Posts Tagged ‘football prop bets’

Super Bowl Prop Sheet: Beyoncé Superbowl 47 Halftime Show Props

January 27th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Super Bowl Prop Sheet: Beyoncé Superbowl 47 Halftime Show Props
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Beyonce Super BowlSuper Bowl 47 is almost here! Today, we’re making our Superbowl halftime show prop picks for all of the crazy things that Beyonce might ultimately do when she does her Super Bowl 47 halftime show in New Orleans.

Beyonce Super Bowl Halftime Show Prop Bets
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Will Beyonce Have Straight Hair (+100) or Curly/Crimped Hair (-140)?: What we have to remember about this prop is that this is just at the beginning of the show. If by chance, Beyonce has herself a makeover in the middle of the show, it’s not like both bets can win. This started off as a 50/50 proposition at the start of the week, and the action has moved on curly or crimped.

Will Beyonce Be Joined By Jay Z (+110) or Not (-150) During Superbowl Halftime Show?: The two lovebirds famously named their child Blue Ivy, but the oddsmakers don’t necessarily think that the two will be on stage together at any point during the show. We’re not all that sure. We have seen Super Bowl halftime shows feature one group and ultimately see another come on stage at some point before, and if there is anyone that is going to join Beyonce up there, it’s clearly going to be Jay Z.

What Will Beyonce’s Predominant Hair Color Be at the Beginning of the Super Bowl Halftime Show?: There are several options here. Black (9/4) is the decided favorite, but there are a number of other options as well. We really don’t put anything past Beyonce, and we wouldn’t be surprised if she puts on a number of different looks to her hair over the course of this show if she gets some time to slip to the back. Other options include Gold/Yellow (11/4), Silver/Grey (7/2), White (5/1), Red (13/2), Pink (15/2), Orange (12/1), Blue (15/1), and Green (15/1).

Super Bowl Prop Bets for Beyonce Halftime Show
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Will Beyonce Use a Microphone (+175) or a Headset (-250) First?: The explanation for this one is quite simple. Most halftime performers that are solo acts at the Super Bowl start from behind a prop or backstage and walk their way out to the forefront, rather than just starting there. Sure, there is a chance that Beyonce could be coming out from the back with a microphone in her hands, but with this type of technology, a headset seems a heck of a lot more appropriate.

Will Beyonce Be Showing Cleavage (-500) or Not (+300) During Her First Song?: This is Beyonce that we are talking about. This is one of the hottest girls on the planet, and it is a girl that has as banging body. There’s no way that she’s going to cover her girls when she comes onto the stage. None whatsoever. Even though this is a sucker type of bet at -500, we still think that it is clearly the right side to be on.

AFC Championship Prop Picks: Ravens vs. Patriots Predictions 1/20

January 20th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on AFC Championship Prop Picks: Ravens vs. Patriots Predictions 1/20
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Tom BradyThe New England Patriots and Baltimore Ravens are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the AFC Championship Game betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Joe Flacco Over/Under 34.5 Pass Attempts: Flacco attempted 523 passes in his first 15 games of the season (we’ll throw out Week 17 when he played just two drives against the Cincinnati Bengals), an average of 34.9 pass attempts per game. Over the course of the last several weeks since Jim Caldwell took over as the team’s offensive coordinator, the run game has been a significantly bigger part of the game. So forget about the fact that Joe Cool put the ball in the air 39 times when these two met the first time, and forget about that average. Instead, look at the fact that Flacco threw the ball 34 times last week against the Denver Broncos… in a game which lasted over five quarters and the team played catch up for a good chunk of the second half. The Baltimore defense is just on the field for too many plays right now, 87 in each of the last two weeks, for Flacco to get to this type of a number of pass attempts. Joe Flacco Under 34.5 Pass Attempts (+100)

