Archive for November 11th, 2010

2010 NFL Trends: Week 10 Cheat Sheet

November 11th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Trends: Week 10 Cheat Sheet
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Week 10 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 10 NFL matchups.

Thursday, November 11th, 8:20 ET: Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons
NFL Trends of Note
The Falcons are 9-4-1 ATS in their L/14 games played in Week 10 of the season
Baltimore is 18-6-2 ATS in its L/26 as road pups of a field goal or less
The Ravens are just 1-4-1 ATS in their L/6 following an SU win of at least two TDs

Series History
There’s a ton of preseason history between these two intra-conference foes, but not a heck of a lot of regular season experience. The two have only met eight times since 1981, and it’s all bad news for the Falcons. Atlanta is just 2-6 SU and is 0-8 ATS, but both of those wins have come here at the Georgia Dome.

Sunday, November 14th, 1:00 ET: Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL Trends of Note
The Jags are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 years in Week 10
Jacksonville is just 8-27 ATS in its L/35 played on grass
Houston is 11-5 ATS in the L/8 years in this series

Series History
The Texans might have gotten swept by their divisional rivals last season, but recent history suggests that Houston is going to be running away with these games. The Texans have had Jacksonville’s number in the past no matter how good the Jags have been, but really not until last year, were these teams considered to really be on a relatively even playing field.

Sunday, November 14th, 1:00 PM ET: Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears
NFL Trends of Note
The Vikes are 5-2-1 ATS in their L/8 against the NFC North
Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its L/9 played at home
The Bears are 3-9 ATS in their L/12 played on grass

Series History
If you’re a fan of high scoring games, this might be the series for you! The winning team has scored at least 34 in the L/4 games in this rivalry, while the loser has scored at least 30 in three of the L/6. The home team has won five in a row, including last year at the end of the regular season when the Bears upset the Vikes 36-30 in OT to help spoil any chances that Minnesota had to capture the No. 1 overall seed in the NFC playoffs.

Sunday, November 14th, 1:00 PM ET: Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins
NFL Trends of Note
Tennessee is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 against AFC foes
The Dolphins are 1-6-1 ATS in their L/8 played in Week 10
The home team has covered three straight in this series

Series History
These two teams have a very even history with one another in spite of the fact that they don’t really see each other all that often. Tennessee captured a 27-24 OT win last year at home against the Fins, but the two are split right down the middle at 5-5 ATS since 1992. The Dolphins hold a 7-3 SU edge, but all three of Tennessee’s wins have come since 2003.

Sunday, November 14th, 1:00 PM ET: Cincinnati Bengals @ Indianapolis Colts
NFL Trends of Note
The Bengals are 3-13 ATS in their L/16 overall
The Colts are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 against teams with a losing record
Indy is 10-4-1 ATS in its L/15 against teams from the AFC

Series History
The last time the Bengals came here to Indianapolis in a game that counted, it wasn’t exactly the prettiest thing in the world. Cincy was crushed 35-3. You have to go back well into the 2000s before you find the last Cincinnati win over the Colts in this series, and many of the scores have been incredibly lopsided. Think that Peyton Manning likes playing against these guys? He’s thrown for almost 1,000 yards and ten TDs in his last three duels against the Bengals.

Sunday, November 14th, 1:00 PM ET: Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL Trends of Note
The Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 overall
Carolina is 8-3 ATS in its L/11 against teams with winning records
The Bucs are 3-14 ATS in their L/17 home games

Series History
The Bucs have never really had much luck against the Panthers, as they only snapped a three game losing streak both SU and ATS earlier this year at Bank of America Stadium. Tampa Bay doesn’t have a win against the Panthers at home since ’08 and hasn’t won two straight in this series in a number of years. With QB Matt Moore out of the lineup, this is likely to be the first time that QB Jimmy Clausen sees Tampa Bay as a starter in his career.

Sunday, November 14th, 1:00 PM ET: New York Jets @ Cleveland Browns
NFL Trends of Note
New York is 8-2 ATS in its L/10 road games
The Browns are 9-2 ATS in their L/11 against the AFC
Cleveland is 11-4 ATS in its L/15 overall

Series History
There have only been four meetings between the Browns and Jets all-time, and three of the four meetings went the way of Cleveland. The Browns scored wins of 24-18, 20-13, and 24-21 in 2007, 2007, and 2002 respectively, while New York’s only win in this series was a 10-7 decision here at Cleveland Browns Stadium in 2004.

