Archive for October 21st, 2010

2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 8 Cheat Sheet

October 21st, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on 2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 8 Cheat Sheet
Play The NCAA Football Trends Below At Our Sponsor & Get An Exclusive Bonus
Click Here For a 100% Signup Bonus From JustBet
(Exclusive Bonus Offer – Must Use This Link or Above Links)

Week 8 college football betting is here! Bankroll Sports is back with more NCAA football picks for Week 8 of the year, but before we do that, we need to take a look at the important trends and history that the teams that are facing against each other this week.

Thursday, October 21st: UCLA Bruins @ Oregon Ducks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
UCLA is 1-7 ATS in its L/8 played in October
The Ducks are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 at home
The underdog is 6-2 ATS in the L/8 in this series

Series History
That wasn’t the case last year though, as the Ducks pounded the Bruins 24-10 at the Rose Bowl for their seventh outright victory in their L/9 tries. UCLA hasn’t really been taken behind the shed in recent years, losing by more than those two TDs most recently in 2003, so the prospects of an absolutely blowout are minimum for the Ducks if history repeats itself. Oregon is going to look to break a streak that dates back into the 1990s of consecutive games against the Bruins without scoring more than 31 points.

Friday, October 22nd: South Florida Bulls @ Cincinnati Bearcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bearcats are 3-8 ATS in their L/11 overall
Cincinnati is 9-4 ATS in its L/13 played in the Big East
South Florida has failed to cover a spread in this series since 2003

Series History
Yikes. The Bulls have just been absolutely run over by Cincinnati since this series got started in 2003. USF won the first duel 24-17 in overtime as 3.5 point favorites, but since that point, it has really been all one way traffic. The Bearcats have only been defeated once, with that coming in 2005 as 22 point underdogs, and they have absolutely destroyed the college football spreads by double digits in each of the L/4 years.

Saturday, October 23rd: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Navy Midshipmen
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Irish are just 1-10-2 ATS in their L/13 games as favorites
Navy is 4-0 ATS in its L/4 against teams with a winning record
The Middies are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 as dogs of between 3.5 and 10 points

Series History
Once upon a time, Notre Dame simply never lost to Navy. That all ended in 2007 in South Bend, when the Middies broke the dastardly losing streak. The bad news for the Naval Academy is that it still hasn’t won a game outside of South Bend in this series since well before most of us were born. The good news is that this one isn’t going to be in Annapolis, rather at New Meadowlands Stadium, where the Midshipmen hope that new found success comes. The road team is 14-1 ATS in the L/15 in this series, and though we have a feeling that this will look more like a legitimate neutral site venue, the Irish are technically the road team on Saturday.

Saturday, October 23rd: Syracuse Orange @ West Virginia Mountaineers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Orange are 5-1 ATS in their L/6 on the road against teams with winning home records
West Virginia has covered four straight games in conference
The ‘Neers are 6-0 ATS in their L/6 against teams with winning records

Series History
It’s hard to think that we are classifying Syracuse as a team with a winning record six games into the season, but here we are! The ‘Cuse haven’t won a game in this series since 2000 and will be looking to avoid the full decade sweep. Last year, the Mountaineers had no issues at the Carrier Dome, winning 34-14. West Virginia has failed to cover back to back in this series in Morgantown, but this is also the first time since 2002 in which the college football odds don’t feature at least a 15 point spread that it has to cover.

Saturday, October 23rd: Purdue Boilermakers @ Ohio State Buckeyes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Buckeyes are 10-1 ATS in their L/11 home games and 4-0 ATS there this season
Ohio State is 44-20 ATS in its L/64 overall
The Boilers are 5-1 ATS over the L/6 meetings with OSU

Series History
Last year, the Boilermakers pulled off the upset that essentially knocked the Buckeyes out of the National Championship Game. Things would have been significantly more interesting without the 26-18 defeat in Lafayette, and you can bet that OSU is going to be out for blood looking to avenge that defeat. The Buckeyes have really only posted one truly dominating effort in this series since 2001, a 23-7 win in 2007. However, that ’01 triumph was the last time that they scored more than 18 points in this series. For whatever reason, Purdue has just had the Buckeyes’ numbers.

