched and eventually put on injured reserve. Now, the ball will be turned over to QB Dan Orlovsky.

The problem with Orlovsky is that he has already had his hand in an 0-16 team, doing so with the Detroit Lions last decade. That being said, the former Connecticut Husky probably has the best chance of leading this team to a victory.

However, if you look at the schedule over the course of the next two weeks, you see a road game at the New England Patriots and a road game against the Baltimore Ravens in back to back weeks. We already know that the Pats and their potent passing game are three touchdown favorites, and especially if Indy doesn’t figure out how to cover this spread this week, it will probably be a three TD dog again next week when the Ravens come to town.

To wrap up the season, the Tennessee Titans and Houston Texans pay a visit to Lucas Oil Field, and the Colts will finish up with a road game at the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Let’s look at a brief comparison between these Colts and the 2008 Lions. Orlovsky led a passing game that averaged 206 passing yards and 83.3 rushing yards per game. These Colts are basically on par with that, and they are actually scoring fewer points per game. Those Lions were averaging 16.8 points per game against the 13.6 points per game for these Colts. Defensively, Indy has the worst defense in the league at 29.7 points per game. Those Lions averaged 32.3 points per game allowed, a mark that the Colts still have plenty of time to catch up to.

There are two more factors that we have to take into consideration. The first is that Head Coach Jim Caldwell could become a lame duck coach. There are grumblings that an 0-16 season would see Caldwell get fired, which might become important for his team to put together their biggest efforts.

The second, of course, is whether the Colts try to get QB Peyton Manning back on the field or not at the end of this season. Manning has been cleared to start to practice once again, though he hasn’t made any notions that he is going to get back on the field at any point. That being said, if he does get back on the field, we will see just how important he is to this team, and he could possibly lead the squad to a victory or two.

NFL Free Picks: Odds To Win AFC South 2011 w/ Super Bowl Odds

September 4th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Head Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football  
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Full List of Odds To Win The AFC South Can Be Found Below

The AFC South might be the most intriguing division in football this year, as there are a slew of teams that think they are going to be playoff bound with a ton of new faces in place. Take a look at how we see things shaking out with our 2011 AFC South picks.

The team that everyone is buzzing about is the Houston Texans (Current AFC South Odds: 1.75 to 1 at Oddsmaker Sportsbook). This is always the team that is the “Yeah, but” team in football, as it has never been to the playoffs in team history in spite of the fact that the talent level is seemingly always improving. Head Coach Gary Kubiak knows that this is the year that he has to get it right, or he will be out of a job. The defense was terrible last season, but bringing in DE JJ Watt, DB Johnathan Joseph, and DB Danieal Manning, along with new Defensive Coordinator Wade Phillips should push this team to the next level as long as QB Matt Schaub and the offense continue to put up points at a torrid pace.

This might be a do or die year for Head Coach Jack Del Rio and his Jacksonville Jaguars (AFC South Lines: 6 to 1 at 5Dimes Sportsbook), too. QB Blaine Gabbert is going to take over for QB David Garrard at some point in all likelihood, and we know that that probably won’t be good enough to take this team to the postseason. The defense has some major holes in it, and there won’t be so many last second wins in all likelihood like this team got last year. There are major health questions about RB Maurice Jones-Drew this year, and if he doesn’t stay healthy, the Jags are in big trouble, especially with backup RB Rashad Jennings already out for the season.

The Tennessee Titans (Odds to Win the AFC South: 9 to 1 at Oddsmaker Sportsbook) just have to be happy that they resigned the face of their franchise, RB Chris Johnson just before the final week of the preseason started. Johnson is the only thing that the Titans have going for them, as QB Jake Locker and QB Matt Hasselbeck don’t exactly scare the wits out of the other defenses in this division. This is the first time in over a decade that the Titans franchise is going to run on the field without Head Coach Jeff Fisher, who was dismissed after a relatively dismal season in 2010.