Sunday, November 14th, 1:00 PM ET: Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills
NFL Trends of Note
The Lions have the best record in the NFL this year at 7-1 ATS
Buffalo is 5-15-1 ATS in its L/21 played at Ralph Wilson Stadium
The Bills are 27-11-1 ATS in their L/39 against teams with a losing record

Series History
Dating back into the 1990s, there are only five regular season meetings between the Bills and Lions. The home team has won all four clashes since 1994, but all five of the games have been separated by 14 points or less. The Bills are only 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS in this series since 1991, but Detroit hasn’t won a game here at Ralph Wilson Stadium since that ’91 campaign.

Sunday, November 14th, 4:05 PM ET: Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
NFL Trends of Note
The Chiefs are 7-2 ATS in their L/9 played on grass
Kansas City is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 road games
The Broncos have the worst ATS record in the AFC at 2-6 ATS

Series History
Think there’s a little bit of history here? There’s a heavy serving of payback that the Broncos would love to get on Sunday, as last season here at Mile High, KC knocked off Denver 44-24 to keep it out of the playoffs. The road team dropped 44 points in both games last season. The Chiefs are 6-3 ATS in the L/9 meetings, but Denver holds a 5-4 SU edge in that time span.

Sunday, November 14th, 4:15 PM ET: Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants
NFL Trends of Note
The Cowboys are 13-5 ATS in their L/18 played in the month of November
The Giants are 10-4 ATS in their L/14 played on field turf
New York is winless ATS in its L/5 home games against teams with a losing road record

Series History
This rivalry took a whole new turn just a few weeks ago when the G-Men knocked out QB Tony Romo for what probably will amount to be the rest of the season. New York won that day 41-35, improving it to 5-1 SU and ATS in this saga since the 2008 playoffs that sparked the magical run to the Super Bowl title for QB Eli Manning and the Giants. The ‘over’ is 7-2-1 ATS in the L/10 in this series.

Sunday, November 14th, 4:15 PM ET: Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals
NFL Trends of Note
The Seahawks are 1-8 ATS in their L/9 played on grass
Arizona is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 when favored
The Seahawks are 17-35-1 ATS in their L/53 road games

Series History
This hasn’t been a particularly pretty series of late for the Seahawks, though they did claim a 22-10 win over the Redbirds back on October 24th at Qwest Field. They haven’t won here in the desert since 2005 and were just 1-6 ATS in the L/7 meetings before this year. Though nine of the L/13 have gone past the ‘total’ in this series, these teams have never both ranked this poorly offensively. Seattle and Arizona rank No. 30 and No. 31 overall in total offense in the NFL.

Sunday, November 14th, 4:15 PM ET: St. Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers
NFL Trends of Note
The Rams have the second best ATS record in football at 6-2 ATS
San Fran is 5-2-1 ATS in its L/8 home games
St. Louis is just 8-20-2 ATS in the L/30 meetings in this series

Series History
Needless to say, the Rams have to buck the NFL odds if they want to stay in first place in the NFC West. This is the first time in which St. Louis has been favored in a game in this series since ’07. The Niners are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS over the L/2 seasons, including having whacked the Rams by margins of 28-6 and 35-0 last year.

Sunday, November 14th, 8:20 PM ET: New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL Trends of Note
Pittsburgh is 2-5-1 ATS in its L/8 against teams with a winning record
The Steelers are 5-2-1 ATS in their L/8 played on natural grass
New England is 7-2 ATS in the L/9 in this series

Series History
New England has just found out what makes Pittsburgh tick and has exploited it for years. Really, ever since QB Tom Brady has come into control of this offense, the Pats have been dominant in this series, even while playing in one of the hardest venues in the NFL to be as a visitor, Heinz Field. A three game winning streak both SU and ATS stopped two years ago when the Steelers won 33-10, but that was with QB Matt Cassel under center for New England.

Monday, November 15th, 8:30 PM ET: Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Redskins
NFL Trends of Note
The Eagles are 3-8 ATS in their L/11 overall
Washington is 7-1-4 ATS in its L/12 played on grass
The ‘Skins are just 5-12-1 ATS in their L/18 home games

Series History
This series has been all about home teams and underdogs of late, as they are both 6-1-1 ATS in their L/8 meetings, including this year when the Skins knocked off the Eagles 17-12 in the City of Brotherly Love. Dating back to the end of the ’06 season, Washington owns a 5-2-1 ATS edge in this rivalry and will be looking to improve upon that with QB Donovan McNabb looking to exact some revenge against his old team.

