Wisconsin vs. Oregon Predictions & Analysis: 2012 Rose Bowl 1/2/12
January 2nd, 2012 by | Posted in College FootballHigh flying offenses are going to be on display as we try to make our Rose Bowl picks for 2012, as the Wisconsin Badgers take on the Oregon Ducks in the “Granddaddy of Them All” in Pasadena.
Rose Bowl: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Oregon Ducks
Rose Bowl Location: Rose Bowl Stadium, Pasadena, CA
Rose Bowl Date/Time: Monday, January 2nd, 5:00 p.m. (ET)
Rose Bowl Television Coverage: ESPN, ESPN3.com
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Key #1: One of these defenses has to step up and make a play
It goes without saying that these two offenses are going to put some points on the board, but the question is whether either defense is going to be able to make a stand. When you look at these scoring averages, the two teams are only combining to allow 40.6 points per game, and the 17.0 points per game allowed by the Badgers looks a heck of a lot better than the 23.6 of the Ducks. But then again, Oregon had to contend with the LSU Tigers, Stanford Cardinal, and USC Trojans this year, while Wisconsin’s toughest defensive tests probably came against the Michigan State Spartans twice. We look at that Ducks defense and realize that they were able to pick off QB Andrew Luck three times on the road in Palo Alto in their biggest game of the season, but we are still wondering whether the Badgers have the ability to make that big play or not. In their first game against MSU, they allowed the Hail Mary that ultimately beat them in East Lansing, and in the Big Ten title game, they were really devastated time and time again both on the ground and through the air by Sparty.
Rose Bowl Odds at Wager Web Sportsbook
Wisconsin Badgers +6
Oregon Ducks -6
Over/Under 72
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Key #2: One Heisman hopeful has to rule over the other
RB LaMichael James was a Heisman Trophy finalist two years ago. RB Montee Ball was a finalist this season. These two should both have a field day, as they were two of the best rushers in America. Ball rushed for 1,759 yards and 32 TDs and had another 255 yards and six scores as a receiver. James had 1,646 yards and 17 TDs on the ground and 210 yards and a score as a receiver, and he did so in basically two fewer games. Both have mobile quarterbacks in Russell Wilson and Darren Thomas, and both have a backup tailback that is capable of massive things as well with James White and Kenjon Barner. The question is which is going to be more explosive when push comes to shove, and the answer is probably going to decide which team beats the 2012 Rose Bowl odds.
Key #3: A sluggish start by either team could be fatal
The Badgers were beaten in the Rose Bowl last year by the TCU Horned Frogs. The Ducks were silenced in the BCS National Championship Game by the Oregon Ducks. In both cases, the teams that are meeting in this year’s Rose Bowl got off to bad starts and really never recovered. Both of these offenses run a ton on timing and pace, and that’s the type of thing that can be lost without playing at game speed for well over a month. Both teams will have likely been helped by a conference title game this year for the first time in their respective conferences’ histories, and that might give both teams just that shred of help to get over the hump to start off games in a hurry. There is definitely some unfinished business for both of these teams, and they are going to have to start off well and make a statement to the other if they hope to be the winner in this BCS bowl game.
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