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Will Ray Rice Score a Touchdown?: This seems to be an odd line. Rice only at -140 to score a touchdown? That basically insinuates that he is only going to score in nine of the 16 games in the regular season, and about 10 of the 18 that he has played this year including the playoffs. Again, throw out Week 17, and Rice has 10 TDs scored in eight games this year. Still, one of those touchdowns came against these Patriots, and it feels as though the team has to get close enough to the goal line for Rice to get in. Remember that last year, Rice had 15 total touchdowns in his 16 games, and we think that he has a lot better than a 60/40 chance to find pay dirt against a sometimes suspect New England defense. Ray Rice To Score a Touchdown (-140)

Ray Lewis Over/Under 9.5 Tackles: We apologize to the big man out of Miami, but asking for Ray Ray to get to 10 tackles in this game is tough. A lot of the tackles made against the Patriots are done so in open space and are more often done by safeties than anything else. (For that reason, Ed Reed Over 5.5 Tackles is probably a great play.) Yes, Lewis has had 13 and 17 tackles in his two playoff games, and yes, he had at least 10 tackles in four of his six games before getting injured, but a lot of that came against teams that prefer to run the football. This is more of a high octane passing attack that gets the ball out on the edges and doesn’t run the ball inside quite as much. Lewis could ultimately suffer when push comes to shove. Ray Lewis Under 9.5 Tackles (-105)

Tom Brady Rushing Yards Over/Under 1.5: Brady isn’t going to openly run the ball all that much, and he only had 23 rushing attempts all year long. That being said, especially in these short yardage situations when the team is running the hurry up offense, Brady has been known to get up under center and sneak it straight forward. He faked that a couple of times against the Texans last week and get the ball on the edge to his running backs instead, but we know that the option is still there for him to do so. The numbers suggest that Brady will end up with exactly zero yards rushing. We think that he is going to end up with at least a few yards when push comes to shove. Tom Brady Over 1.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Will Shane Vereen Score a Touchdown?: Let’s be realistic about Vereen here for a second. He only scored four TDs all year long in the regular season. Yes, Brady loves to keep the offense out there in the form that it is in, and yes, Vereen did score three times last week and caught some big time passes out of the backfield, but he still has five games with a touchdown scored out of 14 games including the regular season, and that just isn’t going to cut it with us. Get last week’s game out of your mind and play this one by the numbers. Shane Vereen To Not Score a Touchdown (-135)

Ray Rice (-4.5) Rushing Yards vs. Stevan Ridley: It’s an interesting comparison for sure. Ridley rushed for more yards in the regular season, accounting for 1,263 yards on the ground, and he is the one going against a defense that allows a lot more yards on the ground than the Patriots do. Of course, what we saw last week out of the Texans is that RB Arian Foster was able to move the ball against this unit on the ground when he was given the opportunity to do so, especially as the game wore on. Don’t think that Caldwell wasn’t looking at that and thinking that he had some real opportunities. Ridley isn’t also necessarily the only back that is going to touch the football. Rice will split some with RB Bernard Pierce, but he is still the horse that the team rides upon. Go with Rice here to outdo Ridley with an experience-driven game.

Who Will Score First New England Touchdown?: This is a sneaky one for sure. The team scored 59 touchdowns this year in the regular season, and Brady threw 34 of them, so there is a good chance that it’s going to be a passing score. TE Aaron Hernandez is the receiving favorite at 4 to 1, but there are a lot of other great options as well. But instead, the man that we are going to be keying in on is Brady. Remember how we talked about his rushing yards earlier? Brady had four rushing scores this year, which is only two fewer than WR Wes Welker (who is 9/2) and the same as WR Brandon Lloyd (13 to 2). We know we’re losing more often than not, but it’s still a great play to make on Brady to score first for the Pats more than one out of 15 times. Tom Brady To Score First New England Touchdown (+1500)