Saturday, October 23rd: Michigan State Spartans @ Northwestern Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Michigan State has gone 9-4 ATS in its L/13 as favorites of between 3.5 and 10 points
Michigan State is 1-6 ATS in its L/7 following a bye week
The Wildcats are 12-4 ATS in their L/16 after an SU defeat

Series History
Sparty hasn’t lost a game in Evanston since 2001, something that it is certainly going to want to keep up in order to keep its National Championship hopes alive. These two tend to put on a heck of a show, though. Last year’s 24-14 win for MSU was a bit of a snoozer, but the three meetings before that all featured games decided by a touchdown or less, and all three were definitely back and forth affairs. The Spartans haven’t been held under 24 points in a game in this series since 2000, but the 14 points for Northwestern last year was the first time it had been kept under 20 since getting shutout at home in 1999.

Saturday, October 23rd: Ole Miss Rebels @ Arkansas Razorbacks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Rebels are 11-5 ATS in their L/16 road games
Arkansas is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 played in October
The Hogs are 5-1 ATS in the L/6 in this series

Series History
Of course, that one loss came last year in a 30-17 triumph for Ole Miss that many thought could be the springboard for its season. Think again. The Razorbacks were clearly a dominating team in this series from 2004 until 2007, holding the Rebels to just 31 points in those four meetings. The L/4 and six of the L/7 clashes have gone ‘under’ the ‘total’ and there hasn’t been a game played to more than 52 points in this series since 2002 when there were 76 points put on the board. Of course, that pales in comparison to the 58-56 overtime thriller in Oxford in 2001.

Saturday, October 23rd: Wisconsin Badgers @ Iowa Hawkeyes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Wisconsin is 3-8 ATS in its L/11 against teams with a winning record
Iowa is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 in conference
The Badgers are just 1-7 ATS in their L/8 in this series

Series History
And that’s terrible news for a team that just knocked off the No. 1 team in the country. Last week, we saw the South Carolina Gamecocks make teams that just beat the top team in the land drop to 0-1 SU and ATS the next week, and Wisky could be suffering the same fate. As for this series, the 20-10 win for Iowa last year really set the table for its fantastic season. The Badgers haven’t won a game here at Kinnick Stadium since 2006 and haven’t won one by more than a TD in well over a decade. Seven of the L/10 meetings have been decided by ten points or less, so expect yet another close one on Saturday.

Saturday, October 23rd: Kansas State Wildcats @ Baylor Bears
NCAA Football Trends of Note
KSU is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 games played in the Big XII
Baylor is 9-3 ATS in its L/12 against teams with a winning record
The Bears are just 2-4 ATS in this series since 1998

Series History
It’s hard to think that the Bears are actually favored in this series, as they have been at least 26.5 point underdogs in five of the six meetings between the two squads. Needless to say, the only win in this series for Baylor came in 2006 as short one point underdogs by the count of 17-3. K-State has dropped at least 38 points on the board in five of the six meetings and has averaged 38.8 points per game. Baylor, on the other hand, has only averaged 10.5 points per game and hasn’t scored more than 17 in any given game against the Wildcats. That will have to change on Saturday if they hope to pick up their crucial sixth win to go bowling.

Saturday, October 23rd: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Clemson Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Jackets are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 played in October
Georgia Tech is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 road games
The road team is 9-3 ATS in the L/12 in this series

Series History
Thus, it should really come as no surprise that the underdog is 13-3 ATS in the L/16. If you like close games, you’ve come to the right place. Georgia Tech has won the L/4 clashes by a combined 22 points and none of the four have been separated by more than ten points. In fact, you have to go back into the 1990s to find the last time that the Ramblin’ Wreck won a game by more than ten in this series. Clemson had its period of dominance in the early part of the decade, but has certainly fallen off. These two met twice last season with G-Tech winning 39-34 in the ACC Championship Game and 30-27 in Atlanta.

