Archive for April 26th, 2011

NFL Betting – 2011 NFL Draft Props

April 26th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Betting – 2011 NFL Draft Props
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The 2011 NFL Draft is just about here, and here at Bankroll Sports, we’re analyzing the best NFL Draft props on the board so you can cash in on the most exciting offseason event for the boys on the gridiron!

Quarterbacks Drafted in the First Round Over Under 3.5

It’s a lock that both Blaine Gabbert and Cam Newton will be selected in the Top 10 and Jake Locker will almost assuredly go in the first round as well. That means that either Christian Ponder, Andy Dalton, Colin Kaepernick, or Ryan Mallett needs to be taken in the first round as well to win this NFL Draft bet. No one would be particularly surprised to see any of these players taken at the back end of the first round, with the most likely candidates being Ponder or Dalton. In particular, many NFL experts like Vic Carucci believe that Ponder will be taken by the end of the first round, probably by a team with a quarterback need trading back up. Gil Brandt recently highlighted that the Cincinnati Bengals brought in both Dalton and Ponder for private workouts and will look into selecting one of them as well. Go with Over 3.5 Quarterbacks Drafted in Round 1, -170 @ BetOnline

Jake Locker Position Drafted Over/Under 23.5

A few weeks ago, some thought that Locker would slip out of the first round, but recently, Locker has been getting a great deal of love from teams in desperate need of a quarterback such as the Minnesota Vikings and Washington Redskins. With Newton and Gabbert off the board early, teams could get into a scramble to take the third-best quarterback on most team’s boards. Locker was seen as a potential #1 overall pick before the start of the 2010 college football season, but Washington’s offense struggled and Locker’s stock fell over questions about his accuracy and ability to succeed at the next level. However, smart teams have noted that Locker did not have many underneath routes to help his completion percentage at the college ranks and this affected perception. The 49ers, Vikings, Redskins, Dolphins, and Jaguars could also conceivably take Locker in their draft positions and a team might be likely to trade up to grab him as well. Locker Under Draft Position 23.5, -130 @ BetOnline is a mortal lock with all of these teams interested.

AJ Green’s Position Drafted Over/Under 4.5

Virtually every mock draft in the world has Green going to the Bengals with the 4th overall pick and it’s hard to fault their logic. With Carson Palmer threatening to retire, the loss of Terrell Owens, and Chad Ochocinco continuing to cause problems, a standout wide receiver may convince Palmer to stay. Green is the best receiver in the draft and has amazing physical tools, including a set of hands that will already be among the best in the league upon his entry. Someone could be trading up into the Top 5 to snare a tremendous physical specimen as well. One of the top four teams will take him, so for your NFL Draft picks, take Green Under Draft Position 4.5, -155 @ BetOnline.

Total Players Drafted in the First Round from the ACC Over/Under 5

The juice is pretty high on this prop, but it’s as close to a lock as you’re going to get. There are only three consensus first round picks from the ACC: North Carolina’s Robert Quinn, Boston College’s Anthony Castonzo, and Clemson’s Da’Quan Bowers. After that there are a number of players that are potential first round picks, such as Miami’s Brandon Harris, Florida State’s Christian Ponder, and North Carolina’s Marvin Austin. However, the chances of Austin getting into the first round are minimal at best, and although Ponder has a decent chance at being a first round selection, Harris is a coin flip. The worst case scenario should see exactly five ACC players taken in the first round which would be a push on the bet. This looks to be one of the easier NFL Draft props this year, so go with the ACC Under 5 First Round Draft Picks, -200 @ BetOnline.

Which Side of the Ball With the No. 11 Picks in the Draft Be From?

Many bettors will be turned off by the high juice on this prop, but the Houston Texans come into this draft needing defense in the worst way. Houston had one of the most porous secondaries in the history of the NFL in 2010 and would love to get their hands on Patrick Peterson or Prince Amukamara to give itself a shutdown corner for the next decade. If both of these players are gone, expect the Texans to take a defensive end/linebacker type such as Robert Quinn since they are switching to the 3-4 this season. Julio Jones is an outside possibility at this slot, but that assumes that Jones falls this far and that the Texans pass on such glaring needs over another wide receiver. Really, the only way that this bet loses is if the Texans trade the pick. There’s at least an 85 percent chance that the 11th NFL Draft pick goes on the Defense, -500 @ BetOnline.

2011 NFL Draft Preview: Top 10 Defensive Backs

April 26th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Draft Preview: Top 10 Defensive Backs

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Bankroll Sports is getting you all revved up with our 2011 Mock NFL Draft, going position by position, targeting the best players on the board at each position. Our NFL Draft Preview continues today with our look at the top linebackers available to come off of the board starting on Thursday.