NFC Championship Prop Picks: 49ers vs. Falcons Predictions 1/20

January 17th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFC Championship Prop Picks: 49ers vs. Falcons Predictions 1/20
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Atlanta FalconsThe Atlanta Falcons and San Francisco 49ers are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the NFC Championship Game betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Colin Kaepernick Over/Under 62.5 Rushing Yards: Don’t do it! It’s a trap! Kaepernick shocked the world last week by rushing for 181 yards and two TDs against the Packers, and now, he is going to be going against a defense that was torched by a very similar QB Russell Wilson. Remember folks, last week was the highest scoring divisional round in NFL history, and it really wasn’t all that close. What Wilson and Kaepernick did was out of this world, and they just can’t be expected to have repeat performances. Sure, this could be problematic, knowing that ultimately, Kaepernick only needs to do a bit more than a third of what he did last week. However, look back at the raw numbers. Since Kaepernick jumped into the starting lineup, he has tallied 10, 27, 84, 53, 28, 31, 5, and 181 yards in his eight games. Even by averages, that’s only 52.4 yards per game, and when you take out the last two games, both of which we consider to be outliers, that number is still only at 38.8 yards per game. Think about this another way. The over/under here is 62.5, and we’ll just say that it’s a 50/50 proposition and this ends up being the average that Kaepernick were to have over the course of a 16-game season. That would leave him at exactly 1,000 yards. Know how many quarterbacks have rushed for 1,000 yards in a single season? One. Michael Vick. Once. In all of these years of NFL history. Don’t get suckered into what you saw last week.Colin Kaepernick Under 62.5 Rushing Yards (+100)

Will Frank Gore Score a Touchdown?: The Atlanta defense only gets credit for its scoring average, but it did allow four second half touchdowns last week against the Seahawks. If the Niners get into the end zone even three times, Gore is almost sure to score at least one of them. He found the end zone in 10 of his 17 games this year, and we really like these percentages at this point. Though Gore didn’t score San Fran’s final short touchdown of the game against the Packers (Anthony Dixon did), we still think that there is a great chance that Gore will find his way into the Promised Land at some point during this game. Frank Gore To Score a Touchdown (+100)

Michael Crabtree Over/Under 85.5 Receiving Yards: Here’s the problem that Crabtree has in this game: He’s going to be the only receiver that has a chance, and he is going to be matched up with a great corner in DB Asante Samuel, who has the ability to shut down even the best of receivers in the biggest of games. The only thing factor that scares us here is that Kaepernick has really only had eyes for Crabtree over the course of the last several weeks. He has had five games with at least 93 yards and five games with at least seven receptions in his last six games, all of which were started by Kaepernick, and he hadn’t put up more than seven receptions in a single game with QB Alex Smith calling the shots. Still, we think that this is just too high of a number for Crabtree to reach more often than not with a great corner on his back. Michael Crabtree Under 85.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Vernon Davis Over/Under 40.5 Receiving Yards: This could be the best play on the board, and it could be the worst play on the board. If you believe in what you saw last week when TE Zach Miller absolutely lit up this secondary, this is a fantastic play to make. If you believe what you have seen over the course of the last several weeks when Davis was totally shut down and often held to just one reception (or no receptions), maybe this isn’t so smart. But here’s what we do know historically about Davis: He might have had a bad season, but he averaged 55.7 yards per game over his previous three seasons before this year. He’s still the second leading receiver on the team, and he still is a great option to use over the middle. It’s tough to throw against these Atlanta corners. It’s not always as tough to take advantage of the intermediate throws into the middle of the field. If Davis ever had a good game in him, this would be the game for that to happen. Vernon Davis Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Matt Ryan Over/Under 280.5 Passing Yards: Here’s where we’re using some common sense. Matty Ice just hasn’t been all that good in the playoffs in his career, and even last week against the Seahawks, he wasn’t all that special. He’s going against a secondary now that ranked fourth in the league, allowing just over 200 passing yards per game. Ryan threw for 250 yards last week against the Seahawks, most of which came in the first two and a half quarters. That was the only time in his career in which he threw for more than 200 yards in a postseason game. This probably is going to be another one of these struggles for Ryan from start to finish. Matt Ryan Under 280.5 Passing Yards (+100)

