Posts Tagged ‘Chicago Bears’

NFL Prop Picks: Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Predictions 10/22/12

October 21st, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Predictions 10/22/12
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Full Lions @ Bears NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Lions vs. BearsThe Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 7 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Robbie Gould Total Points Over/Under 9.5 : Are we really reading this properly? 9.5 points for a kicker in a game is absolutely insane, knowing that is going to take at least three field goals for the job to get done (unless Chicago plans on scoring four touchdowns or the kicker plans on scoring a touchdown or something absurd like that). We understand that the Bears’ kicker has had games this year of 11, 4, 11, 10, and 11 points, but let’s be realistic. First off, Gould is going to miss a kick every now and again, something that he has yet to do all season long, and if you think that Chicago is going to score four touchdowns or more in 60% of their games as they are doing this year, you’re out of your skull. This is just an insanely high number, especially knowing that this game is likely going to be played in rainy conditions and on a wet field. Robbie Gould Total Points Under 9.5 (-130)

Brian Urlacher Total Tackles Over/Under 5.5: We aren’t so sure whether we like Urlacher’s ‘under’ better or LB Lance Briggs ‘over’. Odds have it, both are going to be sound plays. Urlacher is clearly a step behind where he used to be, and he really looks like nothing more than a “pretty good” middle linebacker. He has to spend more plays on the sidelines now than he has had to do in the past, and as a result, he doesn’t have a single game this year in which he has more than five tackles. Sure, the time is going to come when Urlacher has an eight-tackle game or something of the sorts, and this very well could be that game. But we have to remember that this is all about playing the percentages, and the percentages most certainly say that Urlacher is going to be stuck at five tackles or fewer a whole heck of a lot more often than not. Brian Urlacher Total Tackles Under 5.5 (-130)

Kellen Davis Receiving Yards Over/Under 25.5: Davis might get some more publicity this week for two reasons for the Bears. For starters, he is one of the three people on the team that are expected to be active that have at least eight receptions on the season. One is WR Brandon Marshall, who is going to draw all sorts of attention, and one is RB Matt Forte. The rest of the massive receivers that QB Jay Cutler have to work with are out of the fold, namely WR Johnny Knox and WR Alshon Jeffrey, but in the end, Davis might emerge as a legitimate threat. In each of the last four games this year, Davis has had at least 20 receiving yards, though he has struggled to reach this threshold. Our argument is that there should be at least a couple more pass attempts thrown his way on Monday, and if that turns out to be the case, Davis should be able to get to at least 30 yards receiving more often than not. Kellen Davis Receiving Yards Over 25.5 (+100)

Jason Hanson Total Points Over/Under 9.5: Here we go again with these insane kicking props. We’ll keep this brief, as the explanation really is the same for Hanson as it was for Gould. Yes, Hanson has three games this year with at least four field goals made, but the time is coming that that is just going to stop. He is on a pace to boot 51 field goals this year, and that would smash the NFL record by seven field goals. Last year, Hanson only had 24 field goals and 29 field goal attempts in 16 games. He just won’t be able to keep up at this pace for the whole campaign under any circumstance. Jason Hanson Total Points Under 9.5 (-115)

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears NFL Props @ BetOnline Sportsbook (as of 10/22/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -115
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -115

Lions Score First +130
Bears Score First -160

First Score a Touchdown -175
First Score Not a Touchdown +145

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 45.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 45.5 Yards -115

Matthew Stafford Completions Over 25.5 -125
Matthew Stafford Completions Under 25.5 -105

Matthew Stafford Longest Completion Over 39.5 Yards -115
Matthew Stafford Longest Completion Under 39.5 Yards -115

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Over 280.5 -115
Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Under 280.5 -115

Matthew Stafford Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -140
Matthew Stafford Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +110

Matthew Stafford Throws an Interception -240
Matthew Stafford Doesn’t Throw an Interception +180

Mikel Leshoure Rushing Yards Over 62.5 -115
Mikel Leshoure Rushing Yards Under 62.5 -115

Mikel Leshoure Scores a Touchdown +150
Mikel Leshoure Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -190

Calvin Johnson Receptions Over 6.5 -115
Calvin Johnson Receptions Under 6.5 -115

Calvin Johnson Longest Yardage Receptions Over 33.5 -115
Calvin Johnson Longest Yardage Receptions Under 33.5 -115

Calvin Johnson Receiving Yards Over 95.5 -115
Calvin Johnson Receiving Yards Under 95.5 -115

Calvin Johnson Scores a Touchdown -115
Calvin Johnson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Nate Burleson Receptions Over 4.5 -115
Nate Burleson Receptions Under 4.5 -115