1. Patrick Peterson CB (LSU) – Last year’s winner of the Thorpe Award (Best DB) and Bednarik Award (Best Defensive Player) is arguably the most talented player in the 2011 NFL Draft. Peterson established himself as a shutdown corner at LSU and had six pass break-ups and four interceptions during the 2010 NCAA football betting season. His 6’0 220 lb frame and 4.31 40 time highlight his physical gifts and his ability to be a shutdown corner in the NFL. In addition to his covering skills, Peterson was also one of the best punt returners in the nation (16.1 yards per return). He is a lock to be a Top 10 pick.

2. Prince Amukamara CB (Nebraska) – Unanimous All-American CB Prince Amukamara was one of the elite corners in all of college football last season. During his final season as a Cornhusker, quarterbacks showed their wariness in throwing to his side by only targeting him 53 times. Although he failed to pick off a pass last season, Amukamara led the team with 13 pass break-ups and consistently shut down some of the best receivers in the country. Amukamara is projected to be drafted in the top half of the first round.

3. Jimmy Smith CB (Colorado) – Smith’s size (6’2 210 lbs) and physical skills are extremely appealing to teams looking to improve their secondary in the draft but he has major red flags in the character department. While at Colorado, Smith failed four drug tests and ran into trouble with police from time to time. However, Smith also has great speed for his size (4.37 40), an impressive wingspan (77 inches), and unlike most college corners thrives in press coverage. This combination of talent and trouble has drawn many comparisons to Tampa Bay CB Aqib Talib. Smith can be a very good cornerback at the next level if he can stay out of trouble and is projected to be a first rounder.

4. Brandon Harris CB (Miami) – Miami should be renamed Defensive Back U with their proclivity of sending DBs to the NFL. In the past decade, the Hurricanes have had seven defensive backs drafted in the first round and Harris will look to be the eighth ‘Cane to earn this honor. Harris led a unit that was second in the nation in pass defense during the 2010 college football betting season. He lacks the size of some of the other corners in this draft and doesn’t have elite speed, but is a great man-to-man cover corner. Mock draft experts have Harris going in the late first or early second round.

5. Aaron Williams CB (Texas) – The Longhorns had their most disappointing seasons in years in 2010, but Williams was one of the few bright spots on the team. Williams is a 6’0 185 lb corner who has quick feet and is good at reading routes. He is somewhat slow for a cornerback (4.55 40) and may end up playing safety in the NFL, but his lack of physicality is something that would need to be overcome. Scouts project Williams to be a late first to early second round selection.

6. Rahim Moore FS (UCLA) – Our first non-cornerback on the list, Moore is a natural safety with great instincts. In 2009, Moore led the nation with 10 interceptions and was named a First Team All-American by the majority of publications bestowing postseason honors. Last season, Moore only picked off one pass, but still picked up First Team All Pac-10 honors as opposing quarterbacks refused to challenge him. Moore is seen as a second round pick in the upcoming draft.

7. Ras-I Dowling CB (Virginia) – Coming into the 2010 NCAA football betting season, Dowling was seen as a potential first round pick this year, but leg injuries ruined his senior year. Dowling battled a variety of injuries last season and suffered a fractured ankle that limited him to just five games. When he was healthy though, few were better in either the ACC or the country. Dowling is 6’2 200 lbs and ran a 4.4 40, and if he is able to stay healthy, he should be able to succeed at the next level. He is projected to be a second to third round pick in the draft.

8. Chimdi Chekwa CB (Ohio State) – Chekwa was a First Team All-Big 10 selection in 2010 and was a big part of why the Buckeyes defense was one of the best in the country. At the combine, Chekwa measured in at 6’0 190 lbs and ran a 4.38 40 to prove that he has the measureables needed to produce in the NFL. Aside from being one of the best cornerbacks in the nation, Chekwa also was a great sprinter and anchored the Buckeyes’ 4×100 relay team. He broke his right wrist in the team’s bowl game win over Arkansas but should be healthy in time for the season. Chekwa is seen as a second to third round pick.

9. Tyler Sash SS (Iowa) – Sash is seen by NFL scouts as the best strong safety prospect in the upcoming draft and was named First Team All-Big 10 in both 2009 and 2010. Although he struggles in covering receivers and lacks the speed teams would like to see, Sash is a hard hitter and does well in run support. He is projected to be a mid-round selection in the draft.

10. Davon House CB (New Mexico State) – At the Aggies’ pro day, House moved up the draft boards thanks to running a 4.35 40 and having a 6 foot frame. Although he didn’t play against top level competition, House’s size and speed make him an attractive option for NFL teams looking for a quality sleeper. Unlike other cornerbacks in this draft, House is a good tackler as well as a good cover corner and projects to be a mid-round selection.

2011 NFL Draft Preview: Top 10 Linebackers

April 26th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Draft Preview: Top 10 Linebackers
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Bankroll Sports is getting you all revved up with our 2011 Mock NFL Draft, going position by position, targeting the best players on the board at each position. Our NFL Draft Preview continues today with our look at the top linebackers available to come off of the board starting on Thursday.