Saturday, October 23rd: LSU Tigers @ Auburn Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bayou Bengals are 13-5-1 ATS in their L/19 as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points
LSU is 3-9 ATS in its L/12 following an SU win of at least 20 points
Auburn is 8-3-1 ATS in its L/12 games after scoring at least 40

Series History
This Tiger tale is a crucial one in which the SEC West champ might be decided. LSU has won the L/2 encounters, including last year’s 31-10 victory at home. No team has scored more than 31 in a game in this series since 2000 and hasn’t scored more than 34 since deep into the 1990s. Needless to say, eight of the L/10 meetings have failed to go past the number, and there have been a ton of close games. Before last year’s 21 point margin of victory, the previous five meetings had been decided by a total of 19 points.

Saturday, October 23rd: Nebraska Cornhuskers @ Oklahoma State Cowboys
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Nebraska is 5-2 ATS in its L/7 following an SU loss
The Cornhuskers are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 road games against teams with winning home records
The Pokes are 12-3-1 ATS in their L/16 played in the month of October

Series History
A series that was once dominated by Nebraska really started to turn around in the 1998 season. That year, Okie State only lost by seven to a team that it had never really had any luck against, and though it was beaten down by 24 points the next year, it started a string of covers in five out of six games up to the present. These squads haven’t met since 2007, and the Cowboys have won the L/2 meetings by the aggregate score of 86-43. The underdog has covered five out of six as well in this series. Oklahoma State hasn’t been favored in a game in this series since the formation of the Big XII.

Saturday, October 23rd: Alabama Crimson Tide @ Tennessee Volunteers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tide have covered all four games this season played against teams with losing records
Alabama is 9-4 ATS in its L/13 road games
The Vols are 8-3 ATS in their L/14 as double digit underdogs

Series History
The Tide had dominated this series from 2004 until 2008, as they had gone 3-2 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in that stretch. Unfortunately for them, that dominance ended last year when it took a big time defensive effort to fend off what would’ve been the only defeat of the year for them. The 12-10 result marked the fifth time in the L/7 meetings that a game was decided by one score. This has always been a low scoring series, as Tennessee has been held to 17 points or less in six straight, while Alabama has only broken into the 20s twice in that stretch as well.

Saturday, October 23rd: South Carolina Gamecocks @ Vanderbilt Commodores
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 played in the month of October
Vanderbilt is 2-7 ATS in its L/9 played in this month of the year
The Commodores are 3-9 ATS in their L/12 home games

Series History
There really aren’t many positive college football trends to point to for either one of these teams, but amazingly, both are still right there for the race in the SEC East. Vandy has had South Carolina’s number, covering three straight in this series and winning two of the three, including a ‘W’ in Columbia back in 2007 as 13 point pups. Don’t expect to see much in the way of points here, as South Carolina hasn’t topped 17 since 2006, while Vandy is only averaging 16.0 points per game in its L/3 against the Cocks. Prior to 2007, South Carolina hadn’t lost a game in this series.

Saturday, October 23rd: North Carolina Tar Heels @ Miami Hurricanes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tar Heels are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 played in the ACC
Miami is only 10-21-1 ATS in its L/32 games played at home
The Canes have never covered a spread against North Carolina

Series History
Amazingly, that means more bad news for “The U” is coming. The Canes did win in 2005 and 2006 in this series outright, but only once were they good enough to even push the number, that coming in ’06 in a 27-7 home win. The big upset came right away in this series, as the Tar Heels captured a 31-28 victory in 2004 at home as three TD pups to set the stage for a brutal rivalry to open up. UNC has never been favored in this series, and this is no exception, yet it has four wins in six tries. The L/3 have all been decided by less than double digits.