Nate Burleson Receiving Yards Over 48.5 -115
Nate Burleson Receiving Yards Under 48.5 -115

Tony Scheffler Receptions Over 2.5 -115
Tony Scheffler Receptions Under 2.5 -115

Ndamukong Suh Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 2.5 -115
Ndamukong Suh Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 2.5 -115

Jason Hanson Total Points Over 9.5 -115
Jason Hanson Total Points Under 9.5 -115

Jay Cutler Completions Over 20 -130
Jay Cutler Completions Under 20 +100

Jay Cutler Passing Yards Over 250.5 -115
Jay Cutler Passing Yards Under 250.5 -115

Jay Cutler Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -150
Jay Cutler Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +120

Jay Cutler Throws an Interception -200
Jay Cutler Doesn’t Thrown an Interception +160

Matt Forte Total Rushing + Receiving Yards Over 108.5 -115
Matt Forte Total Rushing + Receiving Yards Under 108.5 -115

Matt Forte Scores a Touchdown -140
Matt Forte Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +110

Brandon Marshall Receptions Over 6.5 -115
Brandon Marshall Receptions Under 6.5 -115

Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Over 90.5 -115
Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Under 90.5 -115

Brandon Marshall Scores a Touchdown -125
Brandon Marshall Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -105

Alshon Jeffrey Receptions Over 2.5 -115
Alshon Jeffrey Receptions Under 2.5 -115

Alshon Jeffrey Receiving Yards Over 33.5 -115
Alshon Jeffrey Receiving Yards Under 33.5 -115

Kellen Davis Receiving Yards Over 25.5 +100
Kellen Davis Receiving Yards Under 25.5 -130

Lance Briggs Total Tackles Over 5.5 +100
Lance Briggs Total Tackles Under 5.5 -130

Brian Urlacher Total Tackles Over 5.5 +100
Brian Urlacher Total Tackles Under 5.5 -130

Julius Peppers Total Tackles Over 2.5 -140
Julius Peppers Total Tackles Under 2.5 +110

Charles Tillman Intercepts a Pass +240
Charles Tillman Does Not Intercept a Pass -320

Robbie Gould Total Points Over 9.5 +100
Robbie Gould Total Points Under 9.5 -130

NFL Prop Picks: Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys Predictions 10/1/12

September 30th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys Predictions 10/1/12
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Full Bears @ Cowboys NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Tony Romo CowboysThe Dallas Cowboys and Chicago Bears are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 4 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Longest Touchdown Over/Under 40.5 Yards: It’s absolutely impossible to think that the Bears are going to be able to score a touchdown of at least 41 yards considering the fact that they have one play of more than 41 yards offensively for the entire season (and that went for just 42 yards!). Dallas however, has a heck of a lot of big play receivers and backs that can blow through a defense in a jiffy. RB DeMarco Murray, WR Dez Bryant, and WR Miles Austin all have plays of at least 41 yards this year to their credit. With this prop as always, we get all kick and punt returns for touchdowns as well, and that means that we could get the explosive WR Devin Hester in primetime, where he has returned just a boatload of kicks for touchdowns in his career in the biggest spotlight. It only takes one play and one moment of brilliance, and we think that there will be at least one of those big time plays in this one as both offenses look to take advantage of incredibly aggressive defenses. Longest Touchdown Over 40.5 Yards (-115)

Jay Cutler Over/Under 240.5 Passing Yards: This is a brutally bad game for Cutler to be playing in. The former Vanderbilt Commodore still has a shoddy offensive line in front of him, and that unit is going to be under constant duress with the Dallas defensive front trying to wreck it. Cutler as it is, doesn’t like to put the ball in the air, as we expect to see both RB Michael Bush and RB Khalil Bell getting the ball at least 25 times between them. The ball really hasn’t been worked up the field all that much, as demonstrated by the fact that the longest play of the year has only gone 42 yards. It’s going to be really hard for Cutler, who already has six picks this year against just three touchdowns, to get to 241 passing yards against a defense that ranks second in the league against the pass coming into Week 4. Jay Cutler Under 240.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Tony Romo Over/Under 23.5 Pass Completions: This really feels like a bit of a sucker’s bet to us at this point. Romo is a great quarterback, but he has really never averaged all that more than about 21 completions per game. He has enough history now so we know that he can throw for 400 yards on 35-40 completed passes if he really needs to, but Head Coach Jason Garrett, a former quarterback in his own right, would rather keep the ball on the ground and get the job done that way than watch as his quarterback has to put the ball in the air a ton. Romo has 70 completed passes this year, but we think that he is going to regulate himself just a bit in this one. Remember that Chicago too, has a ferocious pass rush, and if the Bears can keep the football on a regular basis, that will eat into the abilities that Romo has to complete this many passes. Tony Romo Under 23.5 Pass Completions (-115)