Roddy White Over/Under 79.5 Receiving Yards: Same sort of concept. If Matty Ice doesn’t thrown for 280, White probably isn’t getting to 80. White has been all over the place anyway. He had 76 yards last week against the Seahawks and just 42 the week before against Tampa Bay. He had seven games this year with at least 100 yards, but all but one of the rest of his games featured 76 yards or fewer. It’s possible that White ends up having a great day, but it just isn’t all that likely. Consider that two of his 100+ yard games came against the lousy Panthers, one came against the lousy Saints, one came against the lousy Cowboys, and one came against the lousy Lions. Against some of the better sets of corners in the league? 38 yards against the Eagles, 57 yards against the Bucs, 42 yards against the Bucs the second time, 76 yards against the Seahawks… It just doesn’t look all that good for White.

Julio Jones Over/Under 72.5 Receiving Yards: And here we are again. White has had six straight games with 74 yards or fewer, and he has had 71 or fewer in five of those six. A deep play threat, you know that Jones is going to be blanketed with two deep coverage for most of the game against the 49ers, and that’s not going to help out his cause either. The only way Ryan gets to 280 is by hitting Jones deep. If that doesn’t happen, the former member of the Alabama Crimson Tide isn’t getting to 73 either.

NFL Props: Houston Texans vs New England Patriots Predictions 1/13

January 12th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Props: Houston Texans vs New England Patriots Predictions 1/13
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The New England Patriots and Houston Texans are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the Divisional betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Stephen Gostkowski Over/Under 9.5 Points: It seems like a given that Gostkowski should ultimately be staying under double digits worth of points. Two field goals and three extra points still leaves him one short. That being said, we can’t help but wonder if Gostkowski is going to kick at least four extra points in this game (he did that 10 times out of 16 games) or at least three field goals (he did that six times out of 16 games). The Texans do a lot of bending without breaking, and the team has a remarkable red zone defense in terms of intensity. Who could forget the goal line stand that Houston came up with against the Baltimore Ravens last year in the playoffs that kept them in the game? There has to be at least a 50/50 chance that Gostkowski ends up with at least 10 points in this one. Stephen Gostkowski Over 9.5 Points (+115)

Aaron Hernandez Over/Under 5.5 Receptions: Hernandez had eight catches the first time that these two teams played, and it’s going to be really tough to duplicate that. Not only is TE Rob Gronkowski back in the lineup for this one when he wasn’t five weeks ago, but now, the Texans now have had a good look at what the Brady Brunch brings to the table. Hernandez has been the man that Defensive Coordinator Wade Phillips has been talking about all week, and it seems as though he thinks that the key is going to be slowing down the former Florida Gator to slow down this offense. Asking for six catches in a game from one man in an offense that has so many weapons is going to be tough. Aaron Hernandez Under 5.5 Receptions (-135)

Rob Gronkowski Over/Under 5.5 Receptions: Same concept. Except with Gronkowski, we’re not 100% sold that he is really ready to be back and playing again in a full-time capacity after breaking his arm two months ago. The Texans know that they have to slow down these tight ends if they want to have any chance of winning on Sunday. Rob Gronkowski Under 5.5 Receptions (-115)

Owen Daniels Over/Under 4.5 Receptions: Daniels has been huge at times for the Texans this year. It seems wrong that he has an over/under of 4.5 receptions in this game, knowing that he didn’t have more than four receptions in any of his last six games. He also only had four games in the regular season with more than four catches. However, last week against the Cincinnati Bengals, Daniels had 11 targets and nine receptions, and that now gives him at least seven targets in three of his last four games. QB Matt Schaub has been terrible of late, but he really has to be better if he is going to have any chance of getting the job done in the playoffs. Daniels might be the key to the Houston offense. Owen Daniels Over 4.5 Receptions (+110)