Saturday, October 23rd: Georgia Bulldogs @ Kentucky Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bulldogs are 2-6-1 ATS in their L/9 following an ATS victory
Kentucky is 5-2 ATS in its L/7 overall
The Wildcats have covered four straight home games

Series History
Once again, we have an amazing situation where we have two teams that have no business competing for a BCS bid doing so due to the fact that the SEC East is down on the season. Kentucky has held its own in this series after getting dominated for the better part of a decade, as it has suddenly gone 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in the L/4 years. The Cats haven’t been favored in this series dating back to the 1990s, and this is as close as the spread has been since 2002. UK won last year 34-27 “Between the Hedges, and has only won one home game in this series since the 1990s.

Saturday, October 23rd: Air Force Falcons @ TCU Horned Frogs
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The home team has covered the L/4 in this series
TCU is 9-4 ATS in its L/13 played on grass
The Horned Frogs are 47-22 ATS in their L/69 home games

Series History
Air Force does have a win in this series back in 2007, but that was the only victory against TCU since 1987. Since that point, the Horned Frogs are 5-2 ATS, though the Falcons have hung tough in two of the L/3. It seems like this encounter is always either incredibly close or separated by five miles. Three of the L/6 meetings since 1998 have been decided by three points or less. The other three have resulted in wins of at least 24 points for the Horned Frogs. They’ll need another ‘W’ of that type of size to beat the college football odds on Saturday.

Saturday, October 23rd: Oklahoma Sooners @ Missouri Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Sooners are 5-1-1 ATS in their L/7 as favorites of a field goal or less
Oklahoma is 0-5-1 ATS following an SU win of at least 20 points
The Tigers are 4-11 ATS in their L/15 home games

Series History
The last time these two teams met, the Sooners laid the smack down on Mizzou to the tune of 62-21. The year before in ’07 in the Big XII Championship Game, OU won 38-17 in what amounted to be a de facto No. 1 vs. No 2. game at the time. Mizzou hasn’t won a game in this series since 1998 with Oklahoma winning here in Columbia in 2006 (26-10), 2002 (31-24), and 1995 (13-9) in the interim. The Sooners have averaged scoring 38.4 points per game on this seven game winning streak in this series and haven’t been held under 26 points in any of the seven games.

Saturday, October 23rd: Washington Huskies @ Arizona Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Huskies are 3-9 ATS in their L/12 games on the road
Washington is 9-19 ATS in its L/28 overall
Arizona is 14-6 ATS in its L/20 home games

Series History
Arizona dominated this series early in the decade from an ATS standpoint but couldn’t win a game to save its life. That changed in 2003 when it pulled a huge upset, a 27-22 win as 15 point underdogs. The five game ATS winning streak stopped in 2005 with Washington pulling an almost as impressive 38-14 upset off here in the desert. The Huskies have only been beaten once here since that point, a 48-14 beat down two years ago. U-Dub fired back with a 36-33 win last year in Seattle.

2010 College Football Week 8 Lines – NCAA Football Week Eight Lines Breakdown

October 21st, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on 2010 College Football Week 8 Lines – NCAA Football Week Eight Lines Breakdown

Exclusive 100% Sportsbook Bonus @ BetUS Courtesy of Bankroll Sports!
New BetUS Players Only: Must Mention Bankroll Sports at BetUS & Use This Link!
(Must Use Above Links – $100 Min. / $500 Max. – 50% Additional Bonus For Deposits Over $500)

Complete List of Week 8 College Football Lines Can Be Found Below

Week 8 of the 2010 college football campaign is going to get underway this weekend. Below you will find the current list of 2010 Week 8 NCAA football lines and spreads along with a breakdown of the Week 8 college football lines. Be sure to check out the free NCAA football picks from the expert handicappers at Bankroll Sports this weekend!

The first BCS rankings are out on the season, and the Oregon Ducks are the new No. 1 team in the country. Perhaps it’s not a grand thing to be ranked No. 1 though, as both the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Ohio State Buckeyes have fallen to the No. 1 hex in back to back weeks. If Oregon is going to make that three in a row though, it is going to end up really posting an inexcusable dud at home against the UCLA Bruins. For a standalone game, this is the biggest NCAA point spread of the season, as the Ducks are favored by a whopping 24 points on Thursday night.