Jason Witten Over/Under 4.5 Receptions: This is a beautiful NFL prop play, and we think that it is one of the easiest, yet trickiest props on the board. With just eight catches this year, Witten seems to have clearly lost a step. However, one closer tells a tremendously different story. He’s got 21 targets over the course of the first three games of the year, which is just one shy of the two big time Cowboys receivers. You can bet that Romo is going to try his best to get the ball into the middle of the field to his big tight end early and often against a defense that has been prone to allowing plenty of yards to tight ends this year. Witten might not look like a man that has the ability to have five passes in well over half of his games any longer, but this is one of those games where he will certainly get the job done. Jason Witten Over 4.5 Receptions (-140)

Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Props @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 10/1/12):
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Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game -110

Bears Score First +105
Cowboys Score First -135

First Score a Touchdown -160
First Score Not a Touchdown +130

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 40.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 40.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -120
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -110

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards +100

Total Field Goals Made Over 3.5 +130
Total Field Goals Made Under 3.5 -160

Total Punts Over 8.5 -145
Total Punts Under 8.5 +115

Total Sacks Over 5 -120
Total Sacks Under 5 -110

Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown +145
Not a Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown -175

Jay Cutler Completions Over 19.5 -115
Jay Cutler Completions Under 19.5 -115

Jay Cutler Longest Completion Over 35.5 Yards -105
Jay Cutler Longest Completion Under 35.5 Yards -125

Jay Cutler Passing Yards Over 240.5 -115
Jay Cutler Passing Yards Under 240.5 -115

Jay Cutler Total Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +110
Jay Cutler Total Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -140

Jay Cutler Throws an Interception -250
Jay Cutler Doesn’t Throw an Interception +190

Michael Bush Rushing Yards Over 57.5 +100
Michael Bush Rushing Yards Under 57.5 -130

Brandon Marshall Over 5.5 Receptions +100
Brandon Marshall Under 5.5 Receptions -130

Brandon Marshall Over 69.5 Receiving Yards -115
Brandon Marshall Under 69.5 Receiving Yards -115

Brandon Marshall Scores a Touchdown +115
Brandon Marshall Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -145

Alshon Jeffrey Total Receiving Yards Over 47.5 -115
Alshon Jeffrey Total Receiving Yards Under 47.5 -115

Alshon Jeffrey Total Receptions Over 3 -130
Alshon Jeffrey Total Receptions Under 3 +100

Earl Bennett Total Receptions Over 2 -130
Earl Bennett Total Receptions Under 2 +100

Kellen Davis Total Receptions Over 2 +135
Kellen Davis Total Receptions Under 2 -170

Lance Briggs Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 6.5 -115
Lance Briggs Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 6.5 -115

Brian Urlacher Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 6.5 -115
Brian Urlacher Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 6.5 -115

Julius Peppers Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 3.5 +110
Julius Peppers Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 3.5 -140

Robbie Gould Total Points Over 7.5 -115
Robbie Gould Total Points Under 7.5 -115

Tony Romo Completions Over 23.5 -115
Tony Romo Completions Under 23.5 -115

Tony Romo Passing Yards Over 253.5 -115
Tony Romo Passing Yards Under 253.5 -115

Tony Romo Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -130
Tony Romo Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +100

Tony Romo Throws an Interception -225
Tony Romo Doesn’t Thrown an Interception +175

DeMarco Murray Over 77.5 Rushing Yards -115
DeMarco Murray Under 77.5 Rushing Yards -115

DeMarco Murray Scores a Touchdown +120
DeMarco Murray Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

Miles Austin Total Receptions Over 4.5 -135
Miles Austin Total Receptions Under 4.5 +105

Miles Austin Total Receiving Yards Over 68.5 -115
Miles Austin Total Receiving Yards Under 68.5 -115

Miles Austin Scores a Touchdown +115
Miles Austin Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -145

Dez Bryant Total Receptions Over 4.5 -115
Dez Bryant Total Receptions Under 4.5 -115

Dez Bryant Total Receiving Yards Over 65.5 -115
Dez Bryant Total Receiving Yards Under 65.5 -115

Dez Bryant Scores a Touchdown +105
Dez Bryant Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -135

Jason Witten Total Receptions Over 4.5 -140
Jason Witten Total Receptions Under 4.5 +110

Jason Witten Total Receiving Yards Over 50.5 -115
Jason Witten Total Receiving Yards Under 50.5 -115

Kevin Ogletree Total Receptions Over 3.5 +115
Kevin Ogletree Total Receptions Under 3.5 -145

Kevin Ogletree Scores a Touchdown +220
Kevin Ogletree Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -300

Sean Lee Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 7.5 -130
Sean Lee Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 7.5 +100

DeMarcus Ware Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 5.5 -115
DeMarcus Ware Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 5.5 -115

Dan Bailey Total Points Over 7.5 -105
Dan Bailey Total Points Under 7.5 -125

NFL Prop Picks: Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers Picks 9/13/12

September 13th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers Picks 9/13/12
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Full Bears @ Packers NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Jay Cutler SackedThe Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 2 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for the first game of the season.