And yet the team that is still favored in this division is the team that has dominated it for the last decade, the Indianapolis Colts (2011 AFC South Odds: 1.15 to 1 at 5Dimes Sportsbook). Many think that this is the year that the Indianapolis dynasty comes crashing down, especially if QB Peyton Manning has any serious lingering issues with his neck injury. The offense is getting older but should still be able to put up some points, but the defense has never really been addressed. Head Coach Jim Caldwell will have to do a yeoman’s job coaching up this unit to get this team back into the playoffs in the stacked AFC this year.

2011 NFL Odds @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 9/4/11):
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Odds To Win AFC South
Houston Texans 1.33 to 1
Indianapolis Colts 1.15 to 1
Jacksonville Jaguars 6 to 1
Tennessee Titans 7.50 to 1

Odds To Win Super Bowl
Houston Texans 26 to 1
Indianapolis Colts 23 to 1
Jacksonville Jaguars 125 to 1
Tennessee Titans 165 to 1

AFC South Super Bowl Odds @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 9/4/11):
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Odds To Win AFC South Division
Houston Texans OTB
Indianapolis Colts OTB
Jacksonville Jaguars OTB
Tennessee Titans OTB

Super Bowl 46 Odds
Houston Texans 25 to 1
Indianapolis Colts 15 to 1
Jacksonville Jaguars 60 to 1
Tennessee Titans 60 to 1

AFC South Odds @ Oddsmaker Sportsbook (as of 9/4/11):
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2011 AFC South Odds
Houston Texans 1.75 to 1
Indianapolis Colts 1 to 1.20
Jacksonville Jaguars 7 to 1
Tennessee Titans 9 to 1

AFC South Odds To Win the Super Bowl
Houston Texans 35 to 1
Indianapolis Colts 15 to 1
Jacksonville Jaguars 65 to 1
Tennessee Titans 55 to 1

NFL Betting Odds @ BoDog Sportsbook (as of 9/4/11):
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AFC South Odds
Houston Texans OTB
Indianapolis Colts OTB
Jacksonville Jaguars OTB
Tennessee Titans OTB

Super Bowl Odds
Houston Texans 25 to 1
Indianapolis Colts 18 to 1
Jacksonville Jaguars 75 to 1
Tennessee Titans 75 to 1

NFL Football Picks: Wild Card Weekend Props 1/8/11

January 8th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Head Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football  
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Saturday marks the first day of 2011 NFL playoff betting action, as four teams begin their quest to win the Lombardi Trophy. Check out some of the best props on the board for today’s NFL betting action!

Reggie Bush Rushing + Receiving Yards Over/Under 77.5
We’re taking a bit of a gamble here on Bush, as we know that he could be in a position where he just doesn’t touch the ball all that much. However, we do have a few things on our side in this one. First off, we tend to believe that the Saints are going to be winning this game the whole way, which really should prompt a tremendous amount of carries for someone in this backfield. The second thing on our side is that we know that there aren’t really any healthy rushing options for Head Coach Sean Peyton to turn to, as all of his top backs are on the shelf in this one. Will it be RB Julius Jones, or Bush getting the rock more often than not? We tend to believe that the answer is Bush, and if that’s the case, he should easily get to this number. Especially when you consider the fact that you know the former USC Trojan is good for at least three or four catches on the day as well, we have to go with Bush Over 77.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in Wild Card Weekend.

New Orleans Saints Margin of Victory
This is the type of prop that we only like to play in certain situations. However, knowing that the Saints are already laying 11 points in this game, it seems like a good conclusion that they are going to be winning this one by at least double that more than one out of seven times. The Seahawks have already been railroaded by lesser teams by this many points at home this year, and there is a decent chance that the wheels could just fall off of the train at some point for the hosts. No, we’re not saying that New Orleans is a lock to win this game, or that we necessarily think that they are beating the NFL odds in this one more often than not, but we do think that we are getting a fantastic price here on them to win this game by at least 22 points. New Orleans Saints Margin of Victory 22 Points or More (+700 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Mark Sanchez Longest Completion Over/Under 31.5 Yards
This is perhaps the strongest prop on the board, as it is the weakest number that the oddsmakers have put up there. Sanchez has a number of weapons at his disposal that can stretch the field, namely WR Santonio Holmes and WR Braylon Edwards. He takes his fair share of shots down the field over the course of the game, and here, we are just asking him to pull the trigger for one shot of at least 32 yards. That’s something that Sanchez has already done ten times this year in just 15 starts. Yes, we know that we are factoring into the equation getting hurt and all of that, but without any unforeseen circumstances, especially in a game in which we know that Head Coach Rex Ryan is pulling out all of the stops, there is no reason to think that Sanchez’s longest completion won’t be Over 31.5 Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) against the Colts.