Perhaps the team set to fall into the biggest trap this weekend is the Michigan State Spartans. MSU is all the way up to No. 8 on the year, and it has to be looking forward to its big showdown with the Iowa Hawkeyes next week that could ultimately decide whether it has a perfect season in the cards. However, we must remember that this was about the time of year that the Northwestern Wildcats snuck up on those same Hawkeyes and wrecked their perfect season very unceremoniously. It would be a disaster for Sparty if that same fate were to happen this weekend, but the NCAA football odds suggest that it had better be careful, especially in Evanston. QB Dan Persa and company are only five point underdogs.

As for those Hawkeyes… They’re at home this weekend against the Wisconsin Badgers. We saw what happened last week when the South Carolina Gamecocks went on the road the week after beating the top team in the country, as they were beaten by the Kentucky Wildcats. The Badgers are expected to do the same this weekend even though they are the slightly higher ranked team in this duel. Iowa is picked to win this sucker by 5.5 points at home.

In the Big XII, a pair of highly touted teams that are expected to meet in the Big XII Championship Game are going to hit the road and take on two up and comers that could spoil the party for them both. The Oklahoma State Cowboys and Missouri Tigers are both getting highly disrespected in their games this weekend, as both are undefeated and have looked rather flawless this year, yet are still underdogs. Both the Nebraska Cornhuskers and Oklahoma Sooners had better be careful, as they can watch not only their Big XII title hopes go up in flames, but their BCS Championship dreams as well.

All eyes at 3:30 ET though, will be glued to the Tiger tale going on at Jordan Hare Stadium. The Auburn Tigers and LSU Tigers are going to have a major SEC West war, and the winner will have a tremendous inside track towards the SEC Championship Game. This could also be the last bump in the road for Auburn before the Iron Bowl to end the season, as it will clearly be a hefty favorite in the remainder of its regular season games prior to heading to Tuscaloosa. This should be a great battle between a Heisman Trophy contender in QB Cam Newton and a fantastic defense that hasn’t been penetrated easily on the season. LSU knows how to win big games on the road (just ask the Florida Gators), but Auburn seems to be a blessed team this year. Still, laying six points is a ton in a game like this.

For a change this week, it is neither the Boise State Broncos nor the TCU Horned Frogs that are the biggest favorites on the college football slate this week. The Stanford Cardinal take that distinction, as they are 35 point favorites over the Washington State Cougars. The Utah Utes, the last undefeated ATS team in the nation, will put that mark on the line against the Colorado State Rams as 30.5 point chalks.

2010 NCAA Football Week 8 Odds @ BetUS Sportsbook (as of 10/23/10):
(Get a HUGE 100% Bonus at BetUS.com When Using This Link)

Week 8 Betting Lines for Thursday, 10/21/10

301 UCLA Bruins +24
302 Oregon Ducks -24

Lines for Week 8 for Friday, 10/22/10

303 South Florida Bulls +7.5
304 Cincinnati Bearcats -7.5

Week 8 Odds for Saturday, 10/23/10

305 Notre Dame Fighting Irish -6.5
306 Navy Midshipmen +6.5
Over/Under 49.5

307 Connecticut Huskies +3
308 Louisville Cardinals -3
Over/Under 53.5

309 Duke Blue Devils +27.5
310 Virginia Tech Hokies -27.5
Over/Under 61.5

311 North Carolina Tar Heels +6.5
312 Miami Hurricanes -6.5
Over/Under 49

313 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +4.5
314 Clemson Tigers -4.5
Over/Under 52.5