1. Von Miller OLB (Texas A&M) – The outside linebacker position isn’t overly stocked with talent in this draft, but Von Miller is an elite prospect and will be a top five pick. Miller is a 6’3 246 lb speedster that stunned scouts by running a 4.42 40 at the Combine, a time very rarely seen from linebackers. Over the last two seasons, very few players have been as productive as Miller. In 2009, Miller led the nation in sacks with 17, and registered 21.5 tackles for loss to go with four forced fumbles. This past college football betting season, Miller picked up 10.5 sacks, 17.5 tackles for loss, and three forced fumbles. His blazing speed should translate into success in the pro ranks.

2. Akeem Ayers OLB (UCLA) – Ayers isn’t near the prospect that Miller is, but is a solid prospect and played in every game he suited up for at UCLA. Last season, Ayers was a Butkus Award finalist and picked up 1st Team All-Pac 10 honors along with being named a 2nd Team All-American despite lacking the sexy numbers that other pass-rushing linebackers posted. At the combine, Ayers put up a very disappointing 40 time though, running a 4.81, and moved down draft boards as some teams questioned whether or not he could rush the edge at the next level. Despite the poor time, Ayers is seen as a mid-first round selection.

3. Justin Houston OLB (Georgia) – The Bulldogs switch from a 4-3 defense to a 3-4 didn’t bode well for their NCAA football betting results this season, but was a big reason why Houston is considered one of top linebacker prospects in this draft. As an OLB in the 3-4, Houston was a force to be reckoned with, picking up 10 quarterback sacks and 18.5 tackles for loss in 2010. He has the build and measurables to make it at the next level, running a 4.62 40 and benching 225 lbs 30 times at the combine. Houston is projected to be a second round selection.

4. Martez Wilson ILB (Illinois) – The first inside linebacker on our list, Wilson put up great numbers at the combine and is a natural fit as an inside linebacker in a 3-4 defense. Wilson checked in at 6’4 250 lbs and ran a blisteringly fast 4.42 40 yard dash at the combine. After missing virtually all of 2009 due to a neck injury, Wilson stormed back with an impressive 2010 campaign. Wilson recorded 112 tackles, 11.5 tackles for loss, four sacks, and three forced fumbles. Teams do have concerns about his neck and that has led to Wilson dropping out of the first round, but he is still seen as a second round pick.

5. Brooks Reed OLB (Arizona) – Reed was seen as a mid-round selection until impressing scouts in positional drills at the Senior Bowl and the NFL Draft combine. Although he projects to be an outside linebacker in the NFL, Reed worked out with defensive linemen at the combine and showcased an amazing first step. At Arizona, he was mainly used as a stand-up outside rusher and was only rarely used in contain situations. He will need to learn containment assignments at the next level but is seen as a second round pick.

6. Sam Acho OLB (Texas) – Last year’s winner of the Academic Heisman, Acho certainly has the mental aptitude to handle the step up in competition. Acho played defensive line at Texas, but is projected to play outside linebacker at the next level. In 2010, Acho racked up 59 tackles, 17 tackles for loss, nine sacks, and five forced fumbles while taking on habitual double teams en route to 1st Team All-Big 10 accolades. He is projected as a second to third round pick in the NFL.

7. Bruce Carter OLB (North Carolina) – Heading into the 2010 college football betting season, Carter was seen as a lock to go in the first round and one of the most physically gifted athletes in the draft. However, suspensions to fellow Tar Heels helped lead to an underwhelming senior season which was topped off by tearing his ACL in the second to last game of the regular season. Carter is seen as an athlete in the mold of Julius Peppers with amazing size, speed, jumping ability, and strength. Most NFL experts believe him to be a second to third round pick in the upcoming draft.

8. Quan Sturdivant ILB (North Carolina) – Sturdivant was another talent on a Tar Heels defense that was supposed to be one of the best in the modern history of college football before injuries and suspensions destroyed the unit. He lacks the pizzazz of some of his squad mates but showed the talent needed to succeed at the next level. Sturdivant missed five games due to a pulled hamstring and failed to put up the numbers he posted in previous years, but is seen as a mid-round selection.

9. Greg Jones ILB (Michigan State) – A unanimous first-team All America selection, Jones was also a three time 1st Team All-Big 10 choice and the team MVP during his senior season in East Lansing. Jones registered 106 tackles, 10 tackles for loss, and three forced fumbles while stuffing the middle. Unlike most other names on this list, Jones is a pure inside linebacker and didn’t exclusively rush the passer in college. He is projected to be a mid-round draft pick.

10. Dontay Moch OLB (Nevada) – Playing in the WAC, Moch didn’t face the talent that other names on this list did. At just 6’2 230 lbs, Moch was asked to play rush end at Nevada and constantly sped around the end and pressured the quarterback. Moch was named WAC Defensive Player of the Year in 2009 and racked up 41.5 tackles per loss and 14.5 sacks over the past two seasons. Moch is seen as a mid-round draft pick but must learn how to do more than rush the end at the next level.