Randall Cobb Yards On First Reception Over/Under 8.5: WR Greg Jennings is considered a 50/50 proposition to be able to play on Thursday night, and that might mean that we see more of Cobb playing out of the slot. This is one of the shiftiest players in the league, and often times, he is able to get loose from defenders and turn short looking passes into big time gains. That being said, that first look that he is going to have is almost certainly going to be a bubble screen type of play, as QB Aaron Rodgers looks to get his confidence back after having a woeful game last week against the San Francisco 49ers. We just don’t see how the former Kentucky Wildcat is going to have at least nine yards more often than not on his first touch of the football, and this also keeps us covered in the event that he doesn’t catch a pass. Randall Cobb Yards on First Reception Under 8.5 (-115)

Cedric Benson Rushing Yards on First Attempt Over/Under 3.5: Let’s be realistic here. This is a man that carried the ball for an average of right at 2.0 yards per carry last week, and Benson is a runner that really has never been “four yards and a cloud of dust” type of guy. Instead, he is just a guy who is going to barrel right into the line of scrimmage and see what happens with his blockers, and against this Chicago front, that probably isn’t going to go all that well. Look at it this way: Will Benson have more carries over or under four yards tonight? Until we see more out of the Green Bay offensive line, we have no choice but to think that the proper answer is ‘under’. Benson Rushing Yards on First Attempt Under 3.5 (-130)

Will Matt Forte Score a Touchdown?: This is a very, very tricky prop in which you have to be mighty careful. Sure, it seems immediately that Forte would of course get into the end zone, knowing that he is the featured back and will touch the ball at least 20 times over the course of the night. However, last week on the goal line, it was RB Michael Bush that snuck in from a yard out twice, not Forte. Yes, Forte did get his rushing touchdown, but that came from outside the five, not inside of it. That’s not a good sign here for him to score this time around. Sure, Forte could break one and get into the end zone that way, and it just doesn’t seem like it is nearly a slam dunk to have this happen. Forte To Not Score a Touchdown (-105)

Jay Cutler Over/Under 22.5 Completions: Alright Cutler, this is where the rubber is going to meet the road for you. You’ve spoken all about how you think that you are going to take advantage of the bump and run coverage that the Packers are going to send your way, and you think that you are going to tear that apart. We think otherwise. Green Bay is going to be sending the pressure Cutler’s way from start to finish over the course of this night, and that’s going to translate into a shady game for the Chicago quarterback. Asking a man on a team that wants to run the ball first to complete 23 passes against a team that is going to be out for blood just isn’t a great idea. Most will jump right towards the ‘over’ after last week, but we are going to take the road less travelled, which will probably also be the more profitable road over the long run. Cutler Under 22.5 Completions (-115)

Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Props @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 9/13/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -110

Bears Score First +130
Packers Score First -160

First Score a Touchdown -200
First Score Not a Touchdown +160

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 49.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 49.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 43.5 Yards -120
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 43.5 Yards -110

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -125
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards -105

Total Field Goals Made Over 3.5 +140
Total Field Goals Made Under 3.5 -170

Total Punts Over 10.5 +100
Total Punts Under 10.5 -130

Total Sacks Over 4.5 -130
Total Sacks Under 4.5 +100

Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown +140
Not a Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown -170

Jay Cutler Completions Over 22.5 -115
Jay Cutler Completions Under 22.5 -115

Jay Cutler Passing Yards Over 277.5 -115
Jay Cutler Passing Yards Under277.5 -115

Jay Cutler Total Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -150
Jay Cutler Total Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +120

Jay Cutler Throws an Interception -200
Jay Cutler Doesn’t Throw an Interception +160

Matt Forte Rushing Yards Over 82.5 -115
Matt Forte Rushing Yards Under 82.5 -115

Matt Forte Receptions Over 3.5 -130
Matt Forte Receptions Under 3.5 +100

Matt Forte Scores a Touchdown -125
Matt Forte Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -105

Brandon Marshall Receptions Over 6.5 -125
Brandon Marshall Receptions Under 6.5 -105

Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Over 90.5 -115
Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Under 90.5 -115