Peyton Manning First Pass Complete Or Incomplete
C’mon Hollywood… Give us a break. Manning completed right around 2/3 of his passes this year, completing 66.2 percent of all attempts, and that doesn’t even include all of the times that he spiked the football. Sure, the Jets have a fantastic defense, but this is a gimme. We know that this is cashing at least two out of three times, and if that’s the case, we’re going to make quite a good bit of money on this NFL prop bet. Manning’s first pass will be Complete (-190 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Adam Vinetiari Over/Under 7.5 Points
You don’t see us try our hand at the various kicker props all that often, but this is a great situation to be in right now. We really probably only need Vinetiari to kick two field goals in this game for him to get past the 7.5 point mark, and we tend to think, especially in the playoffs, that this is going to happen at least 60 percent of the time. Sure, we know that Vinetiari only reached this point eight times on the season, and we know that he doesn’t have a leg that can boot the ball 50+ yards anymore, but we also know that this is playoff time, and there isn’t a kicker that has nailed more clutch kicks in his career than this man has. Especially kicking in absolutely perfect conditions in the dome, there’s no reason to believe that Vinetiari can’t go Over 7.5 Points (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) at least six out of ten times.

NFL Football Picks: Thursday Night Football Props (12/9/10)

December 9th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Head Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football  
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The Indianapolis Colts might be on life support. The Tennessee Titans certainly are. These two teams are going to have to fight tooth and nail on Thursday Night Football to be able to save their seasons, as one will be able to make up some ground on the Jacksonville Jaguars, while the other is probably going to be in a boatload of trouble, if not eliminated from playoff contention.

Peyton Manning Over/Under 28.5 Completions
We know that Manning is going to have to throw the ball a whole boatload of times to be able to beat the Titans, and it does make a ton of sense for him to have to complete upwards of 30 passes against a team that doesn’t have the greatest secondary in the world. However, Head Coach Jim Caldwell has to be able to run the ball against a defensive line that loves to get after the quarterback on a regular basis, just to slow it down. It doesn’t seem all that likely that we’re going to see No. 18 complete 29 or more passes, in spite of the fact that he is averaging over 29 per game. We think that this is a case of the oddsmakers overreacting upon the number of times that Manning had to put the ball in the air last week against the Cincinnati Bengals. This week, he’ll put up tamer numbers. Manning will stay Under 28.5 Completions (-105 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Thursday Night Football.

Will the Colts Score a Rushing Touchdown Against the Titans?
They might have to. We hate betting on props like this because the oddsmakers are constantly trying to hook us in with the “yes” bet. However, we realize that Indy is probably scoring three TDs in this game at bare minimum, and there have already been ten rushing scores on the season against 24 passing TDs. That’s a bit over a 3-1 ratio, meaning for every rushing TD, there are 2.4 passing TDs by Manning. RB Javarris James has reached pay dirt five times this season on the ground, and if Indy gets close to the end zone, he’ll be called upon to get the job done and finish things off. Again, we have to remember that this is a Tennessee team that isn’t built on the inside the same way that the Dallas Cowboys and other teams that the Colts have faced are. Indy Will Score a Rushing Touchdown (-130 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Blair White Over/Under 34.5 Receiving Yards
The more we see White in the lineup, the more that we like. White is consistently another one of these guys that Manning has that just runs great routes, finds ways to get to where he needs to be, and has pretty good hands. With features like that, Manning can make you a Pro Bowler in a heartbeat. White has been called upon for at least four receptions in three straight games, and though we think that Manning is going to have to do some more running of the football to get the job done in this one, White could still get his looks, particularly if he is lined up in the slot. This could be a really nice spot against a secondary that doesn’t go particularly deep to take advantage of the situation. White should go Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) against the Titans.