NFL Team Report Cards through Week 9

November 11th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Team Report Cards through Week 9

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The 2010 NFL betting season is at its halfway point, as virtually every team in the NFL has played exactly eight games, while only a handful that are on bye this weekend have played nine. Here at Bankroll Sports, we are grading how the teams have done in the first half of the season, as well as providing the most up to date Super Bowl Odds for each team as we head closer to the start of the second half of the campaign.

Atlanta Falcons (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS , 9 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
QB Matt Ryan has been fantastic this year, and though both RB Michael Turner and WR Roddy White are headed to seasons of over 1,000 yards at their respective trades, there is a still a big elephant in the room… The Falcons still have no secondary to speak of whatsoever, and until this unit shapes up, Atlanta really isn’t going to compete for a Super Bowl title. Still, due to the fact that the men in black and red are in first place in a suddenly tough division, we have to give them a fairly solid grade. Final Grade: B+

Arizona Cardinals (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS , 400 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
About the only nice thing to say this year about the Cardinals is that they have played relatively well at home, and have a victory over the defending Super Bowl champs, the New Orleans Saints. The defense has been scoring touchdowns, but has given up a whopping 225 points so far this year, second to worst in the conference. Is it going to be QB Max Hall or QB Derek Anderson calling the shots for the rest of the year? We tend to believe that it doesn’t matter. Final Grade: C

Baltimore Ravens (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS , 7.5 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
One of Baltimore’s two losses this year was inexcusable, a bad defeat at the hands of the Cincinnati Bengals. Aside from that though, there has really been very little to complain about. The Ravens have survived their toughest stretches of the schedule, and they are in first place in the AFC North tied with the best record in the AFC North. We know that these guys are slacking from what they’re capable of, and we’re bringing down their final grade for it. Final Grade: B

Buffalo Bills (0-8 SU, 3-4-1 ATS , 500 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
At the beginning of the season, we said that the Bills had the worst team in the NFL. Though they are 0-8 and the only winless team in the league, they’re not the worst squad that it has to offer, either. Buffalo has been playing hard in recent weeks and very well could be a three win teams right now. It’s unfortunately how things have worked about. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick gets an A for effort, but the rest of this team… not so much… Final Grade: D

Carolina Panthers (1-7 SU, 2-6 ATS , 500 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
Is there a team that is just waiting to play out the rest of the season like the Panthers are? We already know that HC John Fox is a lame duck just waiting to either get fired or not get his contract renewed at the end of the season, and he doesn’t seem to care who is playing quarterback either. QB Tony Pike might be getting his chance soon. Only scoring 88 points in eight games is a huge no-no in the NFL, and unlike Buffalo, which shows some promise, the Panthers have shown us absolutely nothing. Final Grade: F

Chicago Bears (5-3 SU, 3-4-1 ATS , 50 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
We aren’t totally dismissing the Bears as potential Super Bowl contenders this year, but we just aren’t crazy about teams with quarterbacks that are INT prone and running backs that average less than four yards per carry. We’re looking at you, QB Jay Cutler and RB Matt Forte… HC Lovie Smith had better hope that his men start to play more consistent ball offensively, because the defense isn’t holding out for this long. Final Grade: C

Cincinnati Bengals (2-6 SU, 2-6 ATS , 400 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
The Bengals have had chance after chance to get back in the race in the AFC North this year, and you know that the two men you can’t blame are QB Carson Palmer and WR Terrell Owens. These two have made for a fantastic duo, and TO’s emergence has really gotten everyone in the “Jungle” to forget about what happened to the suddenly having disappeared, WR Chad Ochocinco. This team is second to last in the NFL in sacks this year as well. Final Grade: D+

Cleveland Browns (3-5 SU, 4-4 ATS , 250 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
Was the trade of the season when the Browns shipped QB Brady Quinn off to the Denver Broncos in exchange for RB Peyton Hillis? All of a sudden, Hillis looks like a Pro Bowler, while Quinn is just nowhere to be found. This is a spunky little Cleveland team that has the ability to sneak up on some teams. Will the Browns make the playoffs? Of course not. But are they worth of a strong grade for their first half of the season? You betcha. Final Grade: B