Brandon Marshall Scores a Touchdown -115
Brandon Marshall Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Earl Bennett Receptions Over 3 -130
Earl Bennett Receptions Under 3 +100

Devin Hester Longest Reception Over 23.5 Yards -115
Devin Hester Longest Reception Under 23.5 Yards -115

Alshon Jeffrey Yards on First Reception Over 11.5 -115
Alshon Jeffrey Yards on First Reception Under 11.5 -115

Aaron Rodgers Completions Over 24.5 -130
Aaron Rodgers Completions Under 24.5 +100

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Over 302.5 -125
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Under 302.5 -105

Aaron Rodgers Touchdown Passes Over 2.5 +100
Aaron Rodgers Touchdown Passes Under 2.5 -130

Aaron Rodgers Throws an Interception -125
Aaron Rodgers Doesn’t Throw an Interception -105

Cedric Benson Yards on First Carry Over 3.5 +100
Cedric Benson Yards on First Carry Under 3.5 -130

Jordy Nelson Receptions Over 5 -140
Jordy Nelson Receptions Under 5 +110

Jordy Nelson Receiving Yards Over 70.5 -125
Jordy Nelson Receiving Yards Under 70.5 -105

Jordy Nelson Scores a Touchdown -110
Jordy Nelson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -110

James Jones Receptions Over 3.5 -145
James Jones Receptions Under 3.5 +115

James Jones Scores a Touchdown +120
James Jones Doesn’t Score a Touchdown-150

Jermichael Finley Receptions Over 4.5 -160
Jermichael Finley Receptions Under 4.5 +130

Randall Cobb Yards on First Reception Over 8.5 -115
Randall Cobb Yards on First Reception Under 8.5 -115

2011 NFC North Odds – Odds To Win, NFC North Picks, Preview

August 13th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFC North Odds – Odds To Win, NFC North Picks, Preview
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Full List of Odds To Win The NFC North Can Be Found Below

Last season’s NFC North had a heck of a lot more downs than ups, but in the end, two of its teams were playing for all of the marbles in the conference. Will things be the same this year? Our NFL betting breakdown of the NFC North odds will show you the way.

We know that the Green Bay Packers (Current NFC North Odds: 1 to 1.85 at 5Dimes Sportsbook) are once again going to be the team with all of the hype around them because of the fact that they are the defending Super Bowl champs. The Pack really return the mass majority of their team from a season ago, and they get back both RB Ryan Grant and TE Jermichael Finley, two key pieces to the puzzle who were injured for the majority of the season. Last year, Green Bay had a ton of hype around it and really failed to live up to that hype… that is, until the very end of the regular season when all of a sudden, there wasn’t a team out there that had a shot of beating it. We’ll see how it translates this year and whether the Packers are really deserving of being the biggest chalks in the conference.

The Chicago Bears (NFC North Lines: 4.50 to 1 at BoDog Sportsbook) are the bunch with all of the question marks this year. QB Jay Cutler and Head Coach Lovie Smith both know that this is a season where they have to perform admirably. No, that doesn’t mean that Chicago has to get back to the NFC Championship Game, but at least it has to show some heart and at least compete for a playoff spot. There’s no doubt that this is a squad taking a step backwards this upcoming season, as no one expects it to even make the postseason. However, if they can get their defense going and Cutler remembers what color his team is wearing, the Bears could be a viable team.

The team that many are expecting to make big time strides this year is the Detroit Lions (Odds to Win the NFC North: 5.50 to 1 at 5Dimes Sportsbook). The combination of DT Ndamukong Suh and DT Nick Fairley on the inside is going to be incredibly fun to watch, but the real question is going to be whether QB Matt Stafford can for one stay healthy, and secondly take some big time strides towards leading a playoff team. We’ve seen the potential in the former No. 1 overall pick in the NFL Draft, and we know that he has some great pieces to the puzzle around him, but there is a question as to whether or not it is all going to come together when it needs to in these tight divisional games.

The intriguing side this season if the team can get any quarterback play is the Minnesota Vikings (2011 NFC North Odds: 12 to 1 at 5Dimes Sportsbook). It was only two years ago that this team was in the NFC Championship Game and just a matter of a few yards away from having a shot to go the Super Bowl. However, QB Brett Favre reverted from a man who played like an MVP to one who played like he was 40 years old, and that parlayed with injuries and the loss of the Metrodome due to inclement weather really finished off the spirit of the team. The Vikes are going to rebuild around QB Christian Ponder in the future, but adding QB Donovan McNabb this year could be just what the doctor ordered. RB Adrian Peterson is one of the best in the league, and though talents like WR Sidney Rice and DT Pat Williams have moved on, there is still plenty of playoff type talent in here. We may be getting a fantastic price on Minnesota on the NFL betting lines this year.

