2010 NFL Trends: Week 10 Cheat Sheet

November 11th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Week 10 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 10 NFL matchups.

Thursday, November 11th, 8:20 ET: Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons
NFL Trends of Note
The Falcons are 9-4-1 ATS in their L/14 games played in Week 10 of the season
Baltimore is 18-6-2 ATS in its L/26 as road pups of a field goal or less
The Ravens are just 1-4-1 ATS in their L/6 following an SU win of at least two TDs

Series History
There’s a ton of preseason history between these two intra-conference foes, but not a heck of a lot of regular season experience. The two have only met eight times since 1981, and it’s all bad news for the Falcons. Atlanta is just 2-6 SU and is 0-8 ATS, but both of those wins have come here at the Georgia Dome.

Sunday, November 14th, 1:00 ET: Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL Trends of Note
The Jags are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 years in Week 10
Jacksonville is just 8-27 ATS in its L/35 played on grass
Houston is 11-5 ATS in the L/8 years in this series

Series History
The Texans might have gotten swept by their divisional rivals last season, but recent history suggests that Houston is going to be running away with these games. The Texans have had Jacksonville’s number in the past no matter how good the Jags have been, but really not until last year, were these teams considered to really be on a relatively even playing field.

Sunday, November 14th, 1:00 PM ET: Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears
NFL Trends of Note
The Vikes are 5-2-1 ATS in their L/8 against the NFC North
Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its L/9 played at home
The Bears are 3-9 ATS in their L/12 played on grass

Series History
If you’re a fan of high scoring games, this might be the series for you! The winning team has scored at least 34 in the L/4 games in this rivalry, while the loser has scored at least 30 in three of the L/6. The home team has won five in a row, including last year at the end of the regular season when the Bears upset the Vikes 36-30 in OT to help spoil any chances that Minnesota had to capture the No. 1 overall seed in the NFC playoffs.

Sunday, November 14th, 1:00 PM ET: Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins
NFL Trends of Note
Tennessee is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 against AFC foes
The Dolphins are 1-6-1 ATS in their L/8 played in Week 10
The home team has covered three straight in this series

Series History
These two teams have a very even history with one another in spite of the fact that they don’t really see each other all that often. Tennessee captured a 27-24 OT win last year at home against the Fins, but the two are split right down the middle at 5-5 ATS since 1992. The Dolphins hold a 7-3 SU edge, but all three of Tennessee’s wins have come since 2003.

Sunday, November 14th, 1:00 PM ET: Cincinnati Bengals @ Indianapolis Colts
NFL Trends of Note
The Bengals are 3-13 ATS in their L/16 overall
The Colts are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 against teams with a losing record
Indy is 10-4-1 ATS in its L/15 against teams from the AFC

Series History
The last time the Bengals came here to Indianapolis in a game that counted, it wasn’t exactly the prettiest thing in the world. Cincy was crushed 35-3. You have to go back well into the 2000s before you find the last Cincinnati win over the Colts in this series, and many of the scores have been incredibly lopsided. Think that Peyton Manning likes playing against these guys? He’s thrown for almost 1,000 yards and ten TDs in his last three duels against the Bengals.

Sunday, November 14th, 1:00 PM ET: Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL Trends of Note
The Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 overall
Carolina is 8-3 ATS in its L/11 against teams with winning records
The Bucs are 3-14 ATS in their L/17 home games

Series History
The Bucs have never really had much luck against the Panthers, as they only snapped a three game losing streak both SU and ATS earlier this year at Bank of America Stadium. Tampa Bay doesn’t have a win against the Panthers at home since ’08 and hasn’t won two straight in this series in a number of years. With QB Matt Moore out of the lineup, this is likely to be the first time that QB Jimmy Clausen sees Tampa Bay as a starter in his career.

Sunday, November 14th, 1:00 PM ET: New York Jets @ Cleveland Browns
NFL Trends of Note
New York is 8-2 ATS in its L/10 road games
The Browns are 9-2 ATS in their L/11 against the AFC
Cleveland is 11-4 ATS in its L/15 overall

Series History
There have only been four meetings between the Browns and Jets all-time, and three of the four meetings went the way of Cleveland. The Browns scored wins of 24-18, 20-13, and 24-21 in 2007, 2007, and 2002 respectively, while New York’s only win in this series was a 10-7 decision here at Cleveland Browns Stadium in 2004.

