NCAA Football Picks: Boise State Broncos vs. Virginia Tech Hokies Prop Picks (9/6/10)

Last Updated: September 5th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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College football betting fans have been waiting for this game ever since it was announced for the first Monday night of the season! The Boise State Broncos and Virginia Tech Hokies will square off in what should be on the best games of the entire year on Labor Day night, as here at Bankroll Sports, we have all of your NCAA football prop picks for the action!

Ryan Williams Over/Under 20.5 Carries
When push came to shove down the stretch last season, Williams was getting a slew of touches on a regular basis. He accounted for at least 23 carries in each of his last six games of the year, including going for 32 carries against the NC State Wolfpack on November 21st. We tend to believe that QB Tyrod Taylor still isn’t the most trusted signal caller on the face of the earth right now, and especially with young lines on both sides of the ball, straight handoff plays are going to be what makes or breaks this team. That means we can expect a whole boatload of Williams. Especially if the Hokies get ahead, this prop is an absolute slam dunk. Go with Williams Over 20.5 carries (-125 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Kellen Moore Over/Under 21.5 Completions
When looking at Moore’s numbers last year, we have to remember that the majority of the time, the Broncos were able to do whatever the heck they wanted to do because they were holding such big leads. We have a hard time believing that Boise State is blowing the doors off of the Hokies in this one on Monday night, which means the game plan is going to be significantly more organized. Last year, Moore completed over this total number of completions just five times in 14 games. Outings against UC-Davis, Louisiana Tech, and Idaho don’t impress us at all. The only game of concern was the 23-for-39 showing that the junior had against TCU in the Fiesta Bowl. Still, Virginia Tech plays a significantly different game. The secondary for HC Frank Beamer is always one of the strongest in the country, and completions don’t come easily. That being said, we tend to believe that Moore is staying Under 21.5 completions (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Tyrod Taylor Over/Under 10.5 Completions
Do not let this prop fool you! Yes, it looks like a slam dunk that a senior quarterback is going to find a way to complete at least 11 passes in the team’s biggest game of the year, but let’s take a closer look at this first, shall we? Taylor only went 9-for-20 against Alabama last year and failed to complete more than ten passes in his final three games of the year. He also only went 4-for-9 against Miami and 10-of-14 against Georgia Tech. Sure, it’s great for Taylor to go 16-of-17 in his final scrimmage of the year against his own defense, but this is a Boise State ‘D’ that is out to make a name for itself. As we said before when discussing Williams, we aren’t so sure that HC Frank Beamer really, truly trusts Taylor with the pigskin. Unless the Broncos totally neutralize the run, we don’t think that Taylor is throwing the ball more than 20 times in this game. Will he really complete over half of his passes at that point? Odds like this suggest that he might not. We’ll go with Taylor Under 10.5 completions (+115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

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Posted in College Football - Last Updated on Sunday, September 5th, 2010 @ 12:50 pm (EST)
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