Will Andre Johnson Score a Touchdown?: We have seen so many big time receivers put together huge games against the Patriots in the past, though Johnson clearly wasn’t one of those men that was able to do that. No. 80 has probably been the best Texan in franchise history, and in the biggest game in franchise history, it’s high time that he steps up. Sure, he only has four touchdowns this year, but he truly is due for a bust out game. We know that the Texans have struggled offensively, and there hasn’t been any receiver, let alone any specific receiver, but Johnson has to be the man to get this game to a competitive level. Andre Johnson To Score a Touchdown (+220)

Arian Foster Over/Under 88.5 Rushing Yards: Foster had a rough go of it against the Patriots a month ago, and he really hasn’t been the same back since that point. However, he did have a remarkable game against a stout Cincinnati defense last week, rushing 140 yards. He also had eight catches for 34 yards and ended up touching the ball a whopping 40 times on the day. Foster is the first and only player in NFL history to run for at least 100 yards in each of his first three playoff games. The team is going to have to run the ball to make it through to the AFC Championship Game, and the Patriots are prone to allowing a bunch of rushing yards. Arian Foster Over 88.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

NFL Props: Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers Predictions 1/12

January 10th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Props: Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers Predictions 1/12
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Colin KaepernickThe San Francisco 49ers and Green Bay Packers are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the Divisional betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Will Either Team Score in the First 6:30?: We really think that there is going to be a heck of a lot of defense in this game, knowing that both of these teams have the ability to do some real damage. The 49ers are going to come out of the blocks running for sure, right into the teeth of a defense that has had a very difficult time stopping the big time rushers this season. Green Bay has to come out firing through the air, but it’s not like there is a question about that to the 49ers. This is a matchup that both of these teams have been working towards for weeks, and we think that the outcome could be a slow start. That’s not to say that there won’t be plenty of points on the board as the game wears on, but we wouldn’t be surprised if the first quarter went by without a score. No Score in the First 6:30 (-115)

Longest Field Goal Made Over/Under 43.5 Yards: It’s tough to think that these two field goal kickers, once stars of the league, are now two of the biggest goats playing in these playoffs. K David Akers nearly got released in between the end of the season and now, and K Mason Crosby has missed as many field goals in big time situations as any kicker in the league this year. That being said, both of these defenses are very hard to break, and there has to be a situation where, just outside of the red zone, one of these two clubs falters. The number that we’re used to seeing for this prop is around 45.5 or 46.5 yards, but 43.5 is just far too low. Last season, had these two teams played, this number would have easily been at least 45.5, as Akers and Crosby were booming them in from all over the place. Kickers are weird, but they’re not that weird. Expect at least one long field goal tonight. Longest Field Goal Made Over 43.5 Yards (-115)

Green Bay Packers Rushing Yards Over/Under 95: Look, this is a bad team on the ground, but it’s not THAT bad of a team on the ground. Green Bay does average over 100 rushing yards per game this year, and though we know that we aren’t getting all of the rushing yards from one back, we do get to add everything in there, and that does include whatever QB Aaron Rodgers ends up with. Forget about the fact that Green Bay hasn’t even gotten to 75 rushing yards over the course of the last two games. This is a much different situation, and unlike against Arizona and Seattle, if Green Bay doesn’t run the ball effectively in this game, Rodgers is going to get killed standing in the pocket. Green Bay Packers Over 95 Rushing Yards (+100)