Sunday, November 14th, 1:00 PM ET: Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills
NFL Trends of Note
The Lions have the best record in the NFL this year at 7-1 ATS
Buffalo is 5-15-1 ATS in its L/21 played at Ralph Wilson Stadium
The Bills are 27-11-1 ATS in their L/39 against teams with a losing record

Series History
Dating back into the 1990s, there are only five regular season meetings between the Bills and Lions. The home team has won all four clashes since 1994, but all five of the games have been separated by 14 points or less. The Bills are only 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS in this series since 1991, but Detroit hasn’t won a game here at Ralph Wilson Stadium since that ’91 campaign.

Sunday, November 14th, 4:05 PM ET: Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
NFL Trends of Note
The Chiefs are 7-2 ATS in their L/9 played on grass
Kansas City is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 road games
The Broncos have the worst ATS record in the AFC at 2-6 ATS

Series History
Think there’s a little bit of history here? There’s a heavy serving of payback that the Broncos would love to get on Sunday, as last season here at Mile High, KC knocked off Denver 44-24 to keep it out of the playoffs. The road team dropped 44 points in both games last season. The Chiefs are 6-3 ATS in the L/9 meetings, but Denver holds a 5-4 SU edge in that time span.

Sunday, November 14th, 4:15 PM ET: Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants
NFL Trends of Note
The Cowboys are 13-5 ATS in their L/18 played in the month of November
The Giants are 10-4 ATS in their L/14 played on field turf
New York is winless ATS in its L/5 home games against teams with a losing road record

Series History
This rivalry took a whole new turn just a few weeks ago when the G-Men knocked out QB Tony Romo for what probably will amount to be the rest of the season. New York won that day 41-35, improving it to 5-1 SU and ATS in this saga since the 2008 playoffs that sparked the magical run to the Super Bowl title for QB Eli Manning and the Giants. The ‘over’ is 7-2-1 ATS in the L/10 in this series.

Sunday, November 14th, 4:15 PM ET: Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals
NFL Trends of Note
The Seahawks are 1-8 ATS in their L/9 played on grass
Arizona is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 when favored
The Seahawks are 17-35-1 ATS in their L/53 road games

Series History
This hasn’t been a particularly pretty series of late for the Seahawks, though they did claim a 22-10 win over the Redbirds back on October 24th at Qwest Field. They haven’t won here in the desert since 2005 and were just 1-6 ATS in the L/7 meetings before this year. Though nine of the L/13 have gone past the ‘total’ in this series, these teams have never both ranked this poorly offensively. Seattle and Arizona rank No. 30 and No. 31 overall in total offense in the NFL.

Sunday, November 14th, 4:15 PM ET: St. Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers
NFL Trends of Note
The Rams have the second best ATS record in football at 6-2 ATS
San Fran is 5-2-1 ATS in its L/8 home games
St. Louis is just 8-20-2 ATS in the L/30 meetings in this series

Series History
Needless to say, the Rams have to buck the NFL odds if they want to stay in first place in the NFC West. This is the first time in which St. Louis has been favored in a game in this series since ’07. The Niners are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS over the L/2 seasons, including having whacked the Rams by margins of 28-6 and 35-0 last year.

Sunday, November 14th, 8:20 PM ET: New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL Trends of Note
Pittsburgh is 2-5-1 ATS in its L/8 against teams with a winning record
The Steelers are 5-2-1 ATS in their L/8 played on natural grass
New England is 7-2 ATS in the L/9 in this series

Series History
New England has just found out what makes Pittsburgh tick and has exploited it for years. Really, ever since QB Tom Brady has come into control of this offense, the Pats have been dominant in this series, even while playing in one of the hardest venues in the NFL to be as a visitor, Heinz Field. A three game winning streak both SU and ATS stopped two years ago when the Steelers won 33-10, but that was with QB Matt Cassel under center for New England.

Monday, November 15th, 8:30 PM ET: Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Redskins
NFL Trends of Note
The Eagles are 3-8 ATS in their L/11 overall
Washington is 7-1-4 ATS in its L/12 played on grass
The ‘Skins are just 5-12-1 ATS in their L/18 home games

Series History
This series has been all about home teams and underdogs of late, as they are both 6-1-1 ATS in their L/8 meetings, including this year when the Skins knocked off the Eagles 17-12 in the City of Brotherly Love. Dating back to the end of the ’06 season, Washington owns a 5-2-1 ATS edge in this rivalry and will be looking to improve upon that with QB Donovan McNabb looking to exact some revenge against his old team.


Posted in NFL Football on Thursday, November 11th, 2010 at 4:40 pm (EST)
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