Archive for March 20th, 2012

Peyton Manning NFL Prop Predictions, & Odds Tim Tebow Gets Traded

March 20th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Peyton Manning NFL Prop Predictions, & Odds Tim Tebow Gets Traded
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Bovada Sportsbook is always the home for some of the best NFL props out there, and today, we are going to analyze the Peyton Manning props that just hit the board now that he has signed with the Denver Broncos, along with the odds on where Tim Tebow will be playing next year.

Denver Broncos Regular Season Wins Over 10
Remember in the AFC West, there are six games that Denver really should take at least five of. There’s no reason to not win the mass majority of the games on this type of a slate. The Broncos still have the defense to get the job done, and they still just tend to find some ways to win games, and in the end, we would be a lot less surprised to see them win 11 games than to see them win just nine or fewer as long as Manning proves to be remotely healthy.

Peyton Manning Under 4,000 Total Passing Yards
We know that Manning has had very few bad seasons in his career. He has played in 13 seasons in the past, and of those, he never had fewer than 3,739 yards, and he exceeded 4,000 yards in 11 of the 13. However, Head Coach John Fox is a guy that wants to run the football, and it isn’t just because Tebow couldn’t really throw the football to save his life. Jake Delhomme never threw for 4,000 yards in a season with Fox calling the shots with the Carolina Panthers, and though we know that Delhomme is no Peyton Manning, it just doesn’t seem like it is in Fox’s nature to let Manning throw the ball the 525-550 times required for him to reach 4,000 yards. Remember that injuries could come into play as well, and if Manning isn’t good to go for the full year, he won’t be anywhere near this number in all likelihood.

Peyton Manning Total TD Passes in 2012 Season Over 28.5
Now, this is a different story. Manning has absolutely pristine precision in the end zone, and though his arm strength might not be what it once was, we have to reason to believe that he still won’t have the eye and the accuracy to be able to put the ball exactly where it needs to be. There are some big, tall receivers that are playing here in Denver, and once Manning builds that rapport with them, there are going to be a heck of a lot of opportunities to score. Remember that the AFC West had some miserable defenses last season, and they aren’t going to be getting any better. We have to think that Manning has 30 TD potential this year.

Peyton Manning Total INTs in 2012 Season Over 16.5
Yeah, sure. We hear you. Manning really was only this bad at the very beginning of his career, and he surely is going to be very careful with the football here in Denver. That being said, we think that the arm strength issue could be a concern. There are a lot of gambling corners out there that are going to love to get a piece of Manning, and he became a bit pick happy in his last two seasons, tossing 33 INTs in that stretch. Manning could be worth 20 INTs this year.

Will Peyton Manning Win 2012 NFL MVP? (+700)
Really, Bovada? Only 7 to 1 on this prop. No thanks. Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, and Tom Brady are all going to be frontrunners for the MVP award at the start of the year, and we just don’t see that changing at any point in the near future. Manning won’t have the numbers this year to get the job done, and in all likelihood, he probably won’t even be considered when push comes to shove.

Will Peyton Manning Win Comeback Player of the Year? (+100)
Now, here’s a lot smarter prop. Manning doesn’t have to be a super stud to win this award, just knowing that there usually aren’t a ton of great candidates for this honor when push really comes to shove. The story in Denver is going to be great to follow this year, and the media is going to be all over Manning. As long as he stays on the horse, he should be the Comeback Player of the Year.

Where Will Tim Tebow Play Next Year?
Jacksonville +150
Denver +175
Miami +175
New England +700
Cleveland +1200

Oh, Denver, what are you going to do here? The most logical place for Tebow to land is in Jacksonville, but the Jaguars just signed Chad Henne and still have Blaine Gabbert, who was only just put into the fray last season as the team’s No. 1 draft pick. Dare the Jags give up on Gabbert and give Tebow a shot? He’ll sell uniforms, but he might not do much more. We just don’t see the Broncos hanging onto him, as we think that that situation will get toxic in a hurry with the media that will be in the Mile High City. The Browns do need a quarterback, but trading in Colt McCoy for Tebow just doesn’t seem to be that much of an upgrade. They’re both proven winners and both work incredibly hard, and Tebow just doesn’t strike us as a Cleveland type of guy. New England is a team to consider for sure.