Dallas Cowboys (1-7 SU, 1-7 ATS , 500 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
And then there are the Cowboys, who would get an O for outrageous if we could give them that type of a grade. Nothing has gone right this year. The running game has floundered, the passing game is missing QB Tony Romo, and the defense has been giving up huge game after huge game. It’s not just that this team stinks either. The fact that there is no heart on the field is we are emphatically giving Dallas the worst grade of the 32 teams in the NFL. Final Grade: F

Denver Broncos (2-6 SU, 2-6 ATS , 400 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
There aren’t many teams in the NFL that we are giving worse grades to than the Broncos. They just haven’t seemed to be able to put together too many complete games this season, and the end result has been a dreadful 2-6 record. That now leaves Denver at just 4-14 in its L/18 games overall. QB Kyle Orton might be one of the top passers in the league and WR Brandon Lloyd might be leading the world in receiving, but this team is a wreck. Final Grade: D+

Detroit Lions (2-6 SU, 7-1 ATS , 300 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
No team has fought as hard this year as the Lions have, and it is showing on the cover sheet this year. Detroit has stuck inside the NFL betting lines a season best seven times already in the first half of the season. The sin is that QB Matt Stafford just can’t find a way to stay healthy, which is brutally costing both he and his team. Detroit is showing signs of improvement though, and we have to give it a halfway decent grade from what we expected at the outset of the season. Final Grade: C-

Green Bay Packers (6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS , 8 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
The Packers have had all sorts of injury worries for the first half of the season, as they have lost TE Jermichael Finley and RB Ryan Grant for the season. However, in spite of the fact that there is no running game to speak of, QB Aaron Rodgers keeps finding a way to hold everything together. Parlay that with the probable Defensive Player of the Year, LB Clay Matthews, and his band of green clad men, and the Packers have had a great first half of the season. Final Grade: B

Houston Texans (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS , 65 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
The Texans came out of the chute on fire this year, knocking off the Indianapolis Colts for just the second time in franchise history. However, since that point, this is a club that has largely looked like a .500 team once again. Another year of 8-8 seems to be on the way, and this average club deserves a very average grade for the way it has played in the first half of the campaign. Final Grade: C

Indianapolis Colts (5-3 SU, 5-2-1 ATS , 10 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
There are no teams that have been riddled with as many injuries this season as the Colts. Just on offense on the year, RB Joseph Addai, RB Mike Hart, RB Donald Brown, WR Austin Collie, WR Pierre Garcon, WR Anthony Gonzalez, and TE Dallas Clark have all missed time. Though QB Peyton Manning continues making this team run, we have to wonder just how much he has left in the tank, especially without all that much talent around him. Final Grade: C+

Jacksonville Jaguars (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS , 250 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
Record wise, it looks like HC Jack Del Rio and company have done a decent job, particularly in the AFC South, and especially considering the fact that fourth string QB Todd Bouman had to start a game for the Jags. Jacksonville is in hot water though, and its defense has allowed 226 points on the year. This just isn’t deserving of a great grade. Final Grade: C+

Kansas City Chiefs (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS , 40 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
We have no choice but to issue the Chiefs a pretty darn good grade this year for their body of work in the first part of the season because they are on pace for ten wins and would win the AFC West if the season ended today. KC has the best running game in the league, but it is the defense that has really surprised us. We don’t think the Chiefs are hanging on, but for now, they’re still a nice story. Final Grade: B

Miami Dolphins (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS , 80 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
The Dolphins have won four games this year on the road, but how can we say much else good about a team that hasn’t won a home game this season and has benched its starting quarterback in relief of journeyman backup QB Chad Pennington? It feels like HC Tony Sparano is pushing the panic button, and that means that he isn’t giving his team a great grade for the first half of the season either. Final Grade: B-

Minnesota Vikings (3-5 SU, 2-6 ATS , 40 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
The Love Boat is sinking and sinking in a hurry in Minnesota. A 3-5 record on the field is bad enough, but to parlay that with the fact that seemingly everyone on the team wants both QB Brett Favre and HC Brad Childress gone, this isn’t going to be one of the prettiest grades in the bunch. Final Grade: D-