2011 NFL Odds @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 8/10/11):
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Odds To Win NFC North
Chicago Bears 3.25 to 1
Detroit Lions 5.50 to 1
Green Bay Packers 1 to 1.85
Minnesota Vikings 12 to 1

Odds To Win The 2012 Super Bowl
Chicago Bears 25 to 1
Detroit Lions 45 to 1
Green Bay Packers 8.45 to 1
Minnesota Vikings 42 to 1

NFC North Super Bowl Odds @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 8/10/11):
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Odds To Win NFC North Division
Chicago Bears 4.50 to 1
Detroit Lions 4.50 to 1
Green Bay Packers 1 to 3
Minnesota Vikings 9.50 to 1

Super Bowl 46 Odds
Chicago Bears 25 to 1
Detroit Lions 35 to 1
Green Bay Packers 3.50 to 1
Minnesota Vikings 35 to 1

NFC North Odds @ Oddsmaker Sportsbook (as of 8/10/11):
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2011 NFC North Odds
Chicago Bears 4 to 1
Detroit Lions 5 to 1
Green Bay Packers 1 to 2
Minnesota Vikings 10 to 1

NFC North Odds To Win the Super Bowl
Chicago Bears 25 to 1
Detroit Lions 45 to 1
Green Bay Packers 5 to 1
Minnesota Vikings 40 to 1

NFL Betting Odds @ BoDog Sportsbook (as of 8/10/11):
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NFC North Odds
Chicago Bears 4.50 to 1
Detroit Lions 5 to 1
Green Bay Packers 1 to 1.90
Minnesota Vikings 7.50 to 1

Super Bowl Odds
Chicago Bears 28 to 1
Detroit Lions 30 to 1
Green Bay Packers 7 to 1
Minnesota Vikings 35 to 1

 

NFL Football Picks: Championship Weekend Props 1/23/11

January 23rd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Championship Weekend Props 1/23/11
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There are only three games left in the entire NFL betting campaign, but before we get ready to make our Super Bowl XLV picks, we have some unfinished business to tend to in the AFC and NFC Championship Games. Check out our NFL prop picks for two of the biggest games of the entire season!

Will There Be a Score in the First 6.5 Minutes of the Game Bears/Packers Game?
We know that the Chicago offense got off to a great start last week against the Seattle Seahawks, but we also have to remember that these two teams have played some absolutely sparkling defense along the way as well. If the Bears get the ball first, there is a decent chance that a scoring drive might take over 6.5 minutes even if it does happen on the opening sequence, believe it or not. We’re believers that points could be at a premium on Sunday, and though that might not necessarily translate into a lower scoring game, we’ll take our chances that the first score doesn’t occur early on. Bank on there being No Score in the First 6.5 Minutes (-110 at Hollywood Sportsbook) between the Bears and the Packers.

Will There Be a Safety in Both Championship Games?
This season, including the playoffs, there have only been 13 safeties. That’s right. Over the course of all of those games in the NFL betting schedule, 264 of them, there have only been 13 safeties. That’s one safety in every 4.9% of games played in the league this year. In 2009, there were only 14 safeties, including the playoffs. Let’s do some simple math here, shall we? Over the last 531 games in the NFL, there have been 27 safeties, or one safety in approximately 20 games (5.08%). If we can hit this prop at -1000 in 94.92% of our games, we’re going to be worth a ton of money. Over 1,000 games, at this price, if we were to bet $1,000 to win $100, we would have a profit of $4,412. Not a bad haul, eh? No Safety in the NFC Championship Game, and No Safety in the AFC Championship Game (-1000 Each Bet at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Aaron Rodgers Over/Under 3.5 Rushing Attempts
Rodgers certainly hasn’t been afraid to tuck it and run when he has to this season, as he was one of the best running options for a team that really didn’t have all that much to work with in that department in 2010. The former Cal Golden Bear took off 64 times this year and accounted for 356 yards in the regular season, but what impressed us the most is the fact that he had seven carries in the 10-3 win over these Bears in Week 17. Rodgers hasn’t gotten to this point yet in the playoffs, as he only has five carries in two games, but we tend to believe that this will be an exception, as the Chicago defense is a lot more prone to sending a lot of men after the quarterback, which could cause Rodgers to have to escape more often than he really wants to. He’ll go Over 3.5 Rushing Attempts (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook) against the Colts.