Colin Kaepernick Over/Under 16.5 Pass Completions: When you look back at the course of the last several games that Kaepernick has played, you see a lot of interesting numbers. He completed 19 against Seattle, 18 against Miami, and 21 against St. Louis, whereas he had 14 against New England and 16 against Arizona. There were also a couple of 16-completion games prior to that as well. Odds have it, the 49ers aren’t going to be blowing away the Packers like they were to the Patriots for the whole second half of the game, and odds have it, they aren’t going to end up getting two defensive touchdowns like they did against the Saints. Factor those games out, and all of a sudden, it becomes clear that, more often than not, Kaepernick is going to end up getting to at least 17 or 18 completions, and we think that he’ll do that again in this one. Colin Kaepernick Over 16.5 Pass Completions (-115)

LaMichael James Over/Under 36 Rushing + Receiving Yards: Head Coach Jim Harbaugh likes to mix it up with his backs, but this is the time of year that he has been doing all of that for. The only way that James is going to end up getting at least 37 yards in this game is either if he busts a big one, or if something happens to RB Frank Gore. We expect to see Gore carry the ball at least 20 times in this game, and that might not leave a heck of a lot for James to do when push comes to shove. We know that the rookie from Oregon is explosive and has the ability to do a lot of damage, but he just won’t get more than five or six touches of the ball in all likelihood, and that just isn’t enough. LaMichael James Under 36 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115)

NFL Prop Picks: Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons Tips 1/13/13

January 8th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons Tips 1/13/13
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Seahawks vs. FalconsThe Atlanta Falcons and Seattle Seahawks are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the Divisional betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Russell Wilson Over/Under 16.5 Completions: When you really think about what Wilson has had to do over the course of the last few weeks, there hasn’t been a whole heck of a lot. The defense has done a ton, the offense has relied upon RB Marshawn Lynch, and in the end, that has been enough to get the job done in comfortable fashion. Still, Wilson knows that he is going to have to make some plays as the postseason wears on, and this is going to be a much tougher task than advertised. That being said, he is going to have no choice but to throw it, and if he knows what’s good for him, he won’t be taking nothing but those long shots right down the field. That means some shorter completions, and that should mean that he is going to average more than four completions per quarter. Especially if the Seahawks have to play this game from behind late, as the oddsmakers are insinuating, this could ultimately be a slam dunk of a play. Russell Wilson Over 16.5 Completions (-115)

Marshawn Lynch Over/Under 101.5 Rushing Yards: Same concept. Sure, Lynch has five straight games with at least 100 yards (one of which didn’t get beyond 101.5 rushing yards, just for the record), and sure, he is going against a defense that routinely allows a ton of rushing yards per game. But these are the playoffs, and the Falcons have been preparing to stop the run now for two full weeks, knowing that they were going to have to go against either Adrian Peterson, Alfred Morris, or Lynch in their first playoff game. Don’t be shocked if Atlanta puts eight in the box, or maybe even more, just to stop Lynch, and that would force Wilson to put the ball in the air. If the Falcons succeed, the Seahawks could end up getting blown out. If they fail, odds have it, it’s Wilson that’s beating them. We’ll take our chances that the Falcons do everything that they can to stuff up the run. Marshawn Lynch Under 101.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Will Richard Sherman Intercept a Pass?: We hate playing props like this one, but the odds are definitely on our side for Sherman to pick off a pass in this game. He did so in seven games this year (eight total INTs), and he is going to be matched up with a receiver that is going to get at least 8-10 targets when push comes to shove, regardless as to whether he is dealing with WR Julio Jones or WR Roddy White. Sherman picked off a pass in three of his final four regular season games, and now, he gets to go against a quarterback in QB Matt Ryan who has thrown five interceptions in his three career postseason games. It’s just too nice of a price to pass on for what might be a 50/50 proposition. Richard Sherman To Intercept a Pass (+220)