New England Patriots (6-2 SU, 4-3-1 ATS , 10 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
Considering the fact that WR Randy Moss was traded for a third round draft pick, and just four weeks later only had one team claim him on waivers, we know that this season has set up well for the future of the Pats. We know that six wins and the best record in the NFL is solid as well. However, there’s something about this defense that is just rubbing us the wrong way, and we have to knock New England down a letter grade for it. Final Grade: B+

New Orleans Saints (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS , 12 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
The Saints might ultimately have the best team in the NFC this year, but they just haven’t played like it. Part of the problem has been the absence of both RB Reggie Bush and RB Pierre Thomas. Unfortunately though, this is a case where you have to play with the guys that you have on the field, and we only think that New Orleans has been slight above average from our expectations this year. Final Grade: B

New York Giants (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS , 7.5 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
The Giants looked like a disaster at the start of the season, but my, have they turned it around! New York has won five straight games and looks like the best club in the NFC East and in the entire conference. We know that there are still some problems with both discipline and consistency on defense, but we also know that we wouldn’t want to run up against this defensive line either. Final Grade: A-

New York Jets (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS , 8 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
The Jets have had themselves some fantastic games this year, and a few duds sprinkled in as well. The defense has been a tad disappointing, but the offense has shined with QB Mark Sanchez proving that he can legitimately be a star in this league. There’s still some work to be done for HC Rex Ryan’s club, but New York is clearly heading in the right direction. Final Grade: B+

Oakland Raiders (5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS , 50 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
Many thought that this was the season in which the Raiders were really going to bust out, and they were right. Oakland has won three straight games and is just a half game back in the AFC West. QB Jason Campbell was benched early, but he most certainly came on wickedly strong in the last month or so since getting his starting job back. This team has overachieved like none other in the NFL this year. Final Grade: A

Philadelphia Eagles (5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS , 18 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
Thumbs are going way up to QB Michael Vick this year, who personally gets an A+ for his performance in the first half of the season. A big, fat F gets slapped onto the forehead of HC Andy Reid though, as he really screwed up by seemingly committing the team to QB Kevin Kolb. The Iggles are in decent shape, but not grade shape at 5-3, and we will grade them accordingly. Final Grade: B

Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS , 7.5 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
Say what you want about HC Mike Tomlin, but in our eyes this year, he is the Coach of the Year. Any time you lose your starting quarterback for four games and then turn around and get your backup hurt in the preseason and your third stringer knocked out in the second game of the year and you still find ways to win games, you’re doing something special. With SS Troy Polamalu healthy and ready to go for the second half, Pittsburgh is getting a great grade. Final Grade: A

San Diego Chargers (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS , 14 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
The Chargers would have been a dead set F with a ton of exclamation points before this recent two game winning streak that has seemed to jumpstart the season. This is what San Diego has done in seasons past after slow starts, and that might be what is happening again. We still aren’t issuing a good grade as of yet even though QB Philip Rivers is on pace to break the single season passing record. Final Grade: C-

San Francisco 49ers (2-6 SU, 3-5 ATS , 80 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
This trendy Super Bowl pick has really been a bit of a bust this year. QB Alex Smith is hurt and was likely to get benched anyway, and backup QB David Carr was surpassed two weeks ago in England in favor of QB Troy Smith, who now has as many wins as the other two do for the Niners during the rest of the season. Still, the fact that San Fran ranks dead last in the NFC West overall, this is going to be an awful grade. Final Grade: D-

Seattle Seahawks (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS , 150 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
The Seaturkies really aren’t in that great of shape, but they aren’t in that great of a division either. HC Pete Carroll should be commended for having his boys competing for a playoff spot, though when push has really come to shove against teams that are fellow playoff contenders, things aren’t going all that well. Final Grade: B-

St. Louis Rams (4-4 SU, 6-2 ATS , 100 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
The Rams are the only .500 teams in the book that we are issuing an ‘A’ to. QB Sam Bradford has come into town and not only brought a great arm, but a great, winning mentality as well. Suddenly, St. Louis can’t be beaten at home, and the winning mojo is starting to get contagious. To think that these guys can go from 1-15 to the postseason in just one season’s time is remarkable. Final Grade: A

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS , 150 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
No one is believing that the Bucs are Super Bowl contenders this year, but at 5-3, they have clearly done more than their fair share of work in the first half of the season. Tampa Bay knows that the schedule is getting tougher from here, though. For now, this has been an awesome squad, and we think that it is embarrassing that it is 150 to 1 to win the Super Bowl. Final Grade: A-