Matt Forte Over/Under 16.5 Yards on Longest Carry
It’s only one stroke of luck and one stroke of genius that will get Forte to this type of a number. We’ve seen that the Bears have stayed committed to Forte this season when they have had the chance to, and over the course of the last four games, he has at least 15 carries in all four outings and has averaged 19 carries per game. Forte isn’t really the most explosive runner in the world, but he has had a ton of opportunities, especially when he gets the ball in open space, to be able to take advantage and pick up some huge gainers. Over the course of the second half of the season, Chicago’s top running back has had a long carry of at least 17 yards six times, and we tend to believe that that will continue on Sunday. Forte’s longest carry will be Over 16.5 Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Total Sacks in the AFC Championship Game
We’re a tad surprised to see Hollywood hang a ‘5’ in this game instead of a ‘5.5’ due to the fact that last week, there were 11 sacks in the duel between the Steelers and the Baltimore Ravens. We know that there are a ton of problems right now for the Steelers up front, and the Jets have really yet to show their best pass rush in these playoffs to date. After getting after QB Tom Brady all week last week, we have no doubt that New York can get to QB Ben Roethlisberger in this one, and when it does, it is going to make those opportunities pay off. There is no way, with these two ferocious defenses, that there aren’t Over 5 Sacks (-130 at Hollywood Sportsbook) significantly more often than not.

LaDainian Tomlinson Over/Under 18.5 Receiving Yards
You know that LT is going to get his touches in this game, and you know that the Pittsburgh defense is going to do what it can to make sure that he doesn’t have the same 49 yards on 11 carries that he had when these two squads met last month. We know that Tomlinson hasn’t been used all that much as a receiver of late, but there is a point that QB Mark Sanchez is going to have to realize that he doesn’t have the time to work the ball up the field against this Pittsburgh defense. Last week, it was TE Todd Heap for the Ravens that made all of those catches over the middle of the field, and it is clear that Tomlinson is going to be asked to fill that role as a check down option at times when Sanchez is in trouble. LT will go Over 18.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) against the Pittsburgh defense.

Heath Miller Over/Under 3.5 Receptions
We’ve already talked just a tad about inside routes with Heap and the Steelers defense, but what about the New York ‘D’? This unit really doesn’t give up much of anything to anyone, but if there is a bit of a weakness, it is against teams that really utilize either tight ends or other receiving options to sit down in the middle of the field. Last week, Brady was really forced to do nothing but try to throw balls underneath to WR Deion Branch and TE Rob Gronkowski, while the week before, the Colts did the exact same thing with TE Jacob Tamme. Now, enter Heath Miller, who has had at least four catches in three straight games and is proving to be a great safety net for Roethlisberger when he gets himself out of some trouble in the pocket. Big Ben loves using his big time tight end, as Miller often gets at least a half dozen looks per game. He’s a big play threat up the seams and could be in for a lot of looks on Sunday, especially knowing that WR Mike Wallace and his friends are going to be worked a ton up the sides of the field. This is the man in the middle that should have a great day. Miller will go Over 3.5 Receptions (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) against the New York ‘D’.

NFC Championship Picks: Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears Analysis

January 16th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFC Championship Picks: Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears Analysis

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The first spot in Super Bowl XLV will be handed out on Sunday, January 23rd at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL, as the Chicago Bears will take on the Green Bay Packers. These two teams know all about each other, having already played two games this season, with the home team winning both duels. The Bears covered both sets of NFL odds in these divisional clashes, and the oddsmakers still have them as three point underdogs on Sunday. Which team will beat the NFC Championship odds? Check out these three keys to the game that should be the deciding factors.

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Key #1: The Bears need to play defense like they did in the first half against Seattle and not in the second half
We know that the NFC Divisional Round duel against the Seattle Seahawks was really a tale of two halves for the Bears, as they were completing dominating for about two and a half quarters before pulling up lame down the stretch and nearly blowing the cover. However, this is a unit that has just been downright nasty all season long, allowing just 90.1 yards per game on the ground in the regular season. Chicago only allowed 34 yards on 12 carries in its first postseason tussle as well. The Bears did allow 331.5 yards per game in the regular season to these Packers, but we really know better. A lot of the yards for QB Aaron Rodgers were created from just a few big plays, but they ultimately were not parlayed into all that many points. Keeping this team to just 27 points in two games is definitely a feat to be proud of. There were also two turnovers forced by the men from the Windy City in this one, which is a problem that the Packers have had at times over the course of this season. They’ve done a great job of protecting the pigskin thus far in the second season, especially against the Falcons when they had just one blown fumble, and the three turnovers that they have had haven’t really come back to bite them.