315 Maryland Terrapins +4
316 Boston College Eagles -4
Over/Under 41.5

317 Marshall Thundering Herd +12.5
318 East Carolina Pirates -12.5
Over/Under 62

319 Temple Owls -7.5
320 Buffalo Bulls +7.5
Over/Under 48

321 Wisconsin Badgers +6.5
322 Iowa Hawkeyes -6.5
Over/Under 48

323 Penn State Nittany Lions -9.5
324 Minnesota Golden Gophers +9.5
Over/Under 50

325 Purdue Boilermakers +23.5
326 Ohio State Buckeyes -23.5
Over/Under 47.5

327 Michigan State Spartans -5.5
328 Northwestern Wildcats +5.5
Over/Under 54

329 Rutgers Scarlet Knights +13
330 Pittsburgh Panthers -13
Over/Under 46.5

331 Syracuse Orange +14
332 West Virginia Mountaineers -14
Over/Under 43

333 Indiana Hoosiers +13
334 Illinois Fighting Illini -13
Over/Under 55

335 Iowa State Cyclones +20.5
336 Texas Longhorns -20.5
Over/Under 49

337 South Carolina Gamecocks -12
338 Vanderbilt Commodores +12
Over/Under 46

339 Mississippi Rebels +10
340 Arkansas Razorbacks -10
Over/Under 58

341 Ohio Bobcats -3
342 Miami Redhawks +3
Over/Under 49.5

343 Wyoming Cowboys +10.5
344 BYU Cougars -10.5
Over/Under 45

345 Kansas State Wildcats +6.5
346 Baylor Bears -6.5
Over/Under 56

347 Texas A&M Aggies -14
348 Kansas Jayhawks +14
Over/Under 53.5

349 UAB Blazers +20
350 Mississippi State Bulldogs -20
Over/Under 52.5

351 Houston Cougars +8.5
352 SMU Mustangs -8.5
Over/Under 63

353 Kent State Golden Flashes -2.5
354 Bowling Green Falcons +2.5
Over/Under 50

355 Western Michigan Broncos -7.5
356 Akron Zips +7.5
Over/Under 50.5

357 Central Michigan Chippewas +10
358 Northern Illinois Huskies -10
Over/Under 54

359 Oklahoma Sooners -3
360 Missouri Tigers +3
Over/Under 53.5

361 Nebraska Cornhuskers -6
362 Oklahoma State Cowboys +6
Over/Under 59.5

363 Washington Huskies +6.5
364 Arizona Wildcats -6.5
Over/Under 52.5

365 Arizona State Sun Devils +3
366 California Golden Bears -3
Over/Under 51

367 Alabama Crimson Tide -16.5
368 Tennessee Volunteers +16.5
Over/Under 48

369 LSU Tigers +5.5
370 Auburn Tigers -5.5
Over/Under 52

371 New Mexico State Aggies +24
372 Idaho Vandals -24
Over/Under 53.5

373 Hawaii Warriors -3.5
374 Utah State Aggies +3.5
Over/Under 59

375 Colorado State Rams +30.5
376 Utah Utes -30.5
Over/Under 57.5

377 Washington State Cougars +35.5
378 Stanford Cardinal -35.5
Over/Under 64

379 Eastern Michigan Eagles +24
380 Virginia Cavaliers -24
Over/Under 56

381 Georgia Bulldogs -4
382 Kentucky Wildcats +4
Over/Under 57

383 Rice Owls +22.5
384 UCF Knights -22.5
Over/Under 52

385 Ball State Cardinals +11.5
386 Toledo Rockets -11.5
Over/Under 48

387 Texas Tech Red Raiders -3
388 Colorado Buffaloes +3
Over/Under 56.5

389 Fresno State Bulldogs -19
390 San Jose State Spartans +19
Over/Under 51

391 Air Force Falcons +18.5
392 TCU Horned Frogs -18.5
Over/Under 50.5

393 Tulane Green Wave +10
394 UTEP Miners -10
Over/Under 55.5

395 San Diego State Aztecs -23.5
396 New Mexico Lobos +23.5
Over/Under 55

397 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +6
398 Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns -6
Over/Under 54

399 Florida Atlantic Owls +7.5
400 Arkansas State Red Wolves -7.5
Over/Under 53.5

401 Louisiana Monroe Warhawks +12
402 Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders -12
Over/Under 55.5