Chris Johnson Over/Under 107.5 Rushing Yards
Alright CJ, now is your time! After a pair of lousy weeks, we know that Johnson is chomping at the bit, particularly in a nationally televised game, to be able to get going once again, and he knows that the Colts are the perfect matchup for him to do so. Johnson should be able to slow down the Indianapolis offense, as the Colts allowed 100 yards on the ground to RB Tashard Choice, a man that hadn’t touched the ball but a handful of times on the season coming in. Now, Johnson is all revved up after a couple of lousy games. If he can’t figure out how to get going in this one, the Titans are going to be dead in the water, especially with QB Kerry Collins calling the shots under center. Historically, this is one of the worst rush defenses in the NFL that Johnson is going again, and for that reason alone, he busts his streak and goes Over 107.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

NFL Football Picks: Sunday Night Football Props (11/28/10)

November 28th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Head Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football  
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The San Diego Chargers and Indianapolis Colts would both be out of the playoffs if they started today. However, one needs to take a major step in the right direction on Sunday Night Football, while the other is likely to be dealt a crippling defeat. Ready to sink your teeth into all of the action for prop bets on Sunday Night? Check out our best NFL picks right here at Bankroll Sports!

Will Philip Rivers throw an Interception?
Rivers has been picked off nine times this season, and including in five straight games, but we still think that the NFL odds in this one are stacked in his favor. The oddsmakers are putting far too much emphasis on these five straight games than the truth of the matter, which is that Rivers isn’t getting intercepted in two out of every three games, especially in matchups like this one against teams that have absolutely atrocious secondaries. Even more so, the Chargers know that they can run the football against these guys with either Ryan Mathews or Mike Tolbert, and if the clock keeps running, that means there’s that much less for Rivers to have to do to win the game. We’ll take our chances that Rivers Does Not Throw an Interception (+160 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Sunday Night Football.

Reggie Wayne Over/Under 6.5 Receptions
Wayne really remains the only player on this team that Manning really consistently trusts to get the job done for him, as his is the only receiver that has been in the lineup in all ten games this season. Wayne consistently averages over six receptions per game and really has done so for his entire career. This season, he has five games with at least seven snares this year, and this seems to be like one that is setting up to be No. 6. Without DB Antonio Cromartie, the Bolts just don’t have a corner to stick on that side of the field where Wayne is to just lock him down. As long as that’s the case, “The Sheriff” is going to make sure that he finds ways to get Wayne the football. There’s no way that he fails to go Over 6.5 Receptions (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Jacob Tamme Over/Under 6.5 Receptions
If it ain’t broke, why would we try to fix it? Tamme has caught at least six balls in all four of his games taking over for the injured TE Dallas Clark, and he has caught at least seven in three straight. Now, against a San Diego defense that has been great against the deep passing game this year, Manning is going to have no choice quite a bit but to check the ball down to his big tight end out of Kentucky. Tamme is the real deal in this league, and he isn’t just a product of the system of Manning throwing him the football. However, having No. 18 on his side has really helped his career, and it is going to help us to another ‘W’ this week. Go with Tamme Over 6.5 Receptions (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this battle against the Chargers.

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (11/1/10)

November 1st, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Head Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football  
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It could be the biggest game in the history of the Houston Texans and one of the darker days in the last decade for the Indianapolis Colts. First place in the AFC South will be on the line, as the winner of this Monday Night Football betting affair will take over the lead in the division and be in the driver’s seat for the postseason. For Houston, this has never happened in franchise history. Of course, neither has winning a game in Indy, nor has sweeping the Colts. For Indianapolis, a loss would really be damaging to its postseason chances and could mark the beginning of the end of the Colts’ dynasty. You know that we have Monday Night Football props covered in this one, and you aren’t going to want to miss out on any of these great chances to make some coin on MNF.

