Archive for November 8th, 2012

Thursday Night NFL Picks: Colts vs. Jaguars Props & Predictions 11/8

November 8th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Colts vs. Jaguars Props & Predictions 11/8
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Full Colts vs. Jaguars NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Jags CheerleadersThe Jacksonville Jaguars and Indianapolis Colts are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 10 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Josh Scobee Over/Under 6.5 Points: There aren’t many situations where we are going to want to back Jacksonville’s kicker, but this very well could be one of those times when it really pays off to go for the gold. Scobee has a rich history of just killing the Colts, including booting a number of game winners from 50+ yards out to crush the then QB Peyton Manning led bunch. Scobee already has 30 field goals made in 16 games against Indy in his career, and that includes 15 from outside of 40 yards. There’s no doubt that, in the end, Scobee is going to get his opportunities, and as long as he manages to sneak two between the uprights, there’s no reason to think that he won’t tack on either a PAT or a third field goal when push comes to shove. Remember that when these two teams met the first time, Scobee put up 10 total points. Josh Scobee Over 6.5 Points (+100)

Dwayne Allen Over/Under 46.5 Receiving Yards: If there is a quarterback that knows how to stretch out the field by using his tight ends, it’s Andrew Luck. He did so in college with so many fantastic tight ends, and he is doing the same here at the NFL level as well. Allen was the second rookie tight end taken by Indianapolis in the NFL Draft this past year, but he has really turned out to be the better of the two when push comes to shove. Now, Luck’s roommate, TE Coby Fleener is hurt, and that really just leaves Allen to pick up the slack. Luck is throwing the ball more now that the running game for the Colts is disintegrating, and that means less blocking and more pass catching for Allen. He has 12 targets over the course of the last two weeks, and if he hauls in just three or four of them, he should be able to get to this yardage total without all that much in the way of hassle. Dwayne Allen Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Andrew Luck Passing Yards Over/Under 278.5: As much as we think that it is a square play to take Luck going ‘over’ 278.5 yards, we just have to do it, knowing that he is going to do so more often than not. Acting Head Coach Bruce Arians just loves letting Luck air it out, and he is going to connect on a few of those long ones up the field for sure. He is throwing the ball over 40 times per game now with just RB Vick Ballard left to carry the load in the backfield, and that includes a lot of the check down passes that made the Manning-to-Faulk (then James, then Addai) combination oh so good. The Jacksonville defense can’t get out of its way for the most part, and it already allowed 300+ yards to Luck once this year. There’s just no reason to think that this won’t be the second time that he pulls that feat off. Andrew Luck Over 278.5 Passing Yards (-130)

Will Either Team Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game?: We’re really a bit puzzled as to why this number is 6 ½ minutes and not at least seven or 7 ½ minutes. These two teams both have a tendency of running some slower drives when push comes to shove, and if the Jags get the ball first, we all know just how long it takes them to get going at times, especially without RB Maurice Jones-Drew in the fold. There is just a real question where the Jacksonville offense is coming from if it isn’t coming from RB Rashad Jennings, and that makes it quite believable that there won’t be a score in the first half of the first quarter. No Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game (-110)

Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 11/8/12):
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Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game -110

Colts Score First -130
Jaguars Score First +100

First Score a Touchdown -155
First Score Not a Touchdown +125

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 41.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 41.5 Yards -115

Andrew Luck Completions Over 22.5 -130
Andrew Luck Completions Under 22.5 +100

Andrew Luck Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards -115
Andrew Luck Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards -115

Andrew Luck Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -145
Andrew Luck Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +115

Andrew Luck To Throw an Interception -150
Andrew Luck To Not Throw an Interception +120

Reggie Wayne Receptions Over 6.5 -125
Reggie Wayne Receptions Under 6.5 -105

Reggie Wayne Receiving Yards Over 88.5 -115
Reggie Wayne Receiving Yards Under 88.5 -115

Reggie Wayne Scores a Touchdown +120
Reggie Wayne Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

TY Hilton Receptions Over 3.5 -105
TY Hilton Receptions Under 3.5 -125

TY Hilton Longest Reception in Yards Over 25.5 -115
TY Hilton Longest Reception in Yards Under 25.5 -115

Dwayne Allen Receptions Over 3.5 -135
Dwayne Allen Receptions Under 3.5 +105

Dwayne Allen Receiving Yards Over 46.5 -115
Dwayne Allen Receiving Yards Under 46.5 -115

Jerrell Freeman Total Tackles Over 8.5 -115
Jerrell Freeman Total Tackles Under 8.5 -115

Adam Vinatieri Total Points Over 7.5 -115
Adam Vinatieri Total Points Under 7.5 -115

Blaine Gabbert Completions Over 19.5 -130
Blaine Gabbert Completions Under 19.5 +100

Blaine Gabbert Longest Completion Over 34.5 Yards -115
Blaine Gabbert Longest Completion Under 34.5 Yards -115

Blaine Gabbert Passing Yards Over 215.5 -130
Blaine Gabbert Passing Yards Under 215.5 +100

Blaine Gabbert Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +160
Blaine Gabbert Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -200

Blaine Gabbert Throws an Interception -150
Blaine Gabbert Doesn’t Throw an Interception +120

Cecil Shorts Receptions Over 3.5 +105
Cecil Shorts Receptions Under 3.5 -135

Cecil Shorts Receiving Yards Over 58.5 -130
Cecil Shorts Receiving Yards Under 58.5 +100

Marcedes Lewis Receptions Over 3 -115
Marcedes Lewis Receptions Under 3 -115

Marcedes Lewis Receiving Yards Over 30.5 -115
Marcedes Lewis Receiving Yards Under 30.5 -115

Justin Blackmon Receptions Over 3.5 -130
Justin Blackmon Receptions Under 3.5 +100

Justin Blackmon Receiving Yards Over 40.5 -115
Justin Blackmon Receiving Yards Under 40.5 -115

Laurent Robinson Receptions Over 3 -150
Laurent Robinson Receptions Under 3 +120

Russell Allen Total Tackles Over 7.5 -105
Russell Allen Total Tackles Under 7.5 -125

Josh Scobee Total Points Over 6.5 +100
Josh Scobee Total Points Under 6.5 -130