Tennessee Titans (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS , 18 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
The Titans aren’t quite getting the same type of year as they did last year from RB Chris Johnson, but in fairness, the team didn’t come out of the blocks at 0-6 either. HC Jeff Fisher has the Titans playing well on defense, particularly on the line, where they have one of the best units in the NFL. However, something is just rubbing us slightly the wrong way about this Tennessee team… Final Grade: B

Washington Redskins (4-4 SU, 4-3-1 ATS , 100 to 1 to win Super Bowl XLV @ BetUS Sportsbook)
For our money, this is the worst 4-4 team in the NFL. There just isn’t that much of a running game with RB Clinton Portis out of the fold, and the passing attack was probably made significantly worse than Bonehead of the Season, HC Mike Shanahan elected to bench QB Donovan McNabb for a two minute drill two weeks ago in the team’s most recent game. Whoops. QB Rex Grossman fumbled on the first snap, and the ball was promptly returned for a TD. McNabb hasn’t been so sharp either, as he hasn’t had a multi-TD game through the air this season. This has been a very, very iffy team. Final Grade: C-

NFL Football Picks: Thursday Night Football Props (11/11/10)

November 11th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   1 Comment »
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The NFL makes its first appearance on Thursday Night Football on the NFL Network this weekend, and there is a doozy of a game that we have to look forward to. The Baltimore Ravens and Atlanta Falcons both are tied atop their respective conferences and have the best records in the NFL at 6-2 apiece. Both teams know that the winner will be by itself in first place in its division, while the loser is slipping back either into a tie out of first place. Check out some of the Thursday Night Football props for one of the biggest nationally televised NFL betting affairs of the season!

Joe Flacco Over/Under 255.5 Passing Yards
This Atlanta secondary is clearly the Achilles heel of the squad this year, as it ranks just No. 26 in the league and is allowing well over 250 yards per game. Flacco is on pace to throw for over 4,000 yards this year, and we all know that he has a dangerous crop of receivers that is only getting healthier with WR Donte Stallworth eligible to come back to the fray this week. HC Jon Harbaugh certainly isn’t an idiot. He knows what he has to do to get the job done against this black and red defense, and if that means putting the ball in the air 35-40 times, then so be it. We have no reservations that Flacco is going Over 255.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Thursday Night Football.

Will Ed Reed Intercept a Pass?
This isn’t a prop that requires much in the way of explanation. The bottom line here is that there is no way that Reed is really intercepting a pass in more than one out of three games that he plays in for the life of his career. Sure, we know that he has three picks in his first two games back in the lineup after recovering from his offseason surgery, but those came against a man that started the year as a backup quarterback (Ryan Fitzpatrick) and one that has now been demoted to a backup quarterback (Chad Henne). Needless to say, QB Matt Ryan is going to do a better job of protecting the pigskin than these two more often than not. If Reed beats us, he beats us. However, we’ll certainly take our chances that he does Not Intercept a Pass (-200 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Matt Ryan Over/Under 1.5 Touchdown Passes
In order for you to throw for two TDs in a game, your team has to score two TDs, right? Sure, Matty Ice and the gang have a high flying offense, and yes, with 13 TD passes in just eight games, we feel like we’re playing with a little bit of fire here with Ryan. However, the Baltimore defense is coming off of a superlative effort against the Miami Dolphins in which it allowed just ten points, and more importantly, just one touchdown. Just like Reed, if Ryan beats us, more power to him. However, we’ll take our chances that more often than not, he’ll end up throwing for Under 1.5 Touchdown Passes (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Michael Jenkins Over/Under 45.5 Receiving Yards
This is the one man that we really like offensively against the Ravens stout ‘D’, and the reason for that is that we aren’t so sure that Baltimore is going to pay all that much attention to where he is on a regular basis. The former Ohio State Buckeye has only been back in the fold three weeks, and he has watched, as 21 balls have traveled his way over those three games. Jenkins is clearly a man that can break some big gainers, and with him getting his feet back underneath him, we have no reason to believe that Flacco won’t force some balls in there to him, and the former Delaware Blue Hen might look for him on some deep routes against the aggressive defense on the other side of the ball as well. Go with Jenkins Over 42.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).