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Green Bay Packers -3
Chicago Bears +3
Over/Under 44
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Key #2: Alright Jay Cutler… What’ve you got?
This isn’t necessarily a key that will cause Chicago to win this game, but it certainly could be a key to losing it. Cutler has been much maligned since coming to the Windy City, as he has thrown 42 picks in two years after throwing for just 37 picks in two and a half years with the Denver Broncos. The media in the Midway has been all over his case about not protecting the football and not coming up big in big games, and there are certainly still some reasons to believe that this is the case after winning his first playoff game on Sunday. Cutler did only go 15-of-28 on the day, a completion percent of just 53.6 percent, and this came against a defense that was dreadful against the pass all year long. The former Vanderbilt Commodore did toss three picks in two games against Green Bay in the regular season, and he ended the season with 16 boo boos. Enter the Packers ‘D’. This unit had 24 picks in the regular season, the most in the NFC and just one behind the New England Patriots for the league lead. We always thought that you wouldn’t find a better ball hawk in the game than DB Charles Woodson, but we were wrong. DB Tramon Williams has developed a tremendous nose for the ball, and he had the amazing pick six that sunk the Atlanta Falcons last Saturday. If Cutler gets careless with the football, he will throw picks to this team, and if he does that, the Bears don’t stand a chance.

Key #3: The battle at the line of scrimmage
You can bet that line play is going to be preached on both sides of the football this week. The Packers probably think they can get away with a little more leniency on this facet of the game because they are so talented elsewhere, but the team that wins this battle is most likely going to be the one that wins this game. Neither offensive line was that sharp all year, as neither opened up that many holes for the running game. Even in the divisional round games, the Bears averaged just 3.91 yards per carry (and that includes a 21 yard scamper by Cutler), while the Packers only averaged 3.10 yards per carry. Chicago’s OL is going to have to find a way to stop a Green Bay front that had five sacks of QB Matt Ryan on Saturday night, two of which came from one of the biggest sack masters in the league, LB Clay Matthews. The Packers are going to have to contend with a front seven that just has a mean streak in it, and though the Bears did really have the individual stats this year that some of the players on Green Bay’s ‘D’ did, they had the second best defensive front in terms of rushing this year in the league at just 90.1 yards per game.

NFL Football Picks: Thursday Night Football Props (11/18/10)

November 17th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Thursday Night Football Props (11/18/10)
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Thursday Night Football is back once again in the NFL this week, and two teams that are fighting and clawing to stay in the playoff race in their respective conferences will do battle, as the Miami Dolphins play host to the Chicago Bears. Check out these NFL props picks for the showdown in South Beach that could be extremely exciting on the NFL Network.

Will Devin Hester Score a Touchdown?
Don’t kid yourself. Though Hester is getting fewer touches this year, if you bet this prop at this price every single game this season, you’ve done fairly well, picking up 1.8 units. Remember that you get punt return touchdowns as well as scores, as any TD is a TD. Hester is probably going to get a ton of chances to return punts in this one, as the Dolphins have plenty of offensive problems to deal with. It only takes one stroke of genius to win this prop, and though we hate betting things like this, we also realize that there are times that the oddsmakers are just off. This is one of those times. Go with Hester to Score a Touchdown (+170 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Thursday Night Football.

Total Punts Over/Under 9.5
This is a fairly standard prop at a very standard price, but this isn’t such a very standard game that we’re dealing with. These two defenses are built like rocks and are specifically designed to stop the other. Miami has a tremendous pass rush and is good enough up the middle of the defense to be able to hold down a Chicago offensive line that is just atrocious at run blocking. The Bears have the No. 2 rush defense in the game and clearly have the best unit against ground games aside from the Pittsburgh Steelers. Brad Maynard, Chicago’s punter, has booted the ball at least four times all but once this year, and he has kicked at least five punts in six of the Bears’ nine games. This is an incredibly high number of punts for a punter right now. Miami’s punter, Brandon Fields, hasn’t had nearly as much work this year, as he only has booted the pigskin away more than four times twice. However, this could be the ugliest game that either team plays all season long. With NFL odds like this, we have no choice but to go with there to be Over 9.5 punts (-130 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Anthony Fasano Over/Under 2.5 Receptions
We’re so afraid on NFL props like this one, because we never really know whether recent trends are going to hold true or not. However, we have no choice but to believe here, as Fasano has caught at least three balls in four straight games and has really become a great check down option when things are getting rough. You can bet with the Bears bringing heat off the corner with DE Julius Peppers and company, that QB Tyler Thigpen, assuming that he is the starter, is going to really want to force the ball in to Fasano’s hands at least a few times just to get the big tight end involved and to loosen up the pass rush just a tad. We have to get to at least three catches, right? We’ll take Fasano Over 2.5 Receptions (-130 at Hollywood Sportsbook).