The Pats have all sorts of love for Tebow, from the fact that Head Coach Bill Belichick loves drafting Gators to the fact that Josh McDaniels, the new OC for the team, is the man that traded up to draft Tebow in Denver. Still, if we had to guess, Tebow is going to be bringing his talents to South Beach. The Dolphins fans are starting to rise up against ownership, and the team needs to make a splash. Sure, it would have been a lot better to land Manning, and heck, it probably would have been better to end up with Matt Flynn, too. However, Tebow at least brings a name to the team, gives it a shot of having a starting quarterback at the NFL level that has won some games, and gives ownership the ability of adding another glitzy name, just like Serena Williams and all of the other big names that have small ownership of the team.

2012 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Bay Hill Odds, Picks & Preview

March 20th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in Golf / PGA Tour   Comments Off on 2012 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Bay Hill Odds, Picks & Preview
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Complete List of Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds Will Be Found Below

Bay Hill is one of the most coveted tournaments each and every year on the PGA Tour schedule, and this year’s event is going to be no exception whatsoever. Today, we take a look at the Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, as well as our 2012 Bay Hill predictions for this tremendous event!

2012 Arnold Palmer Invitational Predictions & Info
2012 Arnold Palmer Invitational Dates: Thursday, March 22nd – Sunday, March 25th, 2012
2012 Arnold Palmer Invitational Location: Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, FL
Defending Arnold Palmer Invitational Winner: Martin Laird
2012 Arnold Palmer Invitational TV Coverage – Network: Golf Channel, NBC

Last year, the Bay Hill Invitational was certainly not an event that Tiger Woods (Bay Hill Odds: 6.80 @ Sportbet Sportsbook) wanted to remember. An event held right in his own backyard, Woods has dominated here at Bay Hill, winning the title six times, more than any other golfer in the history of the event. However, last year’s Arnold Palmer Invitational was a disaster for one of the top golfers of our time, as he had three rounds in the 70s and was never really in contention. This year though, it appears as though Woods is a bit more set to be at the top of his game, and with that being said, we know that he is going to be able to find his way around this course just find. He’s coming off of another injury that caused him to leave a tournament recently, and that might be something worth watching as Tiger tries to go his mojo back.

The man of the hour that is going to be returning as the champ is Martin Laird (PGA Odds: 60 to 1 @ Sportbet Sportsbook). Laird won his second ever PGA Tour event last year by firing a -8, 280. He wasn’t all that special on the last day of the event, shooting a suspect 75, but on a day where a ton of the scores were high, that was good enough to give him the one stroke lead. The Scottsman started off the year in fine form, finishing second at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions, but after that, things have more or less just fallen apart, as he hasn’t been in serious contention at any event, save for a quarterfinal finish at the Accenture Match Play Championships. He’ll love to be back here at Bay Hill though, and he could be a force to be reckoned with once again this year.

List Of Past Bay Hill/Arnold Palmer Invitational Winners (Since 2000)
2011 – Martin Laird
2010 – Ernie Els
2009 – Tiger Woods
2008 – Tiger Woods
2007 – Vijay Singh
2006 – Rod Pampling
2005 – Kenny Perry
2004 – Chad Campbell
2003 – Tiger Woods
2002 – Tiger Woods
2001 – Tiger Woods
2000 – Tiger Woods

Of course, we are going to have to pay some attention to Phil Mickelson (Odds to Win The Arnold Palmer Invitational: 12.50 to 1 @ Sportbet Sportsbook). Save for a terrible effort in his second tourney of the year at the Farmers Insurance Open, Mickelson has done just about everything right. He won the Pebble Beach Pro-Am, and he nearly won a second straight week by finishing in second at the Northern Trust Open as well. Bay Hill is the type of course that Lefty really can do some damage on, and as long as you believe that Tiger is still tamed for the most part, Mickelson is the golfer that you are going to have to play the closest attention to come the latter stages of this tournament.

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Another golfer that is going to be worth keeping an eye on is Webb Simpson (Odds to Win The Bay Hill Invitational: 20 to 1 @ Sportbet Sportsbook). Last year was really the first time that we had spoken about Simpson as a potential threat to win a tournament. As it turned out, he finished the year ranked second in the sport on the money list, racking up well over $6.6M in earnings. Victories at the Wyndham Championship and the Deutsche Bank Championship helped out dramatically as well. Early on this year, Simpson is once again doing well, and he might be shooting up your list of golfers that you will want to back on the Arnold Palmer odds this year. Simpson is coming off of a 10th place finish in last week’s Transitions Championship, which might be a good sign for him going forward here at Bay Hill.