Peyton Manning Passing Yards Over/Under 300.5
Simply put, this number just couldn’t be high enough for us. Manning is just going to tear this Houston secondary apart just like he did in Week 1 when he threw for well over 400 yards in one of the best passing days of the entire season by a quarterback. Many think that the Texans have the worst secondary in football, and based upon the fact that they are allowing 306.2 yards per game through the air, there is some really good justification for that. Unless the pressure gets to be too tough in the backfield for Manning, there’s no way that he doesn’t reach this number. Of course, nothing ever really ruffles the feathers of No. 18, so there’s no way that we are doing anything but playing Manning Over 300.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

Arian Foster Over/Under 99.5 Rushing Yards
Are we certifiably insane here? Foster ran the ball 33 times in Week 1 and had the best rushing day of the season against the Colts, rumbling for 233 yards and three scores! However, we just aren’t so sure about the former Tennessee Volunteer’s chances in this one. Indianapolis has gotten significantly better against the run in recent weeks, and with LT Duane Brown out of the lineup serving a suspension, the Texans are missing perhaps their best run blocker in the lineup. There’s also something significantly different about playing this game from behind than from ahead, and we know that Houston isn’t going to march into Lucas Oil Field and absolutely beat the Colts down physically like they did in Week 1. Foster has a chance of getting to 100 yards on the day, but we tend to think that this is a bet for suckers only. The Texans are a passing team, and they’re going to show it on Monday. Go with Foster Under 99.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Andre Johnson Over/Under 78.5 Receiving Yards
Let’s be real here for a second. Andre Johnson is a man amongst boys on the field, and it seems like he can single handedly take over a game when need be. He is the best player in Houston’s lineup and it isn’t even close, and there is no way that he is going to be taken out of a game like this like he was in Week 1. It’s not that Indy really did anything special to eliminate the Miami Hurricanes standout in the first clash of the year. It’s that the running game was working so well that there was no need to put the pigskin in the air. Don’t be shocked if Johnson gets involved early and often, especially after the bye week that should help heal any nagging wounds that have kept him on the sidelines at times this year. After that huge performance against Kansas City when he single handedly won the game, Johnson should have no problem going Over 78.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Pierre Garcon Over/Under 3.5 Receptions
With TE Dallas Clark out of the lineup and WR Austin Collie considered extremely questionable, we know that someone has to step up to take over the reception load of one of the best tight ends in the game. Normally speaking, we would suggest that WR Anthony Gonzalez would be able to do that, but we aren’t so sure that he’ll be 100% effective even if he is able to start to play again for the first time since the very beginning of last season. We aren’t so sure that Garcon is going to be that man either, but if Manning is going to be throwing 45-50 passes in this game, we are very sure that at least a half dozen of them are heading in the Mount Union product’s direction. We find it very unlikely that Garcon doesn’t go Over 3.5 Receiving Yards (-155 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

NFL Football Picks: Sunday Night Football Props (10/17/10)

October 17th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Head Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football  
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The Washington Redskins and Indianapolis Colts are getting set to lock horns on Sunday for a crucial tilt between a pair of 3-2 teams. Check out our NFL picks for the top props in this game that surely should not be missed!

Total Sacks by Both Teams Over/Under 3.5
The offensive line for the Colts this year has looked anything but flawless in spite of the fact that they have only given up five sacks on the season. The biggest problem that this team had was when DE Mario Williams was coming off of QB Peyton Manning’s weak side. Though this is a 3-4 scheme that the Redskins are running and not a 4-3, LB Brian Orakpo will be able to do the same sort of thing. We already know how strong the Indy pass rush has the ability of being, but the real difference might be the struggles of the Washington offensive line. QB Donovan McNabb has already been sacked 11 times this year, and we tend to think that that number is on the rise. There should be plenty of throwing the ball in this game, and if that’s the case, there will almost certainly be Over 3.5 sacks (+125 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Sunday Night Football.

