Outback Bowl Odds: Michigan State vs. Georgia Predictions 1/2/12
January 2nd, 2012 by | Posted in College FootballThe Michigan State Spartans return to the Sunshine State for the third time in the last four years for a bowl game. They haven’t had all that much luck here, but they’ll hope to change that by beating the NCAA football odds in the Outback Bowl when they take on the SEC East champs, the Georgia Bulldogs.
Outback Bowl: Michigan State Spartans vs. Georgia Bulldogs
Outback Bowl Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL
Outback Bowl Date/Time: Monday, January 2nd, 1:00 p.m. (ET)
Outback Bowl Television Coverage: ABC
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Key #1: Sparty has to completely erase the memories of last season
It’s not that odd to see the SEC beat the snot out of the Big Ten in these bowl games, especially in Florida. Last year alone, Florida, Mississippi State, and Alabama beat the living heck out of Penn State, Michigan, and these Spartans. The worst of the bunch was MSU, a team that was ranked in the Top 10 in the country for the mass majority of the end of the season. The Spartans had to think that they had a shot of taking down the Crimson Tide, one of the top teams in the country, but it just wasn’t meant to be. They were crushed 49-7 in a game that was never that close. Michigan State rushed for -48 yards and had just 171 total yards of offense in the game compared to the 546 that Alabama racked up. It was as embarrassing of a bowl game as there was last year, and it is a duel that Head Coach Mike Dantonio and the gang badly need to get out of their heads as they come into this one against Georgia.
Outback Bowl Odds at Wager Web Sportsbook
Michigan State Spartans +3.5
Georgia Bulldogs -3.5
Over/Under 50
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Key #2: Both teams are going to have to stop the other from the big plays
Just looking at the losses that these teams suffered this year, they all have the same thing in common: They gave up too many of the big plays. Case in point: Georgia was up on the LSU Tigers in the SEC Championship Game 10-0 before Tyrann Mathieu returned a punt for a touchdown that totally electrified the men in gold and purple. Michigan State was in fine shape before the Wisconsin Badgers nailed a 42 yard TD pass in the middle of the third quarter to stop a run in the Big Ten Championship Game, and it was never quite the same after that point. Neither one of these teams particularly wants to get into a track meet, as both are a heck of a lot better off if they can keep this game in the 40s or 50s than in the 60s or 70s. Both secondaries are going to be tested, though. QB Aaron Murray tossed 33 TDs this year for the Dawgs, the most in a single season in school history, while WR BJ Cunningham has scored five times in his last two games, including three times in the Big Ten title game.
Key #3: Georgia needs to get its ground game back on track
Understandably, the Bulldogs had a tough time getting things moving on the ground against the Bayou Bengals in the SEC title game, but they have generally struggled over the course of the last few games on the ground. For a team that averaged 172.8 yards per game and 4.1 yards per carry during the season, UGA only has averaged 120.7 yards per game and 3.4 yards per carry in its last three. The Michigan State defense is holding teams to just 2.9 yards per carry on the campaign, a number which is remarkable in the run-heavy Big Ten (especially considering the fact that Wisconsin appeared on the schedule not just once, but twice). RBs Isaiah Crowell, Carlton Thomas, Brandon Harton, and Richard Samuel should all get in on the action in this one, and the four would figure to have to rack up at least 150 yards combined for Head Coach Mark Richt to feel good about his team in the Outback Bowl.
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