Betting Odds to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational @ Sportbet Sportsbook (as of 3/20/12):
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Tiger Woods 6.80 to 1
Phil Mickelson 12.50 to 1
Justin Rose 17.50 to 1
Webb Simpson 20 to 1
Sergio Garcia 23 to 1
Hunter Mahan 25 to 1
Bubba Watson 30 to 1
Bo Van Pelt 32 to 1
Jim Furyk 36 to 1
Nick Watney 36 to 1
Bill Haas 40 to 1
Graeme McDowell 44 to 1
Ernie Els 48 to 1
Brandt Snedeker 55 to 1
KJ Choi 55 to 1
Jason Dufner 60 to 1
Martin Laird 60 to 1
Sang Moon Bae 60 to 1
Spencer Levin 60 to 1
Zach Johnson 60 to 1
Jeff Overton 70 to 1
Gary Woodland 75 to 1
Charles Howell III 80 to 1
David Toms 80 to 1
Fredrik Jacobson 85 to 1
Kevin Na 85 to 1
Sean O’Hair 85 to 1
Mark Wilson 90 to 1
Robert Garrigus 90 to 1
Stewart Cink 90 to 1
Thomas Bjorn 90 to 1
Ben Crane 95 to 1
Vijay Singh 100 to 1
Robert Allenby 110 to 1
Johnson Wagner 120 to 1
Henrik Stenson 130 to 1
Ian Poulter 140 to 1
John Rollins 140 to 1
Ryan Moore 140 to 1
Scott Piercy 140 to 1
George McNeill 150 to 1
Ryan Palmer 150 to 1
Bud Cauley 160 to 1
Ken Duke 160 to 1
Carl Pettersson 170 to 1
Chris Stroud 170 to 1
Harris English 170 to 1
Jimmy Walker 170 to 1
Ryo Ishikawa 170 to 1
Brendon De Jonge 180 to 1
DA Points 180 to 1
John Mallinger 180 to 1
Pat Perez 180 to 1
Cameron Tringale 190 to 1
JB Holmes 190 to 1
Jonathan Byrd 190 to 1
Ricky Barnes 190 to 1
Greg Chalmers 200 to 1
Trevor Immelman 200 to 1
Brian Gay 210 to 1
Chez Reavie 210 to 1
Harrison Frazar 210 to 1
John Huh 210 to 1
Rory Sabbatini 210 to 1
Seung Yul Noh 210 to 1
Dicky Pride 220 to 1
Michael Thompson 220 to 1
Davis Love III 230 to 1
Anthony Kim 235 to 1
Brandt Jobe 235 to 1
Charley Hoffman 235 to 1
Charlie Wi 235 to 1
DJ Trahan 235 to 1
Tom Gillis 235 to 1
Camilo Villegas 250 to 1
Rod Pampling 250 to 1
Justin Leonard 270 to 1
Chad Campbell 275 to 1
Jerry Kelly 280 to 1
Matt Every 285 to 1
Brendan Steele 300 to 1
Anders Romero 315 to 1
Jhonattan Vegas 315 to 1
Jason Kokrak 335 to 1
Josh Teater 335 to 1
Kevin Chappell 335 to 1
William McGirt 335 to 1
Boo Weekley 350 to 1
Brendon Todd 380 to 1
Brian Davis 380 to 1
Brian Harman 380 to 1
Jeff Maggert 380 to 1
Tim Clark 420 to 1
Scott Stallings 430 to 1
Daniel Summerhays 435 to 1
Erik Compton 435 to 1
Kris Blanks 435 to 1
Tommy Gainey 475 to 1
Gary Christian 525 to 1
Martin Flores 525 to 1
Lee Janzen 585 to 1
Tim Herron 680 to 1
Bobby Gates 685 to 1
Mike Weir 760 to 1
Colt Knost 770 to 1
Daniel Chopra 770 to 1
David Duval 770 to 1
Rocco Mediate 780 to 1
Kyle Reifers 835 to 1
Andrew Magee 1,000 to 1
Billy Hurley III 1,000 to 1
David Damesworth 1,000 to 1
Kelly Kraft 1,000 to 1
Robert Damron 1,000 to 1
Robert Gamez 1,000 to 1
Sam Saunders 1,000 to 1
Scott McCarron 1,000 to 1
Skip Kendall 1,000 to 1