Peyton Manning Over/Under 288.5 Passing Yards
Asking Manning to throw for at least 290 yards seems like a bit of a stretch, especially for a man that just had a relatively miserable game against the Kansas City Chiefs last week. However, we must remember that the short passing game was the only thing that was working for the Philadelphia Eagles against this Washington secondary two weeks ago, and Manning is significantly better than QB Kevin Kolb. We also remember how QB Matt Schaub and the Houston Texans dropped a whole boatload of yards on this defense, over 400 of them to be more exact. It seems as though Manning, without any trust in his rushing game, will coordinate himself to be able to end up going Over 288.5 passing yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Ryan Torain Over/Under 70.5 Rushing Yards
This is really the only hope that the Redskins have of winning this game. This will act as a bit of a hedge bet as well, as Torain is likely to end up going past this number if Manning doesn’t go past his. There just aren’t any other backs of QB Donovan McNabb to turn around and hand the ball to. Torain hasn’t really proven that he is a solid runner yet, but you know that the Colts are going to probably struggle to stop him if he gets going. The former Arizona State Sun Devil can rumble the ball a ton of times in this game, and we fully expect him to do so. Getting 20+ carries isn’t out of the question for as long as the duel stays close. We aren’t so sure, but it seems logical for a team that is allowing over 100 yards per game on the ground that Torain goes Over 70.5 Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this battle against the Colts.

NFL Football Picks: Sunday Night Football Props (9/19/10)

September 19th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Head Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football  
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When the Manning brothers take center stage on NBC’s Sunday Night Football, all of the eyes in the NFL betting world will be glued to the TV. Tonight is no exception, as the Indianapolis Colts and New York Giants will square off. Use our top NFL handicappers to cash in on these props for the game!

Longest Field Goal Over/Under 45.5 Yards
You have to have a field goal attempt of at least 46 yards before you can have a made one from that far away. We have absolutely no confidence in Giants’ K Lawrence Tynes, and it is becoming more and more apparent as the months go on that the Colts have no confidence in K Adam Vinetiari to kick the ball this far. Last week, head coach Jim Caldwell had a chance to kick a 49 yard field goal in the first half against the Houston Texans and instead eschewed the opportunity in favor of going for it on 4th and 8. And the oddsmakers think there is going to be a boot of 46 yards in this game at least half the time? We certainly don’t. Go with Under 45.5 yards (+100 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Sunday night.

Total Sacks Over/Under 3.5
Last week, the offensive line for the Colts was atrocious against Houston, and though there are no pass rushers on the Giants that are worthy of being in the same discussion with DE Mario Williams, there is plenty of pressure to be had from men like DE Justin Tuck and DE Osi Umenyiora. The Colts are still going with a very young and very inexperienced offensive line, particularly at the tackle positions. We already know that DE Dwight Freeney and his band of men will have no problems getting after QB Eli Manning either on the other side of the ball. When push comes to shove, both teams should have at least a pair of sacks on the day, which gives us a great price on Over 3.5 sacks (+110 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Peyton Manning Over/Under 300.5 Passing Yards
Let’s be realistic here for a second. We know that QB Peyton Manning is good. In fact, he’s great. He’s a first ballot Hall of Famer, he might break every single passing record in the book when push comes to shove, and he is the best Indianapolis Colt in team history, and that’s saying a lot considering that Johnny Unitas is already calling me on Line 2. Still, is Manning really throwing for 5,000 yards this year? That’s what it’s going to take to beat this prop on a consistent enough basis for us to bet the over. Instead, let’s be realistic. Remember that last week when Manning completed 40 passes, his team was playing from behind the entire time, not from ahead. Inevitably, RB Joseph Addai will be more involved in the offense. We know that we’re playing with fire when we do this, but c’mon… Manning is going to stay (Under 300.5 passing yards -115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) more often than not.

Joseph Addai Over/Under 79.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Let’s keep this one short and sweet. Addai only had ten carries last week, and he still accounted for 73 rushing and receiving yards. There isn’t another back on this team that is going to be stealing carries, and the temptation is going to be there for Manning to scale back just a tad after last week’s phenomenal performance. The former LSU Tiger badly needs a good game to help salvage his season, and we tend to believe that via pass and via rush, he’ll find a way to sneak Over 79.5 rushing and receiving yards(-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this one against the G-Men.