Tony Gonzalez Over/Under 5.5 Receptions: Gonzalez caught 93 passes this year, averaging 5.8 per game, and this is a nice matchup for him. The Seahawks have been weak in the slot this year, as they have kept Sherman and DB Brandon Browner matched up on the outside with wide receivers for the mass majority of the season without shifting them into the slot. We have to figure that those two are going to stay blanketed on WR Julio Jones and WR Roddy White for the whole game, and that’s going to leave a safety or a linebacker to cover Gonzalez. Gonzo knows what he is doing here in the second season, and he has still got the abilities to be one of the best tight ends that football has to offer. We wouldn’t be shocked to see him log six receptions by halftime in this one, as he is going to often times act as the security blanket when White and Jones aren’t open. Tony Gonzalez Over 5.5 Receptions (-115)

NFL Prop Picks: Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens Tips 1/6/13

January 6th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens Tips 1/6/13
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Joe FlaccoThe Baltimore Ravens and Indianapolis Colts are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the Wild Card betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over/Under 44.5 Yards: Six of Indy’s last seven games have featured at least one touchdown of at least 45 yards, and it’s tough to think that there won’t be at least one really long score in this one. Of course, it’s tough to get these big ones in Ravens’ games. There has only been one TD of at least 45 yards in their games since November 18th against the Pittsburgh Steelers. QB Andrew Luck takes shot after shot down the field though, and he is inevitably going to connect with one of his big men, whether it be WR Reggie Wayne, WR TY Hilton, or WR Donnie Avery for the big play that results in six points more often than not. Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 44.5 Yards (-115)

Andrew Luck Longest Completion Over/Under 37.5 Yards: Wouldn’t it be nice if we could just get Luck’s longest completion out of the way with the longest touchdown of the game right away in this one? Luck has hit at least one 60+ yard pass in three of his last five games, and he had eight games this year where he completed a pass for at least 40 yards. Six of those came since Week 9 against the Miami Dolphins though, and it is clear that he is going to be taking his shots. Luck doesn’t complete a slew of passes, but he does go after a lot of receivers, especially right down the middle of the field, and he often averages over 12 yards per pass that he completes in games. The Baltimore defense will be hard-pressed to keep Luck from completing any pass for more than 37 yards. Andrew Luck Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards (-115)

Joe Flacco Over/Under 255.5 Passing Yards: This is a whole bunch of passing yards to ask for a quarterback to get in a game like this one. The Indy secondary clearly isn’t all that bad, and ever since Jim Caldwell has taken over as the team’s offensive coordinator, Flacco has been asked to do less and less. He has seven games since Week 5 (Week 17 not counting in there) in which he has thrown for fewer than 255 yards, and we’re really not all that sure where the oddsmakers are getting this one from. Flacco only averaged 252.2 yards per game this year (again, not counting Week 17), and he had a lot more games this year with way over 255 yards (382 vs. New England, 356 vs. Cleveland, 341 vs. Oakland) than he did falling way under 255 (147 against Houston, 153 against Cleveland). This is a line that just doesn’t make any sense to us. Joe Flacco Under 255.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Ray Rice Over/Under 97.5 Rushing Yards: Rice really didn’t have a great year, but he did run for at least 100 yards in two of his final three legitimate starts this year. Caldwell has been calling upon his rushing game more with both Rice and RB Bernard Pierce, both of which could be in for great games against an Indy defense that has historically been very weak up front against the run. We really don’t see any reason why the Ravens won’t rush for at least 150 yards in this game, and if they do that, Rice should get at least 100, if not more of them when push comes to shove. Bank on the little big man to come up in a big time way for the Ravens on Sunday. Ray Rice Over 97.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 1/6/13):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -140
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game +110

Colts Score First +130
Ravens Score First -160

First Score a Touchdown -170
First Score Not a Touchdown +140

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -110
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -120

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards +100

Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Over 3.5 +110
Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Under 3.5 -140

Total Punts by Both Teams Over 9.5 -115
Total Punts by Both Teams Under 9.5 -115

Total Sacks by Both Teams Over 4.5 +100
Total Sacks by Both Teams Under 4.5 -130

Game Will Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points +400
Game Will Not Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points -600

Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored +135
No Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored -165

Largest Lead of the Game Over 16.5 +100
Largest Lead of the Game Under 16.5 -130

Andrew Luck Throws a Touchdown First -145
Andrew Luck Throws an Interception First +115

Andrew Luck Completions Over 20.5 -115
Andrew Luck Completions Under 20.5 -115

Andrew Luck Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards -115
Andrew Luck Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards -115

Andrew Luck Passing Yards Over 262.5 -115
Andrew Luck Passing Yards Under 262.5 -115

Andrew Luck Rushing Yards Over 15
Andrew Luck Rushing Yards Under 15

Andrew Luck Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +110
Andrew Luck Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -140

Andrew Luck Throws an Interception -260
Andrew Luck Doesn’t Throw an Interception +200

Vick Ballard Rushing Yards Over 63.5 -115
Vick Ballard Rushing Yards Under 63.5 -115

Vick Ballard Scores a Touchdown +220
Vick Ballard Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -300

Reggie Wayne Receptions Over 5.5 -115
Reggie Wayne Receptions Under 5.5 -115

Reggie Wayne Longest Reception Over 22.5 Yards -115
Reggie Wayne Longest Reception Under 22.5 Yards -115

Reggie Wayne Receiving Yards Over 78.5 -115
Reggie Wayne Receiving Yards Under 78.5 -115

Reggie Wayne Scores a Touchdown +170
Reggie Wayne Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -220

TY Hilton Receptions Over 3.5 +100
TY Hilton Receptions Under 3.5 -130

TY Hilton Scores a Touchdown +150
TY Hilton Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Adam Vinatieri Points Over 7.5 -115
Adam Vinatieri Points Under 7.5 -115

Joe Flacco Completions Over 20.5 -115
Joe Flacco Completions Under 20.5 -115

Joe Flacco Longest Completion Over 40.5 Yards -115
Joe Flacco Longest Completion Under 40.5 Yards -115

Joe Flacco Passing Yards Over 255.5 -115
Joe Flacco Passing Yards Under 255.5 -115

Joe Flacco Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -145
Joe Flacco Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +115

Joe Flacco Throws an Interception -200
Joe Flacco Doesn’t Throw an Interception +160

Ray Rice Rushing Yards Over 97.5 -115
Ray Rice Rushing Yards Under 97.5 -115

Ray Rice Yards on First Rushing Attempt Over 3.5 -130
Ray Rice Yards on First Rushing Attempt Under 3.5 +100

Ray Rice Receiving Yards Over 35.5 -115
Ray Rice Receiving Yards Under 35.5 -115

Ray Rice Scores a First Half Touchdown +160
Ray Rice Doesn’t Score a First Half Touchdown -200

Ray Rice Scores a Touchdown -140
Ray Rice Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +110

Anquan Boldin Receptions Over 4.5 +105
Anquan Boldin Receptions Under 4.5 -135

Anquan Boldin Receiving Yards Over 66.5 -115
Anquan Boldin Receiving Yards Under 66.5 -115

Torrey Smith Receptions Over 3.5 -130
Torrey Smith Receptions Under 3.5 +100

Torrey Smith Receiving Yards Over 63.5 -115
Torrey Smith Receiving Yards Under 63.5 -115

Torrey Smith Scores a Touchdown +140
Torrey Smith Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Dennis Pitta Receiving Yards Over 45.5 -115
Dennis Pitta Receiving Yards Under 45.5 -115

Dennis Pitta Scores a Touchdown +135
Dennis Pitta Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -170

Jacoby Jones Receiving Yards Over 22.5 -115
Jacoby Jones Receiving Yards Under 22.5 -115

Ed Reed Intercepts a Pass +260
Ed Reed Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -340

Ray Lewis Tackles Over 8 -115
Ray Lewis Tackles Under 8 -115

Justin Tucker Points Over 7.5 -140
Justin Tucker Points Under 7.5 +110